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Comparative study of Indian and Chinese banking sector
 and its role in their economic growth and development




                         Presented by:
                         SHIVAM KUMAR (A1802011101)
                                  &
                          TARUNA GULATI (A1802011080)
                         AMITY INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
                         SCHOOL,NOIDA
OBJECTIVES


    To Study the impact of Banking sector on Economy.

    Comparison of India and China on the basis of banking
    system and its role in economic growth and development.




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INTRODUCTION
    The financial sector played an important role in the economic growth.

    In financial Sector, Banking system may directly affect growth by
    improving the access to financial services and indirectly by improving the
    efficiency of financial intermediaries, both of which reduce the cost of
    financing, and in turn, stimulate capital accumulation and economic growth.

    Due to their influence within a financial system and an economy, banks are
    generally highly regulated in most countries.

    India has the Seventh largest geographic area of 32, 263 sq kms,whereas
    China has Third Largest area of 9,596,961 sq. km.




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The two countries have similar labor endowments and development lags
 due to government controls and protected nature of their economies.

 The Chinese culture is more homogeneous and Indian culture is great
 diversified.

 India lags behind china in infrastructure.

 Primary, secondary education, vocational education training in china
 results in 99.1% literacy rate, where as in India it is 50 to 60 %




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INTRODUCTION




              •The Reserve Bank of India, the nation’s central bank, began operations on
              April 01, 1935. It was established with the objective of ensuring monetary
              stability and operating the currency and credit system of the country to its
              advantage.

              •The scheduled bank are scheduled by Reserve Bank of India and they are fully
              authorised to do banking business in India. Reserve Bank of India directly
              control over it.

              •Non-scheduled are not scheduled by Reserve Bank of India they do work under
              Banking Regulation Act of India.
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China Banking System




   The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is China’s central bank, which
   formulates and implements monetary policy. The PBOC maintains the banking
   sector's payment, clearing and settlement systems, and manages official foreign
   exchange and gold reserves.
   The banking sector in China primarily comprises of state-owned commercial
   banks and policy banks, the banking segment is mostly controlled by 4 state-
   owned banks namely the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (ICBC)
   specialized in lending to industrial sector, China Construction Bank (CCB)
   traditionally focused on infrastructure development, Bank of China (BOC)
   conventionally responsible for foreign exchange and financing of imports &
   exports and Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) primarily focused on lending to
   agriculture and rural development contributing about 60-70% of the domestic
   banking business.
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Relation between Savings and Economic Growth







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The Growth Drivers of Indian banking sector
 High growth of Indian Economy: The growth of the banking industry is closely linked with
 the growth of the overall economy

 Rising per capita income: The rising per capita income will drive the growth of retail credit.

 New channel – Mobile banking is expected to become the second largest channel for banking
 after ATMs: New channels used to offer banking services will drive the growth of banking
 industry exponentially in the future by increasing productivity and acquiring new customers.

 Major concern of Indian banking sector:
 1) Intensifying competition: Due to homogenous kind of services offered by banks, large
 number of players in the banking industry and other players such as NBFCs, competition is
 already high.

 2) Managing Human Resources and Development: Banks have to incur a substantial
 employee training cost as the attrition rate is very high. Hence, banks find it difficult manage
 the human resources and development initiatives.
 3) Increasing non-performing and restructured assets: Due to a slowdown in economic
 activity in past couple of years and aggressive lending by banks many loans have turned non-
 performing. Restructuring of assets means loans whose duration has been increased or the
 interest rate has been decreased. This happens due to inability of the loan taking
 company/individual to pay off the debt.
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PORTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL FOR BANKING SECTOR
                                  Power of Buyers: Customer’s Bargaining Power is high
                                  because banks provide homogeneous kind of services and
                                  customers can get all information very easily so the
                                  switching cost is low for the customer.

                                  Power of Suppliers :In the banking industry supplier’s
                                  bargaining power is low because banks have to meet many
                                  regulatory criteria made by RBI.

                                  Competitive Rivalry: Competition in the Banking Industry
                                  is very High Because of large number of public, private,
                                  foreign and co-operative banks.
                                  
