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Hindustan Unilever Limited
Analysis and Outlook
About Me
Varsha Bezzam
• BBA Graduate - Loyola College & IESEG School of
Management
• Currently based in Chennai
• Strong interest in financial services industry
• Loves debating, listening to music and playing
acoustic guitar
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Company Snapshot
Indian subsidiary of
Unilever Plc
9 out of 10 households in
India use their products
More than 35 brands in 20
distinct categories
Employs 21,000 people
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Leadership
Team
Board of Directors
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Leadership Team
Name Role
Sanjiv Mehta Chair and Managing Director
Srinivas Phatak Executive Director, Finance & IT and Chief Financial Officer
Pradeep Banerjee Executive Director, Supply Chain
Dev Bajpai Executive Director, Legal & Corporate Affairs and Company Secretary
Prabha Narasimhan Executive Director, Home Care
Priya Nair Executive Director, Beauty & Personal Care
Sudhir Sitapati Executive Director, Foods and Refreshment
Srinandan Sundaram Executive Director, Sales and Customer Development
B. P. Biddappa Executive Director, Human Resources
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Leadership
Sanjiv Mehta
• Managing Director and President, South Asia
• Chartered Accountant, HBS alumnus
• Joined Unilever in 1992
• Holds 26 years of experience at Unilever
Srinivas Phatak
• Chief Financial Officer
• Chartered Accountant and Cost and Works Accountant
• Joined Unilever in 1999
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Stock Performance
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
HUL vs SENSEX
SENSEX HUL
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Shareholding Pattern
Note: Promoter shareholding will reduce to 61.5% due to GSK merger
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
Promoter Holding LHS Institutional Holding RHS Public Holding RHS
Hindustan Unilever
Limited
Home Care
Beauty and
Personal Care
Food and
Refreshment
Others
Business Operations
2000 crore+
brands
1000
crore+
brands
500
crore+
brands
Industry
Analysis
Soaps Market Size:17B USD, Growth Rate: 7%
SOAPS Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2
Super-
Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL Lifebuoy Lever Ayush Hamam Liril Lux, Pears Dove
Beiersdorf Nivea
Cholayil Medimix
Godrej Godrej No. 1 Cinthol
Himalaya Himalaya
ITC Vivel Fiama Di Wills
Jyothy Laboratories Margo Neem
Khadi Natural Khadi
KSDL Mysore Sandal
Patanjali Patanjali
Reckitt Benckiser Dettol
RSPL Limited Venus
Sri Sri Tattva Sri Sri Tattva
Wipro Chandrika Santoor
Yardley London YardleyStudent Presentation, School of Market Studies
Hair Care Market Size:2.8B USD -> 4.89B USD by 2025, CAGR for period 6.8%
SHAMPOO &
CONDITIONER Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2
Super-
Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL Clinic Plus Sunsilk Lever Ayush Dove Tresemme Indulekha, Clear
Love Beauty
and Planet,
TONI&GUY,
TIGI
Biotique
Biotique
Shampoo
BuyWOW WOW
Cavinkare Nyle Naturals Chik Meera
Charak Pharma Moha Herbals
Dabur Vatika
Henkel Schwarzkopf
Johnson & Johnson
Johnson's Baby
Shampoo
Khadi Natural Khadi
P&G Pantene
Patanjali Patanjali
Shahnaz Husain
Shahnaz
Husain
Raymond Group
Park Avenue
Beer Shampoo
•
Cosmetics Market Size:6.5B USD -> 20B USD by 2025, CAGR for period 6%
COSMETICS Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2
Super-
Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL Elle 18 Lakmé
Biotique Advanced
Ayurveda Biotique
Chambor Chambor
Cool Cosmetics Dmex
Estée Lauder
M.A.C., Bobbi
Brown
House of Makeup
House of
Makeup
Insight Cosmetics Insight
L'Oreal Maybelline L'Oreal, NYX
Lotus Herbals Lotus
MacAndrews&Forbes Revlon
Miss Claire Cosmetics Miss Claire
Modi Enterprises Colorbar
Natura and Co. Avon
Nykaa Nykaa
P&G Olay
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Skin and Oral Care Market Size: 1B USD with 7.9% growth rate; 1.7BUSD with 8.1% growth rate
SKIN & ORAL CARE Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2
Super-
Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL
Lifebuoy, Elle
18, Clinic Plus
Sunsilk,
Fair&Lovely Lever Ayush
Axe, Pantene,
Hamam, Lakmé,
Liril Vaseline Pond's
Beiersdorf Nivea
Galderma Cetaphil
P&G Olay
VLCC Healthcare VLCC
HUL
CloseUp,
Pepsodent Sensodyne
Colgate-Palmolive Colgate MaxFresh
Dabur Meswak Dabur Red
Himalaya Himalaya
Patanjali Dant Kanti
Vicco Group Vicco
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Food and Beverages Market Size:5.8B USD -> 10B by 2024
FOOD & BEVERAGES Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super-Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL Bru Horlick's
Brooke Bond,
Knorr, Cornetto,
Kissan
Lipton, Boost,
Kwality Wall's Magnum
Aachi Foods Aachi
Abbott Lab Pediasure
Amul
Pro Weigh
Protein Malt
BambinoAgro Bambino
Batchelors Batchelor's Soup
Capital Foods Ching's
Danone Protinex
Girnar Royal Cup Tea
Gujarat Tea Processors and Packers Wagh Bakri
La Vieja Fabrica La Vieja Fabrica
Lion Dates Impex Private Ltd Lion
Mondelez International
Cadbury
Bournvita
Nestle Milo Nescafe
Organic India Organic India
SLN Coffee Levista
Society Society
Tata Agni Tea Tata Coffee Tata Gold Tetley
Zydus Wellness Glucon D Complan
Home Care Expected to grow at 10% every year,particularly Detergents
HOME CARE Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2
Super-
Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL Active Wheel Rin, Domex Vim Sunlight
Comfort, Surf
Excel Cif Love&Care
Avance Avance
Godrej Ezee
P&G Tide Ariel
Reckitt Benckiser Harpic Lizol
S. C. Johnson & Son Mr. Muscle
Wipro Safewash Softtouch
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Water Purifiers Market Size:300M USD -> 800M by 2024
WATER
PURIFIERS Economical
Affordable
-1
Affordable
-2 Premium-1 Premium-2
Super-
Premium1
Super-
Premium2
HUL PureIt
Blue Star
Limited BlueStar
Kent RO Systems Kent Ace
Livpure LivPure
Shapoorji Pallonji Group AquaSure
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
MOAT
• Household names
• Deeply penetrated in the market
• Products across different price
points
• Size and scale of distribution
network
• Aggressive cost saving program -
>10% cost savings from factories
on perimeter by eliminating non-
value-added activities
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Four-Pillared Strategy
Winning Through
Continuous
Improvement
• Leveraging
technology to
streamline
operations and
generate cost
savings
Winning with People
• Creating an agible
mindset
• Attracting and
retaining the best
talent in the
industry
Winning in the
Marketplace
• Focus on demand
fulfilment
through
traditional and
new segments
• Winning in Many
Indias – different
focus for different
regions in India
Winning Brands and
Innovation
• Strengthen core
portfolio, re-
launches
• Trial packs and
sample packs to
drive penetration
• Develop strong
portfolio of
‘naturals’
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Mergers and
Acquisitions
Acquisitions
• Indulekha, an ayurvedic hair care brand
(Q32016) from Mosons Group
• Adityaa Milk’s ice cream and frozen deserts
business (2019) to provide access to
complementary markets in South India
• The acquisition of V Wash, an intimate hygiene
brand has been proposed.
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
HUL-GSK
Merger
• Brands owned by GSK CH India (Boost, Viva and Maltova) to be retained
by merged entity
• GSK CH India valued at Rs. 317Bn (equity value)
• Share Swap Ratio: 4.39 HUL shares for every 1 share held in GSK CH India
GSK Plc (including Group Companies) to own 5.7% of merged entity , GSK
exited
• HUL will distribute GSK’s Over-the-Counter and Oral Health products
under a consignment selling agreement (5years)
• F&R business expected to cross the INR 10,000 crore mark (over an
extended timeline)
Source: Hindustan Unilever
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Management
Discussion and
Analysis
Key Investment
Highlights (FY14-17)
• Extreme volatility of crude and vegetable oil prices
• Lifebuoy became a 2000 crore brand in FY15
• New variants were launched in the Oral Care and
Personal Care segments, in line with their strategy of
premiumisation in the detergent segment and
production of natural variants of existing products.
• Many successful brands were re-launched
• Pond’s Exports Limited’s leather business was sold in
FY17.
