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14.5 ORTHOGONAL ARRAYS
                         (Updated Spring 2003)

Orthogonal Arrays (often referred to Taguchi Methods) are often employed
in industrial experiments to study the effect of several control factors.

Popularized by G. Taguchi. Other Taguchi contributions include:
• Model of the Engineering Design Process
• Robust Design Principle
• Efforts to push quality upstream into the engineering design process

An orthogonal array is a type of experiment where the columns for the
independent variables are “orthogonal” to one another.

Benefits:

1. Conclusions valid over the entire region spanned by the control factors
   and their settings
2. Large saving in the experimental effort
3. Analysis is easy

To define an orthogonal array, one must identify:
1. Number of factors to be studied
2. Levels for each factor
3. The specific 2-factor interactions to be estimated
4. The special difficulties that would be encountered in running the
   experiment

We know that with two-level full factorial experiments, we can estimate
variable interactions. When two-level fractional factorial designs are used,
we begin to confound our interactions, and often lose the ability to obtain
unconfused estimates of main and interaction effects. We have also seen
that if the generators are choosen carefully then knowledge of lower order
interactions can be obtained under that assumption that higher order
interactions are negligible.

Orthogonal arrays are highly fractionated factorial designs. The
information they provide is a function of two things
• the nature of confounding
• assumptions about the physical system.

Before proceeding further with a closer look, let’s look at an example
where orthogonal arrays have been employed.

Example taken from students of Alice Agogino at UC-Berkeley



                                           A
Airplane Taguchi Experiment

This experiment has 4 variables at 3 different settings. A full factorial
experiment would require 34 = 81 experiments. We conducted a Taguchi
experiment with a L9(34) orthogonal array (9 tests, 4 variables, 3 levels).
The experiment design is shown below.

    Experi-       Weight       Stabilizer       Noise         Wing
     ment          A               B             C             D
      #
       1            A1             B1            C1             D1
       2            A1             B2            C2             D2
       3            A1             B3            C3             D3
       4            A2             B1            C2             D3
       5            A2             B2            C3             D1
       6            A2             B3            C1             D2
       7            A3             B1            C3             D2
       8            A3             B2            C1             D3
       9            A3             B3            C2             D1




                                            B
The students that performed this experiment suggest that the S/N ratio
graph should be critically examined to select the desired variable levels.

Variable levels: A2 / B1 / C3 / D1

PROBLEM: Traditionally those that employ orthogonal arrays adopt a
“pick the winner” approach. Don’t take advantage of the full information
provided by the experiment. No model, no residuals, no sequential
approach to experimentation.



                                           C
With Orthogonal Arrays / Taguchi Methods, the approach to design of
experiments, the philosophy towards interaction effects is different. Unless
an interaction effect is explicity identified a-priori and assigned to column
in the orthogonal array, it is assumed to be negligible. Thus, unless
assumed otherwise, interactions at all levels are assumed to be negligible.

Taguchi encourages users to select variables that do not interact with one
another. A VERY INTERESTING IDEA! However, this idea may be hard
to realize in practice.

Orthogonal arrays are frequently listed in handbooks/manuals. Users often
extract the listed designs and use them blindly without thinking. NOTE OF
CAUTION: choose orthogonal arrays wisely -- select the array with
highest possible resolution so as to minimize the effect of any erroneous
assumptions we make regarding effects being negligible.

Example

An arc welding experiment performed by national railway cooperation of
Japan in 1959. Nine variables were studied as shown in the table:


                  Factor                 Lower level       Higher Level

 A - Kind of welding tool                      J100             B17
 B - Drying method of rods                 no drying          one-day
 C - Welded material                           SS41            SB35
 D - Thickness of welded material            8 mm              12 mm
 E - Angle of welding Device                70 deg.           60 deg.
 F - Opening of Welding Device              1.5 mm             3 mm
 G - Current                                150 A              130 A
 H - Welding methods                       weaving             single
 I - Preheating                          no preheating     150 deg. pre-
                                                             heating


Nine variables and four two factor interactions were studied using a
L16(215) orthogonal array as shown

16 tests (2 levels for each main variable) -- 15 columns (factors) studied


                                           D
Test    A   G     AG     H    AH    GH    B    D    E   F    I   e   e   C   AC

