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WHAT TECHNOLOGY WANTS
FROM PLANNING
WHAT DO TECHNOLOGIES
WANT FROM PLANNING?
WHAT DO TECHNOLOGISTS
WANT FROM PLANNING?
WHAT DOES TECHNOLOGY
WANT FROM PLANNING?
CAN TECHNOLOGY WANT THINGS?
THE UNIVERSE WANTS EXPANSION
LIFE WANT SURVIVAL
HUMANITY WANTS MEANING
ECONOMIES WANT GROWTH
After 10,000 years of slow evolution and 200 years of incredible intricate
exfoliation, [technology] is maturing into its own thing. Its sustaining
network of self-reinforcing processes and parts have given it a noticeable
measure of autonomy. [Technology] may have once been as simple as an
old computer program, merely parroting what we told it, but now it is more
like a very complex organism that often follows its own urges.
-Kevin Kelly, Founding Editor of Wired Magazine
“
ACCELERATING
EFFICIENCY
ACCELERATING
DIVERSITY
ACCELERATING
COMPLEXITY
ACCELERATING
STRUCTURE
ACCELERATING
SENTIENCE
ACCELERATING
MUTUALISM
98%of all CPUs on earth are embedded
ACCELERATING
UBIQUITY
TECHNOLOGY WANTS CHANGE
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
CULTURAL CHANGE
POLITICAL CHANGE
BUSINESS CHANGE
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IS
CREATING A GLOBAL PARADIGM SHIFT
SCARCITY ABUNDANCE
SCARCE INFORMATION
UNINFORMED
“CONSUMERS”
OBSCURED COMPETITIVE
ALTERNATIVES
UNVERIFIABLE PRODUCT
CLAIMS
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE THROUGH
SCARCE INFORMATION
UNINFORMED
“CONSUMERS”
OBSCURED COMPETITIVE
ALTERNATIVES
UNVERIFIABLE PRODUCT
CLAIMS
90% of all the information in the
world has been generated in
the last 2 years
ABUNDANT INFORMATION
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE
TRADE SECRETS
PROPRIETARY
PROCESSES
INTELLECTUAL
PROPERTY
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
TRADE SECRETS
PROPRIETARY
PROCESSES
INTELLECTUAL
PROPERTY
2x Annual growth rate of the
volume of business data
worldwide
ABUNDANT COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE
SCARCE CAPITAL ACCESS
HIGH COST OF MARKET
ENTRY
LIMITED FUNDRAISING
METHODS
SMALL INVESTOR AND
LENDER POOLS
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
TRADE SECRETS
PROPRIETARY
PROCESSES
INTELLECTUAL
PROPERTY
ABUNDANT CAPITAL ACCESS
Estimated number of active crowdfunding platforms worldwide
536
434
283
2012
2011
2010
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
ABUNDANT CAPITAL ACCESS
Estimated volume of funds raised by CFPs worldwide
1.5B 2.7B 5.1B
2011 2012 2013
SCARCE RESOURCE SHARING
ATOMIZED AND ISOLATED
“CONSUMER” GROUPS
REDUNDANT PRODUCTS
AND SERVICES
UNDERUTILIZED ASSETS
&
LATENT CAPACITY
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
ABUNDANT RESOURCE SHARING
92M Americans participating
in the sharing economy
in 2013
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
ABUNDANT RESOURCE SHARING
$3.5B P2P revenue generated
by the sharing economy
in 2013
SCARCE MEANS OF PRODUCTION
CONTROLLED AND
CONSOLIDATED
PRODUCTION MEANS
COSTLY PRODUCTION
SYSTEMS
HIGH SPECIALIZATION
REQUIREMENTS
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
ABUNDANT MEANS OF PRODUCTION
Lamp created with the
MakerBot Replicator 2
Butterfly Labs BitCoin Miner
SCARCE TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS
PREDICTABLE
CONSUMERS
CONVENTIONAL
COMPETITORS
STRATEGIC PLANNING
LEAD TIME
SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE
ABUNDANT TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS
SMARTPHONE
RADIO
INTERNET
COLOR TV
MICROWAVE
CELL PHONE
REFRIGERATOR
HOME COMPUTER
ELECTRIC POWER
AUTOMOBILE
CLOTHES WASHER
STOVE
TELEPHONE
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Years to penetration of US Households
0-50% 51-80%
COMMODITIZATION
CONSUMER
BRAND
RETAILER
DISINTERMEDIATION
PC
MARKET
DISINTERMEDIATION
DISINTERMEDIATION
DEMAND SUPPLY
GATEKEEPERS
DISINTERMEDIATION
DEMAND
GATEKEEPERS
SUPPLYFACILITATORS
DISINTERMEDIATION
THE LODGING
MARKET
OWNERS AND
RENTERS
DISINTERMEDIATION
BUYERS SELLERS
OBSOLESCENCE
COMMUNICATIONS ALONE
CANNOT SOLVE THESE PROBLEMS
INNOVATION
WHAT TECHNOLOGY WANTS FROM
PLANNING IS
Dawn of the Abundance Paradigm:
Library of Congress microfilms more than three million pages of books and manuscripts
OUR ACCELERATING INNOVATION OBSESSION
50
2013: YEAR OF THE INNOVATION LION
Innovation in this country is somewhere
between dire straits and dead.
