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MASTER OF
STARTUPS
SERIES
VISION, HYPOTESES AND
CUSTOMER DISCOVERY
www.geekhouse.si/en
BLAZ KOS
• 10+ years working with start-ups
• Management of university incubator, technology park and business angel network
• Management of two start-up accelerators and co-working space
• PODIM Conference – one of the biggest conferences in Alps-Adriatic region
• 600+ lectures in CEE
• Mentored over 300 start-ups
• Two handbooks about startups, 1500+ pages on two blogs
I am on a life mission to make the world a more innovative, organized and transparent place to be by
helping individuals, organizations and communities achieve their peak potential and an entirely new level of
performance.
www.AgileLeanLife.com
An entirely new level of personal performance.
Start-ups don‘t win because of great vision,
but because of superior strategy.
If you want to have superior strategy, you must
have better customer insight.
CUSTOMER NEEDS
YOUR
BUSINESS
VISION
VISION =
PASSION
Follow your passion‘ is easily the worst advice you
could ever give or get.
The vision in not as important as the drive to achieve
it.
It‘s not the vision that makes the visionary; it‘s the
driving force to make change happen.
Don‘t follow your passions; follow your effort
(determined attempt). It will lead you to your passions
and to success.
Businesses that are run like
hobbies pay like hobbies.
NO MONEY
NO VALUE
Don’t start business ”doing what you love” or ”doing
what you know”. You will operate in industry where the
service is commoditized.
Therefore you will fight over every customer while you
will earn fewer and fewer dollars.
•Don‘t do what you love
•Solve people‘s problems
•Sell dreams
Fall in love with a
PROBLEM, not
SOLUTION
(IDEA)
Segment Problem
Product Technology
Source: Lean Entrepreneur
WHAT JOB IS
YOUR PRODUCT
HIRED TO DO?
• Just because you have the problem doesn‘t mean
there truly is an addressable market.
• You may be biased toward a solution that the market
majority doesn‘t want.
• Your product is only as good as the problem it‘s
solving and its suitability to the segment.
Yet another cold reality
Source: Lean Entrepreneur
YOUR VALUES
• Describe what you hope your business to be
• Size
• Financial Potential
• Number of Employees
• Company Financing
• Company Culture (should reinforce the values)
• etc.
• Set fundamental values of your business
• Also determine your business vision
HYPOTHESES
Immortals?
We will put their name to THE TEST.
• Problem/Pain
• Product/Solution
• MarketType
• Market Segments
• Pricing
• Distribution
• Customer creation
• USP
• …
VALIDATED
NOTVALIDATED
VALUE
HYPOTHESI
GROWTH
HYPOTHESI
SET OF HYPOTHESES
Source: Business Model Canvas
Constantly sketch out alternative
business models by asking yourself
difficult questions.
Transactional / Recurring revenues
Niche / Mass market
Product / Service
Direct / Indirect Sales
Scale / Scope
Blue / Red Ocean
CAPEX / Partnership
Open / Closed
Physical / Virtual
Tailor Made / Mass
Fixed / Variable Costs
Paid / Free
Advertising / Sales
Insource / Outsource
Distributed / Centralized
Human / System Intensive
Acquisition / Retention
Disruptive / Incremental
SEARCH EXECUTE
Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
CUSTOMER DEVELOPMENT TEAM
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT TEAM
Customer development team
Discovery
Validation
Demand Creation
Execution
Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
CUSTOMER INSIGHT
STEPS TO CUSTOMER DISCOVERY
• DEVELOP A VISION / CUSTOMER HYPOTHESIS
• Document hypothesis: Guess (customer-problem-solution)
• Business model hypothesis
• GET OUT OF THE BUILDING
• Find prospects to talk to (50+)
• Reach out to prospects
• Engage prospects
• REALITY CHECK
• Compile-measure-test
• Problem-solution fit / MVP
• Compile-Measure-Test II
Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
Core and Riskiest Assumptions
