Future development and vision of digital learning and archive in taiwan 2011
1. Future Development and Vision of
Digital Learning and Archive in
Taiwan
Digital Education Institute
Institute for Information Industry
Nov.25, 2011
2. Agenda
• Introduction of Digital Education Institute
• Drivers of Change in Learning
• Global e-Learning industry analysis
• Future development and vision of Digital Learning
and Archive in Taiwan
2
3. DEI Service Introduction
Education Service Design
Education Service
Consultation
IT Certification E-learning
Service
Project Development &
On-the-Job Training Program
Incubation
Digital Education Industry Development
Research on IT Manpower & Service Needs
3
4. Training Capacities
Chung-Li Training Center
(at National Central Univ)
桃
園 台北縣
縣
新竹縣
宜蘭縣
苗栗縣
Middle Area Training ICT Training Center
Center 台中縣
(with Feng Chia Univ) 花 ITES Training Center
彰化縣 蓮
南投縣
雲林縣 縣 e-Learning Center
嘉義縣
Digital Content Center
台南縣
高雄縣
台東縣
屏
Kaohsiung Training 東
Center 縣
(at National Kaohsiung
Normal Univ)
Total Training Capacity:
60 Labs/1600 Persons
4
5. Agenda
• Introduction of Digital Education Institute
• Drivers of Change in Learning
• Global e-Learning industry analysis
• Future development and vision of Digital learning
and archive in Taiwan
5
6. Drivers of Change in Learning
•2011World Economic Forum Country Sustainability driven •PISA Reading Literacy
Country Competitiveness ranked •Competitiveness breakthrough ranked 23rd in 2009, 16th in
13th , same as year 2010 •Civic quality 2006
Formal education driven Technology driven
•Globalization
•9yr to12yr formal
•Service Oriented
In the year of 2014 •Cloud computing
• What kinds of teaching fields •Digital devices
• What kinds of assessments
• What kinds of teaching methods
No. of Population change(%)
Population driven Year Birth Age Age Age
(1000) 0-14 15-64 Over 65
•Low birthrate 1989 315 27.5 66.5 6.0
•More aging population 2009 191 16.3 73.0 10.6
6
7. Country Competitiveness driven
Strong Industry、Weak talent
WEF 2011- Country competitiveness IMD 2011- Competitiveness Scoreboard:
JP(#9)TW(#13)KR(#24)SN(#2)CN(#26) SN(#3)TW(#6)CN(#19)KR(#22)JP(#26)
• TW facing serious talent loss
• Taiwan good at tech environment problem, hard to recruit great people,
and design but lack of talent with hurt industry competitiveness in the
Int’l view Country Industry long run
Competitiveness Competitiveness
• Shall focus more on Eliciting Communication • Shall promote work competencies,
method to strengthen personal provide certificate upgrade system
discovery ability through ICT for worker, revitalize talent training
Discovery Problem
tech and applied to all civics system, increase industry
Solving
AND all learning fields in TW, competitiveness
increase country competitiveness
• TW bounded by traditional education
thinking and pressure on school
ICT entrance exam, ignore on children’s
• TW society becomes indifferent, focus Adaptiveness Creativity
more on school exam performance but creativity cultivation, hard to educate
less on morality, whole person care, talent for 21th century
Critical
which increase potential risk and Social Thinking Personal
problems , dangers to society and daily Competitiveness Competitiveness • Shall accompanied with NEW K12
life formal education to reduce exam
pressure and use eliciting to develop
• Shall promote citizen 2.0 to our society student’s core competency, increase
in digital age, increase social personal competitiveness
competitiveness
7
8. Reading Literacy driven
Emphasize on Math but Humanities
• TW Reading Literacy Ranking
– PIRLS : NO.22 in 2006, lower than mean of all Why?