-Max Levchin, Co-Founder PayPal
“
If you look outside the computer and the
internet,!there has been 40 years of
stagnation. We are no longer moving
faster.
-Peter Thiel, Venture Capitalist, Co-Founder, PayPal
“
9% Portion of public and private companies
engaged in either product or service
innovation between 2006 and 2008
National Science Foundation, Business R&D and
Innovation Survey Report, 2010
There's growing evidence that the
innovation shortfall of the past decade
is not only real but may also have
contributed to today's financial crisis.
-Michael Mandel, Chief Economic Strategist, Progressive Policy Institute,
Former Chief Economist of Businessweek
“
PLANNING CAN AND MUST
BECOME A DRIVING FORCE
OF INNOVATION
HOW TO DO IT
THE 10 LENSES OF INNOVATION PLANNING
THE 10 LENSES OF INNOVATION PLANNING
C O N F I G U R A T I O N
BUSINESS
MODEL
NETWORK STRUCTURE PROCESS PRODUCT
PERFORMANCE
PRODUCT
SYSTEM
SERVICE CHANNEL BRAND ENGAGEMENT
O F F E R I N G E X P E R I E N C E
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
INTERROGATE THE BUSINESS MODEL
Percent of CEO emphasis allocated to each innovation type
Products &
Services
Process &
Operations
Business Model
50
40
30
20
10
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
INTERROGATE THE BUSINESS MODEL
Products &
Services
Process &
Operations
Business Model
6
4
3
2
1
Percent operating margin growth in excess of competitors
5
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
INTERROGATE THE BUSINESS MODEL
KEY PARTNERS KEY ACTIVITIES
KEY RESOURCES
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
CHANNELS
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
COST STRUCTURE REVENUE STREAMS
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
THE LUXURY EYEWEAR CATEGORY MODEL
KEY PARTNERS
CONSOLIDATED
DESIGN,
MANUFACTURING,
AND DISTRIBUTION
COMPANIES LIKE
SAFILO GROUP
KEY ACTIVITIES
OUTSOURCING,
LICENSING,
MARKETING
KEY RESOURCES
BRAND EQUITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
OPTICAL SHOPS
AND LUXURY
RETAIL
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BRAND PRESTIGE
AND DESIGN
VALUE THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
CONSOLIDATED
DESIGN,
MANUFACTURING,
AND DISTRIBUTION
COMPANIES LIKE
SAFILO GROUP
KEY ACTIVITIES
OUTSOURCING,
LICENSING,
MARKETING
KEY RESOURCES
BRAND EQUITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
OPTICAL SHOPS
AND LUXURY
RETAIL
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BRAND PRESTIGE
AND DESIGN
VALUE THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
CONSOLIDATED
DESIGN,
MANUFACTURING,
AND DISTRIBUTION
COMPANIES LIKE
SAFILO GROUP
KEY ACTIVITIES
OUTSOURCING,
LICENSING,
MARKETING
KEY RESOURCES
BRAND EQUITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
OPTICAL SHOPS
AND LUXURY
RETAIL
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
STATUS,
PRESTIGE, AND
DESIGN THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
OUTSOURCING,
LICENSING,
MARKETING
KEY RESOURCES
BRAND EQUITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
OPTICAL SHOPS
AND LUXURY
RETAIL
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
