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Thomas Müller, Fjord General Manager EALA
Riyadh, 24.April 2019
How it
comes together
Our annual Trends report is born from plenty of Post-
it notes, more coffee than we care to mention, lots of
healthy debate and quite a few laughs.
Trends is always a labor of love, crowdsourced from
Fjordians (all 1,000 of us) from around the world –
from San Francisco to Berlin, Hong Kong to
Johannesburg, Dubai to São Paulo, and 22 other
places in between.
This process results in the trends we expect to affect
business, technology and design in the year ahead.
Meta theme: Value
Today, we stand at a technological, political and
environmental inflection point. Two decades of rapid
technology growth and innovation have generated
enormous physical and digital clutter.
The steep demand on the planet’s resources mirrors
the demand on our time and attention, which leads
to our meta theme this year: the search for value
and relevance.
In 2019, success will lie in providing value relevant
not only to individuals, but also to the world. Value
creation will not come from simply growing bigger,
but by being better. In busy lives and on a crowded
planet, only the relevant will remain.
At-A-Glance
Silence is gold The last straw?
<
Data minimalism
Ahead of the
curb
Ahead of the
curb Space odyssey
Synthetic
realities
Silence is gold
01
Brands must find ways to connect with
consumers who just want quiet in a
noisy world.
TRENDS
2015
The digital divide was about access to
technology, and now that everyone has
access, the new digital divide is limiting
access to technology.”
Chris Anderson, former editor of Wired magazine
• Government
• Families
• Work
“
More than half (63 percent)
of British schoolchildren
now say they would be
happy if social media had
never been invented.
Half of the UK’s Generation
Z – a group that grew up
online – have quit or are
considering quitting at
least one social media
platform. (BBC Report)
Tech industry
backlash
Tech companies are rightly
responding by redesigning user
experiences around the principles
of control and restriction.
Designed to be used as little as possible
Fjord suggests
01
Be quieter
Take a lack of responsiveness as a
hint to be quieter, not noisier.
Rethink your metrics, and find
new ways of measuring
performance of your services that
are not purely engagement-
related.
02
Radically simplify your
feedback surveys
Listen to the changing needs of
your customers and make
providing feedback as easy and
instant as possible. Pay attention
to the online reviews – customers
are probably already telling you
what you need to know.
03
Invest in content design
When the number of interactions
you have with your consumers is
minimal, each one of them
counts. Change the language of
your messaging, and do it
frequently. It’s not just about what
you say but how you say it.
04
Measure the cognitive effort that
you expect from your customers
Recognize the attention and effort
your service expects from its
users and demand it only
when it’s useful to people.
The last straw?
02
Enough talk. People expect products and
services to have built in sustainability, or
they’ll reject those who don’t.
Cultural attention shift
Collins Dictionary made “single-use” its word of
the year, saying that it describes “items whose
unchecked proliferation are blamed for damaging
the environment and affecting the food chain.”
Greta Thunberg
Fridays for Future
The future of companies – of all companies, and
not just those in the social and solidarity sector –
lies in reconciling economic performance with
social and environmental sustainability; that only
companies that focus on repairing the rifts in our
world will grow in the long term.”
Isabelle Kocher, CEO of ENGIE
“
Consumers
tipping point?
In one recent study, 71 percent of
people said they care more about
the impact a brand could have on
them and on society than they do
about the brand’s products or
services.
Fjord suggests
01
Redesign everything
Focus on the experience of
making a difference. Make the
experience of refilling, borrowing,
returning or disposing as great as
the experience of buying. To
remove potential barriers to
behavior change, make your
sustainable products as desirable,
affordable and convenient as non-
sustainable alternatives.
02
Collaborate to get ahead
Think beyond your brand and
business to industry
opportunities, and shift together
with your peers or even
competitors. Join forces with
others to solve problems
collectively.
03
Tell your stories
Brands must tell stories around
traceability, sourcing and impact
to cut through and differentiate.
Help consumers navigate the
complexity of promises,
certifications, and what's “real”
versus what’s “greenwashing.”
