Decarbonising Buildings: Making a net-zero built environment a reality
What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You?
1. What Do Future Technology and Trends
Mean for You?
#AFCPE30
November 20, 2013
Anne Mims Adrian
@aafromaa
aadrian@extension.org
slideshare.net/aafromaa
3. Nick Saban
Head Football Coach
University of Alabama
4 National Championships
4 SEC Championships
Recruits
great players
4. Confident Paranoia
His “great” players know that
someone can take their place or
they can take others’ places.
Individual players continue to
improve.
Players know complacency will
result in a loss of position for
themselves and the team.
7. Good News
2008 Copernicus Survey:
Those who have used Cooperative Extension
believe Cooperative Extension is valuable.
Ask an Expert Survey:
Those who asked a question via the web using
the Ask an Expert widget were new to
Cooperative Extension.
10. What do you see, how do you react,
and how do you feel?
11. Democratization and
fast flowing information
Changed frameworks
Behavior change
Cultural impacts
Opportunities
Changes in privacy
Concerns of reliability
Overwhelming amount
of information
15. Opportunities
Greater diversity in thought
Creativity and innovation
Empowerment
Increased effectiveness (being able sense
trends and assess needs sooner)
Greater reach
Impacting in areas we have not before
Increasing capacity
18. New growth to blooming to flourishing
MOOCs
Open Access Classes
Blended learning models
Mobile Computing
Open Research
Streaming TV (Netflix, Google, & Apple)
Geolocation products (Driverless cars, geo-targeting
marketing)
Wearable computing (Google Glass & fitness bands)
23. Trust
Being embedded and in the flow
Building relationships
Consistent open sharing
Consistent finding value in others
Consistent providing value
24. Closed Mixed
Closed vs Open apps
Access closed/open
Access
More open to
Open Access
Email
Facebook, LinkedIn,
Google +, Foursquare
Twitter, Yelp,
Pinterest
Intranets
Dropbox, Box
Tumblr, Scoop.it
Storify
MS Word
Docs
Google Docs
Slideshare
Most
research
journals
Most blogging apps
Open access journals
Wikipedia
25. Closed Mixed
Closed closed/open
vs Open apps
More open to
Open
Email
Facebook, LinkedIn,
Google +, Foursquare
Twitter, Yelp,
Pinterest
Intranets
Dropbox, Box
Tumblr, Scoop.it
Storify
Can Googlelearn and share in the
Can we learn and share in the
we Docs
Slideshare
open?
open?
MS Word
Docs
Most
research
journals
Most blogging apps
Open access journals
Wikipedia
26. Skills needed in Cooperative Extension
Able to think critically, analyze, provide insight, and relay
understanding in contextual ways (e.g. sense-making
and curation).
Be adept in new media.
Collaborate virtually.
Work in and cross disciplines - understand and developing
skills and knowledge in a range of subjects.
27. Skills needed in Cooperative Extension
Think and respond quick-novel and adaptive ways.
Read social clues and respond. Be socially savvy
online and off line (social Intelligence).
Have a design mindset.
Have cross-cultural competency.
Think computationally and understand vast
amount of data.
28. As an organization, what should
Cooperative Extension look like?
Amplify without a bull horn effect.
Respond to changing landscapes.
Keep and hire life long learners.
Develop systems for constant skill renewal.
Develop content that is sharable and open.
29. As an organization, what should
Cooperative Extension look like?
Identify critical skills to select and develop talent.
Build a structure that is flexible for disruptions.
Collaborate inside and outside the organization.
Meet complex problems with flexible processes (logic
model does not work in these situations).
Stop using language that shows we don’t understand.
30. Referencess 1 of 2 pages
Photo credits are in the notes of each slide. Resources for this presentation came from the following
works
Institute of the Future 2020 Skills for Knowledge Workers
http://www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/work/future-work-skills-2020/
Realiging Human Organization: A toolkit for making the future
http://www.iftf.org/uploads/media/IFTF_FutureofCoordination_Toolkit_SR-1553.pdf
Cooperative Extension Brand Survey ExtBrandValue_2-16-10.pdf
Ask an Expert User Survey
http://about.extension.org/2013/06/30/ask-an-expert-evaluation-and-impact-data/
31. References 2 of 2 pages
The state of the news media 2013 http://stateofthemedia.org/2013/overview-5/
Harold Jarche http://www.jarche.com/
Jon Husband http://wirearchy.com/
Beth Kanter’s The 4 Cs Framework of Social Media http://
beth.typepad.com/beths_blog/2009/07/guest-post-by-gaurav-mishra-the-4cs-social-media-framework.html
The Impact of Social Networks on Behavioral Change: A Conceptual Framework
http://www.wrbrpapers.com/static/documents/March/2012/7.%20Nergis.pdf
32. What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean
for You?
#AFCPE30
November 20, 2013
Anne Mims Adrian
@aafromaa
aadrian@extension.org
slideshare.net/aafromaa
Creative Commons License
What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You?
by Anne Mims Adrian is licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Nick_Saban_09_Practice.jpg
Coach Saban instills “Confident Paranoia” in his players. Each has to keep improving. When one player does not improve but the players behind him improves, the first player loses his position.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/janitors/9193371148/
Dead as we had known these companies.
Blockbuster is dead
Kodak has adjusted but lost lots of market share
Blackberry may survive via another company—but with a different strategy.