CUSTOMER/PROBLEM
• Customer Segmentation
• Customer Problem
• A day in life of Customer
• Customer Influence Map
• ROI for Customer
• Minimum Feature Set
PRODUCT/SOLUTION
• Product Features
• Product Benefits
• Intellectual Property
• Dependency Analysis
• Product Delivery Schedule
• Total Cost of Ownership
VALUE HYPOTHESIS
Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
Source: The Startup Manual
STEPS TO CUSTOMER INSIGHT
1. Hypothesis
2. Segmentation
3. Empathy Map
4. Value Proposition Canvas
5. Personas
6. Get Out of The Building
7. Experiments
Problem Dream
Segment Clues
• Different level of pain or passion
• Seek to solve problem differently
• Require different marketing
• Require different distribution
• Require different sales
• Not necessarily demographic-based
• Not „verticals“
Source: Lean Entrepreneur
Customer Clues
• Who are they? -> Personas
• Day in a Life of your Customer
• Customer or buyer
• Decision process chain
• User
• Influencer
• Recommender
• Decision maker
• Economic Buyer
• Sabotager
Costumer persona/archetype
EMAPTHY MAP
VALUE PROPOSITION CANVAS
Source: Alexander Osterwalder
CUSTOMER PAINS
• What do customers find too costly?
• Money, Time, Effort
• What are the customer difficulties?
• What are the customer challenges?
• What is keeping them wake at night?
• Big issues, concerns, worries
• How are current solutions underperforming?
• What barriers are keeping customers from adopting?
• Upfront investment costs
• Learning curve
• Resistance to change
• What makes your customers feel bad?
• Frustrations, annoyances, …
• What risks do customers fear?
• Financial, social, technical, …
CUSTOMER GAINS
• Savings
• Expectations
• Current solution delights
• How to make customers life easier?
• Positive social consequences
• What are they looking for?
• What do they dream about?
• How to increase likelihood of adoption?
GENCHI GENBUTSU
Go to the source
Get out of the building
DISCOVER
LEARN
ASK
EXECUTE
CONFIRM
SELL
Anybody will say your idea is great if you annoy
them for long enough. @robfitz
BEHAVIOUR PREDICTIONS (would buy)
COMPLIMENTS
OPINIONS
STALLING
INTERSETING =
AVOID FAKE FEEDBACK
nteresting
 Pre-purchase
 Trial subscription
 Introduction to decision-maker
 Referrals
 Clear next meeting
COMMITMENT
LOOK FOR
GET OUT OF THE BUILDING IDEAS
• Interview potential
customers
• Set up a booth
• Do a public demo
• Put your office where your
customers are
• Throw a party
• Talk to experts in the field
• Find the decision maker
• Listen to what customers
are demanding
• Ask for introduction
• Pre-order
• Landing pages
• Ask for the introduction
BE WHERE YOUR CUSTOMERS ARE
GOAL OF CUSTOMER INTERVIEWS
IS TO FIND AN ANSWER TO THE FOLLOWING
QUESTIONS
• Who your customers are
• The specific problem your potential customers have
• Why this is a problem for them
• How painful this problem is for them
• What happens when the problem is not solved
• How they are currently solving this problem, and what else
they’ve tried
• How much this problem, when solved, is worth to them
• How they find out about solutions to this problem
• The words your customers to describe this problem
Stakeholders
Potential people to talk to
• Customers
• Partners
• Industry experts
• Friends
• Investors
• Founders
• Lawyers
• Recruiters
• Trade magazines
• Business reference books
• Accountants
• …
Sent e-mail
Phone call
Meeting and presentation
Follow up call
Second meeting
TYPE OF COMMITMENT?
INTERVIEW – DO
Take notes
Be kind and smile
Ask questions
Understand their story
Listen
INTERVIEW – DON‘T
Sell (OBSERVE REACTIONS)
Talk too much about your product
Ask leading questions
Suggest answers
Interview your mother
Talk much
• “Have you ever….”
“And then what happened…”
“Why (or how) did you do that…”
“Can you say more about that…”
• Tell me about the last time you…
• Tell me about an experience you‘ve had with…
• How did you feel when … happened?