04
Turn waste into wealth
Think about how to monetize and
extract value from something that
is no longer wanted, as well as
how to create new value where it
was previously nonexistent. View
sustainability as a measure of
impact and value alongside
financial results.
Data minimalism
03
People and organizations disagree on the
value of personal data. Transparency is
key to bridging the gap.
GDPR
Cambridge Analytica
Hacks
The days of businesses taking
consumers’ data for granted are over.”
Phil Sutcliffe, head of offer and innovation, Kantar TNS
“
The asymmetry
of data
People’s understanding of their
personal data’s value is out of
sync with organizations’. While
many people assume their
individual data set is desirable in
its own right, organizations
actually want it most when it’s
part of aggregated data.
The value of my data ?
CyberVein
Wibson
Ocean Protocol
Fjord suggests
01
Set expectations,
and live up to them
Empower people to know how,
where and why their data was
used in your personalization
framework, and make clear what
they will get in return. Gone are
the days when users would
willingly hand over all their
information without clear reason
or payback.
02
Embrace “data minimalism”
Ensure your data strategy follows
the minimal viable data pattern
and collects only what’s needed
to drive the service. Closely align
your data collection strategy to
your business objectives.
Collection, measurement and
tailoring of services are
intrinsically linked.
03
Champion trust
Allow people to act when data
about them is wrong by designing
transparency and enabling people
to recalibrate algorithms. Prove
that what you get out of using
their data doesn’t outweigh the
value they get from sharing it.
Ahead of the curb
04
Cities’ infrastructures are slowing us
down. They must combat the clutter with
ecosystems that meet real-time needs.
All over the place
The key drivers for this trend are:
• Population shifts to mega cities
• Rise of electric transport
• On demand services
• Rising concern over the “last mile”
Ticket to ride
Many companies are branching
out from operating in just one
transport mode to explore other
options.
Blurring the map Those who’ve historically
worked outside the
mobility market are
starting to muscle in –
like Nike, with curbside
pickup service as part of
its new Nike by Melrose
concept store in LA.
Guido
Muji
Fjord suggests
01
Design for moving from A to B
People will soon stop thinking
about transport mode and instead
start thinking about simply getting
from point A to B. Allow for
customers’ needs that ebb and
flow depending on context and
over time. Provide hassle-free
pick-and-choose services. Think
beyond classic market
segmentation, and address
regional archetypes and places
sharing the same mobility
characteristics – beyond borders.
02
Go for gains, not pains
You don’t have to be a transport
provider today to embed mobility
in your service. Consider new
business models that capitalize on
the benefits of adding mobility
into your service layer.
03
Remember the last mile
As mobility becomes an
ecosystem, many aspects will
connect or merge. At this point,
the main economic and social
value lies in smart system
management. It’ll be critical to
link this mobility system to
existing infrastructures, manage
access to it and allow seamless
connections to other adjacent
service areas.
04
Partners trump platforms
Many mobility needs are currently
unmet, but anyone can remedy
this with the right partner. The
critical mass required to deliver a
working ecosystem will require
collaboration and white-label
platforms, API consolidations and
partnerships, both public
and private.
Space odyssey
06
Work and retail spaces need a digital
makeover. It’s time to rethink our
approaches and tools for design spaces.
Stores should be as good as online…
Adjust
Top frustrations in store Top expectations in store
Check product availability before visiting
75%
Same day delivery of products purchased in store
73%
Need the product quickly
70%
Touch and feel the products
70%
Loyalty points fo visiting
70%
Not being able to compare products
70%
Long queues at check-outs
66%
Not able to find products
65%
Discounts / promotions not personalised
65%
Lack of in-store guidance or demos
64%
Retail renaissance
Commerce as we know it is changing in front of our
eyes. ‘E-commerce’ is rapidly evolving into ‘New Retail.’
The boundary between offline and online commerce
disappears as we focus on fulfilling the personalized
needs of each customer.”
Jack Ma, former chairman of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
“
Nike NYC Flagship
2 customization studios
1o1 shoe consultation
A sneaker center
“Speed Shop”
Regional shift
A move from isolated nice to have
“Innovation labs” to complete
redesign of workspaces around
agile, co-creation, employee
experience driven environments.
