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North American Port Analysis | Paper paper | August 2012
  colliers international | white white




                                        August 2012


Colliers 2012
                                        North American Port Analysis
Port Awards
                                        Preparing for the First Post-Panamax Decade
> Houston: The Irreplaceable Port
                                        K.C. CONWAY Executive Managing Director, Market Analytics | USA
  os Angeles/Long Beach:
  L
  A Colossus among Giants

 Savannah: Success with Less

 Charleston: Getting ‘er Done

 Virginia: 50 Feet before 50 Feet
   Was Cool

 Baltimore: The Delicate Touch

 Miami: Cruising to Success

  ew York  New Jersey:
  N
  Jumping Hurdles in a
  New York Minute

 Jacksonville: The Comeback Kid
                                        Key Takeaways
 Mobile: The Up-and-Comer               ›	The expansion of the Panama Canal to accommodate vessels capable of carrying up to
Read more on page 10.                        12,500 containers will alter global trade routes, and is already promoting the advance-
                                             ment of the science of logistics.

                                          ›	 our East Coast ports will be ready to handle post-Panamax ships by 2015: Baltimore (2013),
                                            F
                                              Miami (2014), New York (2015) and Norfolk (ready).

                                          ›	 our West Coast ports are already post-Panamax ready: Los Angeles, Long Beach, Oak-
                                            F
                                              land and Seattle.

                                          ›	 hina holds great influence in global port activity. Six of the world’s 10 busiest container
                                            C
                                             ports are in China. None are located in North America.

                                          ›	 e’ve identified five key risks to North American Ports:
                                            W
                                              •	 Overheated port competition
                                              •	 Environmental inaction
                                              •	 Labor strikes
                                              •	 Slowing global GDP
                                              •	 State budget crises

                                          ›	We present our Colliers 2012 Port Awards, which take a lighthearted look at the outstanding
                                             traits of some of North America’s top ports.




                                                                                                   www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |          p. 1
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




                                                                             Euro Fears and Post-Panamax Prep
                                                                             In our last U.S. Port Analysis we detailed the two most pressing issues confronting coastal
                                                                             port authorities at the onset of 2012:

                                                                               ›	Infrastructure improvements needed to handle the larger ships which will soon pass
                                                                                  through an expanded Panama Canal

                                                                               ›	The threat of a slowing European economy on U.S. port activity

                                                                             Since that report, a number of U.S. ports have risen to the challenge and accelerated port
                                                                             dredging and crane acquisition projects. Additionally, the world’s largest 12,500 twenty-foot
    Photo Credit: AP Moller Maersk                                           equivalent unit (TEU) containerships have started making calls on North American ports. But
                                                                             while some ports build infrastructure, the completion date for the Panama Canal lock expansion
                                                                             has been postponed to the first half of 2015. And Europe, which is the largest trading partner to
    Pre-Panamax lock thresholds                                              both the U.S. and China, has seen continued economic slowing.33.5 m report will examine how
                                                                                                                                               This (110’)
                                                                                                                         294.1 m (965’)
                                                33.5 m (110’)                these and other global challenges have affected the health of North American ports.
              294.1 m (965’)
                                                                                                                    32.3 m (106’)
                                                                             Eastern Port Traffic Growth Will Accelerate
                                                                                                                                              304.8 m (1,000’)
      32.3 m (106’)                                                          The expansion of the Panama Canal will alter global trade routes and is already promoting the
                                        304.8 m (1,000’)                     advancement of the science of logistics. The expansion will impact more than just shipping
                                                                                                                   12.8 m (42’)
                                                                             companies: Retail supply chains, manufacturers and commoditym (39.5’) will each feel the ef-
                                                                                                                                                    traders
                                                                                                                                        draft  12.4

      12.8 m (42’)                                                           fects of new access to eastern ports. Growth in East and Gulf Coast port traffic will be fueled
                                draft    12.4 m (39.5’)                      by new manufacturing operations from Airbus (Mobile), Boeing (Charleston) and Caterpillar
                                                                             (Athens, Georgia), and a new commitment from Disney to exclusively use the port of Jackson-
                                                                             ville for all imports bound to the Magic Kingdom. As China’s economic growth slows and Amer-
                                                                                                                                                           55 m (180’)
    Post-Panamax lock thresholds                                             ican manufacturing grows in the right-to-work states of the Southeast, Midwest and Gulf Coast,
                                                                             port volume growth trends will shift in new ways.(1,200’) from the Port Import/Export Reporting
                                                                                                                               366 m
                                                                                                                                     Data
                                                          55 m (180’)
                                                                             Service (PIERS) shows that, for the first time since World War II, the East Coast surpassed the
                 366 m (1,200’)                                              West in container traffic growth. Eastern ports saw traffic grow by 5.5 percent in Q1 2012 over
                                                                                                                       49 m (160’)
                                                                             the same quarter in 2011, as compared with 3.0 percent in the western ports. Eastern traffic
                                                                             growth will accelerate further after the 2015 Panama Canal expansion is complete.
                                                                                                                                                  427 m (1,400’)
         49 m (160’)


                                                427 m (1,400’)
                                                                             U.S. Will Need to Step up Port Infrastructure Spending
                                                                                                                    18.3 m (60’)
                                                                             According to a recent U.S. Army Corps of Engineers report (U.S. Port and Inland Waterways Mod-
                                                                                                                                            draft
                                                                             ernization: Preparing for Post-Panamax Vessels) post-Panamax vessels will make up 62 percent
                                                                                                                                                   15.2 m (50’)

    18.3 m (60’)                                                             of total container ship capacity by 2030. North American ports will need to spend billions in or-
                                        draft
                                                     15.2 m (50’)            der to participate in this global trade opportunity. But the U.S. may be lagging behind—the nation
                                                                             ranks 23rd globally in infrastructure competitiveness, according to the World Economic Forum.