• What were you feeling at that moment?
• Really, can you tell me why that matters?
DON‘T ASK FOR OPINIONS!!!
Look for examples from real life.
Interview Structure 1/3
WHO YOU ARE
• What is your name and role at your company?
• How do you fit into your company’s department structure?
Overall in the company?
• What is your budget like? Who has to approve your purchases?
• How do you discover new products for work? Do you need any
approval to try them?
• Have you tried anything new recently?
• What is a typical day like on your job?
• How much time do you spend doing [task X]?
Source: Jason Vanish Blog
Interview Structure 2/3
WHAT ARE YOUR GRAITEST PAINS
• What are your top 3 challenges you face in your job?
• What are your top 3 challenges you face in your job related
to [industry X]? (Industry X being the one your startup is in)
• If you could wave a magic wand and instantly have a
solution to any of those problems…what would the solution
be?
• Dig deeper into their typical day on anything that sounds
painful or expensive. How have you dealt with or solved
[Problem X]?
Source: Jason Vanish Blog
Interview Structure 3/3
SOLUTION – RESPONSE/BEHAVIOUR NOT OPINIONS!
• Walk them through the problems you believe your solution
solves. Do they agree?
• Does [your solution] solve any of their problems?
• Would you be willing to pay for our solution? How much? (Don’t
be afraid to probe for the pricing you know you want…”Would [X]
be reasonable?”)
• If they’re willing to pay your price and like the idea then…”Would
you be willing to start right away?”
Source: Jason Vanish Blog
If you didn’t take any notes, you
weren’t doing customer
development.
“Yes,” means no. “Where can I buy
that?” means maybe. “Here’s $20
dollars,” means yes.
EARLY-EVANGELSITS
•You know they have a problem
•They know they have a problem
•Actively looking for a solution
•Put together a solution out of piece parts
•Budget
(sources and references) Learn More
Steve Blank
@sgblank
http://steveblank.com/
Eric Ries
@EricRies
http://startuplessonslearned.com/
Ash Maurya
@ashmaurya
http://ashmaurya.com/
Dave McClure
@davemcclure
http://davemcclure.com/
Alex Osterwalder
@AlexOsterwalder
http://alexosterwalder.com
Brad Feld
@bfeld
http://feld.com/
Vision, hypotheses and customer discovery

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Vision, hypotheses and customer discovery

  • 1. MASTER OF STARTUPS SERIES VISION, HYPOTESES AND CUSTOMER DISCOVERY www.geekhouse.si/en
  • 2. BLAZ KOS • 10+ years working with start-ups • Management of university incubator, technology park and business angel network • Management of two start-up accelerators and co-working space • PODIM Conference – one of the biggest conferences in Alps-Adriatic region • 600+ lectures in CEE • Mentored over 300 start-ups • Two handbooks about startups, 1500+ pages on two blogs I am on a life mission to make the world a more innovative, organized and transparent place to be by helping individuals, organizations and communities achieve their peak potential and an entirely new level of performance.
  • 3. www.AgileLeanLife.com An entirely new level of personal performance.
  • 4. Start-ups don‘t win because of great vision, but because of superior strategy. If you want to have superior strategy, you must have better customer insight.
  • 7. Follow your passion‘ is easily the worst advice you could ever give or get. The vision in not as important as the drive to achieve it. It‘s not the vision that makes the visionary; it‘s the driving force to make change happen. Don‘t follow your passions; follow your effort (determined attempt). It will lead you to your passions and to success.
  • 8. Businesses that are run like hobbies pay like hobbies. NO MONEY NO VALUE
  • 9. Don’t start business ”doing what you love” or ”doing what you know”. You will operate in industry where the service is commoditized. Therefore you will fight over every customer while you will earn fewer and fewer dollars. •Don‘t do what you love •Solve people‘s problems •Sell dreams
  • 10. Fall in love with a PROBLEM, not SOLUTION (IDEA)
  • 12. WHAT JOB IS YOUR PRODUCT HIRED TO DO?