Fjord suggests
01
Let online behaviors
inform offline
People’s digital behavior can give
powerful insights to what people
want and value. Use those insights
where appropriate in a physical
environment, just like Amazon did
with their four-star physical store
that only stocks products that
have been given four stars or
more in their online reviews.
02
Mind the gaps
The experience of seamlessly
moving between digital and
physical channels is evolving.
Explore the potential of new tech
partnerships, such as the one
between Google and Mastercard,
to make it happen.
03
Link space and
business strategy
Define the productivity you want
from your space, and design
around it. The business purpose of
space is changing, and that needs
to be reflected in your
business strategy.
04
Create a connected ecosystem
Look at the ecosystem of services
and experiences offered in your
space, and link those to your
customers’ mindsets.
This is what should drive your
design decisions.
Synthetic realities
07
With face-swapping and voice simulation
creating more believable synthetic
realities, companies must work out how
to capitalize on it – and manage risk.
Seeing isn’t believing anymore.”
Hilke Schellmann, reporter, Wall Street Journal, October 2018
“
Fear and loving
While we must be vigilant about
rogue users, we’re also seeing a
wide range of positive applications
of synthetic realities across
entertainment, healthcare,
mobility, security, automation, art
and design.
People, things, and
both together
In fashion, VueModel’s
AI algorithms allow the
user to generate
on-model fashion
imagery at a quarter of
the cost – and five times
the speed – of traditional
photography.
Fjord suggests
01
Reframe “authentic”
In a world of synthetic realities,
authenticity – something
consumers value highly – will be
more important than ever.
Understand how to be authentic
and communicate that
authenticity effectively.
02
Be clear, be prepared
Continue to distinguish your
brand by having a clear purpose
and a platform that can be built
from, rather than an entity that
can be copied and manipulated.
Be prepared for when things do
go wrong, and have policies in
place to handle them quickly.
03
Explore synthetic realities as a
creative tool
Don’t be put off by the fear of
being accused of bending the
truth. Audiences already accept
CGI in film; soon people will
accept synthetic realities in
everyday life. Once it’s familiar, no
one will call it new or different or
scary anymore.
04
Harness the power of AI-
generated images for learning
Explore ways that this technology
can be used to educate people
and other AI systems in scenarios
that were previously not possible.
High-fidelity simulations offer a
whole new way to test and train.
Thank you

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Fjord Trends 2019

  • 1. Thomas Müller, Fjord General Manager EALA Riyadh, 24.April 2019
  • 2. How it comes together Our annual Trends report is born from plenty of Post- it notes, more coffee than we care to mention, lots of healthy debate and quite a few laughs. Trends is always a labor of love, crowdsourced from Fjordians (all 1,000 of us) from around the world – from San Francisco to Berlin, Hong Kong to Johannesburg, Dubai to São Paulo, and 22 other places in between. This process results in the trends we expect to affect business, technology and design in the year ahead.
  • 3. Meta theme: Value Today, we stand at a technological, political and environmental inflection point. Two decades of rapid technology growth and innovation have generated enormous physical and digital clutter. The steep demand on the planet’s resources mirrors the demand on our time and attention, which leads to our meta theme this year: the search for value and relevance. In 2019, success will lie in providing value relevant not only to individuals, but also to the world. Value creation will not come from simply growing bigger, but by being better. In busy lives and on a crowded planet, only the relevant will remain.
  • 4. At-A-Glance Silence is gold The last straw? < Data minimalism Ahead of the curb Ahead of the curb Space odyssey Synthetic realities
  • 5. Silence is gold 01 Brands must find ways to connect with consumers who just want quiet in a noisy world.
