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Presented by: Andrew Stotz, CFA 29 April 2016
Pre-Revenue Valuation
18 Questions
29 April 2016 2
Five areas to consider
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
Trust
Idea
Execution
Exit
Enthusiasm
329 April 2016
Trust
29 April 2016 4
Trust
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
1. Do I trust this founding team?
529 April 2016
Product Idea
29 April 2016 6
Idea
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
2. How amazing is the idea? How do
people respond to it?
29 April 2016 7
Product proof
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
3. What level of proof is there that
the product actually works?
29 April 2016 8
Pain
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
4. Does the product solve a real pain
point? Who REALLY needs this?
29 April 2016 9
Disrupter
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
5. Is the product a disrupter?
(If yes, then market pain may not be
necessary)
29 April 2016 10
Industry
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
6. What is the industry's size and
growth? Is the addressable market
massive?
29 April 2016 11
Revenue
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
7. What is the revenue potential?
How complete and compelling are
the 5 year revenue forecasts?
29 April 2016 12
Intellectual property
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
8. What is the intellectual property?
Is it protectable?
1329 April 2016
Execution
29 April 2016 14
Plan
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
9. How thorough is the business
plan?
29 April 2016 15
Competitors
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
10. Who are the direct competitors?
How will they respond?
29 April 2016 16
Customers
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
11. Has the exact customer segment
been clearly identified?
29 April 2016 17
Startup experience
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
12. How many startups have the
founders been involved in?
29 April 2016 18
Industry experience
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
13. What is the founding team's level
of industry experience?
29 April 2016 19
Marketing
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
14. How thorough is the marketing
plan?
29 April 2016 20
Partners
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
15. Have potential partners or
customer/partners been identified?
29 April 2016 21
Sales experience
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
16. What sales experience does the
team have?
2229 April 2016
Exit
29 April 2016 23
Exit
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
17. Has the team identified its top
three potential buyers?
2429 April 2016
Enthusiasm
29 April 2016 25
Enthusiasm
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
18. How many people have I told about this idea
since I learned of it?
29 April 2016 26
Every startup’s dream
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9
US$million
Profit Revenue
29 April 2016 27
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18 Questions for Pre-Revenue Valuation of a Startup

  • 1. Presented by: Andrew Stotz, CFA 29 April 2016 Pre-Revenue Valuation 18 Questions
  • 2. 29 April 2016 2 Five areas to consider Source: A. Stotz Investment Research Trust Idea Execution Exit Enthusiasm
  • 4. 29 April 2016 4 Trust Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 1. Do I trust this founding team?
  • 6. 29 April 2016 6 Idea Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 2. How amazing is the idea? How do people respond to it?
  • 7. 29 April 2016 7 Product proof Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 3. What level of proof is there that the product actually works?
  • 8. 29 April 2016 8 Pain Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 4. Does the product solve a real pain point? Who REALLY needs this?
  • 9. 29 April 2016 9 Disrupter Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 5. Is the product a disrupter? (If yes, then market pain may not be necessary)
  • 10. 29 April 2016 10 Industry Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 6. What is the industry's size and growth? Is the addressable market massive?
  • 11. 29 April 2016 11 Revenue Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 7. What is the revenue potential? How complete and compelling are the 5 year revenue forecasts?
  • 12. 29 April 2016 12 Intellectual property Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 8. What is the intellectual property? Is it protectable?
  • 14. 29 April 2016 14 Plan Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 9. How thorough is the business plan?
  • 15. 29 April 2016 15 Competitors Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 10. Who are the direct competitors? How will they respond?
  • 16. 29 April 2016 16 Customers Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 11. Has the exact customer segment been clearly identified?
  • 17. 29 April 2016 17 Startup experience Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 12. How many startups have the founders been involved in?
  • 18. 29 April 2016 18 Industry experience Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 13. What is the founding team's level of industry experience?
  • 19. 29 April 2016 19 Marketing Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 14. How thorough is the marketing plan?
  • 20. 29 April 2016 20 Partners Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 15. Have potential partners or customer/partners been identified?
  • 21. 29 April 2016 21 Sales experience Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 16. What sales experience does the team have?
  • 23. 29 April 2016 23 Exit Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 17. Has the team identified its top three potential buyers?
  • 25. 29 April 2016 25 Enthusiasm Source: A. Stotz Investment Research 18. How many people have I told about this idea since I learned of it?
  • 26. 29 April 2016 26 Every startup’s dream Source: A. Stotz Investment Research -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 US$million Profit Revenue
  • 27. 29 April 2016 27 Click on the logo below to check out the video…