   1     -    -     -     -     -     -     -    -   -    -   -   -   -   -   -
   2     -    -     -     -     -     -     -   +    +   +    +   +   +   +   +
   3     -    -     -     +     +     +     +    -   -    -   -   +   +   +   +
   4     -    -     -     +     +     +     +   +    +   +    +   -   -   -   -
   5     -   +      +     -     -     +     +    -   -   +    +   -   -   +   +
   6     -   +      +     -     -     +     +   +    +    -   -   +   +   -   -
   7     -   +      +     +     +     -     -    -   -   +    +   +   +   -   -
   8     -   +      +     +     +     -     -   +    +    -   -   -   -   +   +
   9     +    -     +     -     +     -     +    -   +    -   +   -   +   -   +
  10     +    -     +      -    +     -     +   +    -   +    -   +   -   +   -
  11     +    -     +     +     -     +     -    -   +    -   +   +   -   +   -
  12     +    -     +     +     -     +     -   +    -   +    -   -   +   -   +
  13     +   +      -     -     +     +     -    -   +   +    -   -   +   +   -
  14     +   +      -     -     +     +     -   +    -    -   +   +   -   -   +
  15     +   +      -     +     -     -     +    -   +   +    -   +   -   -   +
  16     +   +      -     +     -     -     +   +    -    -   +   -   +   +   -


The columns labeled “e” may be used for error estimation


Let’s take a hard look at this experiment using what we know about
fractional factorial designs.

This may be written as 29-5 fractional factorial as follows




                                           E
D          H       G        A          B       E         F   I   C
  Test
             1          2       3        4          5       6         7   8   9

    1        -          -       -         -         -        -        -   -   -
    2        +          -       -         -         -        +        +   +   +
    3        -          +       -         -         +        -        -   -   -
    4        +          +       -         -         +        +        +   +   -
    5        -          -       +         -         +        -        +   +   +
    6        +          -       +         -         +        +        -   -   -
    7        -          +       +         -         -        -        +   +   -
    8        +          +       +         -         -        +        -   -   +
    9        -          -       -        +          +        +        -   +   +
   10        +          -       -        +          +        -        +   -   -
   11        -          +       -        +          -        +        -   +   -
   12        +          +       -        +          -        -        +   -   +
   13        -          -       +        +          -        +        +   -   -
   14        +          -       +        +          -        -        -   +   +
   15        -          +       +        +          +        +        +   -   +
   16        +          -       +        +          +        +        -   +   -


This design is a 2III9-5 fractional factorial design with the following
generators.

I = 2345,    I = -146       I = -137     I = 1348       I = -12349

Defining relations

I = 2345 = -146 = -137 = 1348 = -12349
  = -12356 = -12457 = 1258 = -159 = 3467 = -368 = 2369 = -478 = 2479
  = -289 = 2567 = -24568 = 4569 = -23578 = 3579 = -34589 = 1678
  = -12679 = 124689 = 123789 = 12345678 = -135689 = 125689 = 145789
  = -2346789 = -56789

Assuming third and higher order interactions to be negligible the


                                              F
confounding pattern is as follows:

lI est I(mean)                         l8 est 23 + 45 + 69
l1 est 1 - 46 - 37 - 59                l9 est 24 + 35 + 79
l2 est 2 - 89                          l10 est 34 + 25 + 18 + 67
l3 est 3 - 17 - 68                     l11 est -27 - 49 - 56
l4 est 4 - 16 - 78                     l12 est -26 -39 -57 (error)
l5 est 12 + 58(error)                  l13 est 8 - 36 - 47 - 29
l6 est -7 + 13 + 48                    l14 est 5 - 19
l7 est -6 + 14 + 38                    l15 est -9 + 15 +28

What happened to our standard procedure?? We should be using
lI l1 l2 l3 l4 l12 l13 l14 l23 l24 l34 l123 l124 l134 l234 l1234

Clearly the above design is a resolution III design.

It is not possible to have a 16-run two-level fractional factorial design with
nine variables and resolution greater than III. However, we could have
chosen better gereators. We can pick generators in such a way so that the
confounding is better than what we obtain “by default”.


As an alternative, consider a design with the following generators

I = 1235,     I = 2346     I = 1347      I = 1248      I = 12349

The confounding relations are as follows

lI est I(mean)                         l8 est 23 + 15 + 46 + 78
l1 est 1 + 69                          l9 est 24 + 36 + 18 + 57
l2 est 2 + 79                          l10 est 34 + 26 + 17 + 58
l3 est 3 + 89                          l11 est 5 + 49
l4 est 4 + 59                          l12 est 8 + 39
l5 est 12 + 35 + 48 + 67               l13 est 7 + 29
l6 est 13 + 25 + 47 + 68               l14 est 6 + 19
l7 est 14 + 37 + 28 + 56               l15 est 9 + 45 + 16 + 27 + 38

The main effects are still confounded with at least one two factor
interaction. But 8 out of the 9 main effects are confounded with only one 2
factor interaction.