• Modern Foods, a bread and bakery business was sold
to the Everstone Group in an aim to exit non-core
businesses in FY17
• The business was re-organized to new segments Home
Care, Beauty and Personal Care, Foods and
Refreshment
• Factories started delivering more than 10% cost savings
on perimeter by eliminating non-value added activities
Revenue 6.9% CAGR
EBITDA 11.1% CAGR
PAT 4.4% CAGR
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Revenue 29,234 31,972 32,303 33,252
EBITDA 4,724 5,410 6,013 6,327
PAT 3,956 4,376 4,160 4,490
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Key Investment
Highlights (FY18-19)
• Lever Ayush brand was launched for ayurvedic hair and
skin care solutions
• GST rates were reduced for some categories from 28% to
18% in Q3FY18
• Lakme became a 1000 crore brand during the year.
• Axe Ticket, a pocket-sized perfume showed high volume
growth
• Dove became India’s No. 1 hair care brand in FY19 and
Indulekha led the naturals segment
• Brylcreem, a grooming product range for men was co-
created with Amazon
• Growth was led by Active Wheel and Surf Excel in
detergents segment
Revenue 4.9% CAGR
EBITDA 17% CAGR
PAT 16.1% CAGR
FY18 FY19
Revenue 35,550 39,311
EBITDA 7,501 8,880
PAT 5,227 6,060
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Key Investment
Highlights (FY19-20)
• Overall demand slowdown was observed led by a
steep decline in rural consumption
• Pride reductions were taken between 4 and 6% for
Lux and Lifebuoy
• Inflationary trends were seen in palm oil, food and
dairy
• Growth was observed in the ice cream segment due
to customer-focused innovations in the summer
• Pepsodent performed poorly in the Oral Care
segment
• Revenue from the Beauty and Personal Care
segment reduced by 2% from 2019 to 2020 due to a
delayed winter and lockdowns instituted to control
COVID-19
• The consumer confidence index reached a 6-year
low in Q3FY20.
• Love Beauty Planet, an environmentally conscious
and ethically sourced hair and skin care brand was
launched
FY20
Revenue 39,783
EBITDA 9,861
PAT 6,764
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
• 3.43 per cent YoY drop in consolidated net profit: Rs 1,520 crore (lower than estimates)
• COVID-19 had severe impact starting in mid-March
• Drop in margins, surge in demand of health and hygiene products
• Company expects to see uptick in hygiene, health and nutrition products
• Sanitizers being produced at 60x following crisis
Conference Call Update (Q42020)
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Conference Call Highlights
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Scuttlebutt
Company has large number of SKUs
Present across every price point
Focuses on premiumisation in segments with high competition (eg: Detergent market)
Key Observations
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Financial
Performance
Key Financials
Particulars FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 CAGR
Revenue 29,234 31,972 32,303 33,252 35,550 39,311 39,783 6.4%
EBITDA 4,724 5,410 6,013 6,327 7,501 8,880 9,861 15.9%
PAT 3,956 4,376 4,160 4,490 5,227 6,060 6,764 11.3%
ROCE 95.1% 101.2% 74.9% 75.4% 80.5% 86.7% 93.6% -0.3%
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Change in business segments
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Quarterly Revenues
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Q1-2019 Q2-2019 Q3-2019 Q4-2019 Q1-2020 Q2-2020 Q3-2020 Q4-2020 Q1-2021 Q2-2021 Q3-2021 Q42021
Home Care Beauty and Personal Care Food and Refreshment Others
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E
Revenue EBITDA Margin PAT Margin
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
(70)
(50)
(30)
(10)
10
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
FCFE CFO Cash conversion cycle in days
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Financial
Statements
ProfitandLossAccount
BalanceSheet
CashFlowStatement
KeyFinancialRatios
Key Assumptions
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Beauty and Personal Care
segment will be the worst
hit in the following
months
1
Demand for health-based
malt drinks is expected to
be sustained to a
reasonable extent despite
COVID-19
2
Note: Forecasting done
on a quarterly basis
because of the volatility in
global markets during the
current scenario
3
PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
TOTAL SALES 33,252 35,550 39,311 39,783 34,777 41,449
Growth (YoY) 2.9% 6.9% 10.6% 1.2% -12.6% 19.2%
Increase/Decrease in Stock 144 -72 12 -108
Raw Material Consumed 13,606 14,233 15,845 18,367
Raw Material Cost 13,750 14,161 15,857 18,259 16,084 18,963
Material Cost to Sales 41.4% 39.8% 40.3% 45.9% 46.3% 45.8%
Gross Profit 19,502 21,389 23,454 21,524 18,693 22,486
Gross Margin 58.6% 60.2% 59.7% 54.1% 53.8% 54.3%
Employee Cost 1,743 1,860 1,875 1,820 1,820 1,929
Employee Cost to Sales 5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 4.7%
Other Expenses 11,432 12,028 12,699 9,843 9,390 11,191
Other Expenses to Sales 34.4% 33.8% 32.3% 24.7% 27.0% 27.0%
Operating Profit (Excl OI) 6,327 7,501 8,880 9,861 7,483 9,366
Margin 19.0% 21.1% 22.6% 24.8% 21.5% 22.6%
Growth (YoY) 5.2% 18.6% 18.4% 11.0% -24.1% 25.2%
Depreciation 432 520 565 1,002 1,076 709
Depreciation to Sales 1.30% 1.46% 1.44% 2.52% 3.09% 1.71%
Growth (YoY) 22.4% 20.4% 8.7% 77.3% 7.4% -34.2%
PBIT 5,895 6,981 8,315 8,859 6,407 8,657
Margin 17.7% 19.6% 21.2% 22.3% 18.4% 20.9%
Growth (YoY) 4.2% 18.4% 19.1% 6.5% -27.7% 35.1%
Other Income 369 384 550 632 411 417
6.6% 6.4% 8.6% 9.8% 7.0% 7.5%
Exceptional Income / Expenses 237 -33 -228 -200 -225 -225
Interest 35 26 33 118 118 118
Interest Coverage Ratio 168.4 268.5 252.0 75.1 54.3 73.4
PBT 6,466 7,306 8,604 9,173 6,475 8,731
PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
PBT 6,466 7,306 8,604 9,173 6,475 8,731
Margin 19.4% 20.6% 21.9% 23.1% 18.6% 21.1%
Growth (YoY) 7.1% 13.0% 17.8% 6.6% -29.4% 34.8%
Provision for Tax 1,976 2,079 2,544 2,409 1,683 2,270
Tax Rate 30.6% 28.5% 29.6% 26.3% 26.0% 26.0%
Profit After Tax 4,490 5,227 6,060 6,764 4,791 6,461
Margin 13.5% 14.7% 15.4% 17.0% 13.8% 15.6%
Growth (YoY) 7.9% 16.4% 15.9% 11.6% -29.2% 34.8%
Minority Int/Share of Associates -14 -13 -6 -8 -20 -20
Consolidated Net Profit 4,476 5,214 6,054 6,756 4,771 6,441
Margin 13.5% 14.7% 15.4% 17.0% 13.7% 15.5%
Growth (YoY) 7.8% 16.5% 16.1% 11.6% -29.4% 35.0%
Equity Dividend Paid 3,572 3,911 4,554 5,196 3,817 5,153
Dividend Payout Ratio 79.8% 75.0% 75.2% 76.9% 80.0% 80.0%
Tax Paid on Dividend 717 781 928 1,061 779 1,052
Face Value (In Rs) 1 1 1
Total number of shares outstanding 216 216 216 216 216 216
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Gross Block 5,192 5,768 6,463 7,261 8,061 8,861
Right to Use 964 964 964
Total Gross Block 5,192 5,768 6,463 8,225 9,025 9,825
Less: Accumulated Depreciation 752 1,224 1,744 2,746 3,822 4,531
Accumulated Depreciation of Gross Block #N/A 2,294 2,917 3,567
Accumulated Depreciation of Right to Use 453 905 964
Less: Impairment of Assets 0 0 0 #N/A
Net Block 4,440 4,544 4,719 5,479 5,203 5,294
Lease Adjustment A/c 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capital Work in Progress 229 461 406 597 822 1,047
Intangible assets under development 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pre-operative Expenses pending 0 0 0 0 0 0