                                                                                                                    3rd Generation   4th Generation
                                                                                                   2nd Generation                                         5th Generation
                                                                                                                      1971-1990       1990-2000
                                                                                                     1970-1980
                                                                                      1st Generation
                                                                                         Pre-1970
3rd Generation           4th Generation
                                                              5th Generation
  1971-1990               1990-2000                                             Sea
                                                                                Level
                                                                                10’
                                                                                20’      9m
                                                                                30’                   10 m          11.6-12.8 m        12.8-14 m              14 m
                                                                                40’
                                                                                50’




11.6-12.8 m                                                                                                                                  www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |   p. 2
                               12.8-14 m                             14 m
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




A Small Guide to Large Cranes                        North American Port Readiness and Rankings
The typical Panamax crane in use at                  The western ports of Los Angeles, Long Beach, Oakland and Seattle are post-Panamax ready.
most U.S. ports today won’t have the                 Four East Coast ports will be post-Panamax ready in time for the 2015 Panama Canal expansion.
capacity required to deal with post-                   ›	Norfolk is currently post-Panamax ready
Panamax vessels.
                                                       ›	Baltimore will be post-Panamax ready by the end of 2012
        Typical Feeder – Panamax Crane
                                                       ›	Miami will be post-Panamax ready by 2015, with dredging approved and super post-Pana-
 B Outreach               30.00 – 40.00m
 D Lift Height            24.00 – 30.00m                  max cranes ordered
 SWL Capacity             40/50T Single – 65T Twin
                                                       ›	New York will be post-Panamax ready by the end of 2015, with funding now approved to
 Hoisting Speed           50 – 125 m/min
                                                          raise the Bayonne Bridge in 2012
 Trolley Speed            150 – 180 m/min
 Travel Speed             45 m/min
 Wheel Load *             30 – 45T Per Meter
                                                       North American Post-Panamax Ready Ports
A Panamax crane can load and unload a
container ship capable of passing through the
Panama Canal today.                                                                  Post-Panamax               2012 TEUs
                                                               Port                                                             2011 TEUs    Global Rank
                                                                                  Status/Impediment            (Est. 000s)

           Typical Post-Panamax Crane                  LA/Long Beach               Currently Ready                14,000          14,000        6th
B Outreach                40.00 – 46.00m
                                                                                   2015 – Bayonne
D Lift Height             30.00 – 35.00m               New York/NJ                                                 5,600          5,500         20th
                                                                                       Bridge
SWL Capacity              40/50T Single – 65T Twin
Hoisting Speed            60 – 150 m/min               Oakland                     Currently Ready                 2,400          2,350        top 50
Trolley Speed             180 – 210 m/min              Seattle                     Currently Ready                 2,100          2,000        top 50
Travel Speed              45 m/min
Wheel Load *              40 – 55T Per Meter           Houston                     2013 – Dredging                 2,100          1,900        top 50

A post-Panamax crane can load a ship 18 contain-
                                                       Norfolk                     Currently Ready                 1,900          1,900        top 50
ers wide, which is too big to pass through the                                    2015 – Dredging/
                                                       Miami                                                        950            900         top 100
Panama Canal.                                                                          Cranes
                                                       Baltimore                    2013 – Cranes                   650            630         top 100
    Typical Super Post Panamax/Megamax
B Outreach                 46.00 – 69.00m
                                                     Source: American Association of Port Authorities, Colliers International
D Lift Height              35.00 – 49.00m
SWL Capacity               65T Twin - 80T Tandem
                                                     A port is considered post-Panamax ready when it has met three key criteria.
Hoisting Speed             70 – 175 m/min
Trolley Speed              210 – 240 m/min
                                                       ›	Channel depth of 50 feet with sufficient channel width and turning basin size
Travel Speed               45 m/min
Wheel Load *               60 – 80T Per Meter
                                                       ›	Cranes capable of loading and unloading pots-Panamax ships
The Super post-Panamax is the largest crane in
use today and can unload containers from vessels       ›	Docks engineered to handle the new bigger cranes
with a width of 22 or more containers. Baltimore
and Miami are each adding such cranes.