                                            G
Another point to note is that all the 2 factor interactions (associated with
the main effects) have variable 9 in them

Hence if we know that there is some variable that is least likely to be
important -- or that does not interact with the other variables -- then we can
assign it to be variable 9.

CONCLUSION:
• Idea of publishing a standard set of designs (orthogonal arrays is a great
  idea) -- Taguchi brought the field of DOE to the masses
• Select variables that don’t interact -- interesting!! Assuming that inter-
  actions do not exist doesn’t mean they aren’t there!
• As a precaution select design generators that give best design design
  resolution and that provide desirable confounding structure.
• Other??




                                            H

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Orth Arrays

  • 1. 14.5 ORTHOGONAL ARRAYS (Updated Spring 2003) Orthogonal Arrays (often referred to Taguchi Methods) are often employed in industrial experiments to study the effect of several control factors. Popularized by G. Taguchi. Other Taguchi contributions include: • Model of the Engineering Design Process • Robust Design Principle • Efforts to push quality upstream into the engineering design process An orthogonal array is a type of experiment where the columns for the independent variables are “orthogonal” to one another. Benefits: 1. Conclusions valid over the entire region spanned by the control factors and their settings 2. Large saving in the experimental effort 3. Analysis is easy To define an orthogonal array, one must identify: 1. Number of factors to be studied 2. Levels for each factor 3. The specific 2-factor interactions to be estimated 4. The special difficulties that would be encountered in running the experiment We know that with two-level full factorial experiments, we can estimate variable interactions. When two-level fractional factorial designs are used, we begin to confound our interactions, and often lose the ability to obtain unconfused estimates of main and interaction effects. We have also seen that if the generators are choosen carefully then knowledge of lower order interactions can be obtained under that assumption that higher order interactions are negligible. Orthogonal arrays are highly fractionated factorial designs. The information they provide is a function of two things • the nature of confounding • assumptions about the physical system. Before proceeding further with a closer look, let’s look at an example where orthogonal arrays have been employed. Example taken from students of Alice Agogino at UC-Berkeley A
  • 2. Airplane Taguchi Experiment This experiment has 4 variables at 3 different settings. A full factorial experiment would require 34 = 81 experiments. We conducted a Taguchi experiment with a L9(34) orthogonal array (9 tests, 4 variables, 3 levels). The experiment design is shown below. Experi- Weight Stabilizer Noise Wing ment A B C D # 1 A1 B1 C1 D1 2 A1 B2 C2 D2 3 A1 B3 C3 D3 4 A2 B1 C2 D3 5 A2 B2 C3 D1 6 A2 B3 C1 D2 7 A3 B1 C3 D2 8 A3 B2 C1 D3 9 A3 B3 C2 D1 B
  • 3. The students that performed this experiment suggest that the S/N ratio graph should be critically examined to select the desired variable levels. Variable levels: A2 / B1 / C3 / D1 PROBLEM: Traditionally those that employ orthogonal arrays adopt a “pick the winner” approach. Don’t take advantage of the full information provided by the experiment. No model, no residuals, no sequential approach to experimentation. C
  • 4. With Orthogonal Arrays / Taguchi Methods, the approach to design of experiments, the philosophy towards interaction effects is different. Unless an interaction effect is explicity identified a-priori and assigned to column in the orthogonal array, it is assumed to be negligible. Thus, unless assumed otherwise, interactions at all levels are assumed to be negligible. Taguchi encourages users to select variables that do not interact with one another. A VERY INTERESTING IDEA! However, this idea may be hard to realize in practice. Orthogonal arrays are frequently listed in handbooks/manuals. Users often extract the listed designs and use them blindly without thinking. NOTE OF CAUTION: choose orthogonal arrays wisely -- select the array with highest possible resolution so as to minimize the effect of any erroneous assumptions we make regarding effects being negligible. Example An arc welding experiment performed by national railway cooperation of Japan in 1959. Nine variables were studied as shown in the table: Factor Lower level Higher Level A - Kind of welding tool J100 B17 B - Drying method of rods no drying one-day C - Welded material SS41 SB35 D - Thickness of welded material 8 mm 12 mm E - Angle of welding Device 70 deg. 60 deg. F - Opening of Welding Device 1.5 mm 3 mm G - Current 150 A 130 A H - Welding methods weaving single I - Preheating no preheating 150 deg. pre- heating Nine variables and four two factor interactions were studied using a L16(215) orthogonal array as shown 16 tests (2 levels for each main variable) -- 15 columns (factors) studied D