Assets in transit 0 0 0 0 0 0
Non Current Investments 6 2 2 2 2
Long Term Loans & Advances 708 907 1,217 241 400 400
Other Non Current Assets 2 2 2 146 146 146
Total Non-Current Assets 5,385 5,916 6,346 6,465 6,573 6,887
Currents Investments 3,814 2,871 2,714 1,253 1,075 1,147
Inventories 2,541 2,513 2,574 2,767 2,477 2,953
Sundry Debtors 1,085 1,310 1,816 1,149 1,429 1,703
Cash and Bank 1,828 3,485 3,757 5,113 4,300 4,588
Other Current Assets 348 460 298 601 400 400
Short Term Loans and Advances 535 1,005 751 1,438 1,500 1,500
Amt Due from firm (directors interested) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Miscellaneous Expenses not written off 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Current Assets 10,151 11,644 11,910 12,321 11,181 12,291
TOTAL ASSETS 15,536 17,560 18,256 18,786 17,754 19,178
BALANCE SHEET FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
BALANCE SHEET FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Share Capital 216 216 216 216 216 216
Share Warrants & Outstandings 29 29 24 0 0 0
Total Reserves 6,499 7,036 7,627 8,013 8,188 8,424
Shareholder's Funds 6,744 7,281 7,867 8,229 8,404 8,640
Minority Interest 22 20 18 17 25 25
Secured Loans 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unsecured Loans 0 0 0 0 0 0
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities -170 -302 -373 -943 -940 -940
Other Long Term Liabilities 280 316 394 939 1,000 1,000
Long Term Trade Payables 0 0 0 0 0 0
Long Term Provisions 946 1,358 1,683 1,227 1,300 1,300
Total Non-Current Liabilities 1,056 1,372 1,704 1,223 1,360 1,360
Trade Payables 6,186 7,170 7,206 7,535 6,193 7,381
Other Current Liabilities 859 1,029 839 1,360 1,350 1,350
Short Term Borrowings 277 0 99 0 0 0
Short Term Provisions 392 688 523 422 422 422
Total Current Liabilities 7,714 8,887 8,667 9,317 7,965 9,153
TOTAL LIABILITIES 15,536 17,560 18,256 18,786 17,754 19,178
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
CASH FLOW FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Profit Before Tax 6,466 7,306 8,604 9,173 6,475 8,731
Adjustments 562 1,216 737 612 1,522 827
Add: Depreciation 432 520 565 1,002 1,076 709
Add: Interest Expenses / Finance Cost 35 26 33 118 118 118
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities -3 -132 -71 -570 3 0
Other Long Term Liabilities -230 36 78 545 61 0
Long Term Provisions 323 412 325 -456 73 0
Other Current Liabilities -53 170 -190 521 -10 0
Short Term Provisions 99 296 -165 -101 0 0
Pre-operative Expenses pending 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Non Current Assets -1 0 0 -144 0 0
Other Current Assets -40 -112 162 -303 201 0
Amt Due from firm (directors interested) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Miscellaneous Expenses not written off 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in Working Capital 865 787 -531 803 -1,332 439
Trade Payables 501 984 36 329 -1,342 1,188
Long Term Trade Payables 0 0 0 0 0 0
Inventories 185 28 -61 -193 290 -475
Sundry Debtors 179 -225 -506 667 -280 -274
Cash Flow after Change in Working Capital 7,893 9,309 8,810 10,588 6,664 9,996
Tax Paid -1,976 -2,079 -2,544 -2,409 -1,683 -2,270
Cash Flow from Operations 5,917 7,230 6,266 8,179 4,981 7,726
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
CASH FLOW FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Capital Expenditure -1,452 -878 -754 -798 -800 -800
Purchase of Fixed Assets -1,461 -895 -767 -850
Sale of Fixed Assets 9 17 13 52
Lease Adjustment A/c 0 0 0 0
Capital Work in Progress 179 -232 55 -191 -225 -225
Intangible assets under development 0 0 0 0 0 0
Assets in transit 0 0 0 0 0 0
Non Current Investments 26 4 0 0 0 2
Long Term Loans & Advances -126 -199 -310 976 -159 0
Currents Investments -1,254 943 157 1,461 178 -72
Short Term Loans and Advances -79 -470 254 -687 -62 0
Cash flow from Investing -2,706 -832 -598 761 -1,068 -1,095
Change in Equity Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increase / (Decrease) in Preference Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proceeds from Preference Shares Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Redemption of Preference Shares Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proceeds from Shares Warrants 0 0 0 0 0 0
Proceeds from Issue of Equity Share Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Buy Back of Equity Shares Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Expenses on issue of shares 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in Long Term Borrowing 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in Short Term Borrowing 100 -277 99 -99 0 0
Dividend -4,289 -4,692 -5,482 -6,257 -4,596 -6,205
Equity Dividend Paid -3,572 -3,911 -4,554 -5,196 -3,817 -5,153
Preference Dividend 0 0 0 0 0 0
Income tax on dividend paid -717 -781 -928 -1,061 -779 -1,052
Add: Interest Expenses / Finance Cost -35 -26 -33 -118 -118 -118
Cash Flow from Financing -4,224 -4,995 -5,416 -6,474 -4,714 -6,323
Net Cash Flow -1,013 1,403 252 2,466 -801 308
Opening Balance of Cash 3,009 1,828 3,485 3,756 5,113 4,300
Other Adjustments -168 254 19 -1,109 -12 -20
Closing Balance of Cash 1,828 3,485 3,756 5,113 4,300 4,588
RATIOS FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Total Debt to Equity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Debt to Equity -0.8 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0.6 -0.7
Net Debt to EBITDA -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6
Return on Equity 66.4% 71.6% 77.0% 82.1% 56.8% 74.5%
Return on Capital Employed 75.4% 80.5% 86.7% 93.6% 65.4% 86.3%
Return on Invested Capital 65.6% 140.9% 100.3% 83.7% 31.5% 44.3%
NOPLAT 4,244 4,958 5,690 6,377 4,554 6,220
FCFF 4,089 5,387 4,970 7,384 3,498 6,567
FCFE 9,430 11,724 11,319 13,663 8,786 12,215
Adjusted Basic EPS 20.7 24.1 28.0 31.3 22.1 29.8
Adj Book Value per Share 31.2 33.7 36.4 38.1 38.9 40.0
Enterprise Value 1,91,141 2,82,198 3,62,513 4,23,071 4,24,062 4,23,702
Market Capitalization 1,96,506 2,88,554 3,68,885 4,29,437 4,29,437 4,29,437
P/E 43.9 55.3 60.9 63.6 90.0 66.7
P/B 29.1 39.6 46.9 52.2 51.1 49.7
EV/EBITDA 30.2 37.6 40.8 42.9 56.7 45.2
Discounted Cash Flow
DCF Method FY21E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E Assumptions
NOPLAT & FCFF Calculation
Net Profit 4,771 6,441 7,993 9,525 11007 From Profit & Loss Account
Other Income 411 417 441 469 504 From Profit & Loss Account
Finance Cost 118 118 118 118 118 From Profit & Loss Account
Tax Rate 0 0 0 0 0 From Profit & Loss Account
NOPLAT 4,554 6,220 7,754 9,266 10721
Net Profit + Interest Cost * (1-Tax Rate)
- Other Income * (1-Tax Rate)
Depreciation 1,076 709 769 829 889 From Profit & Loss Account
Change in Working Capital -1,332 439 273 270 261 From Cash Flow from Operations
Net Capital Expenditure -800 -800 -800 -800 -800 From Cash Flow from Investing
FCFF 3,498 6,567 7,995 9,564 11071
NOPLAT + Depreciation + Change in Working Capital
- Net Capex
Long Term mkt return 6.2% 10 years CAGR
Risk Free Rate 6% 10 years G Sec Yield
Stock Beta 1% From SLOPE function
Cost of Equity 6.2% Risk Free Rate + Stock Beta * (Market Return - Risk Free Rate)
CoE is WACC, because company is debt free
Total of Discounted FCFF 31,534 FCFF/Discount Factor
Terminal Value Growth 4% Assumption