STATUS,
PRESTIGE, AND
DESIGN THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
KEY RESOURCES
BRAND EQUITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
OPTICAL SHOPS
AND LUXURY
RETAIL
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
STATUS,
PRESTIGE, AND
DESIGN THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
KEY RESOURCES
DESIGN
CAPABILITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
OPTICAL SHOPS
AND LUXURY
RETAIL
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
STATUS,
PRESTIGE, AND
DESIGN THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
ONLINE AND
OFFLINE
STOREFRONTS
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
STATUS,
PRESTIGE, AND
DESIGN THAT
JUSTIFY A
PREMIUM PRICE
POINT
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINTKEY RESOURCES
DESIGN
CAPABILITY
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
ONLINE AND
OFFLINE
STOREFRONTS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
TRADITIONAL
AFFLUENT,
CROSS-
CATEGORY
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
COST STRUCTURE
DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
KEY RESOURCES
DESIGN
CAPABILITY
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
CHANNELS
ONLINE AND
OFFLINE
STOREFRONTS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
LESS AFFLUENT
CONSUMERS
TRADING UP
CONSUMPTION-
CONSCIOUS
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
TRADING OVER
COST STRUCTURE
DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING
REVENUE STREAMS
LICENSING REVENUE
KEY RESOURCES
DESIGN
CAPABILITY
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
CHANNELS
ONLINE AND
OFFLINE
STOREFRONTS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
LESS AFFLUENT
CONSUMERS
TRADING UP
CONSUMPTION-
CONSCIOUS
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
TRADING OVER
COST STRUCTURE
DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING
REVENUE STREAMS
SALES
KEY RESOURCES
DESIGN
CAPABILITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
ALWAYS LOOKING
FOR THE NEXT
BEST THING
VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
BOUTIQUE
QUALITY
EYEWEAR AT A
REVOLUTIONARY
PRICE POINT
THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS
WARBY PARKER
KEY PARTNERS
MANUFACTURING
COMPANY
KEY ACTIVITIES
DESIGN,
DISTRIBUTION,
MARKETING
CHANNELS
ONLINE AND
OFFLINE
STOREFRONTS
CUSTOMER
SEGMENTS
LESS AFFLUENT
CONSUMERS
TRADING UP
CONSUMPTION-
CONSCIOUS
LUXURY
CONSUMERS
TRADING OVER
COST STRUCTURE
DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING
REVENUE STREAMS
SALES
KEY RESOURCES
DESIGN
CAPABILITY
CUSTOMER
RELATIONSHIPS
LOYALTY AND
BRAND
ADVOCACY
BRAND
THE NETWORK LENS
REFRAME YOUR CUSTOMERS AS A
DATA-GENERATING NETWORK
COMMUNICATION AND
ENGAGEMENT
USER SEGMENTS
BRAND BRAND
COMMUNICATION AND
ENGAGEMENT
DATA CAPTURE AND
PRODUCTIZATION
USER SEGMENTS DATA-GENERATING USER NETWORK
THE NETWORK LENS
REFRAME YOUR CUSTOMERS AS A
DATA-GENERATING NETWORK
Facebook has a
social graph,
Foursquare has a
location graph, and
Twitter has an
interest graph.
American Express
has a spend graph.