participants
• Lowest ratio of all participants on self-interest on
studying after school
– OECD PISA Global ranking
• Scientific literacy ranking down to 12th, Math literacy
ranking down to 5th and Reading literacy ranking down
to 23th in 2009
• Self-interest on reading ratio for 4th grade school
student is the lowest (24%) among all participant
countries
– According to PIRLS and PISA, students in TW lack
of reading comprehensive ability and analyzing
ability
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9. Education system driven
More on assessment, less creativity
Education purpose compare Teacher’s time allocation 10%
Eliciting
# 5% •Ability
# •Morality
Adjust student ability
•Basic ability diagnosis 85% •Experiment
And adjustment •Outdoor
School entrance activities
•Teaching method
* •Routine assignment
# •Exam assessment
#
* Student’s time allocation 20%
* 10%
Morality oriented
Ability oriented
* •Creativity cultivation
•Basic ability cultivation
70% •Sport competition
And adjustment
# School entrance
# •Formal curriculum
* •After school tutoring
* •Exam preparation
*
9
10. Population structure driven
Low fertility rate, more ageing population
Formal Working Society
dividend
• Highest demographic
• K formal education
dividend
• Highest demographic
Age 0-24
GDP
GDP
12
Age
Doing Things Never Done Before
20
Learning efficiency
15 30
K US dollar
K US dollar
Age 25-64
-
64 Doing Better Things
74
Productivity
%
Age over 65 Doing Same Things Better
Social participation
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Admission :
begins
No. of Birth= No. of Death
soars
65 65 大 65
Admission:
Admission:
Admission:
to demographic onus
• Turn demographic dividend
大
歲 歲學 歲 學
>
>
>
24 18
14 16 20
.
.
6
% Ageing society
% Ageing society
%
2012-2017 萬小 Population 3
小 小 萬小
學 DD 73% steady 學 structure 學
學
22 13 17 .
changes 16
.
萬
% Foreigner
6 6
, 萬 萬
大
學 No. of Population change(%)
31 Year Birth Age Age Age Total Age 15-64 population (unit:10k)
Year
.
9 (1000) 0-14 15-64 Over 65 (100k) Sub 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
萬 1989 315 27.5 66.5 6.0 2010 2,316.5 1,704.6 319.6 391.7 365.0 368.3 259.9
2009 191 16.3 73.0 10.6 2020 2,343.7 1,689.8 265.3 327.3 391.6 355.1 350.5
2030 2,330.1 1,511.5 186.9 273.4 328.7 382.3 340.3
11. Summary
• Country competitiveness driven- Strong Industry, Weak Talent
– Raise individual competency
• Reading literacy driven- More on math, less humanities
– Raise reading comprehensive ability
• Education system driven- More on assessment, less creativity
– Adjust assessment mechanics, use eliciting method
• Population structure driven- Low fertility rate, more ageing
population
– Utilize learning tech, fulfill ”Doing Things Never Done Before”
• Technology driven- Globalization, Integration, Socialization
– Transform into learning tech service, sustainability issue
11
12. Agenda
• Introduction of Digital Education Institute
• Drivers of Change in Learning
• Global e-Learning industry analysis
• Future development and vision of Digital learning
and archive in Taiwan
12
13. Global e-Learning market summary
2010年Global e-Learning market around 42.8 billion US dollar,Annual growth rate 10%,
North America occupies 67.7%;European market next (UK, Denmark, Finland and France
is better);Asian market next (China, Japan, Korea is better).
Estimated to reach 65.5 billion US dollar in 2014, North America growth rate is 7.3% from
2009 to 2014, 15% for Europe, 21.2% for Asia, 41% for China.
Billion US
800
北美 歐洲 亞洲
65.5
58.9
600 136
53.0
112
47.9 91
42.8 78 133
400 38.9 62 101
116
52 89
76
66
200 386
338 361
290 312
271
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
資料來源:韓國2011-2015年數位學習發展及活絡計畫;拓墣產業研究所整理,2011/06
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14. e-Learning projects in major countries
North America Japan Korea China UK
Key Office of Edu. Tech. MIC MKE Central people’s Govt Becta
entity U.S Dept. of Edu. MEXT KeLIA MoE Dfes
MCST National Center for JISC
Education Technology
Last 5 yr Raise capability of STEM u-Japan Basic plan for Action plan for e-strategic plan
projects National Education Plan 原口 vision development and Invigorating education Next Generation
Ready to learn TV Future School
activation of e-Learning 2003-2007 Learning
program grants industry 2006-2010 11th Five-Year Plan JISC national
School New Deal
Basic plan for China mid term outline ebooks
Plan
development and of education reform and observation
activation of e-Learning development project
industry 2011-2015
Direction Form investment funding Integrate ICT and Education environment Integration Tech and Teaching
for tech and education education system Talent training classroom environment material
integration into classroom Skill development Teaching material database
Form innovation funding ICT talent database Enhance ICT
Standard and certificate
help research and skill training for school Distance learning connection in
Digital textbook
Cooperation with Digital textbook network and system for school
Learning device develop
business to develop quality urban place Individual
multimedia materials for eBag learning
kids
Market 2,151 billion yen 100 billion yen 159.39 billion yen 593.5 billion yen 526.7 billion yen
Share Note: Taiwan 29 billion, 3,188/each 資料來源:拓墣產業研究所整理,2011/8
Populatio 0.3billion 0.13 billion 48 million 1.34 billion 60 million
n 7,160 yen/each 779 yen/each 3,319 yen/each 442.7 yen/each 8,769 yen/each
14
15. Korea e-Learning development plan
2011-2015
Ranked 4th Smart Learning Country in the world
Vision (Smart Learning, Smart Korea)
350
270
2.9 3.7
210 2.3
Target
2009 2012 2015 2009 2012 2015
Market value (trillion) No. of Employee(million)
Quality Smart e-Learning User Dominate Export expansion
Strategy
Quantity Online learning Supplier Dominate Internal Demand
Improve e-Learning eco system Utilize e-Learning application
Policy Direction
Free market environment
Develop e-learning structure Promote e-Learning application to company
Prepare e-learning product, business, Expand e-Learning usage in public service
certificate system Support minority by using e-Learning
Strengthen innovative skill and talent Expand e-Learning export market
e-Learning research ability e-learning export multi channel
e-learning SOP Global business cooperation
e-learning professional training
資料來源:韓國數位學習產業發展委員會;拓墣產業研究所整理,2011/6
16. Country e-Learning performance comparison
2011 2015
Environment Experiment PISA1(09) WEF2 Environment Experiment Development
•Ranked 3rd online •Promote & •Reading:# (Overall:#9) (4b US dollar) • Prevent the
user upgrade Digital 8 •Basic:#28 • 100% High •10m tablet for occurrence of
•Upgrade school TV/equ. in •Math:#9 •Efficiency:#11 speed wireless each K12 student advanced digital tech
computer and equ. schools •Science:#5 •Innovation:#3 environment • All lectures talent gap
(2b US dollar) •Future school (2/3) (1/3) digitized and •Enrich academic
project built up 30% usage ratio info. education
edu. cloud (i-Japan 2015)
•Upgrade school •Provide IPTV •Reading:# (Overall: #24) • Built up (2.1b US dollar) •Digital Home
broadband (31 m learning service 2 •Basic:#29 wireless and •Tablet replace •Smart Training
US dollar) •eBag •Math:#4 •Efficiency#22 cloud service for school bag, all (Assure economic
experiment •Science:#6 •Innovation:#18 each school K12 schools efficiency and safety
(50m US dollar) (1/3) (3/3) information • Fullfill IBT3 of hi-risk but hi-value
National level job)
•Built up 6,500 e- •30 K12 schools •Reading:# (Overall: #13) assessment
literacy classroom, adopt ebag 23 •Basic:#15 • Built up Edu. • Develop •Provide education
25,700 e-classroom experiment •Math:#5 •Efficiency:#16 tech service e-learning content cloud service to
with basic equ. •Promote ebook •Science:#1 •Innovation:#10 frame stream service school and adult
(16.6b from 2009 library service 2 (2/3) education
for 4 yrs) (3/3) •Develop impact
index of e-learning
and social economic
1:PISA, OECD 2:WEF competitiveness 2011-2012 report 3:Internet-Based Training
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17. Summary
Year of 2015 is a turning point
OECD PISA 2015- scientific literacy test
•A new Collaborative Problem Solving assessment • 2015 Korea:2.1 bl, all k12 schools adopt ICT in
Learning
will be added.
• 2015 Japan:Digitized textbook for all K12
• Greater use of computer-based testing •2011 China:General administration of press and pub.