                                  Availability of Substitutes: There is a high threat from
                                  substitutes such as mutual funds, T-bills, Government
                                  securities and NBFC’s.
                                  
                                  Threat of new Entrants: Banking regulations require the
                                  approval of the regulator RBI before setting up a new
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Research Methodology

     Purpose of this research is to ascertain the impact of banking
     sector on the financial development and economic growth in
     India in context with China.

     Data Collection can be done in the form of two types:
     Primary Data and Secondary data. But with respect to the
     research based on banking sector and economic growth, the
     probability of getting secondary data is higher than the primary
     data.



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Research Design
Descriptive cum comparative Research

 It aims to implement statistical research which describes data
and characteristics about the population or phenomenon being
studied.

Although the data description is factual, accurate and
systematic, the research cannot describe what caused a situation.




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ANALYSIS




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ANALYSIS CONTD…

According to the analysis ,GDP AND GDS of India and China has
high degree of correlation as their values are .991 and .999.which
means that if India and China increases their GDS by 100% there
will be a 99.1% of change in GDP of India and 99.9% change in
GDP of China.

In Regression Analysis, analysis GDP has been taken as
dependent variable and GDS has been taken as independent
variable and it is noticed that there is a significant correlation
between GDP and GDS.Further when ANOVA Test was applied,
the sum of squares in Regression model was having very less
residual value.So we can interpret that India & China has to make
balance between GDP and GDS.
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ANALYSIS CONTD…
On the basis of the data, we can conclude that there is a
high degree of positive correlation, which means that if
there will be a certain percentage of change in deposits,
there will be same percentage change in GDP of India and
China.

In the Regression analysis, GDP has been taken as dependent
variable and GDS has been taken as independent variable and it is
noticed that there is a significant correlation between GDP and
GDS. Further when ANOVA Test was applied, the sum of squares in
Regression model was having very less residual value. So we can
interpret that India & China has to make balance between GDP and
GDS.
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FINDINGS
     GDP AND GDS of China has high degree of correlation as
     its value is .999,which means that if China increases its GDS
     by 100% there will be a 99.9% of change in GDP ,in same
     direction.

     There is a high degree of positive correlation between the
     bank deposits and GDP of China which means that if there
     will be a certain percentage of change in deposits, there will
     be same percentage change in GDP, in same direction.

     GDP AND GDS of India has high degree of correlation as
     its value is .991,which means that if India increases its GDS
     by 100% there will be a 99.1% of change in GDP, in same
     direction.
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FINDINGS CONTD…



   The Bank deposits and GDP of India has high degree of correlation as its
   value is 1, which means that if there will be a certain percentage of
   change in deposits, there will be same percentage change in GDP ,in
   same direction.


   When ANOVA Test was applied to the GDP and Bank Deposits of India,
   the sum of squares in Regression model was having very less residual
   value.

   The Regression analysis of the GDP and Bank Deposits with the help of
   ANOVA test, the sum of squares in Regression model was having very
   less residual value.



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RECOMMENDATIONS



 On the basis of the data presented in the
  interpretation, regarding correlation between GDP
  and GDS, we can recommend that to strengthen the
  economy and GDP of India, they should increase their
  savings.
 According to the data analyzed regarding correlation
  between GDP and GDS, we can recommend that to
  strengthen the economy and GDP of China, they
  should increase their investments and savings.
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Here
RECOMMENDATIONS CONTD…



    While comparing India and China, we find that china has
    more GDP and GDS as compared to India and also bank
    deposits of China are more as compared to India.

    On the basis of the data given in the interpretation,
    regarding correlation between the GDP and deposits, we can
    recommend that India and China both have to increase their
    portion of deposits so that further GDP for both the countries
    can be on higher side and both the countries should focus
    more on GDS so that Economy can grow and develop.