“
-Ed Gilligan, President, AmEx
THE PRODUCT SYSTEM LENS
CREATE A PURPOSE-DRIVEN ECOSYSTEM
Making commerce
easier, safer, and
more rewarding
Making commerce
easier, safer, and
more rewarding
Card products
as data
sensors
Making commerce
easier, safer, and
more rewarding
Card products
as data
sensors
Data-driven
commerce
services layer
Data Inputs
Data Inputs
Making commerce
easier, safer, and
more rewarding
Card products
as data
sensors
Data-driven
commerce
services layer
Prospect
Marketing layer
Services Demo
and Trial
Data Inputs
Services Demo
and Trial
Data Inputs
ProspectsMaking commerce
easier, safer, and
more rewarding
Card products
as data
sensors
Data-driven
commerce
services layer
Prospect
Marketing layer
Services Demo
and Trial
Data Inputs
Services Demo
and Trial
Data Inputs
THE SERVICE LENS
REDUCE THE FRICTION IN YOUR SYSTEM
SUBTRACTIVE CUSTOMER SERVICE
UNDERSTAND YOUR
USER’S MINDSET
REMOVE BARRIERS TO
ENGAGEMENT
REDUCE YOUR
EXPERIENCE TO ITS CORE
THE SERVICE LENS
REDUCE THE FRICTION IN YOUR SYSTEM
THE CHANNEL LENS
DESIGN FOR THE EDGE
QUANTIFIES THE SIZE OF THE SEGMENT
IDENTIFIES BEHAVIORAL AND PERCEPTION SHIFTS
THAT WILL MOTIVATE PURCHASE
DESCRIBES THE SEGMENT AS THE AVERAGE
ATTRIBUTES OF ITS MEMBERS
CONVENTIONAL SEGMENTATIONMARKET SEGMENT
THE CHANNEL LENS
DESIGN FOR THE EDGE
EDGE CASE PERSONASMARKET SEGMENT
CORRESPONDS TO SPECIFIC INDIVIDUALS
WITHIN THE SEGMENT
IDENTIFIES FRINGE BEHAVIORS THAT CAN
INSPIRE UNCONVENTIONAL DESIGN SOLUTIONS
SERVES AS A STRESS TEST OF THE SYSTEM’S
FUNCTIONALITY
THE BRAND LENS
FIND THE FUNCTIONAL WHITESPACE
PAST ACHIEVEMENTS
Experience Levels
Performance Endorsements
Relationship-based Networks
Practical Career Goals
FUTURE AMBITIONS
Transferrable Skills
Values and Beliefs
A"nity-based Networks
Aspirational Career Goals
DEMOGRAPHIC TARGETING
PSYCHOGRAPHIC TARGETING
THE ENGAGEMENT LENS
TURN INSIGHT INTO DURABLE EXPERIENCES,
NOT DISPOSABLE ADS
Technology is a word that describes
something that doesn't work yet.
-Bran Ferren, CCO, Applied Minds and Former President of R&D,
Walt Disney Imagineering
“
TECHNOLOGY IS NOT INNOVATION
INNOVATION IS NOT TECHNOLOGY
INNOVATION IS INFLUENCE
INNOVATION IS INFLUENCE
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
CULTURAL CHANGE
POLITICAL CHANGE
BUSINESS CHANGE
INFLUENTIAL INNOVATION
INNOVATION IS NOT STRATEGY
STRATEGY IS ABOUT DIRECTION
INNOVATION IS ABOUT POSSIBILITY
THANK YOU

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What Technology Wants from Planning

  • 2. WHAT DO TECHNOLOGIES WANT FROM PLANNING?
  • 3. WHAT DO TECHNOLOGISTS WANT FROM PLANNING?
  • 4. WHAT DOES TECHNOLOGY WANT FROM PLANNING?
  • 6. THE UNIVERSE WANTS EXPANSION
  • 10. After 10,000 years of slow evolution and 200 years of incredible intricate exfoliation, [technology] is maturing into its own thing. Its sustaining network of self-reinforcing processes and parts have given it a noticeable measure of autonomy. [Technology] may have once been as simple as an old computer program, merely parroting what we told it, but now it is more like a very complex organism that often follows its own urges. -Kevin Kelly, Founding Editor of Wired Magazine “
  • 17. 98%of all CPUs on earth are embedded ACCELERATING UBIQUITY
  • 20.