  • 7. The digital divide was about access to technology, and now that everyone has access, the new digital divide is limiting access to technology.” Chris Anderson, former editor of Wired magazine • Government • Families • Work “ More than half (63 percent) of British schoolchildren now say they would be happy if social media had never been invented. Half of the UK’s Generation Z – a group that grew up online – have quit or are considering quitting at least one social media platform. (BBC Report)
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Tech industry backlash Tech companies are rightly responding by redesigning user experiences around the principles of control and restriction. Designed to be used as little as possible
  • 12. Fjord suggests 01 Be quieter Take a lack of responsiveness as a hint to be quieter, not noisier. Rethink your metrics, and find new ways of measuring performance of your services that are not purely engagement- related. 02 Radically simplify your feedback surveys Listen to the changing needs of your customers and make providing feedback as easy and instant as possible. Pay attention to the online reviews – customers are probably already telling you what you need to know. 03 Invest in content design When the number of interactions you have with your consumers is minimal, each one of them counts. Change the language of your messaging, and do it frequently. It’s not just about what you say but how you say it. 04 Measure the cognitive effort that you expect from your customers Recognize the attention and effort your service expects from its users and demand it only when it’s useful to people.
  • 13. The last straw? 02 Enough talk. People expect products and services to have built in sustainability, or they’ll reject those who don’t.
  • 14. Cultural attention shift Collins Dictionary made “single-use” its word of the year, saying that it describes “items whose unchecked proliferation are blamed for damaging the environment and affecting the food chain.”
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 18. The future of companies – of all companies, and not just those in the social and solidarity sector – lies in reconciling economic performance with social and environmental sustainability; that only companies that focus on repairing the rifts in our world will grow in the long term.” Isabelle Kocher, CEO of ENGIE “
  • 19. Consumers tipping point? In one recent study, 71 percent of people said they care more about the impact a brand could have on them and on society than they do about the brand’s products or services.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Fjord suggests 01 Redesign everything Focus on the experience of making a difference. Make the experience of refilling, borrowing, returning or disposing as great as the experience of buying. To remove potential barriers to behavior change, make your sustainable products as desirable, affordable and convenient as non- sustainable alternatives. 02 Collaborate to get ahead Think beyond your brand and business to industry opportunities, and shift together with your peers or even competitors. Join forces with others to solve problems collectively. 03 Tell your stories Brands must tell stories around traceability, sourcing and impact to cut through and differentiate. Help consumers navigate the complexity of promises, certifications, and what's “real” versus what’s “greenwashing.” 04 Turn waste into wealth Think about how to monetize and extract value from something that is no longer wanted, as well as how to create new value where it was previously nonexistent. View sustainability as a measure of impact and value alongside financial results.
  • 23. Data minimalism 03 People and organizations disagree on the value of personal data. Transparency is key to bridging the gap.
  • 24. GDPR Cambridge Analytica Hacks The days of businesses taking consumers’ data for granted are over.” Phil Sutcliffe, head of offer and innovation, Kantar TNS “
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. The asymmetry of data People’s understanding of their personal data’s value is out of sync with organizations’. While many people assume their individual data set is desirable in its own right, organizations actually want it most when it’s part of aggregated data. The value of my data ? CyberVein Wibson Ocean Protocol
  • 28.
  • 29. Fjord suggests 01 Set expectations, and live up to them Empower people to know how, where and why their data was used in your personalization framework, and make clear what they will get in return. Gone are the days when users would willingly hand over all their information without clear reason or payback. 02 Embrace “data minimalism” Ensure your data strategy follows the minimal viable data pattern and collects only what’s needed to drive the service. Closely align your data collection strategy to your business objectives. Collection, measurement and tailoring of services are intrinsically linked. 03 Champion trust Allow people to act when data about them is wrong by designing transparency and enabling people to recalibrate algorithms. Prove that what you get out of using their data doesn’t outweigh the value they get from sharing it.
  • 30. Ahead of the curb 04 Cities’ infrastructures are slowing us down. They must combat the clutter with ecosystems that meet real-time needs.