PV of Terminal Value 3,92,946 Formula = PV of (Last forcasted FCFF of FY25 * (1 + TV Growth)/(WACC - TV Gr))
Value of Operations 4,24,480 Total of discounted FCFF + PV of Terminal Value
Value of Cash & Investments 6,368
Cash Balance 5,113
Current Investments 1,253
Non Current Investments 2
Value of Debt 0
Value of Equity 4,30,848
Number of Shares O/S 217
Value per share 1,990
Peer
Comparison
Particulars Revenue EBITDA Net Profit
EBITDA Margin
(%)
Net
Margin (%)
EPS
₹
BVPS
₹
RoE
(%)
RoIC
(%)
P/E P/B EV/EBITDA
Hindustan UnileverLtd. (CMP: Rs.2120 Mkt Cap: Rs.498105 cr)
FY18 34,781 7,499 5,215 21.6 15.0 24.1 33.6 71.6 753.6 88.00 63.02 65.58
FY19 39,310 8,880 6,055 22.6 15.4 28.0 36.3 77.0 556.0 75.80 58.33 55.38
FY20 39,783 9,861 6,763 24.8 17.0 31.2 38.1 82.0 470.9 67.86 55.65 49.87
FY21 45,994 12,003 7,970 26.1 17.3 36.8 103.5 35.6 75.4 57.58 20.47 40.82
FY22 50,648 13,659 9,167 27.0 18.1 42.3 108.5 39.0 91.7 50.06 19.55 35.74
ITC Ltd. (CMP: Rs.197 Mkt Cap: Rs.241973 cr)
FY18 43,123 16,483 11,383 38.2 26.4 9.3 43.0 21.5 38.5 21.27 4.58 13.87
FY19 47,839 18,406 12,661 38.5 26.5 10.3 48.2 21.3 40.5 19.13 4.08 12.21
FY20 49,559 19,081 15,026 38.5 30.3 12.2 52.7 23.2 38.7 16.12 3.74 11.70
FY21 52,132 20,125 15,722 38.6 30.2 12.8 56.4 22.7 39.7 15.40 3.49 10.93
FY22 56,720 22,312 17,488 39.3 30.8 14.2 60.4 23.5 43.3 13.85 3.26 9.68
NestleIndiaLtd. (CMP: Rs.17425Mkt Cap: Rs.168008 cr)
FY18 11,216 2,618 1,607 23.3 14.3 166.7 381.0 43.7 1,313.8 104.55 45.73 62.85
FY19 12,295 2,864 1,970 23.3 16.0 204.3 200.4 101.9 (771.7) 85.30 86.95 57.87
FY20 13,560 3,170 2,125 23.4 15.7 220.4 208.0 106.0 386.2 79.06 83.77 52.60
FY21 15,290 3,680 2,512 24.1 16.4 260.5 195.4 133.3 208.4 66.89 89.18 45.58
FY22 17,590 4,280 2,976 24.3 16.9 308.7 230.7 133.8 134.4 56.45 75.53 39.43
BritanniaIndustriesLtd. (CMP: Rs.3510 Mkt Cap: Rs.84410 cr)
FY18 9,830 1,502 1,006 15.3 10.2 41.8 141.9 29.5 52.8 83.92 24.74 55.65
FY19 10,973 1,733 1,160 15.8 10.6 48.3 177.0 27.3 44.1 72.75 19.83 48.30
FY20 11,623 1,847 1,385 15.9 11.9 57.6 194.6 29.6 40.6 60.95 18.03 45.40
FY21 12,432 2,034 1,540 16.4 12.4 64.0 234.5 27.3 39.5 54.82 14.97 41.02
FY22 13,737 2,302 1,754 16.8 12.8 72.9 278.0 26.2 40.1 48.12 12.63 36.03
MaricoLtd. (CMP: Rs.335 Mkt Cap: Rs.43243 cr)
FY18 6,301 1,137 815 18.0 12.9 6.3 19.7 32.0 48.4 53.09 17.00 37.70
FY19 7,273 1,281 1,119 17.6 15.4 8.7 23.2 37.3 49.3 38.64 14.42 33.29
FY20 7,315 1,479 1,021 20.2 14.0 7.9 23.4 33.8 54.2 42.35 14.30 28.85
FY21 7,579 1,531 1,094 20.2 14.4 8.5 26.1 32.5 53.3 39.52 12.83 27.74
FY22 8,330 1,688 1,213 20.3 14.6 9.4 28.1 33.4 58.1 35.66 11.93 25.04
Particulars Revenue EBITDA Net Profit
EBITDA
Margin (%)
Net
Margin (%)
EPS
₹
BVPS
₹
RoE
(%)
RoIC
(%)
P/E P/B EV/EBITDA
Dabur India Ltd. (CMP: Rs.463 Mkt Cap: Rs.81841 cr)
FY18 7,654 1,617 1,359 21.1 17.8 7.7 32.4 23.7 26.3 60.21 14.29 50.49
FY19 8,419 1,740 1,444 20.7 17.1 8.2 31.9 25.6 29.5 56.67 14.52 46.85
FY20 9,077 1,925 1,630 21.2 18.0 9.2 36.7 25.1 34.5 50.20 12.62 41.74
FY21 9,827 2,121 1,799 21.6 18.3 10.2 42.0 24.2 35.1 45.47 11.02 37.68
FY22 10,832 2,388 2,021 22.0 18.7 11.4 48.3 23.7 37.4 40.49 9.58 33.19
Godrej Consumer Products Ltd. (CMP: Rs.659 Mkt Cap: Rs.67360 cr)
FY18 9,772 2,067 1,090 21.2 11.2 10.7 61.2 17.4 24.0 61.82 10.76 33.41
FY19 10,221 2,118 2,342 20.7 22.9 22.9 71.1 32.2 21.0 28.76 9.27 32.76
FY20 9,827 2,143 1,497 21.8 15.2 14.6 77.3 18.9 21.1 45.01 8.53 32.04
FY21 10,249 2,270 1,600 22.1 15.6 15.6 83.7 18.7 21.3 42.12 7.87 30.22
FY22 11,151 2,533 1,802 22.7 16.2 17.6 91.1 19.3 23.2 37.39 7.23 26.89
Jyothy Labs Ltd. (CMP: Rs.108 Mkt Cap: Rs.3982 cr)
FY18 1,671 257 94 15.4 5.6 2.6 31.5 8.1 19.1 42.19 3.43 15.59
FY19 1,814 281 206 15.5 11.4 5.6 36.1 15.6 18.6 19.22 2.99 14.23
FY20 1,820 290 201 15.9 11.1 5.5 37.6 14.6 16.9 19.70 2.88 13.90
FY21 1,896 306 217 16.1 11.4 5.9 40.5 14.6 16.8 18.31 2.66 13.05
FY22 2,113 343 249 16.2 11.8 6.8 43.7 15.5 18.4 15.94 2.47 11.44
Emami Ltd. (CMP: Rs.190 Mkt Cap: Rs.8624 cr)
FY18 2,490 719 154 28.9 6.2 3.4 44.4 7.6 19.1 56.13 4.28 12.17
FY19 2,659 725 303 27.3 11.4 6.7 45.7 14.6 20.2 28.44 4.15 11.76
FY20 2,782 755 501 27.1 18.0 11.0 48.6 22.7 23.0 17.23 3.91 10.99
FY21 2,923 805 564 27.5 19.3 12.4 52.9 23.5 27.9 15.30 3.59 10.14
FY22 3,140 865 632 27.5 20.1 13.9 57.8 24.1 32.5 13.64 3.28 9.15
Particulars Revenue EBITDA Net Profit
EBITDA
Margin (%)
Net
Margin (%)
EPS
₹
BVPS
₹
RoE
(%)
RoIC
(%)
P/E P/B EV/EBITDA
Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd. (CMP: Rs.150 Mkt Cap: Rs.2211 cr)
FY18 809 254 211 31.4 26.1 14.3 33.4 42.9 133.1 10.48 4.49 7.50
FY19 890 275 222 30.8 24.9 15.0 31.7 47.4 117.7 9.99 4.73 7.18
FY20 894 253 224 28.3 25.1 15.2 33.4 45.5 88.0 9.87 4.49 7.92
FY21 959 256 228 26.7 23.8 15.5 35.2 43.9 71.8 9.69 4.26 8.00
FY22 1,044 289 253 27.7 24.3 17.2 36.3 47.3 71.2 8.74 4.13 7.18
Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. (CMP: Rs.1365 Mkt Cap: Rs.37119 cr)
FY18 4,159 1,112 673 26.7 16.2 24.8 56.1 44.2 78.4 55.13 24.35 33.09
FY19 4,432 1,236 776 27.9 17.5 28.5 53.2 53.6 93.6 47.86 25.66 29.79
FY20 4,680 1,278 827 27.3 17.7 30.4 65.8 46.2 71.7 44.90 20.74 28.81
FY21 5,085 1,449 966 28.5 19.0 35.5 77.5 45.8 67.9 38.45 17.61 25.41
FY22 5,549 1,645 1,123 29.6 20.2 41.3 91.0 45.4 65.0 33.05 15.00 22.39
Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care Ltd. (CMP: Rs.10080 Mkt Cap: Rs.32721 cr)
FY18 2,455 628 375 25.6 15.3 115.4 248.1 46.5 141.8 87.35 40.62 51.47
FY19 2,942 609 419 20.7 14.2 129.1 280.0 46.1 151.8 78.07 35.99 52.82
FY20 3,000 610 448 20.3 14.9 138.1 322.9 42.8 110.7 72.99 31.22 52.76
FY21 3,170 700 513 22.1 16.2 158.1 372.0 42.5 96.1 63.76 27.10 45.97
FY22 3,640 830 615 22.8 16.9 189.6 430.8 44.0 89.7 53.16 23.40 38.77
Zydus Wellness Ltd. (CMP: Rs.1316 Mkt Cap: Rs.7591 cr)
FY18 513 125 198 24.4 38.6 34.3 176.9 19.4 24.0 38.40 7.44 56.33
FY19 843 174 231 20.7 27.4 40.1 587.2 6.8 3.4 32.82 2.24 51.34
FY20 1,848 288 138 15.6 7.4 23.9 604.7 3.9 5.8 55.14 2.18 30.63
FY21 2,101 395 248 18.8 11.8 43.0 640.5 6.7 8.8 30.60 2.05 21.93
FY22 2,302 437 317 19.0 13.8 54.9 681.2 8.1 9.2 23.97 1.93 19.24
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
HINDUNILVR
ITC
NESTLEIND
BRITANNIA
MARICO
DABUR
GODREJCP
JYOTHYLAB
EMAMILTD
BAJAJCON
TATACONSUM
COLPAL
PGHH
ZYDUSWELL
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
FY22RoIC
FY22 PEG
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Valuation Bands
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
Apr-13 Jan-14 Oct-14 Jul-15 Apr-16 Jan-17 Oct-17 Jul-18 Apr-19 Jan-20
Price to Earnings
Share Price 26x 38x 49x 60x 71x
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
Valuation Bands
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
Apr-13 Jan-14 Oct-14 Jul-15 Apr-16 Jan-17 Oct-17 Jul-18 Apr-19 Jan-20
Price to Book Value
Share Price 25x 30x 40x 50x 55x
Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
ThankYou
Varsha Bezzam
varsha.bezzam@gmail.com
www.linkedin.in/varsha-bezzam

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HUL Equity Research & Valuation | School of Market Studies Webinar Learning Series #01