Big scope to use ICT To include reading device in 12/5 plan
in Learning •2015 Turkey:2 bl, 15 m tablets for schools
•2014 Canada : bf 2014, Eminata Group & Pearson
digitized all curriculum to serve 38 campus, over
14,000 students
•AMAZON:Digital textbook rental service, 30~360
period, daily pricing, 80% off regular price
Innovative Business •CourseSmart:No.1 in digital textbook serving North
Key point: 2015 model America, provide rental service, include over 14
thousand course materials, nearly cover 90% of all
requirement in higher education. Over 1 m teacher
open acct, 60% off regular price
Reading behavior • 2015:1/4 academic textbook digitized in U.S.
User experience • 2010:Survey shows 8% of university students own
reading device, 15% in 2011, grows nearly 2 times
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資料來源:資策會教研所整理 2011年8月
18. Agenda
• Introduction of Digital Education Institute
• Drivers of Change in Learning
• Global e-Learning industry analysis
• Future development and vision of Digital learning
and archive in Taiwan
18
19. Digital Learning and Archive dev. progress
In Taiwan
2003-2012 Market value • Reinvent e-learning
need to reinvent quality learning mechanics for next gen.
Before the serious change of birth rate and aging population, we
500 Business
目標值 0.7 bl to 49.5 bl taiwan dollar industry for digital age,
智慧教室 including redesign
450 Industry
學習終端
licensing model,
institution business
400 數位典藏 • Integrate innovative model and learning Legislation
平台教材服務 learning community method
• Integrate education
350
產 and archive businesses 290 Talent
年成長率% • Apply e-learning tech (Target 275)
值 Formal Learning
(
300
新 • Built up industry to govt. entities Standard
27.17
台 value chain
幣 250 • e-Learning talent 495
億 54.54
training 172 31.58% Career Learning Skill
元 • Int’l company (Target 169)
200 25
)
apply e-learning 363
19
e-Chinese
150
successfully (Target 130) Social Learning
20.26%
Digital
100 23.86% Licensing archive
184
153 mechanics
120 134
50 School
Industry built up Market Expansion Model Transform
0
96年 97年 98年 99年 100年 101年
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20. Citizen capability toward sustainability
Capability to learn and create 21th Century Core issue
– Creativity, Innovation – Global view, Int’l collaboration
– Critical thinking and Problem solving
– Civic morality, Health care
– Communication and Cooperation
– Economics, Finance, Business
Capability to use tech, media and
information
– Information Usage
– Media adaptiveness
– ICT tech control
Capability to live and work
– Flexibility and Applicability
– Affirmative and Self directed
learning
– Embrace Multi culture
– Productivity and accountable
– Leadership and Responsibility
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21. Employee Competency cultivation
Decision making ability Team work ability
Planning ability Multi cultural adaptiveness
Royalty Self assessment on job performance
Creativity Problem solving ability
Knowledge deliver Knowledge discover and reform ability
(communication ability) Willingness to learn new stuff and skill
Critical thinking and
analyzing ability
Source:Stanford University
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22. e-Learning Next 10 years in TW
Digital campus Digital Home
Learning Service
Aggregator
Entrepreneur Uni.
Devices,
Learning Materials/ Admin. sys, Assessment,
SAAS model smart class,
portal/ curriculum Virtual tutor After school
Pay as you use integration
service production service tutor
service
PAAS model
Pay as you use
Learning Service
Provider
IAAS model
Pay as you use
23. Vision of Digital education and Archive
Towards 8 Topics:Buildings & Grouds、Energy
Design Future & Water、Food & Drink、Global
Sustainability Dimension、Culture Participation、
Drivers of Change
Local Well-being、Purchasing & Waste、
Travel & Traffic
Enable 3 Milestones:Serivce Oriented
Service Design Process to incubate
Change
Innovation Innovative Business Model、
Product Design & Management
Smart Technology
Cloud 2 Concepts:Connected Cloud
Computing Services with mobile devices for
smart campus,Learning
anywhere anytime
People Learning 10 Potentials:Visual、
Research Potentials Memory、Language、
Attention、Orientation、
Execution、Logistic、
Problem solving
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