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Comparative Study of India-China
                 Year                      2008     2009 2010     2011 2012
                 GDP(India)                1.24     1.21   1.38   1.72    1.84
                 GDP(China)                3.49     4.52   4.99   5.87    7.29
                 GDS %GDP(India)           30       31     32     31
                 GDS%GDP(China)            52       53     52     53
                 Deposits(India)           0.65                           1.8
                 Deposits(China)           1.13                           4.1
Parameter                          India                          China

Population(2012)                   1.22 Billion                   1.34 Billion

Geographic Area                    3.2 Million Sq Km              9.6 Million Sq Km

Inflation Rate (2013)              6.84 %                         3.20 %

GDP(PPP) (2012)                    4.7 trillion $                 12.38 trillion $

Literacy Rate                      83.04 %(2012)                  92.2%(2007)
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LIMITATIONS OF THE PROJECT



      •The main focus in this research would be to pursue a cross-
      sectional study bearing in mind the time constraint and also
      subject to the fact that the banking industry will not reveal
      the data for security purpose to undergone a longitudinal
      study.

      •This research would be carried out using secondary data
      which is already available through various sources and
      would be dealt in detail in further sections. Reliability of the
      findings could be guaranteed by the mere fact that the
      participant error or biased views did not take place as
      secondary data is used.


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CONCLUSION


      China is having a definite edge over India if the present position of these two
      countries in global economy is concerned.

      The government machinery of the country, to a great extent, is found to be
      responsible for the same. India looks a struggler yet, the fundamentals of its
      economy and future growth projection makes it a dark horse in the global
      scenario.

      Indian in order to ensure that it is not lagging behind its counterparts, will
      have to reverse the trend by investing more in R&D.

      Improving education rate and standards in the country; curtailing adverse
      balance of trade; making our laws especially labour laws simple and straight
      forward, making our financial markets more efficient and so on.



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Comparative study of Indian and Chinese banking sectors' role in economic growth