  • 5. Test A G AG H AH GH B D E F I e e C AC 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2 - - - - - - - + + + + + + + + 3 - - - + + + + - - - - + + + + 4 - - - + + + + + + + + - - - - 5 - + + - - + + - - + + - - + + 6 - + + - - + + + + - - + + - - 7 - + + + + - - - - + + + + - - 8 - + + + + - - + + - - - - + + 9 + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + 10 + - + - + - + + - + - + - + - 11 + - + + - + - - + - + + - + - 12 + - + + - + - + - + - - + - + 13 + + - - + + - - + + - - + + - 14 + + - - + + - + - - + + - - + 15 + + - + - - + - + + - + - - + 16 + + - + - - + + - - + - + + - The columns labeled “e” may be used for error estimation Let’s take a hard look at this experiment using what we know about fractional factorial designs. This may be written as 29-5 fractional factorial as follows E
  • 6. D H G A B E F I C Test 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 - - - - - - - - - 2 + - - - - + + + + 3 - + - - + - - - - 4 + + - - + + + + - 5 - - + - + - + + + 6 + - + - + + - - - 7 - + + - - - + + - 8 + + + - - + - - + 9 - - - + + + - + + 10 + - - + + - + - - 11 - + - + - + - + - 12 + + - + - - + - + 13 - - + + - + + - - 14 + - + + - - - + + 15 - + + + + + + - + 16 + - + + + + - + - This design is a 2III9-5 fractional factorial design with the following generators. I = 2345, I = -146 I = -137 I = 1348 I = -12349 Defining relations I = 2345 = -146 = -137 = 1348 = -12349 = -12356 = -12457 = 1258 = -159 = 3467 = -368 = 2369 = -478 = 2479 = -289 = 2567 = -24568 = 4569 = -23578 = 3579 = -34589 = 1678 = -12679 = 124689 = 123789 = 12345678 = -135689 = 125689 = 145789 = -2346789 = -56789 Assuming third and higher order interactions to be negligible the F
  • 7. confounding pattern is as follows: lI est I(mean) l8 est 23 + 45 + 69 l1 est 1 - 46 - 37 - 59 l9 est 24 + 35 + 79 l2 est 2 - 89 l10 est 34 + 25 + 18 + 67 l3 est 3 - 17 - 68 l11 est -27 - 49 - 56 l4 est 4 - 16 - 78 l12 est -26 -39 -57 (error) l5 est 12 + 58(error) l13 est 8 - 36 - 47 - 29 l6 est -7 + 13 + 48 l14 est 5 - 19 l7 est -6 + 14 + 38 l15 est -9 + 15 +28 What happened to our standard procedure?? We should be using lI l1 l2 l3 l4 l12 l13 l14 l23 l24 l34 l123 l124 l134 l234 l1234 Clearly the above design is a resolution III design. It is not possible to have a 16-run two-level fractional factorial design with nine variables and resolution greater than III. However, we could have chosen better gereators. We can pick generators in such a way so that the confounding is better than what we obtain “by default”. As an alternative, consider a design with the following generators I = 1235, I = 2346 I = 1347 I = 1248 I = 12349 The confounding relations are as follows lI est I(mean) l8 est 23 + 15 + 46 + 78 l1 est 1 + 69 l9 est 24 + 36 + 18 + 57 l2 est 2 + 79 l10 est 34 + 26 + 17 + 58 l3 est 3 + 89 l11 est 5 + 49 l4 est 4 + 59 l12 est 8 + 39 l5 est 12 + 35 + 48 + 67 l13 est 7 + 29 l6 est 13 + 25 + 47 + 68 l14 est 6 + 19 l7 est 14 + 37 + 28 + 56 l15 est 9 + 45 + 16 + 27 + 38 The main effects are still confounded with at least one two factor interaction. But 8 out of the 9 main effects are confounded with only one 2 factor interaction. G
  • 8. Another point to note is that all the 2 factor interactions (associated with the main effects) have variable 9 in them Hence if we know that there is some variable that is least likely to be important -- or that does not interact with the other variables -- then we can assign it to be variable 9. CONCLUSION: • Idea of publishing a standard set of designs (orthogonal arrays is a great idea) -- Taguchi brought the field of DOE to the masses • Select variables that don’t interact -- interesting!! Assuming that inter- actions do not exist doesn’t mean they aren’t there! • As a precaution select design generators that give best design design resolution and that provide desirable confounding structure. • Other?? H