Cooperative Extension cannot identify the “players” behind us but we do know that the environment is changing and if we don’t continue to improve and adjust we can be replaced. We need to have a level of confident paranoia.
We need to reach more people and to make a difference to more people. Another study indicates Cooperative Extension is losing around 10% of our reach each decade.
The good news is that for those who have used Cooperative Extension they believe Cooperative Extension is valuable. The Ask an Expert eXtension widget attracts people who are new to Cooperative Extension.
Social media is more than Facebook and Twitter. One value of many social media tools is that we have new ways to socially learn and socially collaborate without regard to geography.
WikipediaFacebookTwitterTextingSmartphonePinterestLinkedInGroup messagingBlogging
GoogleDocs
Google +
GoogleNow
Evernote
Foursquare
Hootsuite
Vine
FaceTime
http://www.flickr.com/photos/trekkingrinjani/4930552641/
During this slide I ask the audience about their reactions to lots of social media terms.
The online abilities afford many aspects of change.
Democratization and fast flowing information
Changed frameworks
Behavior change
Cultural impacts
Opportunities
Concerns (e.g. privacy)
Challenges (e.g. information and data overload, confirming of reliability).
Changes in privacy
Confirming reliability
Overwhelming information
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gwire/3397651143/
Social media is not just tools but are the foundation for changing “tribal behavior” Can build tribes on a global scale that are formed because of shared opinions, hearts and souls and passions? The joining of forces have its advantage in creating social change. Also the joining of forces or the forming of tribes can create a more polarized commentary and shared opinion.
Social learning looks more like a wirearchy (Jon Husband coined this term) and not like hierarchy
The 4 Cs Framework of Social Media
Beth Kanter’s work
http://beth.typepad.com/beths_blog/2009/07/guest-post-by-gaurav-mishra-the-4cs-social-media-framework.html
Content
Collaboration
Community
Collective Intelligence
Every tribe becomes a media channel
No one is in charge
Geographic boundaries are diminished as people flock together with similar interests can also be support systems.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/tschiae/8417927326/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/taedc/6514039527/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/taedc/6514035905/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/opensourceway/4371000486/
http://www.people-press.org/2013/08/08/amid-criticism-support-for-medias-watchdog-role-stands-out/
Andrea Lunsford, at Stanford University studied more than 800 freshman composition papers from 2006 and compared them to similar papers in 1986, 1930 and 1917. Critics of the current digital-social media era would have hypothesized a decline in grammar, spelling and word use. Lunsford found no such decline. In fact, she found a significant positive change. Freshman writing in the modern era had expanded in length and intellectual complexity.
More people get their news from the Internet
There is a greater expectation of openness, transparency, availability, and access.
http://www.people-press.org/2013/08/08/amid-criticism-support-for-medias-watchdog-role-stands-out/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/usarmyafrica/4400689525/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/reivax/10111700495/
The social ties increased with people they don’t know when culture was similar in other countries
http://www.wrbrpapers.com/static/documents/March/2012/7.%20Nergis.pdf
Because of social media, there is a greater awareness of political events. In some cases, developing understanding across cultures and in other cases intensifying the polarization of issues.
Accountability is sometimes driven by individuals---not just assigned agencies.
Opportunities
Greater diversity in thought
Creativity and innovation
Empowerment
Increased effectiveness (being able sense trends and assess needs sooner)
Greater reach
Impacting in areas we have not before
Increasing capacity
http://www.flickr.com/photos/edublogger/9975820805/
Concerns (e.g. privacy)
Challenges (e.g. information and data overload, confirming of reliability).
Concerns of privacy come about with the availability of big data, targeting marketing, geolocation services, and government oversight.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/alancleaver/4105726930/
Challenges (e.g. information and data overload, confirming of reliability
http://www.flickr.com/photos/deapeajay/1928521563/
We have to learn to filter and confirm information.
At the same time increase the diversity of information and diversity of sources.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mathplourde/10425003764/
These are some of the technologies that will change our work and how we live.
For instance, Driverless cars will enable us to work, read, sleep etc while in the car. Driverless cars may mean we need fewer cars and the car can drop a person off and return to a destination for use by someone else. This may also mean that we would share cars with others (outside of our family members). What does that scenario do for the economics of autosales and manufacturing? The business models may change.
Communications look like this. People are networked and the networks are joined and chained.
We want to know how we can stand out. There is little we can do to stand out in the crowd with everyone having a voice and creating information.
We have to learn to work in a networked society, creating online relationships, and leveraging connections and networks,
http://www.flickr.com/photos/opensourceway/4749431651/
Five variables determine users‟ perceptions of social networking: trust, relationship, loyalty, value and word of mouth. When people communicate through social networking tools, they are likely to perceive the suggestions of people whom they know as credible and trustworthy (Howard2007). Social network users also develop relationships with those who have similar interests (Bickart & Schindler 2001), and show loyalty to the network they choose (Harridge-March2009) and identify themselves with.
This is indication of closed vs. opened access technologies.
We have to get better at sharing and learning in the open.
These skills are adapted from the Institute of the Future Work Skills 2020
These skills are adapted from the Institute of the Future Work Skills 2020
These skills are adapted from the Institute of the Future
Most of these abilities are adapted from the Institute of the Future