  • 2. About Me Varsha Bezzam • BBA Graduate - Loyola College & IESEG School of Management • Currently based in Chennai • Strong interest in financial services industry • Loves debating, listening to music and playing acoustic guitar Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 3. Company Snapshot Indian subsidiary of Unilever Plc 9 out of 10 households in India use their products More than 35 brands in 20 distinct categories Employs 21,000 people Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 5. Board of Directors Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 6. Leadership Team Name Role Sanjiv Mehta Chair and Managing Director Srinivas Phatak Executive Director, Finance & IT and Chief Financial Officer Pradeep Banerjee Executive Director, Supply Chain Dev Bajpai Executive Director, Legal & Corporate Affairs and Company Secretary Prabha Narasimhan Executive Director, Home Care Priya Nair Executive Director, Beauty & Personal Care Sudhir Sitapati Executive Director, Foods and Refreshment Srinandan Sundaram Executive Director, Sales and Customer Development B. P. Biddappa Executive Director, Human Resources Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 7. Leadership Sanjiv Mehta • Managing Director and President, South Asia • Chartered Accountant, HBS alumnus • Joined Unilever in 1992 • Holds 26 years of experience at Unilever Srinivas Phatak • Chief Financial Officer • Chartered Accountant and Cost and Works Accountant • Joined Unilever in 1999 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 8. Stock Performance 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 HUL vs SENSEX SENSEX HUL Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 9. Shareholding Pattern Note: Promoter shareholding will reduce to 61.5% due to GSK merger Student Presentation, School of Market Studies 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 55.00% 60.00% 65.00% 70.00% Promoter Holding LHS Institutional Holding RHS Public Holding RHS
  • 10. Hindustan Unilever Limited Home Care Beauty and Personal Care Food and Refreshment Others Business Operations
  • 13. Soaps Market Size:17B USD, Growth Rate: 7% SOAPS Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super- Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL Lifebuoy Lever Ayush Hamam Liril Lux, Pears Dove Beiersdorf Nivea Cholayil Medimix Godrej Godrej No. 1 Cinthol Himalaya Himalaya ITC Vivel Fiama Di Wills Jyothy Laboratories Margo Neem Khadi Natural Khadi KSDL Mysore Sandal Patanjali Patanjali Reckitt Benckiser Dettol RSPL Limited Venus Sri Sri Tattva Sri Sri Tattva Wipro Chandrika Santoor Yardley London YardleyStudent Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 14. Hair Care Market Size:2.8B USD -> 4.89B USD by 2025, CAGR for period 6.8% SHAMPOO & CONDITIONER Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super- Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL Clinic Plus Sunsilk Lever Ayush Dove Tresemme Indulekha, Clear Love Beauty and Planet, TONI&GUY, TIGI Biotique Biotique Shampoo BuyWOW WOW Cavinkare Nyle Naturals Chik Meera Charak Pharma Moha Herbals Dabur Vatika Henkel Schwarzkopf Johnson & Johnson Johnson's Baby Shampoo Khadi Natural Khadi P&G Pantene Patanjali Patanjali Shahnaz Husain Shahnaz Husain Raymond Group Park Avenue Beer Shampoo
  • 15. • Cosmetics Market Size:6.5B USD -> 20B USD by 2025, CAGR for period 6% COSMETICS Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super- Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL Elle 18 Lakmé Biotique Advanced Ayurveda Biotique Chambor Chambor Cool Cosmetics Dmex Estée Lauder M.A.C., Bobbi Brown House of Makeup House of Makeup Insight Cosmetics Insight L'Oreal Maybelline L'Oreal, NYX Lotus Herbals Lotus MacAndrews&Forbes Revlon Miss Claire Cosmetics Miss Claire Modi Enterprises Colorbar Natura and Co. Avon Nykaa Nykaa P&G Olay Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 16. Skin and Oral Care Market Size: 1B USD with 7.9% growth rate; 1.7BUSD with 8.1% growth rate SKIN & ORAL CARE Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super- Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL Lifebuoy, Elle 18, Clinic Plus Sunsilk, Fair&Lovely Lever Ayush Axe, Pantene, Hamam, Lakmé, Liril Vaseline Pond's Beiersdorf Nivea Galderma Cetaphil P&G Olay VLCC Healthcare VLCC HUL CloseUp, Pepsodent Sensodyne Colgate-Palmolive Colgate MaxFresh Dabur Meswak Dabur Red Himalaya Himalaya Patanjali Dant Kanti Vicco Group Vicco Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 17. Food and Beverages Market Size:5.8B USD -> 10B by 2024 FOOD & BEVERAGES Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super-Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL Bru Horlick's Brooke Bond, Knorr, Cornetto, Kissan Lipton, Boost, Kwality Wall's Magnum Aachi Foods Aachi Abbott Lab Pediasure Amul Pro Weigh Protein Malt BambinoAgro Bambino Batchelors Batchelor's Soup Capital Foods Ching's Danone Protinex Girnar Royal Cup Tea Gujarat Tea Processors and Packers Wagh Bakri La Vieja Fabrica La Vieja Fabrica Lion Dates Impex Private Ltd Lion Mondelez International Cadbury Bournvita Nestle Milo Nescafe Organic India Organic India SLN Coffee Levista Society Society Tata Agni Tea Tata Coffee Tata Gold Tetley Zydus Wellness Glucon D Complan
  • 18. Home Care Expected to grow at 10% every year,particularly Detergents HOME CARE Economical Affordable-1 Affordable-2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super- Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL Active Wheel Rin, Domex Vim Sunlight Comfort, Surf Excel Cif Love&Care Avance Avance Godrej Ezee P&G Tide Ariel Reckitt Benckiser Harpic Lizol S. C. Johnson & Son Mr. Muscle Wipro Safewash Softtouch Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 19. Water Purifiers Market Size:300M USD -> 800M by 2024 WATER PURIFIERS Economical Affordable -1 Affordable -2 Premium-1 Premium-2 Super- Premium1 Super- Premium2 HUL PureIt Blue Star Limited BlueStar Kent RO Systems Kent Ace Livpure LivPure Shapoorji Pallonji Group AquaSure Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 20. MOAT • Household names • Deeply penetrated in the market • Products across different price points • Size and scale of distribution network • Aggressive cost saving program - >10% cost savings from factories on perimeter by eliminating non- value-added activities Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 21. Four-Pillared Strategy Winning Through Continuous Improvement • Leveraging technology to streamline operations and generate cost savings Winning with People • Creating an agible mindset • Attracting and retaining the best talent in the industry Winning in the Marketplace • Focus on demand fulfilment through traditional and new segments • Winning in Many Indias – different focus for different regions in India Winning Brands and Innovation • Strengthen core portfolio, re- launches • Trial packs and sample packs to drive penetration • Develop strong portfolio of ‘naturals’ Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 23. Acquisitions • Indulekha, an ayurvedic hair care brand (Q32016) from Mosons Group • Adityaa Milk’s ice cream and frozen deserts business (2019) to provide access to complementary markets in South India • The acquisition of V Wash, an intimate hygiene brand has been proposed. Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 24. HUL-GSK Merger • Brands owned by GSK CH India (Boost, Viva and Maltova) to be retained by merged entity • GSK CH India valued at Rs. 317Bn (equity value) • Share Swap Ratio: 4.39 HUL shares for every 1 share held in GSK CH India GSK Plc (including Group Companies) to own 5.7% of merged entity , GSK exited • HUL will distribute GSK’s Over-the-Counter and Oral Health products under a consignment selling agreement (5years) • F&R business expected to cross the INR 10,000 crore mark (over an extended timeline) Source: Hindustan Unilever Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 26. Key Investment Highlights (FY14-17) • Extreme volatility of crude and vegetable oil prices • Lifebuoy became a 2000 crore brand in FY15 • New variants were launched in the Oral Care and Personal Care segments, in line with their strategy of premiumisation in the detergent segment and production of natural variants of existing products. • Many successful brands were re-launched • Pond’s Exports Limited’s leather business was sold in FY17. • Modern Foods, a bread and bakery business was sold to the Everstone Group in an aim to exit non-core businesses in FY17 • The business was re-organized to new segments Home Care, Beauty and Personal Care, Foods and Refreshment • Factories started delivering more than 10% cost savings on perimeter by eliminating non-value added activities Revenue 6.9% CAGR EBITDA 11.1% CAGR PAT 4.4% CAGR FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Revenue 29,234 31,972 32,303 33,252 EBITDA 4,724 5,410 6,013 6,327 PAT 3,956 4,376 4,160 4,490 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 27. Key Investment Highlights (FY18-19) • Lever Ayush brand was launched for ayurvedic hair and skin care solutions • GST rates were reduced for some categories from 28% to 18% in Q3FY18 • Lakme became a 1000 crore brand during the year. • Axe Ticket, a pocket-sized perfume showed high volume growth • Dove became India’s No. 1 hair care brand in FY19 and Indulekha led the naturals segment • Brylcreem, a grooming product range for men was co- created with Amazon • Growth was led by Active Wheel and Surf Excel in detergents segment Revenue 4.9% CAGR EBITDA 17% CAGR PAT 16.1% CAGR FY18 FY19 Revenue 35,550 39,311 EBITDA 7,501 8,880 PAT 5,227 6,060 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 28. Key Investment Highlights (FY19-20) • Overall demand slowdown was observed led by a steep decline in rural consumption • Pride reductions were taken between 4 and 6% for Lux and Lifebuoy • Inflationary trends were seen in palm oil, food and dairy • Growth was observed in the ice cream segment due to customer-focused innovations in the summer • Pepsodent performed poorly in the Oral Care segment • Revenue from the Beauty and Personal Care segment reduced by 2% from 2019 to 2020 due to a delayed winter and lockdowns instituted to control COVID-19 • The consumer confidence index reached a 6-year low in Q3FY20. • Love Beauty Planet, an environmentally conscious and ethically sourced hair and skin care brand was launched FY20 Revenue 39,783 EBITDA 9,861 PAT 6,764 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 29. • 3.43 per cent YoY drop in consolidated net profit: Rs 1,520 crore (lower than estimates) • COVID-19 had severe impact starting in mid-March • Drop in margins, surge in demand of health and hygiene products • Company expects to see uptick in hygiene, health and nutrition products • Sanitizers being produced at 60x following crisis Conference Call Update (Q42020) Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 30. Conference Call Highlights Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 32. Company has large number of SKUs Present across every price point Focuses on premiumisation in segments with high competition (eg: Detergent market) Key Observations Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 34. Key Financials Particulars FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 CAGR Revenue 29,234 31,972 32,303 33,252 35,550 39,311 39,783 6.4% EBITDA 4,724 5,410 6,013 6,327 7,501 8,880 9,861 15.9% PAT 3,956 4,376 4,160 4,490 5,227 6,060 6,764 11.3% ROCE 95.1% 101.2% 74.9% 75.4% 80.5% 86.7% 93.6% -0.3% Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 35. Change in business segments Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 36. Quarterly Revenues 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 Q3-2019 Q4-2019 Q1-2020 Q2-2020 Q3-2020 Q4-2020 Q1-2021 Q2-2021 Q3-2021 Q42021 Home Care Beauty and Personal Care Food and Refreshment Others Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 37. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E Revenue EBITDA Margin PAT Margin Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 38. (70) (50) (30) (10) 10 0 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FCFE CFO Cash conversion cycle in days Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 40. Key Assumptions Student Presentation, School of Market Studies Beauty and Personal Care segment will be the worst hit in the following months 1 Demand for health-based malt drinks is expected to be sustained to a reasonable extent despite COVID-19 2 Note: Forecasting done on a quarterly basis because of the volatility in global markets during the current scenario 3
  • 41. PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E TOTAL SALES 33,252 35,550 39,311 39,783 34,777 41,449 Growth (YoY) 2.9% 6.9% 10.6% 1.2% -12.6% 19.2% Increase/Decrease in Stock 144 -72 12 -108 Raw Material Consumed 13,606 14,233 15,845 18,367 Raw Material Cost 13,750 14,161 15,857 18,259 16,084 18,963 Material Cost to Sales 41.4% 39.8% 40.3% 45.9% 46.3% 45.8% Gross Profit 19,502 21,389 23,454 21,524 18,693 22,486 Gross Margin 58.6% 60.2% 59.7% 54.1% 53.8% 54.3% Employee Cost 1,743 1,860 1,875 1,820 1,820 1,929 Employee Cost to Sales 5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 4.7% Other Expenses 11,432 12,028 12,699 9,843 9,390 11,191 Other Expenses to Sales 34.4% 33.8% 32.3% 24.7% 27.0% 27.0% Operating Profit (Excl OI) 6,327 7,501 8,880 9,861 7,483 9,366 Margin 19.0% 21.1% 22.6% 24.8% 21.5% 22.6% Growth (YoY) 5.2% 18.6% 18.4% 11.0% -24.1% 25.2% Depreciation 432 520 565 1,002 1,076 709 Depreciation to Sales 1.30% 1.46% 1.44% 2.52% 3.09% 1.71% Growth (YoY) 22.4% 20.4% 8.7% 77.3% 7.4% -34.2% PBIT 5,895 6,981 8,315 8,859 6,407 8,657 Margin 17.7% 19.6% 21.2% 22.3% 18.4% 20.9% Growth (YoY) 4.2% 18.4% 19.1% 6.5% -27.7% 35.1% Other Income 369 384 550 632 411 417 6.6% 6.4% 8.6% 9.8% 7.0% 7.5% Exceptional Income / Expenses 237 -33 -228 -200 -225 -225 Interest 35 26 33 118 118 118 Interest Coverage Ratio 168.4 268.5 252.0 75.1 54.3 73.4 PBT 6,466 7,306 8,604 9,173 6,475 8,731