*Based on 8 wheels per corner at 1.00m spacing
Source: liebherr.com




                                                                                                                         www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |     p. 3
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




China Ports Lead in Global Traffic Volume
                                                                          Top 20 North American Container Ports
China, Korea and the Netherlands not only surpass the U.S. in post-
Panamax readiness, they lead in terms of container traffic as well.                                                                  Rank
                                                                                                    2012 TEUs     2011     2010
                                                                            No. American Port                                       (2011
The top seventy primary container ports in North America handle                                     (Est. 000s)   TEUs     TEUs
                                                                                                                                    TEUs)
approximately 45 million TEUs per year, which is the equivalent of
                                                                          Los Angeles, CA             8,000       7,900    7,800         1
35% of China’s 130 million annual TEUs. Six of the world’s ten
                                                                          Long Beach , CA             6,000       6,100    6,300         2
busiest container ports are in China, according to data from the
American Association of Port Authorities. The other top global            New York/NJ                  5,600      5,500    5,300         3
ports are found in Singapore, South Korea, United Arab Emirates           Savannah, GA                3,000       2,900    2,900         4
and the Netherlands.                                                      Canada – Vancouver          2,600       2,500                  5
                                                                          Oakland, CA                 2,400       2,350    2,330         6
In order for the U.S. to crack the global top ten, one would have to
combine the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, which would              Seattle, WA                  2,100      2,000    2,150         7
result in 14 million TEUs. This level of traffic is unmatched in North    Houston, TX                  2,100      1,900    1,812     8–9
America. In fact, combining all Canada and Mexico’s port TEUs would       Norfolk, VA                  1,950      1,900    1,895     8–9
only equal 8.7 million, 62 percent of the traffic of                      Mexico – Manzanillo          1,800      1,750    1,700         10
Los Angeles and Long Beach.                                               Tacoma, WA                   1,500      1,500    1,455         11
                                                                          Canada – Montreal            1,400      1,300                  12
U.S. Tops North American Port Rankings                                    Charleston, SC               1,350      1,300     1,147        13
All but four of North America’s top twenty ports as ranked by container   Jacksonville, FL             950         900      827          14
traffic are in the U.S. The remaining two are in Canada and Mexico.       Miami, FL                    950         900      847          15
Los Angeles and Long Beach are the busiest North American
                                                                          Baltimore, MD                650         632                   16
container ports, followed by New York/New Jersey, Savannah and
                                                                          Canada – Prince
Vancouver. Thirteen of the top twenty North American ports handle                                      500         410                   17
                                                                          Rupert
more than one million annual TEUs.
                                                                          Portland, OR                  210        200      181          18
  ›	The top 50 U.S. ports handle 32.5 million TEUs                        Mobile, AL                    190        170      145          19

  ›	Canada’s leading 5 ports handle 4.8 million TEUs                      Tampa, FL
                                                                          (a bulk cargo port)
                                                                                                        45         40        44      20

  ›	Mexico’s top 10 ports handle 4.2 million TEUs                                       Subtotals     43,295      42,152   36,833

Of Canada’s 5 largest ports, Vancouver handles the most container            % of N.Am TEUs            96%        94%
traffic with 2.5 million TEUs in 2011. Port of Manzanillo handles the
most container traffic in Mexico, with 1.75 million TEUs. Los Angeles/
Long Beach and New York/New Jersey are the busiest container
ports in the U.S., with annual TEUs of 14 million and 5.5 million
respectively.




                                                                                                           www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |        p. 4
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




                                            Florida Will Benefit from Canal Expansion
                                            It may seem surprising that no port in Florida handles more than one million TEUs, but ports
                                            in the Sunshine State often favor bulk cargo and cruise ships over container traffic. In fact,
                                            Tampa is the largest fertilizer export port in the world; Miami leads in cruise ships, handling
                                            35 percent of all global cruise ship traffic. Florida also has the most ports of any U.S. coastal
                                            state, which helps to keep cargo more widely dispersed. We expect Florida’s traffic to be-
                                            come more focused on three ports after 2015 when upgrades in Miami, Tampa and Jackson-
                                            ville have made these ports post-Panamax ready.

                                             Top N. American Ports: Ranked by 2011 Container Volume (TEUs)

                                                                                ■ 2011 YTD   ■2010           ■2009               ■2008                ■2007
                                              9,000
15 Ports on Two Coasts
                                              8,000
While largely favoring bulk cargo and
                                              7,000
cruise ships, expect Florida’s traffic to
                                              6,000
become more focused on three post-
                                              5,000
Panamax ports: Miami, Tampa, and
                                              4,000
Jacksonville
                                              3,000

                                              2,000

                                              1,000

                                              0
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                                             Major U.S. Port City Container Traffic




                                                          Seattle/Tacoma, WA
                                                          2011 TEUs: 3,500


                                                       Portland, OR
                                                       2011 TEUs: 200
                                                                                                                                             New York/NJ
                                                                                                                                             2011 TEUs: 5,500

                                                   Oakland, CA
                                                   2011 TEUs: 2,350                                                                                              Annual TEU % Change
                                                                                                                                                                 2007 – 2011
                                                                                                                                         Norfolk, Virginia
                                                                                                                                         2011 TEUs: 1,850                             24



                                                                                                                                  Savannah, GA
                                                                                                                                  2011 TEUs: 2,900           2011 2011 Total TEUs
                                                                                                                                                                  Tota l TEU's
                                                                                                                                   Jacksonville, FL              000's
                                                   Los Angeles/Long Beach, CA                                                                                                   14,000
                                                                                                                                   2011 TEUs: 900
                                                   2011 TEUs: 14,000
                                                                                                                                                                                    7,000
                                                                                              Houston, TX        Tampa, FL
                                                                                              2011 TEUs: 1,900   2011 TEUs: 40                                                      1,400
                                                                                                                                      Miami, FL
                                                                                                                                      2011 TEUs: 900




                                                                                                                         www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |                                    p. 5
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




The Age of Intermodalism                                                                          The Rest of the Port Story involves Air, Truck  Rail
The past fifty-five years have seen intermodalism transformed from                                The arrival of cargo at a North American coast is just one leg of its
a theory into a high tech global phenomenon. “Intermodalism”                                      trip. The entire journey from port to consumer as well as the pro-
describes the system of standardized cargo containers which move                                  cess of matching the empty containers with cargo for the return trip
seamlessly between different modes of transport around the world.                                 is all part of what the late Paul Harvey might have called “the rest of
It began with the maiden voyage of the Ideal X from Newark to                                     the story.” And that story is changing.
Houston in 1956 with fifty-eight metal containers on board, and
                                                                                                  Historically, trucks have been the preferred mode of transporting
reached its latest milestone in March with the call of the MSC Fabiola,
                                                                                                  containerized goods inland from North American ports; rail was the
the largest container vessel now serving U.S.-Asia trade with a
                                                                                                  means by which commodities flowed outward. However, volatile fuel
capacity of 12,500 TEUs, at the Port of Long Beach.
                                                                                                  prices, shortages of qualified truck drivers, highway traffic conges-
No longer can a shipping company, manufacturer, or retailer think of                              tion and the speed and reliability of rail and air cargo have increased
the various modes of transportation in isolation. They are                                        their appeal as an inland transport option.
interconnected in a global supply chain. But while intermodalism has
                                                                                                  The primary consideration for retailers and manufacturers is no lon-
matured, there are still challenges on the horizon, including the threat
                                                                                                  ger solely the cost of shipping. Confronted with increasing time pres-
from volatile energy prices, congestion at key inland intermodal
                                                                                                  sures, they now must strike a balance between cost and speed.
points such as Chicago, and the lost efficiencies which occur when
                                                                                                  Clothiers, for example, can’t put the back-to-school season on hold
empty containers are transported back to their port of origin. A new
                                                                                                  when cargo is held up at a choke pointt in the supply chain. When
report from the Department of Agriculture is helping shippers to
                                                                                                  timing is of the essence, retailers employ air cargo to have inventory
address this problem.
                                                                                                  on hand when they need it.
Shippers Will Realize New Efficiencies
                                                                                                  Retailers and manufacturers are remaking their entire supply chains,
Thanks to OSCAR Report
                                                                                                  looking for hidden opportunity in the more than three thousand U.S.
For the first time, shippers have access to weekly data about the
                                                                                                  intermodal facilities. Many retailers are spending almost as much
surpluses and shortages of TEU maritime containers at 18 inland
                                                                                                  capital on new distribution centers and logistics technology as they
U.S. intermodal load points. The U.S. Department of Agriculture
                                                                                                  are in new store openings. Distribution centers are appearing in
introduced the Ocean Shipping Container Availability Report (OSCAR) in
                                                                                                  places some might call off-the-beaten-path. Ashley Furniture, for
July. OSCAR helps distributors, retailers, and others to better manage
                                                                                                  example, frustrated with freight train delays in Chicago and seeing
transportation costs and increase “match-back” shipments. This
                                                                                                  the export opportunities developing along the Mid-Atlantic and
process reduces shipping costs by matching an emptied import
                                                                                                  Southeast coast, has announced it will build a 3.3 million square foot
container with goods or materials for the return trip to its port of
                                                                                                  manufacturing and warehouse facility in North Carolina.
origin. OSCAR provides shippers with three weeks of future
estimates and projections of inventory of dry, high cube and
refrigerated containers.



                                 The Intermodal Rail Yard in Chicago is the largest in the U.S.
    Transportation              Truck            Rail          Seaport/Ship	 Air Freight
    Logistics


                                       Supplier                      Manufacturer                     Warehouser            Retailer             Consumer




                                                                                                                                   www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |        p. 6
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




                                           Defining the Epicenters of Intermodalism
  OSCAR Report Coverage
                                           Getting a handle on such a vast interconnected network can be a challenge. To visualize the
  Region                 MSA
                                           American intermodal network, we’ve chosen to focus on the routes of the seven Class I North
                                           American railroads in conjunction with the eighteen designated load points identified in
  West Coast        Long Beach, CA         OSCAR, along with three other metros that we believe deserve attention.
                      Oakland, CA
                                            American Association of Railroads Map of Class I Railroads
                      Seattle, WA
                     Tacoma, WA
  East Coast           New York
                      Norfolk, VA
                    Charleston, SC
                     Savannah, GA
  Gulf Coast         Houston, TX
                   New Orleans, LA
  Inland              Chicago, IL
                     Cincinnati, OH
                    Columbus, OH
                       Dallas, TX
                      Denver, CO
                    Kansas City, MO
                     Memphis, TN
                   Minneapolis, MN         These twenty-one hubs are the nodes of connection between the key elements of commerce,
  OSCAR                  Atlanta           connecting imported and exported goods with populations of consumers, raw materials, labor
  Omissions       Florida/Jacksonville     and the capital of banks and financial markets that lubricate the wheels of commerce.
                      Indianapolis
                                           The eighteen OSCAR markets that make up the majority of our list have all the pieces needed
The OSCAR goes to 18 US Markets            to assemble the logistics puzzle. They include the port markets that process 75 percent of
with the Logistics Data                    all North American containers, the primary intersecting points for all seven Class-1 railroads
                                           (excepting Atlanta and Indianapolis) and financially important MSAs located in all but two of
These twenty-one markets will be
                                           the Federal Reserve’s districts.
the leading intermodal and logistics
centers for North American retailers and
manufacturers in the first post-Panamax
decade beginning in 2015. They are the
epicenters of intermodalism in North
America.




                                                                                                   www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |        p. 7
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




           Port  Intermodal                        Risk: Port Competition Could Under-           competitive practices that distort the market
           Risk Assessment                      mine Infrastructure Maintenance Funding           and threaten these efficiencies, by ensuring a
With the expansion of the Panama Canal,         The global intermodal system is a complex         fair approach to port maintenance, funding
technological advances in logistics and         network that operates most efficiently when       and cargo fees.
new efficiencies in supply-chain manage-        all nodes operate on an equal footing without        Risk: Environmental Inaction
ment, the opportunities ahead for shippers,     artificial incentives. The system comes into      Most port authorities understand the environ-
manufacturers, retailers, and industrial real   risk when nodes compete in destructive            mental dangers of diesel emissions from
estate investors are many. Yet there are        ways. It’s as though a person’s arm were to       ships, trucks and gantry cranes, as well as the
also some risks on the horizon. We have         fight their leg for supremacy of the body:        impact of improper port dredging and are en-
identified five risks, based on the current     even if one succeeds over the other, the en-      gaged in finding solutions. Baltimore is recog-
state of the industry.                          tire body is worse off.                           nized as “The Green Port” for the steps it has
                                                Ports are now attempting to unfairly direct       taken to lessen its impact on the Chesapeake
                                                container cargo traffic to their ports over       Bay. Los Angeles, Long Beach and Houston
                                                others. Some ports in Canada and Mexico           lead the continent in their funding of environ-
                                                have steered container traffic bound for U.S.     mental upgrades. The electrification of Mi-
                                                destinations into their ports; from there, the    ami’s cranes will eliminate one entire source
                                                cargo enters the U.S. via rail, avoiding U.S.     of that port’s diesel emissions.
                                                port taxes which support harbor mainte-           But in a time of constricting government bud-
                                                nance. In Florida, business and political lead-   gets, there is a great risk of inaction. Incen-
                                                ers are engaged in a statewide campaign to        tives and financing mechanisms are required
                                                have all goods which are consumed in Flori-       for port authorities to maintain momentum on
                                                da enter the state through a Florida port.        environmental progress. What’s more, some
                                                Florida hopes to capture some of the con-         environmental initiatives such as the electrifi-
                                                tainer traffic—and the tax revenue and jobs       cation of gantry cranes and automation of
                                                that come with it—from ports in Georgia,          port facilities face resistance from organized
                                                South Carolina and Virginia.                      labor.
                                                The growth in global trade has create effi-
                                                                                                      Risk: Labor Strikes Could Halt Port
                                                ciencies of scale that have steadily reduced
                                                                                                  Activity
                                                shipping costs for decades, despite increased
                                                                                                  Strikes can greatly disrupt container traffic in
                                                costs of fuel, labor, environmental compli-
                                                                                                  North America. In its Q2 earnings release,
                                                ance and terminal fees. Fifty years ago, the
                                                                                                  the Canadian Pacific Railway blamed a nine-
                                                cost of ocean shipping was approximately 15
                                                                                                  day strike for an almost twenty percent drop
                                                percent of the value of shipped goods; in
                                                                                                  in second-quarter profits. But this would be
                                                2012, it’s less than 1 percent.
                                                                                                  minor compared with the impact of a
                                                Harbor maintenance fees and taxes pay not         potential International Longshoremen’s
                                                just for port dredging and security, but also     Association (ILA) strike at U.S. ports
                                                maintenance of the inland waterways that          following the October 1st expiration of its
                                                connect Canada and Mexico to the U.S. Only        existing labor agreement. The timing of such
                                                government leadership can prevent anti-           a strike would hit retailers just as they are




                                                                                                          www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |         p. 8
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




        Port  Intermodal               importing goods for the holiday shopping season. The ILA is concerned with loss of jobs to
        Risk Assessment                 port automation and the transfer of ownership of intermodal equipment. Port authorities and
        (continued)                     multinational shipping companies have turned to leasing companies to help upgrade facilities
                                        and finance post-Panamax port equipment. The ILA fears that these new private owners will
                                        employ non-union labor, or turn to other labor unions such as electrical workers for new
                                        electric gantry cranes. This issue was central to a pair of recent ILA showdowns at grain
                                        terminals in Washington State and Oregon. The question remains whether the U.S. is
                                        entering a new phase of ILA activism.

                                           Risk: Slowing Global GDP
                                        China’s slowing GDP growth and Europe’s debt crisis each threaten global trade. For port
                                        authorities, this could mean a dramatic drop in fees collected to maintain and upgrade their
                                        ports. China’s five primary ports originate approximately forty-five percent of all the world’s
                                        container cargo; Europe is the largest trading partner to both the U.S. and China. A mere five-
                                        percent drop in global container traffic would mean the loss in traffic of the equivalent of all
                                        the containers handled annually in Los Angeles and Long Beach.

                                             Risk: State Budget Crises
                                        Half of the top ten U.S. container ports are located within states ranked in the bottom ten for
                                        fiscal soundness in Forbes’ annual ranking of state debt and fiscal conditions. Only one top-
                                        twenty port—Norfolk—is in a state with a high ranking. Chicago, the most vital intermodal
                                        metropolitan area in North America, is located within Illinois, the most fiscally distressed state
                                        in the U.S. Chicago’s most pressing intermodal congestion issue is the fact that passenger
                                        rail traffic must share lines with trains that move freight. The cost to cure Chicago’s conges-
                                        tion problem would be $3 billion. It is unlikely that Chicago could soon expect this kind of ex-
                                        penditure from a state operating a $500 million annual deficit. The U.S. state fiscal crisis is a
                                        material risk to vital U.S. ports such as LA/Long Beach and New York, and pivotal inland in-
                                        termodal centers like Chicago.

                                        Post-Panamax World Will Require Intelligent Leadership

                                        Once its expansion is complete, the Panama Canal will accommodate container vessels 160
                                        percent larger than today’s Panamax ships, forever altering global trade routes. Many ports in
                                        North America are rapidly preparing for this coming change, but no single continent controls
                                        all of the resources, facilities or technology that determine the flow of global container traffic.
                                        The future well-being of global trade resides in successful global collaboration.

                                        The twenty-one markets identified in this report will be the North American centers of ab-
                                        sorption and construction for modern distribution facilities in the first post-Panamax decade.
                                        The successful prosperity of these and all global logistical epicenters rests in great part on in-
                                        telligent government leadership to mitigate the many risks.




                                                                                                   www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |          p. 9
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




Colliers Recognizes the Best              Houston: The Irreplaceable Port
in North American Ports                   The Houston Port Authority was the first to introduce double-stacking rail cargo, and the first
                                          to receive certain ISO certifications for environmental management and security. It was also
We think it’s not enough to judge ports   a leader in the creation of foreign trade zones. Thus, it came as no surprise that Containerisa-
by mere traffic alone. That’s why         tion International named Houston the Port Authority of the Year in 2011. The Port of Houston
we’ve chosen to conclude our as-          handles seventy percent of all the containerized cargo in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and is vital to
sessment with a look at a few of the      the nation’s petrochemical industry. Unlike key East and West Coast ports, there are no alter-
great achievements and distinguishing     natives to the Port of Houston. New Orleans and Tampa might possibly handle Houston’s ves-
features in ten of North America’s top    sel traffic, but those ports lack the energy, security, and inland infrastructure that make Hous-
seventy ports.                            ton a one-of-a-kind.

                                          Los Angeles/Long Beach: A Colossus among Giants
                                          The ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach are the big boys in all that is containerization in
          PORT OF HOUSTON AUTHORITY       North America. Since 2000, they have ranked as the busiest container ports in North Ameri-
                                          ca. In 2006, the port authority surpassed 8.5 million TEUs, a first for any North American
                                          port. The MSC Fabiola, the largest container vessel in operation today, made call in March
                                          2012 on the port of LA/Long Beach loaded with 12,000 containers. As the port’s director
                                          said last March: “Few ports can handle these giant ships, but Los Angeles / Long Beach is
                                          big-ship ready.”

                                          Savannah: Success with Less
                                          If you are a shipping company, retailer, or agricultural products exporter along the East Coast,
                                          Georgia Port Authority is on your mind. The Port of Savannah has become the third-busiest
                                          container port in North America while having a channel depth of just forty-two feet, the shal-
                                          lowest of North America’s top 15 ports. Savannah has seen less federal and state funding
                                          than other ports along the East Coast, yet the Georgia Port Authority has taken the lead on
                                          the East Coast in post-Panamax planning. This past spring, the Port of Savannah received
                                          Corps of Engineers approval to dredge to forty-seven feet while other ports along the East
                                          Coast were still struggling to complete their dredging impact studies. The port’s Center for In-
                                          novation and Logistics is unmatched along the East Coast. There is no better model for suc-
                                          cess with less than the Port of Savannah.

                                          Charleston: Getting ‘er Done
                                          The port of Charleston started late in obtaining approvals to increase its channel depth to fifty
                                          feet. It was also slow in getting its state legislature to appropriate the funds required to be-
                                          come post-Panamax ready. But despite the slow start, Charleston got the job done in 2012
                                          like no other port in the past decade. The port and Corps of Engineers recently announced
                                          that they had shaved four years off the anticipated dredging approval process and the South
                                          Carolina legislature appropriated a record $180 million to fund the needed port upgrades. The
                                          port will now be post-Panamax ready between 2015 and 2017. In a time of Washington bu-
                                          reaucracy and state budget deficits, these accomplishments deserve special recognition for
                                          “getting ‘er done.”




                                                                                                   www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |         p. 10
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




                                        Colliers Recognizes the Best in North American Ports (continued)


                                        Virginia: 50 Feet before 50 Feet Was Cool
                                        As of today there is just one East Coast port with a fifty-foot channel depth that is post-
                                        Panamax ready: the Port of Virginia, which has become a leading ocean container terminal
                                        complex. Although its annual TEU figures—approximately 2 million—rank it eighth among U.S.
                                        ports, it was ranked first for competitiveness by Site Selection magazine in 2011. The Port of
                                        Virginia is an East Coast sleeper that will likely be a first port-of-call for post-Panamax
                                        container vessels in 2015. Companies are already recognizing the Port of Virginia’s
                                        competitiveness: Ace Hardware recently selected the Hampton Roads area for its East Coast
                                        import re-distribution center.

                                        Baltimore: The Delicate Touch
                                        The Port of Baltimore has managed to become one of America’s top fifteen container ports
                                        while maintaining the delicate ecological balance of a wetland habitat for many Chesapeake
                                        Bay species.

                                        The Port of Baltimore also demonstrated its delicate engineering touch when it maneuvered
                                        four new Super post- Panamax cranes under the Chesapeake Bay Bridge in June. The new
                                        cranes, along with the deepening and reconstruction of the Seabirth Marine Terminal, give Bal-
                                        timore the distinction of being one of only two post-Panamax ready ports along the East Coast
                                        in 2012. The port has a fifty-foot-deep channel and now seven Super post-Panamax cranes.

                                        Miami: Cruising to Success
                                        The Port of Miami has long been regarded as America’s cruise port. From Carnival, Disney,
                                        Norwegian, Royal Caribbean, or one of eight other existing and newly expanding cruise lines,
                                        there is hardly an international cruise operator that does not make Miami a primary port of
                                        call. Over 4.5 million cruise passengers flow through its terminals annually, a figure which
                                        has grown by a third over the past decade in spite of the recession. Miami is now using cruise
                                        ship success as a launching pad for its cargo ambitions. Dredging and Super post-Panamax
                                        crane upgrades are underway. These post-Panamax readiness projects have already resulted
                                        in a joint Memorandum of Understanding designed to promote new business growth between
                                        the Port of Miami and the Panama Canal Authority. Miami, along with Port Everglades, is ad-
                                        vancing capabilities to capitalize on the boom in traffic soon to flow through the expanded
                                        Panama Canal locks. The Port of Miami is no longer just your grandparents’ vacation port of
                                        call. It is now cruising to become a primary container port as well.




                                                                                                www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |        p. 11
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




                                         Colliers Recognizes the Best in North American Ports (continued)


                                         New York  New Jersey: Jumping Hurdles in a New York Minute
                                         Until recently it appeared as though New York would not be post-Panamax ready in 2015.
                                         The bridge’s current 151-foot air draft prohibits some post-Panamax ships from passing un-
                                         derneath on their way to four of the port’s biggest container terminals.

                                         The port authority will raise the air draft sixty-one feet by lifting the four-lane highway
                                         across the bridge. But first, the U.S. Coast Guard and other agencies must complete a study
                                         the project’s impact on the environment and on the bridge’s historic structure. It appeared
                                         as though the cost and engineering challenges required to raise the Bayonne Bridge would
                                         cause the authority to miss the fast-approaching 2015 deadline. However, in what felt to
                                         some like a New York minute, the timing challenges were hurdled. On July 18th, the New
                                         York Port Authority announced that the $1 billion project had been moved up by six months
                                         and had been placed on President Obama’s list of projects for expedited review. It now ap-
                                         pears certain that the Bayonne Bridge will have enough clearance by the fall of 2015 to
                                         handle post-Panamax ships.

                                                                        NUTLEY

                                                                BELLEVILLE
                                                          nj
                                                         pkwy
                                                                                             SECAUCUS                      Lin
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                                                    NEWARK                                                                 nd
                                                                           Port Newark             JERSEY            Tunne
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                                                                                                                          (Brooklyn Marine Terminal
                                                                                                       Greenville Yard    (
                                                                                                         (                  Red Hook Container Terminal
                                                                              (                        ( Global Marine
                                                                       Port Of Elizabeth
                                             ELIZABETH                 Marine Terminal      (             Terminal
                                                                                                                           (South Brooklyn Marine Terminal
                                                                                           Port Of
                                                    Go                       Bayonne       Bayonne
                                                      eth                                                            (65th St Intermodal Terminal
                                                          als (              Bridge
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                                                                   STATEN ISLAND




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                                                                                                                                      www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |        p. 12
North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012




                                                              Colliers Recognizes the Best in North American Ports (continued)
 522 offices in
 62 countries on
 6 continents
 United States: 147                                           Jacksonville: The Comeback Kid
 Canada: 37
 Latin America: 19
                                                              Florida has more port facilities and miles of waterways than any other U.S. coastal state. As
 Asia Pacific: 201                                            a result, capital resources for dredging, cranes, and upgrade projects have often been spread
 EMEA: 118                                                    thin. Florida allocated a disproportionate share of state funding to the ports of Miami and
  •	$1.8   billion in annual revenue                          Tampa for post-Panamax readiness, at the expense of the state’s fifteen other ports. But
       billion square feet under
  •	1.25                                                      while the port of Jacksonville has been overlooked in the funding process, north Florida’s only
    management                                                deep-water port is in the process of making a comeback.
  •	Over   12,300 professionals and staff
                                                              The Disney Resorts decision to bring most goods destined for its Central Florida properties
                                                              through Jacksonville was made possible thanks to the quality of Jacksonville’s port facilities.
 For more information:
                                                              However, we do worry that the state-wide push to bring Florida-bound cargo into the state
 K.C. Conway, Executive Managing
                                                              via a Florida port could have unintended consequences: Alabama, Louisiana, South Carolina,
 Director | Market Analytics
 +1 678 458 3477                                              Georgia and Virginia port authorities may see a material impact on container traffic, and re-
 KC.Conway@colliers.com                                       spond with their own campaigns and tax incentives. What seems to one state like a beneficial
 James Cook                                                   strategy to boost port traffic may place manufacturers, retailers and shippers in the midst of
 Director of Research | USA                                   an economic port development war.
 +1 602 633 4061
 james.cook@colliers.com

 Contributors:
 Aaron Finkelstein, Communications Manager | USA
 Zach Kroupa, Sr. Graphic Designer | USA
 Cliff Plank, National Director | GIS  Mapping



                                                              Mobile: The Up-and-Comer
 colliers international
                                                              Many are surprised to learn that post-Panamax vessels have started to call on the Port of
 601 Union Street, Suite 4800
 Seattle, WA 98101                                            Mobile. The MSC Laura docked there in June, the first post-Panamax vessel in the Mediter-
                                                              ranean Shipping Company’s fleet to provide new weekly direct service from the North Euro-
 +1 206 695 4200
                                                              pean ports of Antwerp, Felixstowe, Bremerhaven and Le Havre. Airbus’ recently announced
                                                              plan to build a $600 million assembly plant in Mobile will further bolster the port’s up-and-
  Copyright © 2012 Colliers International.                    comer status. The Port of Mobile has already seen an almost 30 percent growth in container
  The information contained herein has been obtained
  from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable
                                                              traffic; and with Airbus planning to begin production there in 2015, Mobile is the up-and-
  effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we             comer port to monitor.
  cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for
  any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult
  their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the
  material contained in this report.




                                                              To learn how Colliers International’s Logistics  Transportation Solutions
                                                              group can assist you, please visit: www.colliers.com/multimodal

               Accelerating success.

                                                                                                                      www.colliers.com/RESEARCH |       p. 13

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Colliers Port Analysis

  • 1. North American Port Analysis | Paper paper | August 2012 colliers international | white white August 2012 Colliers 2012 North American Port Analysis Port Awards Preparing for the First Post-Panamax Decade > Houston: The Irreplaceable Port K.C. CONWAY Executive Managing Director, Market Analytics | USA os Angeles/Long Beach: L A Colossus among Giants Savannah: Success with Less Charleston: Getting ‘er Done Virginia: 50 Feet before 50 Feet Was Cool Baltimore: The Delicate Touch Miami: Cruising to Success ew York New Jersey: N Jumping Hurdles in a New York Minute Jacksonville: The Comeback Kid Key Takeaways Mobile: The Up-and-Comer › The expansion of the Panama Canal to accommodate vessels capable of carrying up to Read more on page 10. 12,500 containers will alter global trade routes, and is already promoting the advance- ment of the science of logistics. › our East Coast ports will be ready to handle post-Panamax ships by 2015: Baltimore (2013), F Miami (2014), New York (2015) and Norfolk (ready). › our West Coast ports are already post-Panamax ready: Los Angeles, Long Beach, Oak- F land and Seattle. › hina holds great influence in global port activity. Six of the world’s 10 busiest container C ports are in China. None are located in North America. › e’ve identified five key risks to North American Ports: W • Overheated port competition • Environmental inaction • Labor strikes • Slowing global GDP • State budget crises › We present our Colliers 2012 Port Awards, which take a lighthearted look at the outstanding traits of some of North America’s top ports. www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 1
  • 2. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Euro Fears and Post-Panamax Prep In our last U.S. Port Analysis we detailed the two most pressing issues confronting coastal port authorities at the onset of 2012: › Infrastructure improvements needed to handle the larger ships which will soon pass through an expanded Panama Canal › The threat of a slowing European economy on U.S. port activity Since that report, a number of U.S. ports have risen to the challenge and accelerated port dredging and crane acquisition projects. