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Technology Industry /
Finnish Economic Outlook
April 2021
Jukka Palokangas
Principal Economist
jukka.palokangas@techfind.fi
1
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
2
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
ABB, Ensto, Murata Electronics, Nokia,
Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon,
Vaisala…
METALS INDUSTRY
Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski,
Luvata, Outokumpu, Ovako, Sacotec,
SSAB …
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Abloy, Cargotec,, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone,
Konecranes, Metso-Outotec,
Meyer Turku, Neles, Normet, Oras, Patria,
Pemamek, Ponsse, Prima Power, Stala,
Valmet, Valtra, Wärtsilä…
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
Basware, Bilot, CGI, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-
Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Innofactor,
Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, TietoEVRY…
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
AFRY, A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic,
Etteplan, FCG, Granlund, Neste Engineering
Solution,, Ramboll, Rejlers, Sitowise,
SWECO, WSP…
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
3
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
• Data communications equipment, electrical
machinery, medical technology
• Turnover (2020): 18.0 billion euros
• Personnel (2020): 37,600
METALS INDUSTRY
• Steel products, non-ferrous metals,
castings, metallic minerals
• Turnover (2020): 9.9 billion euros
• Personnel (2020): 16,700
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
• Machinery, metal products, vehicles
• Turnover (2020): 32.4 billion euros
• Personnel (2020): 133,600
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
• IT services, applications and
programming
• Turnover (2020): 15.3 billion euros
• Personnel (2020): 72,300
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
• Expertise for construction industry and
infrastructure
• Turnover (2020): 6.6 billion euros
• Personnel (2020): 52,700
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Technology Industry –
the Largest Export Sector in Finland
4
• Some 50 % of total exports.
• Some 310,000 employed directly in the
sector, including indirect effects 650,000
people.
• Effect on value added totaling € 57 billion,
or 28% of GDP value added.
• Bring to Finland € 18 billion tax revenue
annually.
• Investments about EUR 5.0 billion
annually in Finland.
• 70 % of private-sector R&D investment.
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value Added to the Economy Generated by the
Technology Industry Is EUR 55 Billion, or over 28%
of GDP * (2017)
5
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus
28.8, 53%
15.6, 29%
10.1, 18%
A total of EUR 54.5 billion
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
*) GDP value added was EUR 193.3 billion in 2017.
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Technology Industry Generates nearly 650,000
Jobs in Finland (over 25% of All Employees) (2017)
6
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus
304,600, 47%
225,800, 35%
114,600, 18%
A total of 644 900 employees
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
10 jobs in the technology industry bring
11 jobs to the rest of the economy
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Every Job in the Technology Industry Generates
almost another Job in the Services (2017)
7
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus
295,100, 87%
12,200, 3%
33,100, 10%
Impact on other industries and on
private consumption: 340,300 employees
Services*
Primary production
Processing*
*) Excl. the services industries in the technology industry.
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Technology Industry Generates over 18 Billion
Euros in Tax Revenue Annually in Finland (2017)
8
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus
9.2, 50%
4.3, 24%
4.7, 26%
A total of EUR 18.2 billion
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
9
Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
10
*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 14-15 billion euros.
Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland
Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland
by Area in 2020
Total goods exports 30.72 billion euros*
North America
3.76 billion €
12.2 %
Western Europe
16.36 billion €
53.3 %
South and
Middle America
1.17 billion €
3.8 %
Central and Eastern Europe
4.30 billion €
14.0 %
Africa
0.48 billion €
1.6 %
Middle and
Central East
0.44 billion €
1.4 %
Asia
4.21 billion €
13.7 %
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries
Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services
Exports Revenue
Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017
11
*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information.
Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology industry,
43.6, 51%
Forest industry;
12.9; 15%
Chemical industry;
13; 15%
Other branches;
16.1; 19%
Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry
in Finland
12
Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
13
Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
14
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Million euros, at current prices
Change: IV/2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020
Export: +11 % +52 %
Domestic: +63 % +90 %
Combined: +21 % +60 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
15
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 31th December 2020.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020
Export: +2 % +10 %
Domestic: +11 % +14 %
Combined: +4 % +10 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Combined
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Tender Requests* Received by the Technology
Industry Companies in Finland
16
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in
January 2021.
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Balance figure
*) ”Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three
months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.”
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Value of New Orders in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
17
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Million euros, at current prices
Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020
Export: +41 % +61 %
Domestic: +2 % +17 %
Combined: +35 % +54 %
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
Value of Order Books in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
18
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020
Export: +32 % +45 %
Domestic: -5 % +2 %
Combined: +26 % +38 %
Combined
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 31th December 2020.
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Value of New Orders in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
19
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Million euros, at current prices
Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020
Export: -17 % +40 %
Domestic: +156 % +186 %
Combined: +10 % +71 %
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
20
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020
Export: -8 % -2 %
Domestic: +20 % +27 %
Combined: -3 % +3 %
Combined
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 31th December 2020.
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering
in Finland
21
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Million euros, at current prices
Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020
Export: -46 % +22 %
Domestic: +8 % +33 %
Combined: -3 % +31 %
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
Value of Order Books in the Consulting
Engineering in Finland
22
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020
Export: -6 % -2 %
Domestic: +6 % -1 %
Combined: +4 % -1 %
Combined
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 31th December 2020.
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Value of New Orders in the Information
Technology* in Finland
23
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Million euros, at current prices
Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020
Combined: +13 % +43 %
*) Excl. game industry and data center
companies
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
Value of Order Books in the Information
Technology* in Finland
24
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Combined
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020
Combined: +5 % +3 %
*) Excl. game industry and data
center companies
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 31th December 2020.
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Technology Industry Personnel
25
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
28,000 employees affected
by temporary lay-offs 31st
December 2020
Technology Industry Personnel Recruitment in
Finland by Quarters
26
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Change in the number of personnel compared to the previous quarter Number of people recruited during the quarter
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by
Industry
27
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Industry
28
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Country
29
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
Information from year 2019
China, 45,832, 15%
India, 29,658, 10%
USA, 28,391, 10%
Germany, 19,701, 7%
Poland, 18,522, 6%
Mexico, 14,365, 5%
Sweden, 14,192, 5%
France, 11,313, 4%
UK, 8,204, 3%
Russia, 7,096, 2%
Italy, 6,780, 2%
Brazil, 6,490, 2%
Canada, 5,171, 2%
Other countries, 81,921, 27%
Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in
Finland
30
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Salaried employees
Blue collar employees
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar
Employees in Finland
31
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Number of individuals retiring
(estimation)
Number of individuals retired
Overview of the Situation in the Technology
Industry and Outlook for Spring 2021
32
- Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 82 billion in 2020. Growth from the previous year was
about one percent for the full year.
- The monetary value of new orders reported between October-December 2020 was 60%
higher than in the preceding quarter, and 21% higher than in the corresponding period in
2019.
- At the end of December, the value of order books was 10% higher than at the end of
September, and 4% higher than in December 2019.
- The turnover of the technology industry in Finland is estimated to be higher in the spring
2021 than at the same time a year ago.
- The number of employees in Finland decreased by less than one per cent last year compared
to the 2019 average. The average number of employees was about 310,000, which is 2,500
less than in the previous year. At the end of December, almost 28,000 of the employees were
covered by lay-off arrangements.
- Recruitment of new staff has decreased during the corona pandemic. In 2020, there were a
total of 28,000, while in 2019 there were a total of almost 41,000 recruitments.