  • 42. PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E PBT 6,466 7,306 8,604 9,173 6,475 8,731 Margin 19.4% 20.6% 21.9% 23.1% 18.6% 21.1% Growth (YoY) 7.1% 13.0% 17.8% 6.6% -29.4% 34.8% Provision for Tax 1,976 2,079 2,544 2,409 1,683 2,270 Tax Rate 30.6% 28.5% 29.6% 26.3% 26.0% 26.0% Profit After Tax 4,490 5,227 6,060 6,764 4,791 6,461 Margin 13.5% 14.7% 15.4% 17.0% 13.8% 15.6% Growth (YoY) 7.9% 16.4% 15.9% 11.6% -29.2% 34.8% Minority Int/Share of Associates -14 -13 -6 -8 -20 -20 Consolidated Net Profit 4,476 5,214 6,054 6,756 4,771 6,441 Margin 13.5% 14.7% 15.4% 17.0% 13.7% 15.5% Growth (YoY) 7.8% 16.5% 16.1% 11.6% -29.4% 35.0% Equity Dividend Paid 3,572 3,911 4,554 5,196 3,817 5,153 Dividend Payout Ratio 79.8% 75.0% 75.2% 76.9% 80.0% 80.0% Tax Paid on Dividend 717 781 928 1,061 779 1,052 Face Value (In Rs) 1 1 1 Total number of shares outstanding 216 216 216 216 216 216 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 43. Gross Block 5,192 5,768 6,463 7,261 8,061 8,861 Right to Use 964 964 964 Total Gross Block 5,192 5,768 6,463 8,225 9,025 9,825 Less: Accumulated Depreciation 752 1,224 1,744 2,746 3,822 4,531 Accumulated Depreciation of Gross Block #N/A 2,294 2,917 3,567 Accumulated Depreciation of Right to Use 453 905 964 Less: Impairment of Assets 0 0 0 #N/A Net Block 4,440 4,544 4,719 5,479 5,203 5,294 Lease Adjustment A/c 0 0 0 0 0 0 Capital Work in Progress 229 461 406 597 822 1,047 Intangible assets under development 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pre-operative Expenses pending 0 0 0 0 0 0 Assets in transit 0 0 0 0 0 0 Non Current Investments 6 2 2 2 2 Long Term Loans & Advances 708 907 1,217 241 400 400 Other Non Current Assets 2 2 2 146 146 146 Total Non-Current Assets 5,385 5,916 6,346 6,465 6,573 6,887 Currents Investments 3,814 2,871 2,714 1,253 1,075 1,147 Inventories 2,541 2,513 2,574 2,767 2,477 2,953 Sundry Debtors 1,085 1,310 1,816 1,149 1,429 1,703 Cash and Bank 1,828 3,485 3,757 5,113 4,300 4,588 Other Current Assets 348 460 298 601 400 400 Short Term Loans and Advances 535 1,005 751 1,438 1,500 1,500 Amt Due from firm (directors interested) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Expenses not written off 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Current Assets 10,151 11,644 11,910 12,321 11,181 12,291 TOTAL ASSETS 15,536 17,560 18,256 18,786 17,754 19,178 BALANCE SHEET FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
  • 44. BALANCE SHEET FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E Share Capital 216 216 216 216 216 216 Share Warrants & Outstandings 29 29 24 0 0 0 Total Reserves 6,499 7,036 7,627 8,013 8,188 8,424 Shareholder's Funds 6,744 7,281 7,867 8,229 8,404 8,640 Minority Interest 22 20 18 17 25 25 Secured Loans 0 0 0 0 0 0 Unsecured Loans 0 0 0 0 0 0 Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities -170 -302 -373 -943 -940 -940 Other Long Term Liabilities 280 316 394 939 1,000 1,000 Long Term Trade Payables 0 0 0 0 0 0 Long Term Provisions 946 1,358 1,683 1,227 1,300 1,300 Total Non-Current Liabilities 1,056 1,372 1,704 1,223 1,360 1,360 Trade Payables 6,186 7,170 7,206 7,535 6,193 7,381 Other Current Liabilities 859 1,029 839 1,360 1,350 1,350 Short Term Borrowings 277 0 99 0 0 0 Short Term Provisions 392 688 523 422 422 422 Total Current Liabilities 7,714 8,887 8,667 9,317 7,965 9,153 TOTAL LIABILITIES 15,536 17,560 18,256 18,786 17,754 19,178 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 45. CASH FLOW FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E Profit Before Tax 6,466 7,306 8,604 9,173 6,475 8,731 Adjustments 562 1,216 737 612 1,522 827 Add: Depreciation 432 520 565 1,002 1,076 709 Add: Interest Expenses / Finance Cost 35 26 33 118 118 118 Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities -3 -132 -71 -570 3 0 Other Long Term Liabilities -230 36 78 545 61 0 Long Term Provisions 323 412 325 -456 73 0 Other Current Liabilities -53 170 -190 521 -10 0 Short Term Provisions 99 296 -165 -101 0 0 Pre-operative Expenses pending 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other Non Current Assets -1 0 0 -144 0 0 Other Current Assets -40 -112 162 -303 201 0 Amt Due from firm (directors interested) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Expenses not written off 0 0 0 0 0 0 Change in Working Capital 865 787 -531 803 -1,332 439 Trade Payables 501 984 36 329 -1,342 1,188 Long Term Trade Payables 0 0 0 0 0 0 Inventories 185 28 -61 -193 290 -475 Sundry Debtors 179 -225 -506 667 -280 -274 Cash Flow after Change in Working Capital 7,893 9,309 8,810 10,588 6,664 9,996 Tax Paid -1,976 -2,079 -2,544 -2,409 -1,683 -2,270 Cash Flow from Operations 5,917 7,230 6,266 8,179 4,981 7,726 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 46. CASH FLOW FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E Capital Expenditure -1,452 -878 -754 -798 -800 -800 Purchase of Fixed Assets -1,461 -895 -767 -850 Sale of Fixed Assets 9 17 13 52 Lease Adjustment A/c 0 0 0 0 Capital Work in Progress 179 -232 55 -191 -225 -225 Intangible assets under development 0 0 0 0 0 0 Assets in transit 0 0 0 0 0 0 Non Current Investments 26 4 0 0 0 2 Long Term Loans & Advances -126 -199 -310 976 -159 0 Currents Investments -1,254 943 157 1,461 178 -72 Short Term Loans and Advances -79 -470 254 -687 -62 0 Cash flow from Investing -2,706 -832 -598 761 -1,068 -1,095 Change in Equity Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Increase / (Decrease) in Preference Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Proceeds from Preference Shares Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Redemption of Preference Shares Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Proceeds from Shares Warrants 0 0 0 0 0 0 Proceeds from Issue of Equity Share Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Buy Back of Equity Shares Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 Expenses on issue of shares 0 0 0 0 0 0 Change in Long Term Borrowing 0 0 0 0 0 0 Change in Short Term Borrowing 100 -277 99 -99 0 0 Dividend -4,289 -4,692 -5,482 -6,257 -4,596 -6,205 Equity Dividend Paid -3,572 -3,911 -4,554 -5,196 -3,817 -5,153 Preference Dividend 0 0 0 0 0 0 Income tax on dividend paid -717 -781 -928 -1,061 -779 -1,052 Add: Interest Expenses / Finance Cost -35 -26 -33 -118 -118 -118 Cash Flow from Financing -4,224 -4,995 -5,416 -6,474 -4,714 -6,323 Net Cash Flow -1,013 1,403 252 2,466 -801 308 Opening Balance of Cash 3,009 1,828 3,485 3,756 5,113 4,300 Other Adjustments -168 254 19 -1,109 -12 -20 Closing Balance of Cash 1,828 3,485 3,756 5,113 4,300 4,588
  • 47. RATIOS FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E Total Debt to Equity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Debt to Equity -0.8 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0.6 -0.7 Net Debt to EBITDA -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 Return on Equity 66.4% 71.6% 77.0% 82.1% 56.8% 74.5% Return on Capital Employed 75.4% 80.5% 86.7% 93.6% 65.4% 86.3% Return on Invested Capital 65.6% 140.9% 100.3% 83.7% 31.5% 44.3% NOPLAT 4,244 4,958 5,690 6,377 4,554 6,220 FCFF 4,089 5,387 4,970 7,384 3,498 6,567 FCFE 9,430 11,724 11,319 13,663 8,786 12,215 Adjusted Basic EPS 20.7 24.1 28.0 31.3 22.1 29.8 Adj Book Value per Share 31.2 33.7 36.4 38.1 38.9 40.0 Enterprise Value 1,91,141 2,82,198 3,62,513 4,23,071 4,24,062 4,23,702 Market Capitalization 1,96,506 2,88,554 3,68,885 4,29,437 4,29,437 4,29,437 P/E 43.9 55.3 60.9 63.6 90.0 66.7 P/B 29.1 39.6 46.9 52.2 51.1 49.7 EV/EBITDA 30.2 37.6 40.8 42.9 56.7 45.2
