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Risk assessment of Australian ecosystems. Dr Emma Burns. ACEAS Grand 2014

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Risk assessment of Australian ecosystems. Dr Emma Burns and Prof. David Keith. presentation to ACEAS Grand 2014

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Risk assessment of Australian ecosystems. Dr Emma Burns. ACEAS Grand 2014

  1. 1. Risk Assessment of Australian ecosystems Informing the development of the IUCN draft Red List for Ecosystems Emma Burns (ANU and LTERN) on behalf of the working group
  2. 2. Context Principles • Prof David Keith • Dr Emily Nicholson • Dr Tracey Regan Background • Global – IUCN Red List of Ecosystems by 2025; a need to identify and conserve higher levels of biological organisation • Australia – well developed TEC models in certain jurisdictions; Hawke review identified need for improved alignment and to list broader systems
  3. 3. Draft RLE Overview • A framework analogous to the IUCN Red List for Species. • IUCN Red List of Ecosystems risk assessment protocol is based on assessments of trends in ecosystem distribution and function. • The methodology requires an assessor to quantify: (1) key aspects of the ecosystems’ risk of: historical, current and future decline in spatial distribution; (2) changes in the size of the area occupied by the ecosystem; and (3) the decline in key abiotic and biotic processes and features for: historical, current and future time periods. These analyses then underpinned a quantitative assessment of the probability of ecosystem collapse within 50 to 100 years.
  4. 4. Identified need Intent To develop a working group of ecologists, IUCN RLE experts, policy experts , and jurisdictional experts to progress: • the harmonisation of Commonwealth and State listings of TECs • case studies from the Oceania region to test the draft IUCN framework • to draw on TERN facilities to identify data needs and inform application of new data collection protocols Planned Outcomes • Education and outreach • Establishment of a network of key stakeholders • Synergistic policy development in Australia and New Zealand, and ultimately globally • Scientific products and advancements • Outputs: 1. published comparative review of listings; 2. published case studies; 3. identify data requirements and standardise data use in application of the RLE protocol and publish summary paper
  5. 5. The working group Name Affiliation Expertise Prof David Keith University of NSW; NSW OEH; LTERN Led development of IUCN RLE criteria; NSW Scientific Committee; Agency specialist Dr Emily Nicholson The University of Melbourne Decision analysis expert; led review of national and regional risk assessment protocols; RLE expert Dr Tracey Regan The University of Melbourne Applied quantitative ecological modeller; RLE expert ; NatureServe ranking protocol Prof Richard Kingsford University of NSW Environmental Water Scientific Advisory Committee, Lake Eyre Basin Scientific Advisory Panel Prof Peter Harrison Southern Cross University Commonwealth Threatened Species Scientific Committee Dr Elaine Wright NZ Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Dr Dan Metcalfe CSIRO; LTERN LTERN; extensive research in ecosystem dynamics Mr Matthew White Department of Environment Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Ms Val English WA Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Dr Phil Pisanu SA Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Dr Stephen Harris Tas Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Mr Matt White Vic Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Dr Tony Auld NSW Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities; NSW Scientific Committee; researcher in dynamics of arid ecosystem Dr Michelle Leishman Macquarie University Chair NSW Scientific Committee; research in invasion processes Mr Bruce Wilson Qld Environment Agency Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Dr Robert Holdaway Landcare Research, New Zealand Agency specialist in threatened ecological communities Dr Emma Burns Australian National University; LTERN LTERN; conservation biology and policy expert Dr Richard Williams CSIRO LTERN; extensive research in ecosystem dynamics Prof Alfredo Huete University of Technology Sydney Auscover; extensive research in remote sensing Mr Chris Watson University of Technology Sydney PhD Candidate in remote sensing science Dr Laurie Chisholm University of Wollongong Auscover; extensive research in remote sensing
  6. 6. Outcomes and Benefits Policy and regulation • Commonwealth – recent adjustment s in listing criteria to align with the concept of collapse • SA – no legislation but employing protocol to assist the Commonwealth listings, and local planning and management • NSW – intent to adjust listing guidelines and process Relationships and networks • Broadened through TERN and Special Edition of Austral Ecology
  7. 7. Outputs
  8. 8. Outputs
  9. 9. Outputs
  10. 10. Outputs
  11. 11. What’s next? Paper IUCN Risk Assessment of Ecosystems: linking data, process, and interpretation to achieve best practice Data needs and standards ARC Linkage Project Maintaining relationships and policy agenda Sam Haskins www.samhaskinsblog.com
  12. 12. Acknowledgements PI’s, working group members, and most importantly

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