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What’s your metric?
Maxime Pico



Startup guide and Partner @ 12MVP

maxime.pico@12mvp.fr
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
2
“Though the immediate cause of death
in a startup tends to be running out of
money, the underlying cause is
usually lack of focus”
- Paul Graham
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
3
we are all liars
we think our idea is great
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4
you’ve got to stay awake
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
5
you’ve got to stay awake
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
6
you’ve got to stay awake
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
7
you’ve got to stay awake
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
8
“Though the immediate cause of death
in a startup tends to be running out of
money, the underlying cause is
usually lack of focus”
- Paul Graham
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
9
analytics is the key
“Analytics is the measurement of movement
towards your business goals”

“In a startup, the purpose of analytics is to iterate
to product/market fit before money runs out”
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
10
lean cycle
IDEA
BUILD
PRODUCTDATA
LEARN
MEASURE
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11
measuring and data is hard
I have two kids, at least one
is a girl
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12
measuring and data is hard
What are the chances that the
other one is a boy?
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
13
measuring and data is hard
BB
GB
BG
GG
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14
measuring and data is hard
BB
GB
BG
GG
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
15
someone who knows his sh*t
?
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
16
what is a good metric?
Understandable
Comparative
Ratio or a Rate
Behaviour metric
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
17
always add qualitative data
“Unstructured, anecdotal, revealing,
hard to aggregate, often too positive &
reassuring”
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
18
trying to predict the future
Lagging vs Leading
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19
trying to predict the future
Correlation vs Causation
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
20
having super powers
Leading
+
Causal
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
21
cohort analysis
January February March April May
Revenue/customer €5,00 €4,50 €4,33 €4,25 €4,50
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
22
January February March April May
Revenue/customer
arrived in Jan
€5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50
cohort analysis
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
23
January February March April May
Revenue/customer
arrived in Jan
€5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50
Revenue/customer
arrived in Feb
€6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00
cohort analysis
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
24
January February March April May
Revenue/customer
arrived in Jan
€5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50
Revenue/customer
arrived in Feb
€6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in Mar
€7,00 €6,00 €5,00
cohort analysis
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
25
January February March April May
Revenue/customer
arrived in Jan
€5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50
Revenue/customer
arrived in Feb
€6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in Mar
€7,00 €6,00 €5,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in April
€8,00 €7,00
cohort analysis
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
26
January February March April May
Revenue/customer
arrived in Jan
€5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50
Revenue/customer
arrived in Feb
€6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in Mar
€7,00 €6,00 €5,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in April
€8,00 €7,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in May
€9,00
cohort analysis
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
27
January February March April May
Number of new
visitors
1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Total visitors 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Revenue/customer €5,00 €4,50 €4,33 €4,25 €4,50
Revenue/customer
arrived in Jan
€5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50
Revenue/customer
arrived in Feb
€6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in Mar
€7,00 €6,00 €5,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in April
€8,00 €7,00
Revenue/customer
arrived in May
€9,00
cohort analysis
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
28
what should you look at?
Vanity — Life — Key
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29
default - dead or alive?
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30
AARRR funnel
ACQUISITION
ACTIVATION
RECOMMANDATION
REVENUE
RETENTION
How did they hear about
your product?
How do users subscribe? Do
they explore your website?
Are the users recommending
your website?
How much money do you make
out of each customer?
Is a user coming back after
his first visit?
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
31
stages of growth
bit.ly/BigLeanTable
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32
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
33
let’s craft it!
12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.

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12 MVP — What's Your Metric?

  • 1. What’s your metric? Maxime Pico
 
 Startup guide and Partner @ 12MVP
 maxime.pico@12mvp.fr 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 2. 2 “Though the immediate cause of death in a startup tends to be running out of money, the underlying cause is usually lack of focus” - Paul Graham 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 3. 3 we are all liars we think our idea is great 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 4. 4 you’ve got to stay awake 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 5. 5 you’ve got to stay awake 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 6. 6 you’ve got to stay awake 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 7. 7 you’ve got to stay awake 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 8. 8 “Though the immediate cause of death in a startup tends to be running out of money, the underlying cause is usually lack of focus” - Paul Graham 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 9. 9 analytics is the key “Analytics is the measurement of movement towards your business goals”
 “In a startup, the purpose of analytics is to iterate to product/market fit before money runs out” 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 11. 11 measuring and data is hard I have two kids, at least one is a girl 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 12. 12 measuring and data is hard What are the chances that the other one is a boy? 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 13. 13 measuring and data is hard BB GB BG GG 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 14. 14 measuring and data is hard BB GB BG GG 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 15. 15 someone who knows his sh*t ? 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 16. 16 what is a good metric? Understandable Comparative Ratio or a Rate Behaviour metric 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 17. 17 always add qualitative data “Unstructured, anecdotal, revealing, hard to aggregate, often too positive & reassuring” 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 18. 18 trying to predict the future Lagging vs Leading 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 19. 19 trying to predict the future Correlation vs Causation 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 20. 20 having super powers Leading + Causal 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 21. 21 cohort analysis January February March April May Revenue/customer €5,00 €4,50 €4,33 €4,25 €4,50 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 22. 22 January February March April May Revenue/customer arrived in Jan €5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50 cohort analysis 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 23. 23 January February March April May Revenue/customer arrived in Jan €5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50 Revenue/customer arrived in Feb €6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00 cohort analysis 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 24. 24 January February March April May Revenue/customer arrived in Jan €5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50 Revenue/customer arrived in Feb €6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00 Revenue/customer arrived in Mar €7,00 €6,00 €5,00 cohort analysis 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 25. 25 January February March April May Revenue/customer arrived in Jan €5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50 Revenue/customer arrived in Feb €6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00 Revenue/customer arrived in Mar €7,00 €6,00 €5,00 Revenue/customer arrived in April €8,00 €7,00 cohort analysis 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 26. 26 January February March April May Revenue/customer arrived in Jan €5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50 Revenue/customer arrived in Feb €6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00 Revenue/customer arrived in Mar €7,00 €6,00 €5,00 Revenue/customer arrived in April €8,00 €7,00 Revenue/customer arrived in May €9,00 cohort analysis 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 27. 27 January February March April May Number of new visitors 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 Total visitors 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Revenue/customer €5,00 €4,50 €4,33 €4,25 €4,50 Revenue/customer arrived in Jan €5,00 €3,00 €2,00 €1,00 €0,50 Revenue/customer arrived in Feb €6,00 €4,00 €2,00 €1,00 Revenue/customer arrived in Mar €7,00 €6,00 €5,00 Revenue/customer arrived in April €8,00 €7,00 Revenue/customer arrived in May €9,00 cohort analysis 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 28. 28 what should you look at? Vanity — Life — Key 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 29. 29 default - dead or alive? 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 30. 30 AARRR funnel ACQUISITION ACTIVATION RECOMMANDATION REVENUE RETENTION How did they hear about your product? How do users subscribe? Do they explore your website? Are the users recommending your website? How much money do you make out of each customer? Is a user coming back after his first visit? 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 31. 31 stages of growth bit.ly/BigLeanTable 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 32. 32 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.
  • 33. 33 let’s craft it! 12MVP Copyright © 12MVP All rights reserved.