  • 48. Discounted Cash Flow DCF Method FY21E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E Assumptions NOPLAT & FCFF Calculation Net Profit 4,771 6,441 7,993 9,525 11007 From Profit & Loss Account Other Income 411 417 441 469 504 From Profit & Loss Account Finance Cost 118 118 118 118 118 From Profit & Loss Account Tax Rate 0 0 0 0 0 From Profit & Loss Account NOPLAT 4,554 6,220 7,754 9,266 10721 Net Profit + Interest Cost * (1-Tax Rate) - Other Income * (1-Tax Rate) Depreciation 1,076 709 769 829 889 From Profit & Loss Account Change in Working Capital -1,332 439 273 270 261 From Cash Flow from Operations Net Capital Expenditure -800 -800 -800 -800 -800 From Cash Flow from Investing FCFF 3,498 6,567 7,995 9,564 11071 NOPLAT + Depreciation + Change in Working Capital - Net Capex Long Term mkt return 6.2% 10 years CAGR Risk Free Rate 6% 10 years G Sec Yield Stock Beta 1% From SLOPE function Cost of Equity 6.2% Risk Free Rate + Stock Beta * (Market Return - Risk Free Rate) CoE is WACC, because company is debt free Total of Discounted FCFF 31,534 FCFF/Discount Factor Terminal Value Growth 4% Assumption PV of Terminal Value 3,92,946 Formula = PV of (Last forcasted FCFF of FY25 * (1 + TV Growth)/(WACC - TV Gr)) Value of Operations 4,24,480 Total of discounted FCFF + PV of Terminal Value Value of Cash & Investments 6,368 Cash Balance 5,113 Current Investments 1,253 Non Current Investments 2 Value of Debt 0 Value of Equity 4,30,848 Number of Shares O/S 217 Value per share 1,990
  • 50. Particulars Revenue EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%) EPS ₹ BVPS ₹ RoE (%) RoIC (%) P/E P/B EV/EBITDA Hindustan UnileverLtd. (CMP: Rs.2120 Mkt Cap: Rs.498105 cr) FY18 34,781 7,499 5,215 21.6 15.0 24.1 33.6 71.6 753.6 88.00 63.02 65.58 FY19 39,310 8,880 6,055 22.6 15.4 28.0 36.3 77.0 556.0 75.80 58.33 55.38 FY20 39,783 9,861 6,763 24.8 17.0 31.2 38.1 82.0 470.9 67.86 55.65 49.87 FY21 45,994 12,003 7,970 26.1 17.3 36.8 103.5 35.6 75.4 57.58 20.47 40.82 FY22 50,648 13,659 9,167 27.0 18.1 42.3 108.5 39.0 91.7 50.06 19.55 35.74 ITC Ltd. (CMP: Rs.197 Mkt Cap: Rs.241973 cr) FY18 43,123 16,483 11,383 38.2 26.4 9.3 43.0 21.5 38.5 21.27 4.58 13.87 FY19 47,839 18,406 12,661 38.5 26.5 10.3 48.2 21.3 40.5 19.13 4.08 12.21 FY20 49,559 19,081 15,026 38.5 30.3 12.2 52.7 23.2 38.7 16.12 3.74 11.70 FY21 52,132 20,125 15,722 38.6 30.2 12.8 56.4 22.7 39.7 15.40 3.49 10.93 FY22 56,720 22,312 17,488 39.3 30.8 14.2 60.4 23.5 43.3 13.85 3.26 9.68 NestleIndiaLtd. (CMP: Rs.17425Mkt Cap: Rs.168008 cr) FY18 11,216 2,618 1,607 23.3 14.3 166.7 381.0 43.7 1,313.8 104.55 45.73 62.85 FY19 12,295 2,864 1,970 23.3 16.0 204.3 200.4 101.9 (771.7) 85.30 86.95 57.87 FY20 13,560 3,170 2,125 23.4 15.7 220.4 208.0 106.0 386.2 79.06 83.77 52.60 FY21 15,290 3,680 2,512 24.1 16.4 260.5 195.4 133.3 208.4 66.89 89.18 45.58 FY22 17,590 4,280 2,976 24.3 16.9 308.7 230.7 133.8 134.4 56.45 75.53 39.43 BritanniaIndustriesLtd. (CMP: Rs.3510 Mkt Cap: Rs.84410 cr) FY18 9,830 1,502 1,006 15.3 10.2 41.8 141.9 29.5 52.8 83.92 24.74 55.65 FY19 10,973 1,733 1,160 15.8 10.6 48.3 177.0 27.3 44.1 72.75 19.83 48.30 FY20 11,623 1,847 1,385 15.9 11.9 57.6 194.6 29.6 40.6 60.95 18.03 45.40 FY21 12,432 2,034 1,540 16.4 12.4 64.0 234.5 27.3 39.5 54.82 14.97 41.02 FY22 13,737 2,302 1,754 16.8 12.8 72.9 278.0 26.2 40.1 48.12 12.63 36.03 MaricoLtd. (CMP: Rs.335 Mkt Cap: Rs.43243 cr) FY18 6,301 1,137 815 18.0 12.9 6.3 19.7 32.0 48.4 53.09 17.00 37.70 FY19 7,273 1,281 1,119 17.6 15.4 8.7 23.2 37.3 49.3 38.64 14.42 33.29 FY20 7,315 1,479 1,021 20.2 14.0 7.9 23.4 33.8 54.2 42.35 14.30 28.85 FY21 7,579 1,531 1,094 20.2 14.4 8.5 26.1 32.5 53.3 39.52 12.83 27.74 FY22 8,330 1,688 1,213 20.3 14.6 9.4 28.1 33.4 58.1 35.66 11.93 25.04
  • 51. Particulars Revenue EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%) EPS ₹ BVPS ₹ RoE (%) RoIC (%) P/E P/B EV/EBITDA Dabur India Ltd. (CMP: Rs.463 Mkt Cap: Rs.81841 cr) FY18 7,654 1,617 1,359 21.1 17.8 7.7 32.4 23.7 26.3 60.21 14.29 50.49 FY19 8,419 1,740 1,444 20.7 17.1 8.2 31.9 25.6 29.5 56.67 14.52 46.85 FY20 9,077 1,925 1,630 21.2 18.0 9.2 36.7 25.1 34.5 50.20 12.62 41.74 FY21 9,827 2,121 1,799 21.6 18.3 10.2 42.0 24.2 35.1 45.47 11.02 37.68 FY22 10,832 2,388 2,021 22.0 18.7 11.4 48.3 23.7 37.4 40.49 9.58 33.19 Godrej Consumer Products Ltd. (CMP: Rs.659 Mkt Cap: Rs.67360 cr) FY18 9,772 2,067 1,090 21.2 11.2 10.7 61.2 17.4 24.0 61.82 10.76 33.41 FY19 10,221 2,118 2,342 20.7 22.9 22.9 71.1 32.2 21.0 28.76 9.27 32.76 FY20 9,827 2,143 1,497 21.8 15.2 14.6 77.3 18.9 21.1 45.01 8.53 32.04 FY21 10,249 2,270 1,600 22.1 15.6 15.6 83.7 18.7 21.3 42.12 7.87 30.22 FY22 11,151 2,533 1,802 22.7 16.2 17.6 91.1 19.3 23.2 37.39 7.23 26.89 Jyothy Labs Ltd. (CMP: Rs.108 Mkt Cap: Rs.3982 cr) FY18 1,671 257 94 15.4 5.6 2.6 31.5 8.1 19.1 42.19 3.43 15.59 FY19 1,814 281 206 15.5 11.4 5.6 36.1 15.6 18.6 19.22 2.99 14.23 FY20 1,820 290 201 15.9 11.1 5.5 37.6 14.6 16.9 19.70 2.88 13.90 FY21 1,896 306 217 16.1 11.4 5.9 40.5 14.6 16.8 18.31 2.66 13.05 FY22 2,113 343 249 16.2 11.8 6.8 43.7 15.5 18.4 15.94 2.47 11.44 Emami Ltd. (CMP: Rs.190 Mkt Cap: Rs.8624 cr) FY18 2,490 719 154 28.9 6.2 3.4 44.4 7.6 19.1 56.13 4.28 12.17 FY19 2,659 725 303 27.3 11.4 6.7 45.7 14.6 20.2 28.44 4.15 11.76 FY20 2,782 755 501 27.1 18.0 11.0 48.6 22.7 23.0 17.23 3.91 10.99 FY21 2,923 805 564 27.5 19.3 12.4 52.9 23.5 27.9 15.30 3.59 10.14 FY22 3,140 865 632 27.5 20.1 13.9 57.8 24.1 32.5 13.64 3.28 9.15
  • 52. Particulars Revenue EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%) EPS ₹ BVPS ₹ RoE (%) RoIC (%) P/E P/B EV/EBITDA Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd. (CMP: Rs.150 Mkt Cap: Rs.2211 cr) FY18 809 254 211 31.4 26.1 14.3 33.4 42.9 133.1 10.48 4.49 7.50 FY19 890 275 222 30.8 24.9 15.0 31.7 47.4 117.7 9.99 4.73 7.18 FY20 894 253 224 28.3 25.1 15.2 33.4 45.5 88.0 9.87 4.49 7.92 FY21 959 256 228 26.7 23.8 15.5 35.2 43.9 71.8 9.69 4.26 8.00 FY22 1,044 289 253 27.7 24.3 17.2 36.3 47.3 71.2 8.74 4.13 7.18 Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. (CMP: Rs.1365 Mkt Cap: Rs.37119 cr) FY18 4,159 1,112 673 26.7 16.2 24.8 56.1 44.2 78.4 55.13 24.35 33.09 FY19 4,432 1,236 776 27.9 17.5 28.5 53.2 53.6 93.6 47.86 25.66 29.79 FY20 4,680 1,278 827 27.3 17.7 30.4 65.8 46.2 71.7 44.90 20.74 28.81 FY21 5,085 1,449 966 28.5 19.0 35.5 77.5 45.8 67.9 38.45 17.61 25.41 FY22 5,549 1,645 1,123 29.6 20.2 41.3 91.0 45.4 65.0 33.05 15.00 22.39 Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care Ltd. (CMP: Rs.10080 Mkt Cap: Rs.32721 cr) FY18 2,455 628 375 25.6 15.3 115.4 248.1 46.5 141.8 87.35 40.62 51.47 FY19 2,942 609 419 20.7 14.2 129.1 280.0 46.1 151.8 78.07 35.99 52.82 FY20 3,000 610 448 20.3 14.9 138.1 322.9 42.8 110.7 72.99 31.22 52.76 FY21 3,170 700 513 22.1 16.2 158.1 372.0 42.5 96.1 63.76 27.10 45.97 FY22 3,640 830 615 22.8 16.9 189.6 430.8 44.0 89.7 53.16 23.40 38.77 Zydus Wellness Ltd. (CMP: Rs.1316 Mkt Cap: Rs.7591 cr) FY18 513 125 198 24.4 38.6 34.3 176.9 19.4 24.0 38.40 7.44 56.33 FY19 843 174 231 20.7 27.4 40.1 587.2 6.8 3.4 32.82 2.24 51.34 FY20 1,848 288 138 15.6 7.4 23.9 604.7 3.9 5.8 55.14 2.18 30.63 FY21 2,101 395 248 18.8 11.8 43.0 640.5 6.7 8.8 30.60 2.05 21.93 FY22 2,302 437 317 19.0 13.8 54.9 681.2 8.1 9.2 23.97 1.93 19.24 Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 54. Valuation Bands 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 Apr-13 Jan-14 Oct-14 Jul-15 Apr-16 Jan-17 Oct-17 Jul-18 Apr-19 Jan-20 Price to Earnings Share Price 26x 38x 49x 60x 71x Student Presentation, School of Market Studies
  • 55. Valuation Bands 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 Apr-13 Jan-14 Oct-14 Jul-15 Apr-16 Jan-17 Oct-17 Jul-18 Apr-19 Jan-20 Price to Book Value Share Price 25x 30x 40x 50x 55x Student Presentation, School of Market Studies