  • 21. EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IS CREATING A GLOBAL PARADIGM SHIFT
  • 24. COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE THROUGH SCARCE INFORMATION UNINFORMED “CONSUMERS” OBSCURED COMPETITIVE ALTERNATIVES UNVERIFIABLE PRODUCT CLAIMS 90% of all the information in the world has been generated in the last 2 years ABUNDANT INFORMATION
  • 25. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE TRADE SECRETS PROPRIETARY PROCESSES INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
  • 26. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE TRADE SECRETS PROPRIETARY PROCESSES INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY 2x Annual growth rate of the volume of business data worldwide ABUNDANT COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE
  • 27. SCARCE CAPITAL ACCESS HIGH COST OF MARKET ENTRY LIMITED FUNDRAISING METHODS SMALL INVESTOR AND LENDER POOLS
  • 28. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE TRADE SECRETS PROPRIETARY PROCESSES INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY ABUNDANT CAPITAL ACCESS Estimated number of active crowdfunding platforms worldwide 536 434 283 2012 2011 2010
  • 29. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE ABUNDANT CAPITAL ACCESS Estimated volume of funds raised by CFPs worldwide 1.5B 2.7B 5.1B 2011 2012 2013
  • 30. SCARCE RESOURCE SHARING ATOMIZED AND ISOLATED “CONSUMER” GROUPS REDUNDANT PRODUCTS AND SERVICES UNDERUTILIZED ASSETS & LATENT CAPACITY
  • 31. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE ABUNDANT RESOURCE SHARING 92M Americans participating in the sharing economy in 2013
  • 32. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE ABUNDANT RESOURCE SHARING $3.5B P2P revenue generated by the sharing economy in 2013
  • 33. SCARCE MEANS OF PRODUCTION CONTROLLED AND CONSOLIDATED PRODUCTION MEANS COSTLY PRODUCTION SYSTEMS HIGH SPECIALIZATION REQUIREMENTS
  • 34. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE ABUNDANT MEANS OF PRODUCTION Lamp created with the MakerBot Replicator 2 Butterfly Labs BitCoin Miner
  • 36. SCARCE COMPETITIVE INTELIGENCE ABUNDANT TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS SMARTPHONE RADIO INTERNET COLOR TV MICROWAVE CELL PHONE REFRIGERATOR HOME COMPUTER ELECTRIC POWER AUTOMOBILE CLOTHES WASHER STOVE TELEPHONE 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Years to penetration of US Households 0-50% 51-80%
  • 37.
  • 48. Dawn of the Abundance Paradigm: Library of Congress microfilms more than three million pages of books and manuscripts OUR ACCELERATING INNOVATION OBSESSION
  • 49. 50
  • 50. 2013: YEAR OF THE INNOVATION LION
  • 51. Innovation in this country is somewhere between dire straits and dead. -Max Levchin, Co-Founder PayPal “
  • 52. If you look outside the computer and the internet,!there has been 40 years of stagnation. We are no longer moving faster. -Peter Thiel, Venture Capitalist, Co-Founder, PayPal “
  • 53. 9% Portion of public and private companies engaged in either product or service innovation between 2006 and 2008 National Science Foundation, Business R&D and Innovation Survey Report, 2010
  • 54. There's growing evidence that the innovation shortfall of the past decade is not only real but may also have contributed to today's financial crisis. -Michael Mandel, Chief Economic Strategist, Progressive Policy Institute, Former Chief Economist of Businessweek “
  • 55. PLANNING CAN AND MUST BECOME A DRIVING FORCE OF INNOVATION
  • 56. HOW TO DO IT THE 10 LENSES OF INNOVATION PLANNING
  • 57. THE 10 LENSES OF INNOVATION PLANNING C O N F I G U R A T I O N BUSINESS MODEL NETWORK STRUCTURE PROCESS PRODUCT PERFORMANCE PRODUCT SYSTEM SERVICE CHANNEL BRAND ENGAGEMENT O F F E R I N G E X P E R I E N C E
  • 58. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS INTERROGATE THE BUSINESS MODEL Percent of CEO emphasis allocated to each innovation type Products & Services Process & Operations Business Model 50 40 30 20 10
