Daily Forex Technical Analysis Report - January 22, 2021
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22 January, 2021
Daily Analysis Report
2. +1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar remains marginally higher on Friday as traders await Flash PMI data, Asian stock markets in red, gold stabilizes below $1,870 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand business manufacturing index stands at 48.7 vs 54.7 previous release.
• New Zealand CPI q/q stands at 0.5 pct vs 0.7 pct previous release (expected 0.2).
• Australia flash manufacturing PMI stands at 57.2 vs 55.7 previous release.
• Australia flash services PMI stands at 55.8 vs 57.0 previous release.
• Japan na onal core CPI stands at -1.0 vs -0.9 previous release (expected -1.1).
• U.K. GFK consumer confidence stands at -28 vs -26 previous release (expected -30).
• Australia retail sales stand at -4.2 vs 7.1 previous release (expected -1.5).
• Japan flash manufacturing PMI stands at 49.7 vs 50.0 previous release (expected 50.1).
• PBOC sets yuan mid - point at 6.4617 per U.S. dollar vs last close 6.4595.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. retail sales, previous -3.8, expected 1.4.
• (0815 GMT/1345 IST) France flash services PMI, previous 49.1, expected 48.3.
• (0815 GMT/1345 IST) France flash manufacturing PMI, previous 51.1, expected 50.6.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) German flash services PMI, previous 47.0, expected 45.1.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) German flash manufacturing PMI, previous 58.3, expected 57.3.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro flash services PMI, previous 46.4, expected 44.4.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro flash manufacturing PMI, previous 55.2, expected 54.5.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) U.K. flash services PMI, previous 49.4, expected 45.2.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) U.K flash manufacturing PMI, previous 57.5, expected 53.5.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada retail sales, previous 0.4, expected 0.0.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada core retail sales, previous 0.0, expected 0.3.
• (1445 GMT/2015 IST) U.S. flash services PMI, previous 54.8, expected 53.3.
• (1445 GMT/2015 IST) U.S. flash manufacturing PMI, previous 57.1, expected 56.6.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. exis ng home sales, previous 6.69M, expected 6.55M.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.04% to 90.09 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
2
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21
Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7778
R2 S2
0.7797
R3 S3
0.7820
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7854
Buy Above 0.77706
0.77908
0.77411
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.77321
0.77139
0.77552
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie weakens in early Asia as Australia’s retail sales data misses expectations.
The pair fails to find support above key resistance at $0.7778 mark and took reversal from there.
Alternatively, a sustained close below $0.7742 will check key supports. From the daily chart, RSI
signals the trend reversal but EMA still confirm the upside trend in long run.
0.7742
0.7660
0.7590
0.7520
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26)
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2198
R2 S2
1.2232
R3 S3
1.2265
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2309
Buy Above 1.21845
1.22104
1.21533
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.21564
1.21364
1.21757
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro rose sharply after ECB’s rate decision and Press Conference conveyed
hawkish tone. Here, the EMA and RSI signal the upside trend for the time being. A sustained
break below $1.2074 only will take the parity down towards key supports. Alternatively, a
successful close above key resistance at $1.2162 will test key resistances too. Here yesterday’s
close and today’s low also confirming the bullish trend.
EUR / USD
1.2161
1.2128
1.2074
1.2040
Above RSI LEVEL 50
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3745
R2 S2
1.3776
R3 S3
1.3802
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3844
Buy Above 1.37429
1.37732
1.37113
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.36974
1.36552
1.37407
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The pound depreciates on Friday ahead of retail sales and Flash PMI data. The pair
made intraday high at $1.3735 and low at $1.3708 mark. . A sustained close above $1.3730
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, current downside movement will drag the parity down
below $1.3650 mark.
GBP / USD
1.3684
1.3632
1.3552
1.3490
6. BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75A) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2695
R2 S2
1.2736
R3 S3
1.2783
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2822
Buy Above 1.26890
1.27262
1.26420
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.26414
1.26139
1.26688
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar erases previous gain against U.S. dollar and jumps back above
1.2650 mark. Today pair made intraday high at 1.2670 and low at 1.2632 mark. The technical
tools like RSI signals upside trend in short run but EMA confirms the downside trend for the long
run.
USD /CAD
1.2587
1.2558
1.2500
1.2476
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
104.22
R2 S2
104.90
R3 S3
105.40
R4
Commentary
S4
105.94
Buy Above 103.731
103.999
103.447
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 103.330
103.054
103.680
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades marginally lower after mixed economic data and remains well
supported below 104.00 mark. A sustained close above 104.22 requires for the upside rally.
Technical tool like EMA indicate downside trend for the time being. Alternatively, a consistent close
below 103.28 will test key supports too.
USD /JPY
103.28
102.90
102.45
102.10
8. BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1876
R2 S2
1885
R3 S3
1894
R4
Commentary
S4
1902
Buy Above 1866.82
1872.58
1859.09
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1855.82
1849.05
1863.05
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold remained highly volatile in previous session as U.S. came up with
positive fundamental news. Today pair made intraday high at $1,870 and low at 1,859 mark. A
sustained close above $1,872 requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, current downside trend
will check key supports too. The key ranges for the gold will be $1,872 - $1,855 mark. A sustained
close of either side will give further direction to the parity.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1857
1848
1840
1832
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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