  • 13. • Just because you have the problem doesn‘t mean there truly is an addressable market. • You may be biased toward a solution that the market majority doesn‘t want. • Your product is only as good as the problem it‘s solving and its suitability to the segment. Yet another cold reality Source: Lean Entrepreneur
  • 14. YOUR VALUES • Describe what you hope your business to be • Size • Financial Potential • Number of Employees • Company Financing • Company Culture (should reinforce the values) • etc. • Set fundamental values of your business • Also determine your business vision
  • 16. Immortals? We will put their name to THE TEST.
  • 17. • Problem/Pain • Product/Solution • MarketType • Market Segments • Pricing • Distribution • Customer creation • USP • … VALIDATED NOTVALIDATED VALUE HYPOTHESI GROWTH HYPOTHESI
  • 18. SET OF HYPOTHESES Source: Business Model Canvas
  • 19.
  • 20. Constantly sketch out alternative business models by asking yourself difficult questions. Transactional / Recurring revenues Niche / Mass market Product / Service Direct / Indirect Sales Scale / Scope Blue / Red Ocean CAPEX / Partnership Open / Closed Physical / Virtual Tailor Made / Mass Fixed / Variable Costs Paid / Free Advertising / Sales Insource / Outsource Distributed / Centralized Human / System Intensive Acquisition / Retention Disruptive / Incremental
  • 21. SEARCH EXECUTE Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
  • 23. Customer development team Discovery Validation Demand Creation Execution Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
  • 25. STEPS TO CUSTOMER DISCOVERY • DEVELOP A VISION / CUSTOMER HYPOTHESIS • Document hypothesis: Guess (customer-problem-solution) • Business model hypothesis • GET OUT OF THE BUILDING • Find prospects to talk to (50+) • Reach out to prospects • Engage prospects • REALITY CHECK • Compile-measure-test • Problem-solution fit / MVP • Compile-Measure-Test II Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
  • 26. Core and Riskiest Assumptions CUSTOMER/PROBLEM • Customer Segmentation • Customer Problem • A day in life of Customer • Customer Influence Map • ROI for Customer • Minimum Feature Set PRODUCT/SOLUTION • Product Features • Product Benefits • Intellectual Property • Dependency Analysis • Product Delivery Schedule • Total Cost of Ownership VALUE HYPOTHESIS Source: Steve Blank, The Startup Manual
  • 28. STEPS TO CUSTOMER INSIGHT 1. Hypothesis 2. Segmentation 3. Empathy Map 4. Value Proposition Canvas 5. Personas 6. Get Out of The Building 7. Experiments
  • 30. Segment Clues • Different level of pain or passion • Seek to solve problem differently • Require different marketing • Require different distribution • Require different sales • Not necessarily demographic-based • Not „verticals“ Source: Lean Entrepreneur
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. Customer Clues • Who are they? -> Personas • Day in a Life of your Customer • Customer or buyer • Decision process chain • User • Influencer • Recommender • Decision maker • Economic Buyer • Sabotager
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 39. VALUE PROPOSITION CANVAS Source: Alexander Osterwalder
  • 40. CUSTOMER PAINS • What do customers find too costly? • Money, Time, Effort • What are the customer difficulties? • What are the customer challenges? • What is keeping them wake at night? • Big issues, concerns, worries • How are current solutions underperforming? • What barriers are keeping customers from adopting? • Upfront investment costs • Learning curve • Resistance to change • What makes your customers feel bad? • Frustrations, annoyances, … • What risks do customers fear? • Financial, social, technical, …
  • 41. CUSTOMER GAINS • Savings • Expectations • Current solution delights • How to make customers life easier? • Positive social consequences • What are they looking for? • What do they dream about? • How to increase likelihood of adoption?