  • 1. Comparative study of Indian and Chinese banking sector and its role in their economic growth and development Presented by: SHIVAM KUMAR (A1802011101) & TARUNA GULATI (A1802011080) AMITY INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS SCHOOL,NOIDA
  • 2. OBJECTIVES To Study the impact of Banking sector on Economy. Comparison of India and China on the basis of banking system and its role in economic growth and development. Here comes your footer  Page 2
  • 3. INTRODUCTION The financial sector played an important role in the economic growth. In financial Sector, Banking system may directly affect growth by improving the access to financial services and indirectly by improving the efficiency of financial intermediaries, both of which reduce the cost of financing, and in turn, stimulate capital accumulation and economic growth. Due to their influence within a financial system and an economy, banks are generally highly regulated in most countries. India has the Seventh largest geographic area of 32, 263 sq kms,whereas China has Third Largest area of 9,596,961 sq. km. Here comes your footer  Page 3
  • 4. The two countries have similar labor endowments and development lags due to government controls and protected nature of their economies. The Chinese culture is more homogeneous and Indian culture is great diversified. India lags behind china in infrastructure. Primary, secondary education, vocational education training in china results in 99.1% literacy rate, where as in India it is 50 to 60 % Here comes your footer  Page 4
  • 5. INTRODUCTION •The Reserve Bank of India, the nation’s central bank, began operations on April 01, 1935. It was established with the objective of ensuring monetary stability and operating the currency and credit system of the country to its advantage. •The scheduled bank are scheduled by Reserve Bank of India and they are fully authorised to do banking business in India. Reserve Bank of India directly control over it. •Non-scheduled are not scheduled by Reserve Bank of India they do work under Banking Regulation Act of India. Here comes your footer  Page 5
  • 6. China Banking System The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is China’s central bank, which formulates and implements monetary policy. The PBOC maintains the banking sector's payment, clearing and settlement systems, and manages official foreign exchange and gold reserves. The banking sector in China primarily comprises of state-owned commercial banks and policy banks, the banking segment is mostly controlled by 4 state- owned banks namely the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) specialized in lending to industrial sector, China Construction Bank (CCB) traditionally focused on infrastructure development, Bank of China (BOC) conventionally responsible for foreign exchange and financing of imports & exports and Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) primarily focused on lending to agriculture and rural development contributing about 60-70% of the domestic banking business. Here comes your footer  Page 6
  • 7. Relation between Savings and Economic Growth  Here comes your footer  Page 7
  • 8. The Growth Drivers of Indian banking sector High growth of Indian Economy: The growth of the banking industry is closely linked with the growth of the overall economy Rising per capita income: The rising per capita income will drive the growth of retail credit. New channel – Mobile banking is expected to become the second largest channel for banking after ATMs: New channels used to offer banking services will drive the growth of banking industry exponentially in the future by increasing productivity and acquiring new customers. Major concern of Indian banking sector: 1) Intensifying competition: Due to homogenous kind of services offered by banks, large number of players in the banking industry and other players such as NBFCs, competition is already high. 2) Managing Human Resources and Development: Banks have to incur a substantial employee training cost as the attrition rate is very high. Hence, banks find it difficult manage the human resources and development initiatives. 3) Increasing non-performing and restructured assets: Due to a slowdown in economic activity in past couple of years and aggressive lending by banks many loans have turned non- performing. Restructuring of assets means loans whose duration has been increased or the interest rate has been decreased. This happens due to inability of the loan taking company/individual to pay off the debt. Here comes your footer  Page 8
  • 9. PORTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL FOR BANKING SECTOR Power of Buyers: Customer’s Bargaining Power is high because banks provide homogeneous kind of services and customers can get all information very easily so the switching cost is low for the customer. Power of Suppliers :In the banking industry supplier’s bargaining power is low because banks have to meet many regulatory criteria made by RBI. Competitive Rivalry: Competition in the Banking Industry is very High Because of large number of public, private, foreign and co-operative banks.  Availability of Substitutes: There is a high threat from substitutes such as mutual funds, T-bills, Government securities and NBFC’s.  Threat of new Entrants: Banking regulations require the approval of the regulator RBI before setting up a new Here comes your footer  Page 9 bank,so the threat of new entrant is low.
  • 10. Research Methodology Purpose of this research is to ascertain the impact of banking sector on the financial development and economic growth in India in context with China. Data Collection can be done in the form of two types: Primary Data and Secondary data. But with respect to the research based on banking sector and economic growth, the probability of getting secondary data is higher than the primary data. Here comes your footer  Page 10
  • 11. Research Design Descriptive cum comparative Research  It aims to implement statistical research which describes data and characteristics about the population or phenomenon being studied. Although the data description is factual, accurate and systematic, the research cannot describe what caused a situation. Here comes your footer  Page 11
  • 12. ANALYSIS Here comes your footer  Page 12
  • 13. ANALYSIS CONTD… According to the analysis ,GDP AND GDS of India and China has high degree of correlation as their values are .991 and .999.which means that if India and China increases their GDS by 100% there will be a 99.1% of change in GDP of India and 99.9% change in GDP of China. In Regression Analysis, analysis GDP has been taken as dependent variable and GDS has been taken as independent variable and it is noticed that there is a significant correlation between GDP and GDS.Further when ANOVA Test was applied, the sum of squares in Regression model was having very less residual value.So we can interpret that India & China has to make balance between GDP and GDS. Here comes your footer  Page 13
