- The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides an overview of economic data and trends in major currency pairs.
- Sterling strengthened after positive UK GDP and industrial production data. Asian stock markets were mixed and gold hovered around $1,730.
- Upcoming economic data includes inflation readings from Italy, Eurozone, Germany, and the US. No major economic events are scheduled.
- Analysis of various currency pairs provides support and resistance levels and commentary on short-term trends based on indicator signals.
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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 13 2021
1. Daily Analysis Report
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13 April, 2021
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Asian Bulle n: Sterling strengthens sharply a er GDP, Industrial Produc on data; Asian stock markets mixed; gold hovers around $1,730 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand NZIER business confidence stands at -13 vs -6 previous release.
• U.K. BRC Retail Sales monitor stands at 20.3 pct vs 9.5 pct previous release (expected 11.9).
• Australia NAB business confidence stands at 15 vs 18 previous release.
• Australia NAB business survey stands at 25 vs 15 previous release.
• U.K. GDP stands at 0.4 pct vs -2.2 pct previous release.
• U.K. Industrial produc on stands at 1.0 pct vs -1.8 pct previous release.
• U.K. manufacturing produc on stands at 1.3 pct vs -2.3 pct previous release.
• The Canadian government declared on Monday a financial aid package for Air Canada that allows the country’s largest airline to access up to
C$5.9 billion ($4.7 billion) in funds through a loan program – Reuters.
• Oil prices slightly up on Middle East worrisome – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Italy Industrial Produc on, previous 1.0, expected 0.7.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro ZEW Economic Sen ment, previous 74.0, expected 77.2.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) German ZEW Economic Sen ment, previous 76.6, expected 79.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. CPI, previous 0.4, expected 0.5.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Core CPI, previous 0.1, expected 0.2.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events are scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.14% to 92.27 points.
3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7640 S1 0.7590
Buy Above 0.7620
0.7640
0.7590
0.7585
0.7565
0.7610
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7672 S2 0.7540
R3 0.7690 S3 0.7522
R4 0.7740 S4 0.7488
Conclusion
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
APRIL,
Commentary
AUD/USD: The Aussie weakens on Tuesday and slips back below $0.7600 mark. The
pair made intraday high at $0.7630 and low at $0.7595 mark. Today triple EMA with a
day chart and H1 chart confirms bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $0.7640 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close
below $0.7590 will check further supports.
4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.1922 S1 1.1872
Buy Above 1.1922
1.1948
1.1890
1.1872
1.1850
1.1910
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.1940 S2 1.1840
R3 1.1962 S3 1.1828
R4 1.2004 S4 1.1790
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro depreciates gradually against U.S. dollar and stabilizes back below
$1.1900 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.1915 and low at $1.1886. Today triple
EMA on a day chart suggest bearish trend while H1 chart signal slightly up trend for the
time being. In addition, H1 chart with triple EMA is about to give bearish trend
confirmation for the same. Have to wait for few hrs only to check the trend. A consistent
close above $1.1922 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained
close below $1.1872 on H1 will check further supports.
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APRIL,
5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.3755 S1 1.3701
Buy Above 1.3755
1.3790
1.3720
1.3701
1.3665
1.3740
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3789 S2 1.3665
R3 1.3840 S3 1.3622
R4 1.3862 S4 1.3585
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The pound trades almost flat on Tuesday and hovers around $1.3730 mark.
The pair made intraday high at $1.3756 and low at $1.3725 mark. A day chart with triple
EMA confirms slightly bearish trend while H1 chart suggests slightly bullish trend in short
run. A sustained close above $1.3755 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.3701 will check further supports.
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APRIL,
6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2592 S1 1.2550
Buy Above 1.2592
1.2612
1.2565
1.2550
1.2520
1.2580
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2610 S2 1.2520
R3 1.2640 S3 1.2500
R4 1.2690 S4 1.2468
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar weakens sharply on Tuesday and hovers around
immediate resistance at 1.2592 mark. A day chart is suggesting down trend while H1
Chart confirms bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2592 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2550 will
check key supports too.
Trends Up Trend
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APRIL,
7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 109.76 S1 109.40
Buy Above 109.80
110.00
109.55
109.40
109.18
109.70
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 109.90 S2 109.24
R3 110.22 S3 109.00
R4 110.70 S4 108.62
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades noticeably lower on Tuesday and trading around
109.70 mark. The pair made intraday high at 109.75 and low at 109.34 mark. The triple
EMA on a day chart and H1 chart confirm bullish trend for the time being. A sustained
close above 109.90 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below 109.40 on H1 will check key supports.
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8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1738 S1 1727
Buy Above 1737
1742
1730
1725
1718
1732
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1742 S2 1721
R3 1748 S3 1715
R4 1754 S4 1708
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold depreciates on Tuesday and slips below $1,730 mark. Pair
made intraday high at $1,736 and low $1,725 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple
EMA confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,735 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,727 will
check further supports. Later today U.S. will release Inflation data and will provide
further directions to the parity.
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9. Thank
you!
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