  • 42. GENCHI GENBUTSU Go to the source Get out of the building
  • 44. Anybody will say your idea is great if you annoy them for long enough. @robfitz
  • 45. BEHAVIOUR PREDICTIONS (would buy) COMPLIMENTS OPINIONS STALLING INTERSETING = AVOID FAKE FEEDBACK
  • 47.  Pre-purchase  Trial subscription  Introduction to decision-maker  Referrals  Clear next meeting COMMITMENT LOOK FOR
  • 48. GET OUT OF THE BUILDING IDEAS • Interview potential customers • Set up a booth • Do a public demo • Put your office where your customers are • Throw a party • Talk to experts in the field • Find the decision maker • Listen to what customers are demanding • Ask for introduction • Pre-order • Landing pages • Ask for the introduction BE WHERE YOUR CUSTOMERS ARE
  • 49. GOAL OF CUSTOMER INTERVIEWS IS TO FIND AN ANSWER TO THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS • Who your customers are • The specific problem your potential customers have • Why this is a problem for them • How painful this problem is for them • What happens when the problem is not solved • How they are currently solving this problem, and what else they’ve tried • How much this problem, when solved, is worth to them • How they find out about solutions to this problem • The words your customers to describe this problem
  • 50. Stakeholders Potential people to talk to • Customers • Partners • Industry experts • Friends • Investors • Founders • Lawyers • Recruiters • Trade magazines • Business reference books • Accountants • … Sent e-mail Phone call Meeting and presentation Follow up call Second meeting TYPE OF COMMITMENT?
  • 51. INTERVIEW – DO Take notes Be kind and smile Ask questions Understand their story Listen INTERVIEW – DON‘T Sell (OBSERVE REACTIONS) Talk too much about your product Ask leading questions Suggest answers Interview your mother Talk much
  • 52. • “Have you ever….” “And then what happened…” “Why (or how) did you do that…” “Can you say more about that…” • Tell me about the last time you… • Tell me about an experience you‘ve had with… • How did you feel when … happened? • What were you feeling at that moment? • Really, can you tell me why that matters? DON‘T ASK FOR OPINIONS!!! Look for examples from real life.
  • 53. Interview Structure 1/3 WHO YOU ARE • What is your name and role at your company? • How do you fit into your company’s department structure? Overall in the company? • What is your budget like? Who has to approve your purchases? • How do you discover new products for work? Do you need any approval to try them? • Have you tried anything new recently? • What is a typical day like on your job? • How much time do you spend doing [task X]? Source: Jason Vanish Blog
  • 54. Interview Structure 2/3 WHAT ARE YOUR GRAITEST PAINS • What are your top 3 challenges you face in your job? • What are your top 3 challenges you face in your job related to [industry X]? (Industry X being the one your startup is in) • If you could wave a magic wand and instantly have a solution to any of those problems…what would the solution be? • Dig deeper into their typical day on anything that sounds painful or expensive. How have you dealt with or solved [Problem X]? Source: Jason Vanish Blog
  • 55. Interview Structure 3/3 SOLUTION – RESPONSE/BEHAVIOUR NOT OPINIONS! • Walk them through the problems you believe your solution solves. Do they agree? • Does [your solution] solve any of their problems? • Would you be willing to pay for our solution? How much? (Don’t be afraid to probe for the pricing you know you want…”Would [X] be reasonable?”) • If they’re willing to pay your price and like the idea then…”Would you be willing to start right away?” Source: Jason Vanish Blog
  • 56. If you didn’t take any notes, you weren’t doing customer development. “Yes,” means no. “Where can I buy that?” means maybe. “Here’s $20 dollars,” means yes.
  • 57. EARLY-EVANGELSITS •You know they have a problem •They know they have a problem •Actively looking for a solution •Put together a solution out of piece parts •Budget
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61. (sources and references) Learn More Steve Blank @sgblank http://steveblank.com/ Eric Ries @EricRies http://startuplessonslearned.com/ Ash Maurya @ashmaurya http://ashmaurya.com/ Dave McClure @davemcclure http://davemcclure.com/ Alex Osterwalder @AlexOsterwalder http://alexosterwalder.com Brad Feld @bfeld http://feld.com/