  • 14. ANALYSIS CONTD… On the basis of the data, we can conclude that there is a high degree of positive correlation, which means that if there will be a certain percentage of change in deposits, there will be same percentage change in GDP of India and China. In the Regression analysis, GDP has been taken as dependent variable and GDS has been taken as independent variable and it is noticed that there is a significant correlation between GDP and GDS. Further when ANOVA Test was applied, the sum of squares in Regression model was having very less residual value. So we can interpret that India & China has to make balance between GDP and GDS. Here comes your footer  Page 14
  • 15. FINDINGS GDP AND GDS of China has high degree of correlation as its value is .999,which means that if China increases its GDS by 100% there will be a 99.9% of change in GDP ,in same direction. There is a high degree of positive correlation between the bank deposits and GDP of China which means that if there will be a certain percentage of change in deposits, there will be same percentage change in GDP, in same direction. GDP AND GDS of India has high degree of correlation as its value is .991,which means that if India increases its GDS by 100% there will be a 99.1% of change in GDP, in same direction. Here comes your footer  Page 15
  • 16. FINDINGS CONTD… The Bank deposits and GDP of India has high degree of correlation as its value is 1, which means that if there will be a certain percentage of change in deposits, there will be same percentage change in GDP ,in same direction. When ANOVA Test was applied to the GDP and Bank Deposits of India, the sum of squares in Regression model was having very less residual value. The Regression analysis of the GDP and Bank Deposits with the help of ANOVA test, the sum of squares in Regression model was having very less residual value. Here comes your footer  Page 16
  • 17. RECOMMENDATIONS  On the basis of the data presented in the interpretation, regarding correlation between GDP and GDS, we can recommend that to strengthen the economy and GDP of India, they should increase their savings.  According to the data analyzed regarding correlation between GDP and GDS, we can recommend that to strengthen the economy and GDP of China, they should increase their investments and savings.  comes your footer  Page 17 Here
  • 18. RECOMMENDATIONS CONTD… While comparing India and China, we find that china has more GDP and GDS as compared to India and also bank deposits of China are more as compared to India. On the basis of the data given in the interpretation, regarding correlation between the GDP and deposits, we can recommend that India and China both have to increase their portion of deposits so that further GDP for both the countries can be on higher side and both the countries should focus more on GDS so that Economy can grow and develop. Here comes your footer  Page 18
  • 19. Here comes your footer  Page 19
  • 20. Here comes your footer  Page 20
  • 21. Comparative Study of India-China Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GDP(India) 1.24 1.21 1.38 1.72 1.84 GDP(China) 3.49 4.52 4.99 5.87 7.29 GDS %GDP(India) 30 31 32 31 GDS%GDP(China) 52 53 52 53 Deposits(India) 0.65 1.8 Deposits(China) 1.13 4.1 Parameter India China Population(2012) 1.22 Billion 1.34 Billion Geographic Area 3.2 Million Sq Km 9.6 Million Sq Km Inflation Rate (2013) 6.84 % 3.20 % GDP(PPP) (2012) 4.7 trillion $ 12.38 trillion $ Literacy Rate 83.04 %(2012) 92.2%(2007) Here comes your footer  Page 21
  • 22. LIMITATIONS OF THE PROJECT •The main focus in this research would be to pursue a cross- sectional study bearing in mind the time constraint and also subject to the fact that the banking industry will not reveal the data for security purpose to undergone a longitudinal study. •This research would be carried out using secondary data which is already available through various sources and would be dealt in detail in further sections. Reliability of the findings could be guaranteed by the mere fact that the participant error or biased views did not take place as secondary data is used. Here comes your footer  Page 22
  • 23. CONCLUSION China is having a definite edge over India if the present position of these two countries in global economy is concerned. The government machinery of the country, to a great extent, is found to be responsible for the same. India looks a struggler yet, the fundamentals of its economy and future growth projection makes it a dark horse in the global scenario. Indian in order to ensure that it is not lagging behind its counterparts, will have to reverse the trend by investing more in R&D. Improving education rate and standards in the country; curtailing adverse balance of trade; making our laws especially labour laws simple and straight forward, making our financial markets more efficient and so on. Here comes your footer  Page 23
  • 24. Here comes your footer  Page 24

Editor's Notes

  1. The cooperative banks in India plays an important role even today in rural financing. The businessess of cooperative bank in the urban areas also has increased phenomenally in recent years due to the sharp increase in the number of primary co-operative banks. Co operative Banks in India are registered under the Co-operative Societies Act. The cooperative bank is also regulated by the RBI. They are governed by the Banking Regulations Act 1949 and Banking Laws (Co-operative Societies) Act, 1965. Cooperative banks in India finance rural areas under: Farming Cattle Milk Cooperative banks in India finance urban areas under: Self-employment Industries Small scale units Home finance
  2. Value of GDP, Deposits in Trillion Dollars. Purchasing power parity (PPP) is an Economic theory and a technique used to determine the relative value of currencies, estimating the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to (or on par with) each currency's purchasing power. It asks how much money would be needed to purchase the same goods and services in two countries, and uses that to calculate an implicit foreign exchange rate The GDP per capita PPP is obtained by dividing the country’s gross domestic product, adjusted by purchasing power parity, by the total population. This page includes a chart with historical data for India GDP per capita PPP.