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“Contagion Effects during the 2011 Global Financial Crisis. Emerging Economies vs. Advanced Economies".

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“ Contagion Effects during the 2011 Global Financial Crisis. Emerging Economies vs. Advanced Economies" Alejandro Díaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher [email_address] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/alejandro-diaz-bautista/6/619/691 Global Economic and Financial Series Presentation Transcript August 15, 2011
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Financial Contagion ,[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Contagion ,[object Object]
Bubbles ,[object Object]
Top Ten Bubbles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Panics ,[object Object],[object Object]
Top Bank Panics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crashes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Important Crashes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crash of 1929: Black Monday
Crash of 1929
Post WW II: Boom
Top Banking Crises ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crash of 1987: Black Monday ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Tequila Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object]
Tequila Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1997 Asian financial crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Economic and Social Effects ,[object Object],[object Object]
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Post World War II Recessions
Economic Recessions: Peak to Trough
Recessions in the United States ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Financial Crisis 2007 – 2009 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Components of Real GDP since 2007
Constancy of the long-run economic growth trend in the United States
The United States debt-ceiling crisis 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Debt Ceiling
U.S. GDP and Government Spending
Default on Debt ,[object Object],[object Object]
US debt from 1940 to 2010.
The US debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AAA rating downgrade ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AAA rating downgrade
Fitch reaffirms AAA rating for U.S. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fitch reaffirms AAA rating for U.S. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object]
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object],[object Object]
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European sovereign debt crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Debt to GDP ratios for EU countries
Runaway Debt in Europe
 
 
Public Debt as Percent of GDP
Debt and Debt/GDP by country
Total Public Debt vs. Fiscal Balance as a Percentage of GDP
Stock Indexes 2011
Equity Risk Premium 2011
Currencies and Gold
Peso Depreciated during August 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Peso Dollar Exchange Rate July – August 2011
Global Market Volatility in August 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global Market Volatility in August 2011 ,[object Object]
Opportunities in Emerging Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Infrastructure Investment in Emerging Economies
Opportunities in Emerging Markets
Shifting GDP Growth in Emerging Markets vs. Developed Economies
Opportunities in Emerging Markets
Opportunities in Emerging Markets
Mexico’s Economic Growth in 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico’s Economic Growth in 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico’s countercyclical stimulus’ measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Mexico Sells $1 Billion of 100-Year Bonds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global FDI Flows 2011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global FDI Inflows 2010
Real GDP Growth: Emerging and Developing Economies vs. Advanced economies
Average Real GDP Growth during 2010 - 2011
International Economic Policy Implications ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Contagion Effects during the 2011 Global Financial Crisis. Emerging Economies vs. Advanced Economies" Alejandro Díaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher [email_address] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/alejandro-diaz-bautista/6/619/691 Global Economic and Financial Series Presentation Transcript August 15, 2011
References ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
References ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
References ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
References ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Editor's Notes

  1. Capitalism and Schitzophrenia – Gilles Deleuze and Felix Guattari
  2. Manias, Panics, and Crashes, by Kindleberger and Aliber, p. 9