  • 31. All over the place The key drivers for this trend are: • Population shifts to mega cities • Rise of electric transport • On demand services • Rising concern over the “last mile”
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Ticket to ride Many companies are branching out from operating in just one transport mode to explore other options.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Blurring the map Those who’ve historically worked outside the mobility market are starting to muscle in – like Nike, with curbside pickup service as part of its new Nike by Melrose concept store in LA. Guido Muji
  • 40. Fjord suggests 01 Design for moving from A to B People will soon stop thinking about transport mode and instead start thinking about simply getting from point A to B. Allow for customers’ needs that ebb and flow depending on context and over time. Provide hassle-free pick-and-choose services. Think beyond classic market segmentation, and address regional archetypes and places sharing the same mobility characteristics – beyond borders. 02 Go for gains, not pains You don’t have to be a transport provider today to embed mobility in your service. Consider new business models that capitalize on the benefits of adding mobility into your service layer. 03 Remember the last mile As mobility becomes an ecosystem, many aspects will connect or merge. At this point, the main economic and social value lies in smart system management. It’ll be critical to link this mobility system to existing infrastructures, manage access to it and allow seamless connections to other adjacent service areas. 04 Partners trump platforms Many mobility needs are currently unmet, but anyone can remedy this with the right partner. The critical mass required to deliver a working ecosystem will require collaboration and white-label platforms, API consolidations and partnerships, both public and private.
  • 41. Space odyssey 06 Work and retail spaces need a digital makeover. It’s time to rethink our approaches and tools for design spaces.
  • 42.
  • 43. Stores should be as good as online… Adjust Top frustrations in store Top expectations in store Check product availability before visiting 75% Same day delivery of products purchased in store 73% Need the product quickly 70% Touch and feel the products 70% Loyalty points fo visiting 70% Not being able to compare products 70% Long queues at check-outs 66% Not able to find products 65% Discounts / promotions not personalised 65% Lack of in-store guidance or demos 64%
  • 44. Retail renaissance Commerce as we know it is changing in front of our eyes. ‘E-commerce’ is rapidly evolving into ‘New Retail.’ The boundary between offline and online commerce disappears as we focus on fulfilling the personalized needs of each customer.” Jack Ma, former chairman of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. “ Nike NYC Flagship 2 customization studios 1o1 shoe consultation A sneaker center “Speed Shop”
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Regional shift A move from isolated nice to have “Innovation labs” to complete redesign of workspaces around agile, co-creation, employee experience driven environments.
  • 48. Fjord suggests 01 Let online behaviors inform offline People’s digital behavior can give powerful insights to what people want and value. Use those insights where appropriate in a physical environment, just like Amazon did with their four-star physical store that only stocks products that have been given four stars or more in their online reviews. 02 Mind the gaps The experience of seamlessly moving between digital and physical channels is evolving. Explore the potential of new tech partnerships, such as the one between Google and Mastercard, to make it happen. 03 Link space and business strategy Define the productivity you want from your space, and design around it. The business purpose of space is changing, and that needs to be reflected in your business strategy. 04 Create a connected ecosystem Look at the ecosystem of services and experiences offered in your space, and link those to your customers’ mindsets. This is what should drive your design decisions.
  • 49. Synthetic realities 07 With face-swapping and voice simulation creating more believable synthetic realities, companies must work out how to capitalize on it – and manage risk.
  • 50. Seeing isn’t believing anymore.” Hilke Schellmann, reporter, Wall Street Journal, October 2018 “
  • 51. Fear and loving While we must be vigilant about rogue users, we’re also seeing a wide range of positive applications of synthetic realities across entertainment, healthcare, mobility, security, automation, art and design.
  • 52. People, things, and both together In fashion, VueModel’s AI algorithms allow the user to generate on-model fashion imagery at a quarter of the cost – and five times the speed – of traditional photography.
  • 53. Fjord suggests 01 Reframe “authentic” In a world of synthetic realities, authenticity – something consumers value highly – will be more important than ever. Understand how to be authentic and communicate that authenticity effectively. 02 Be clear, be prepared Continue to distinguish your brand by having a clear purpose and a platform that can be built from, rather than an entity that can be copied and manipulated. Be prepared for when things do go wrong, and have policies in place to handle them quickly. 03 Explore synthetic realities as a creative tool Don’t be put off by the fear of being accused of bending the truth. Audiences already accept CGI in film; soon people will accept synthetic realities in everyday life. Once it’s familiar, no one will call it new or different or scary anymore. 04 Harness the power of AI- generated images for learning Explore ways that this technology can be used to educate people and other AI systems in scenarios that were previously not possible. High-fidelity simulations offer a whole new way to test and train.