http://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2013/03/25/current-thinking-on-investing-in-gold-and-the-gold-standard/
Newly fashionable economist John Maynard Keynes spent much of his career attacking the human instinct to hoard stores of wealth unproductively. For example, the tons of gold buried under millions of Indian floors, rather than invested productively in working assets or contributing to the financial system and magically raising demand through the economic multiplier.
In contrast, Campbell Harvey, a recent speaker at a CFA Conference, argued the case for including gold as a commodity in a well-diversified portfolio, particularly if investors and central banks increase their demand — even moderately — for gold. One driver of demand has been the moves by central banks to diversify away from the dollar into other currencies and assets. In recent years interest in commodities has grown tremendously, partly because commodities are believed to provide direct exposure to unique factors and have special hedging characteristics. One large study finds that gold is a hedge against stocks, on average, and a safe haven, for a limited time, in extreme market conditions. Yet another study finds that holding either commodity indices or commodity futures are inferior to those of traditional stock/bond portfolios.
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2. Newly fashionable economist John Maynard Keynes spent much of his
career attacking the human instinct to hoard stores of wealth
unproductively. For example, the tons of gold buried under millions of
Indian floors, rather than invested productively in working assets or
contributing to the financial system and magically raising demand
through the economic multiplier.
In contrast, Campbell Harvey, a recent speaker at a CFA Conference,
argued the case for including gold as a commodity in a well-diversified
portfolio, particularly if investors and central banks increase their demand
— even moderately — for gold. One driver of demand has been the
moves by central banks to diversify away from the dollar into other
currencies and assets. In recent years interest in commodities has grown
tremendously, partly because commodities are believed to provide direct
exposure to unique factors and have special hedging characteristics.
4. Further reading from CFA Digest’s team of abstractors and other CFA Institute
resources on the gold standard and international reserve currencies can be found
below:
Steps to Making the Renminbi International: The momentum to internationalize
the chinese currency, the renminbi, is building up. Wendy Guo, CFA, and Samuel
Lum, CFA, review the milestones and challenges of renminbi internationalization.
The Truth about Gold: Why It Should (or Should Not) Be Part of Your Asset
Allocation Strategy: Most arguments for holding gold in a portfolio are not
supported by an analysis of the data. Nonetheless, an argument can be made for
including gold as a commodity in a well-diversified portfolio, particularly if investors
and central banks increase their demand — even moderately — for gold.
Index Investment and the Financialization of Commodities: The authors found
that, concurrent with the rapidly growing index investment in commodity markets
since the early 2000s, prices of non-energy commodity futures in the United States
have become increasingly correlated with oil prices; this trend has been significantly
more pronounced for commodities in two popular commodity indices. This finding
reflects the financialization of the commodity markets and helps explain the large
increase in the price volatility of non-energy commodities around 2008.
5. Commodities as an Investment Research Foundation Literature Reviews:
Interest in commodities has grown tremendously, partly because commodities
are believed to provide direct exposure to unique factors and have special
hedging characteristics. This review discusses the instruments that provide
exposure to commodities, the measures and historical record of commodity
investment performance, evidence about the benefits of strategic versus
tactical commodity allocations, and recent developments in the market.
Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds, and
Gold: The authors test whether gold works as a hedge or a safe haven. They
study data from three countries for a 10-year period and find that gold is a
hedge against stocks, on average, and a safe haven, for a limited time, in
extreme market conditions.
Gold: The Ultimate Fiat Currency: The author claims that investors are in the
midst of a gold price bubble, and he expects the bubble to burst soon. He
argues that the problems will be compounded by factors that suggest gold is no
longer an effective safe haven for investors.
6. Should Investors Include Commodities in Their Portfolios After All? New
Evidence: Adding commodities to portfolios is believed to provide superior
risk-adjusted returns compared with having only traditional asset classes. The
authors determine that risk-adjusted returns of portfolios holding either
commodity indices or commodity futures are inferior to those of traditional
stock/bond portfolios. A few exceptions exist, such as the commodities boom
during 2005–2008.
Reframing the Gold Standard Debate: The Fixed-Money-Supply
Standard: A debate between those advocating for a fiat money supply and
those advocating for a gold standard has been raging for nearly a century. It’s
time to reframe this debate.
Poll: What Does Germany’s Repatriation of Gold Reserves Mean?: We
asked for readers’ reactions to Germany’s repatriation of gold reserves.
7. Gold Investing: What is the “Barbarous Relic” Really Worth?: John
Maynard Keynes once famously called gold the “barbarous relic,”
suggesting that its usefulness and, hence, it’s value, is antiquated. So the
question really is, or should be, is gold useful today? If so, what is its
value? And how much should you pay for it?
Investing in Gold: Useful Hedge Or the Ultimate Emotional Investment
— Or Both?: Why do so many veteran investors express such vehement
disdain toward gold? Why are others so bullish on it? Given its deeply
routed mystique, gold can exert a strong emotional pull on investors.
The Golden Rule: James Grant explains why he believes the classical
monetary system called the Gold Standard is the wave of the future.
President Nixon: The Man Who Sold the World Fiat Money: President
Richard Nixon’s decision to untether the US dollar from gold has left a
harsh and lasting legacy for economies all around the globe.