This white paper explores the ramifications of the coming wave of defaults in credit cards, home equity lines, and commercial real estate on the U.S. banking system. The paper also describes a new statistical model that predicts bank failure (i.e. seizure of a U.S. financial institution by the FDIC) using publically available data.
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology
Predicting Bank Failure
1. Predicting Bank Failure
An Investigation of Financial Institution Risk for 2009 and Beyond
Bill Cassill, Numerical Alchemy, Inc.
425.996.8732 Office
bill.cassill@numericalalchemy.com
www.numericalalchemy.com
May 2009