  • 59. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS INTERROGATE THE BUSINESS MODEL Products & Services Process & Operations Business Model 6 4 3 2 1 Percent operating margin growth in excess of competitors 5
  • 60. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS INTERROGATE THE BUSINESS MODEL KEY PARTNERS KEY ACTIVITIES KEY RESOURCES CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS CHANNELS VALUE PROPOSITIONS CUSTOMER SEGMENTS COST STRUCTURE REVENUE STREAMS
  • 61. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS THE LUXURY EYEWEAR CATEGORY MODEL KEY PARTNERS CONSOLIDATED DESIGN, MANUFACTURING, AND DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES LIKE SAFILO GROUP KEY ACTIVITIES OUTSOURCING, LICENSING, MARKETING KEY RESOURCES BRAND EQUITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS OPTICAL SHOPS AND LUXURY RETAIL VALUE PROPOSITIONS BRAND PRESTIGE AND DESIGN VALUE THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE
  • 62. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS CONSOLIDATED DESIGN, MANUFACTURING, AND DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES LIKE SAFILO GROUP KEY ACTIVITIES OUTSOURCING, LICENSING, MARKETING KEY RESOURCES BRAND EQUITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS OPTICAL SHOPS AND LUXURY RETAIL VALUE PROPOSITIONS BRAND PRESTIGE AND DESIGN VALUE THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE
  • 63. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS CONSOLIDATED DESIGN, MANUFACTURING, AND DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES LIKE SAFILO GROUP KEY ACTIVITIES OUTSOURCING, LICENSING, MARKETING KEY RESOURCES BRAND EQUITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS OPTICAL SHOPS AND LUXURY RETAIL VALUE PROPOSITIONS STATUS, PRESTIGE, AND DESIGN THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT
  • 64. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES OUTSOURCING, LICENSING, MARKETING KEY RESOURCES BRAND EQUITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS OPTICAL SHOPS AND LUXURY RETAIL VALUE PROPOSITIONS STATUS, PRESTIGE, AND DESIGN THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT
  • 65. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING KEY RESOURCES BRAND EQUITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS OPTICAL SHOPS AND LUXURY RETAIL VALUE PROPOSITIONS STATUS, PRESTIGE, AND DESIGN THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT
  • 66. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING KEY RESOURCES DESIGN CAPABILITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS OPTICAL SHOPS AND LUXURY RETAIL VALUE PROPOSITIONS STATUS, PRESTIGE, AND DESIGN THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT
  • 67. THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS ONLINE AND OFFLINE STOREFRONTS VALUE PROPOSITIONS STATUS, PRESTIGE, AND DESIGN THAT JUSTIFY A PREMIUM PRICE POINT CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE ADVERTISING AND MARKETING COSTS REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINTKEY RESOURCES DESIGN CAPABILITY
  • 68. VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS ONLINE AND OFFLINE STOREFRONTS CUSTOMER SEGMENTS TRADITIONAL AFFLUENT, CROSS- CATEGORY LUXURY CONSUMERS COST STRUCTURE DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE KEY RESOURCES DESIGN CAPABILITY
  • 69. VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING CHANNELS ONLINE AND OFFLINE STOREFRONTS CUSTOMER SEGMENTS LESS AFFLUENT CONSUMERS TRADING UP CONSUMPTION- CONSCIOUS LUXURY CONSUMERS TRADING OVER COST STRUCTURE DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING REVENUE STREAMS LICENSING REVENUE KEY RESOURCES DESIGN CAPABILITY
  • 70. VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING CHANNELS ONLINE AND OFFLINE STOREFRONTS CUSTOMER SEGMENTS LESS AFFLUENT CONSUMERS TRADING UP CONSUMPTION- CONSCIOUS LUXURY CONSUMERS TRADING OVER COST STRUCTURE DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING REVENUE STREAMS SALES KEY RESOURCES DESIGN CAPABILITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR THE NEXT BEST THING
  • 71. VALUE PROPOSITIONS BOUTIQUE QUALITY EYEWEAR AT A REVOLUTIONARY PRICE POINT THE BUSINESS MODEL LENS WARBY PARKER KEY PARTNERS MANUFACTURING COMPANY KEY ACTIVITIES DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, MARKETING CHANNELS ONLINE AND OFFLINE STOREFRONTS CUSTOMER SEGMENTS LESS AFFLUENT CONSUMERS TRADING UP CONSUMPTION- CONSCIOUS LUXURY CONSUMERS TRADING OVER COST STRUCTURE DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, ECOMMERCE, MARKETING REVENUE STREAMS SALES KEY RESOURCES DESIGN CAPABILITY CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS LOYALTY AND BRAND ADVOCACY
  • 72. BRAND THE NETWORK LENS REFRAME YOUR CUSTOMERS AS A DATA-GENERATING NETWORK COMMUNICATION AND ENGAGEMENT USER SEGMENTS
  • 73. BRAND BRAND COMMUNICATION AND ENGAGEMENT DATA CAPTURE AND PRODUCTIZATION USER SEGMENTS DATA-GENERATING USER NETWORK THE NETWORK LENS REFRAME YOUR CUSTOMERS AS A DATA-GENERATING NETWORK
  • 74. Facebook has a social graph, Foursquare has a location graph, and Twitter has an interest graph. American Express has a spend graph. “ -Ed Gilligan, President, AmEx
  • 75. THE PRODUCT SYSTEM LENS CREATE A PURPOSE-DRIVEN ECOSYSTEM Making commerce easier, safer, and more rewarding
  • 76. Making commerce easier, safer, and more rewarding Card products as data sensors
  • 77. Making commerce easier, safer, and more rewarding Card products as data sensors Data-driven commerce services layer Data Inputs Data Inputs
  • 78. Making commerce easier, safer, and more rewarding Card products as data sensors Data-driven commerce services layer Prospect Marketing layer Services Demo and Trial Data Inputs Services Demo and Trial Data Inputs
  • 79. ProspectsMaking commerce easier, safer, and more rewarding Card products as data sensors Data-driven commerce services layer Prospect Marketing layer Services Demo and Trial Data Inputs Services Demo and Trial Data Inputs
  • 80. THE SERVICE LENS REDUCE THE FRICTION IN YOUR SYSTEM SUBTRACTIVE CUSTOMER SERVICE UNDERSTAND YOUR USER’S MINDSET REMOVE BARRIERS TO ENGAGEMENT REDUCE YOUR EXPERIENCE TO ITS CORE
  • 81. THE SERVICE LENS REDUCE THE FRICTION IN YOUR SYSTEM
  • 82.
  • 83. THE CHANNEL LENS DESIGN FOR THE EDGE QUANTIFIES THE SIZE OF THE SEGMENT IDENTIFIES BEHAVIORAL AND PERCEPTION SHIFTS THAT WILL MOTIVATE PURCHASE DESCRIBES THE SEGMENT AS THE AVERAGE ATTRIBUTES OF ITS MEMBERS CONVENTIONAL SEGMENTATIONMARKET SEGMENT
  • 84. THE CHANNEL LENS DESIGN FOR THE EDGE EDGE CASE PERSONASMARKET SEGMENT CORRESPONDS TO SPECIFIC INDIVIDUALS WITHIN THE SEGMENT IDENTIFIES FRINGE BEHAVIORS THAT CAN INSPIRE UNCONVENTIONAL DESIGN SOLUTIONS SERVES AS A STRESS TEST OF THE SYSTEM’S FUNCTIONALITY
  • 85. THE BRAND LENS FIND THE FUNCTIONAL WHITESPACE PAST ACHIEVEMENTS Experience Levels Performance Endorsements Relationship-based Networks Practical Career Goals FUTURE AMBITIONS Transferrable Skills Values and Beliefs A"nity-based Networks Aspirational Career Goals DEMOGRAPHIC TARGETING PSYCHOGRAPHIC TARGETING
  • 86. THE ENGAGEMENT LENS TURN INSIGHT INTO DURABLE EXPERIENCES, NOT DISPOSABLE ADS
  • 87.
  • 88. Technology is a word that describes something that doesn't work yet. -Bran Ferren, CCO, Applied Minds and Former President of R&D, Walt Disney Imagineering “
  • 89. TECHNOLOGY IS NOT INNOVATION
  • 90. INNOVATION IS NOT TECHNOLOGY
  • 91.
  • 94.
  • 95. TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE CULTURAL CHANGE POLITICAL CHANGE BUSINESS CHANGE INFLUENTIAL INNOVATION
  • 96. INNOVATION IS NOT STRATEGY
  • 97. STRATEGY IS ABOUT DIRECTION INNOVATION IS ABOUT POSSIBILITY
  • 98.