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
World Economic Outlook
- Finland as a Part of Global
Economy
33
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
In the Euro Area, the GDP Recovery Came to a Halt
in October-December 2020
34
Lähde: Macrobond
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Finland Is Clearly Behind in the Growth of Exports
Relative to the Euro Countries
35
Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Finland's GDP Growth in October-December Was
Slowed by Private Consumption and Construction
36
Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
In Many Countries, the GDP Recovery Came to a
Halt in October-December 2020
37
Souce: Macrobond
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
38
4/23/2021 Lähde: Macrobond
In Developing Countries, Economic Recovery Has
Continued
Technology Industries
of Finland
Purchasing Manager Indices for the Entire
Business Sector in Finland’s Most Important
Export Countries
39
Source: Macrobond. Markit
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Recovery in Industrial Production Continues in
Several Countries
40
4/23/2021 Source: Macrobond
Technology Industries
of Finland
The Recovery in Industrial Production Continues in
Several Countries
41
4/23/2021 Source: Macrobond
Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Is Recovering Globally
42
Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Industrial Purchasing Managers ’Indices in March
Show Continued Growth in Most Countries
43
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
Industrial Production Grew in March in All Major
Developing Countries
44
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
Exchange Rates (when the Curve Rises, the Value of
the Euro Strengthens Against the Other Currency)
45
Source: Macrobond
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
46
Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
World Trade Has Recovered
Goods export volume
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Chinese Imports Have Recovered Again
47
Source: Macrobond
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
EU Exports to Russia Are Stagnating
48
Source: Macrobond
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Russia’s* Share of the Technology Industry's
Finnish Exports Has Fallen to about 5 Percent
49
*) Soviet Union up to 1991
Source: Finnish Customs
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
%
50
Source: IMF (April 2021)
The Global Economy Is Forecast to Grow by 6 % in
2021, after Decreased by 3.3% in 2020
GDP growth 2021/2020, %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America
Western Europe
Japan
China
India
Rest
of
Eastern
Europe
Russia
Brazil
Mexico
Rest
of
Latin
America
Middle
East
and
Africa
Growth an average:
+6,0 %
The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2020 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), %
Rest of Asia
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
51
Source: IMF (April 2021)
In the Export Market of the Technology Industry,
Demand Will Increase by 4.9 % in 2021
GDP growth 2021/2020, %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America
Western Europe Japan
China
India
Rest
of
Eastern
Europe
Russia
Brazil
Mexico
Rest
of
Latin
America
Middle
East
and
Africa
Growth an average:
+4,9 %
The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2020, %
Rest
of
Asia
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Finland’s Economic Growth
Relies on Exports and
Investments
52
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Finland’s Exports Lagged behind Its Competitors
Even before the Corona Crisis
53
Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
54
Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
Central and Local Government Debt Was Already
High Before the Corona Crisis
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
Unlike the Competitor Countries, in Finland
Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008
55
Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (December 2020)
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e 22e
Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2005=100
USA
Sweden
Switzerland
Belgium
Germany
Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
56
23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), EK Investment Survey (January 2021)
*) Intangible investments include e.g. investment in research and development and computer software.
Investment Rate in the Technology Industry in
Finland Fell after the Financial Crisis
Tangible and intangible investments in Finland
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e2021e
Tangible investments Intangible investments Investment rate, tangible
Investment rate, intangible Investment rate, combined
Investments, million euros,
at current prices
Investment rate (investments /
value added), %
Industrial Tangible and Intangible Investment* in
Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels
57
*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey January 2021
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e
Tangible investment
Intangible investment
Intangible investment (excl.
electronics industry)
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Total Industrial Investment in Finland Is Now at
Around the Level of Capital Consumption
58
*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey January 2021
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e
Tangible and intangible
investment*
Consumption of Fixed
Capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Tangible Investments by Industry in Finland Are
Now at the Level of the Consumption of Capital
59
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey January 2021
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e
Tangible investment
Consumption of tangible
capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has
Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008
60
Information on consumption of tangible capital is at 2010 prices.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 4 15 16 17 18 19
Cumulative consumption
of tangible capital
Cumulative tangible
investment
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
=6,4 bill. €
Industrial Tangible Investment Growth in Finland
Has Lagged behind that of Competitors
61
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2021
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech
Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investment Rate in Industrial Tangible
Investments Is at a Low Level in Finland
62
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts)
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech
Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland
Tangible investments / value added, %
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Intangible Investments * in Finland
Have almost Halved since 2005
63
*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments etc.
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2021
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland, excl.
electronics industry
Finland
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices,
index 2005=100
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investment Rate of Industrial Intangible
Investments* Has Dropped Significantly in Finland
64
*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments.
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland, excl.
electronics industry
Finland
Intangible investments / value added, %
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investments and productivity* are Decisive for
Finland’s Success
65
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of
Finland
*) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows
(the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked.
Source: Statistics Finland
66
Latest information October-December 2020.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
Finland’s GDP Productivity Has Lagged Behind
Other EU and Euro Countries
GDP at fixed prices / hours worked
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
Euro countries
Sweden
Finland
Germany
Index 2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity)
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of
Finland
67
Latest information October-December 2020.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
In Industrial Productivity, Finland Is Still Behind
the EU and Eurozone Average
Industrial value added at fixed prices / hours worked
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
Euro countries
Sweden
Finland
Germany
2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity)
4/23/2021 Technology Industries of
Finland
68
Lates information October-December 2020.
Source: Eurostat
The Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is
Clearly Lower than in the Main Competitor Countries
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
Sweden
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Finland
Corporate fixed investment compared to value added, % (excl. financial sector)
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
69
There Is Still Room for Improvement in Finland’s
Cost Competitiveness
Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective
exchange rates
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
2000=100
2005=100
2008=100
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
declines
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
improves
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
*) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38
main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy.
Latest information October-December 2020. Source: European Central Bank
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Member Companies of the
Federation of Finnish
Technology Industries
70
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Federation’s Member Companies 2019
71
250–499 employees
72,755
38%
32,554
17%
27,555
14%
59,435
31%
1,449
90.1%
86
5.7%
38
2.5% 24
1.8%
Number of enterprises / 1,608 Number of personnel / 192,299
1–249 employees 500–999 employees
1000– employees
Technology Industries
of Finland
4/23/2021
The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2019
72
482
33.3%
483
31.5%
288
19.8%
209
14.4%
Number of enterprises / 1,449 Number of personnel / 72,755
5,140
7.1%
15,832
21.8%
20,092
27.6%
31,691
43.5%
1–19 employees
20–49 employees
50–99 employees
100–249 employees
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Operating Profit in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2019
Operating profit-% = operating result / turnover * 100 (before taxes and financial income
and expenses)
73
Source: Statistics Finland
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 4.6%)
Good (26%)
Satisfactory (23%)
Weak (29 %)
Unprofitable
(21 %)
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Companies in random order
Net Profit in the Member Companies of Technology
Industries of Finland in 2019
Net profit -% = net profit / turnover * 100 (after tax and financial income and expenses)
74
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 3.9%)
Unprofitable (24%)
Good (21%)
Satisfactory (21%)
Weak (34%)
Source: Statistics Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Companies in random order
Return on Assets in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2019
Return on assets -% = (net income + financial expenses + taxes) / (capital invested in the
financial year) * 100
75
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 11.0%)
Good (42%)
Satisfactory (11%)
Mediocre (28%)
Weak (19%)
Companies in random order
Source: Statistics Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland
Equity Ratio in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2019
Equity ratio -% = (total equity + total appropriations accrued) / adjusted balance sheet * 100
76
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
(Median: 42.6%)
Good (53%)
Satisfactory (24%)
Weak (23%)
Companies in random order
Source: Statistics Finland
4/23/2021 Technology Industries
of Finland

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Finnish technology industry, April 2021

  • 1. Technology Industry / Finnish Economic Outlook April 2021 Jukka Palokangas Principal Economist jukka.palokangas@techfind.fi 1 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 2. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 2 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY ABB, Ensto, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala… METALS INDUSTRY Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Outokumpu, Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB … MECHANICAL ENGINEERING Abloy, Cargotec,, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso-Outotec, Meyer Turku, Neles, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Prima Power, Stala, Valmet, Valtra, Wärtsilä… INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Basware, Bilot, CGI, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F- Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, TietoEVRY… CONSULTING ENGINEERING AFRY, A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Granlund, Neste Engineering Solution,, Ramboll, Rejlers, Sitowise, SWECO, WSP…
  • 3. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 3 ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY • Data communications equipment, electrical machinery, medical technology • Turnover (2020): 18.0 billion euros • Personnel (2020): 37,600 METALS INDUSTRY • Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings, metallic minerals • Turnover (2020): 9.9 billion euros • Personnel (2020): 16,700 MECHANICAL ENGINEERING • Machinery, metal products, vehicles • Turnover (2020): 32.4 billion euros • Personnel (2020): 133,600 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • IT services, applications and programming • Turnover (2020): 15.3 billion euros • Personnel (2020): 72,300 CONSULTING ENGINEERING • Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure • Turnover (2020): 6.6 billion euros • Personnel (2020): 52,700 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 4. The Technology Industry – the Largest Export Sector in Finland 4 • Some 50 % of total exports. • Some 310,000 employed directly in the sector, including indirect effects 650,000 people. • Effect on value added totaling € 57 billion, or 28% of GDP value added. • Bring to Finland € 18 billion tax revenue annually. • Investments about EUR 5.0 billion annually in Finland. • 70 % of private-sector R&D investment. 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 5. Value Added to the Economy Generated by the Technology Industry Is EUR 55 Billion, or over 28% of GDP * (2017) 5 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus 28.8, 53% 15.6, 29% 10.1, 18% A total of EUR 54.5 billion Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) *) GDP value added was EUR 193.3 billion in 2017. Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 6. Technology Industry Generates nearly 650,000 Jobs in Finland (over 25% of All Employees) (2017) 6 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus 304,600, 47% 225,800, 35% 114,600, 18% A total of 644 900 employees Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) 10 jobs in the technology industry bring 11 jobs to the rest of the economy Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 7. Every Job in the Technology Industry Generates almost another Job in the Services (2017) 7 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus 295,100, 87% 12,200, 3% 33,100, 10% Impact on other industries and on private consumption: 340,300 employees Services* Primary production Processing* *) Excl. the services industries in the technology industry. Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 8. Technology Industry Generates over 18 Billion Euros in Tax Revenue Annually in Finland (2017) 8 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus 9.2, 50% 4.3, 24% 4.7, 26% A total of EUR 18.2 billion Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 9. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 9 Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 10. 10 *) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 14-15 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2020 Total goods exports 30.72 billion euros* North America 3.76 billion € 12.2 % Western Europe 16.36 billion € 53.3 % South and Middle America 1.17 billion € 3.8 % Central and Eastern Europe 4.30 billion € 14.0 % Africa 0.48 billion € 1.6 % Middle and Central East 0.44 billion € 1.4 % Asia 4.21 billion € 13.7 % 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 11. Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services Exports Revenue Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017 11 *) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information. Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Technology industry, 43.6, 51% Forest industry; 12.9; 15% Chemical industry; 13; 15% Other branches; 16.1; 19%
  • 12. Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland 12 Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 13. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 13 Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 14. Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland 14 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Million euros, at current prices Change: IV/2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020 Export: +11 % +52 % Domestic: +63 % +90 % Combined: +21 % +60 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
  • 15. Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland 15 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 31th December 2020. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020 Export: +2 % +10 % Domestic: +11 % +14 % Combined: +4 % +10 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Combined Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 16. Tender Requests* Received by the Technology Industry Companies in Finland 16 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in January 2021. -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Balance figure *) ”Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.” Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
  • 17. Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 17 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Million euros, at current prices Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020 Export: +41 % +61 % Domestic: +2 % +17 % Combined: +35 % +54 % Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
  • 18. Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 18 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020 Export: +32 % +45 % Domestic: -5 % +2 % Combined: +26 % +38 % Combined 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 31th December 2020. Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 19. Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 19 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Million euros, at current prices Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020 Export: -17 % +40 % Domestic: +156 % +186 % Combined: +10 % +71 % Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
  • 20. Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 20 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020 Export: -8 % -2 % Domestic: +20 % +27 % Combined: -3 % +3 % Combined 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 31th December 2020. Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 21. Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 21 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Million euros, at current prices Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020 Export: -46 % +22 % Domestic: +8 % +33 % Combined: -3 % +31 % Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
  • 22. Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 22 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020 Export: -6 % -2 % Domestic: +6 % -1 % Combined: +4 % -1 % Combined 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 31th December 2020. Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 23. Value of New Orders in the Information Technology* in Finland 23 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Million euros, at current prices Change: IV,2020 / IV,2019 IV,2020 / III,2020 Combined: +13 % +43 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation October-December 2020.
  • 24. Value of Order Books in the Information Technology* in Finland 24 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 Combined Million euros, at current prices Change: 31.12.2020 / 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 / 30.9.2020 Combined: +5 % +3 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 31th December 2020. Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 25. Technology Industry Personnel 25 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond 28,000 employees affected by temporary lay-offs 31st December 2020
  • 26. Technology Industry Personnel Recruitment in Finland by Quarters 26 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 Change in the number of personnel compared to the previous quarter Number of people recruited during the quarter Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 27. Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by Industry 27 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
  • 28. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Industry 28 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
  • 29. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Country 29 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey Information from year 2019 China, 45,832, 15% India, 29,658, 10% USA, 28,391, 10% Germany, 19,701, 7% Poland, 18,522, 6% Mexico, 14,365, 5% Sweden, 14,192, 5% France, 11,313, 4% UK, 8,204, 3% Russia, 7,096, 2% Italy, 6,780, 2% Brazil, 6,490, 2% Canada, 5,171, 2% Other countries, 81,921, 27%
  • 30. Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in Finland 30 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Salaried employees Blue collar employees Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 31. Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees in Finland 31 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 Number of individuals retiring (estimation) Number of individuals retired
  • 32. Overview of the Situation in the Technology Industry and Outlook for Spring 2021 32 - Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 82 billion in 2020. Growth from the previous year was about one percent for the full year. - The monetary value of new orders reported between October-December 2020 was 60% higher than in the preceding quarter, and 21% higher than in the corresponding period in 2019. - At the end of December, the value of order books was 10% higher than at the end of September, and 4% higher than in December 2019. - The turnover of the technology industry in Finland is estimated to be higher in the spring 2021 than at the same time a year ago. - The number of employees in Finland decreased by less than one per cent last year compared to the 2019 average. The average number of employees was about 310,000, which is 2,500 less than in the previous year. At the end of December, almost 28,000 of the employees were covered by lay-off arrangements. - Recruitment of new staff has decreased during the corona pandemic. In 2020, there were a total of 28,000, while in 2019 there were a total of almost 41,000 recruitments. 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 33. World Economic Outlook - Finland as a Part of Global Economy 33 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 34. In the Euro Area, the GDP Recovery Came to a Halt in October-December 2020 34 Lähde: Macrobond Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 35. Finland Is Clearly Behind in the Growth of Exports Relative to the Euro Countries 35 Source: Macrobond, Eurostat 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 36. Finland's GDP Growth in October-December Was Slowed by Private Consumption and Construction 36 Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 37. In Many Countries, the GDP Recovery Came to a Halt in October-December 2020 37 Souce: Macrobond Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 38. 38 4/23/2021 Lähde: Macrobond In Developing Countries, Economic Recovery Has Continued Technology Industries of Finland
  • 39. Purchasing Manager Indices for the Entire Business Sector in Finland’s Most Important Export Countries 39 Source: Macrobond. Markit 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 40. The Recovery in Industrial Production Continues in Several Countries 40 4/23/2021 Source: Macrobond Technology Industries of Finland
  • 41. The Recovery in Industrial Production Continues in Several Countries 41 4/23/2021 Source: Macrobond Technology Industries of Finland
  • 42. Industrial Production Is Recovering Globally 42 Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 43. Industrial Purchasing Managers ’Indices in March Show Continued Growth in Most Countries 43 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
  • 44. Industrial Production Grew in March in All Major Developing Countries 44 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
  • 45. Exchange Rates (when the Curve Rises, the Value of the Euro Strengthens Against the Other Currency) 45 Source: Macrobond 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 46. 46 Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis World Trade Has Recovered Goods export volume Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 47. Chinese Imports Have Recovered Again 47 Source: Macrobond Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 48. EU Exports to Russia Are Stagnating 48 Source: Macrobond Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 49. Russia’s* Share of the Technology Industry's Finnish Exports Has Fallen to about 5 Percent 49 *) Soviet Union up to 1991 Source: Finnish Customs 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021 %
  • 50. 50 Source: IMF (April 2021) The Global Economy Is Forecast to Grow by 6 % in 2021, after Decreased by 3.3% in 2020 GDP growth 2021/2020, % 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India Rest of Eastern Europe Russia Brazil Mexico Rest of Latin America Middle East and Africa Growth an average: +6,0 % The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2020 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), % Rest of Asia Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 51. 51 Source: IMF (April 2021) In the Export Market of the Technology Industry, Demand Will Increase by 4.9 % in 2021 GDP growth 2021/2020, % 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India Rest of Eastern Europe Russia Brazil Mexico Rest of Latin America Middle East and Africa Growth an average: +4,9 % The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2020, % Rest of Asia Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 52. Finland’s Economic Growth Relies on Exports and Investments 52 Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 53. Finland’s Exports Lagged behind Its Competitors Even before the Corona Crisis 53 Source: Macrobond, Eurostat Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 54. 54 Source: Macrobond, Eurostat Central and Local Government Debt Was Already High Before the Corona Crisis Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 55. Unlike the Competitor Countries, in Finland Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008 55 Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (December 2020) 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 155 160 165 170 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e 22e Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2005=100 USA Sweden Switzerland Belgium Germany Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 56. 56 23.4.2021 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), EK Investment Survey (January 2021) *) Intangible investments include e.g. investment in research and development and computer software. Investment Rate in the Technology Industry in Finland Fell after the Financial Crisis Tangible and intangible investments in Finland 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e2021e Tangible investments Intangible investments Investment rate, tangible Investment rate, intangible Investment rate, combined Investments, million euros, at current prices Investment rate (investments / value added), %
  • 57. Industrial Tangible and Intangible Investment* in Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels 57 *) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey January 2021 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e Tangible investment Intangible investment Intangible investment (excl. electronics industry) Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 58. Total Industrial Investment in Finland Is Now at Around the Level of Capital Consumption 58 *) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey January 2021 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e Tangible and intangible investment* Consumption of Fixed Capital Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 59. Tangible Investments by Industry in Finland Are Now at the Level of the Consumption of Capital 59 Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey January 2021 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e Tangible investment Consumption of tangible capital Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 60. Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008 60 Information on consumption of tangible capital is at 2010 prices. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 4 15 16 17 18 19 Cumulative consumption of tangible capital Cumulative tangible investment Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland =6,4 bill. €
  • 61. Industrial Tangible Investment Growth in Finland Has Lagged behind that of Competitors 61 Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2021 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 62. Investment Rate in Industrial Tangible Investments Is at a Low Level in Finland 62 Source: Eurostat (National Accounts) 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland Tangible investments / value added, % 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 63. Industrial Intangible Investments * in Finland Have almost Halved since 2005 63 *) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments etc. Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2021 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20e 21e Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland, excl. electronics industry Finland Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 64. Investment Rate of Industrial Intangible Investments* Has Dropped Significantly in Finland 64 *) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments. Source: Eurostat (National Accounts) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland, excl. electronics industry Finland Intangible investments / value added, % 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 65. Investments and productivity* are Decisive for Finland’s Success 65 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland *) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows (the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked. Source: Statistics Finland
  • 66. 66 Latest information October-December 2020. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts Finland’s GDP Productivity Has Lagged Behind Other EU and Euro Countries GDP at fixed prices / hours worked 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 Euro countries Sweden Finland Germany Index 2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity) 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 67. 67 Latest information October-December 2020. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts In Industrial Productivity, Finland Is Still Behind the EU and Eurozone Average Industrial value added at fixed prices / hours worked 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 Euro countries Sweden Finland Germany 2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity) 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 68. 68 Lates information October-December 2020. Source: Eurostat The Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is Clearly Lower than in the Main Competitor Countries 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 Sweden Austria Belgium Denmark Finland Corporate fixed investment compared to value added, % (excl. financial sector) 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 69. 69 There Is Still Room for Improvement in Finland’s Cost Competitiveness Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective exchange rates 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 2000=100 2005=100 2008=100 Finland’s price and cost competitiveness declines Finland’s price and cost competitiveness improves 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy. Latest information October-December 2020. Source: European Central Bank 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
  • 70. Member Companies of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 70 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 71. The Federation’s Member Companies 2019 71 250–499 employees 72,755 38% 32,554 17% 27,555 14% 59,435 31% 1,449 90.1% 86 5.7% 38 2.5% 24 1.8% Number of enterprises / 1,608 Number of personnel / 192,299 1–249 employees 500–999 employees 1000– employees Technology Industries of Finland 4/23/2021
  • 72. The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2019 72 482 33.3% 483 31.5% 288 19.8% 209 14.4% Number of enterprises / 1,449 Number of personnel / 72,755 5,140 7.1% 15,832 21.8% 20,092 27.6% 31,691 43.5% 1–19 employees 20–49 employees 50–99 employees 100–249 employees 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 73. Operating Profit in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2019 Operating profit-% = operating result / turnover * 100 (before taxes and financial income and expenses) 73 Source: Statistics Finland -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 4.6%) Good (26%) Satisfactory (23%) Weak (29 %) Unprofitable (21 %) 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Companies in random order
  • 74. Net Profit in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2019 Net profit -% = net profit / turnover * 100 (after tax and financial income and expenses) 74 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 3.9%) Unprofitable (24%) Good (21%) Satisfactory (21%) Weak (34%) Source: Statistics Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland Companies in random order
  • 75. Return on Assets in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2019 Return on assets -% = (net income + financial expenses + taxes) / (capital invested in the financial year) * 100 75 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 11.0%) Good (42%) Satisfactory (11%) Mediocre (28%) Weak (19%) Companies in random order Source: Statistics Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 76. Equity Ratio in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2019 Equity ratio -% = (total equity + total appropriations accrued) / adjusted balance sheet * 100 76 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 (Median: 42.6%) Good (53%) Satisfactory (24%) Weak (23%) Companies in random order Source: Statistics Finland 4/23/2021 Technology Industries of Finland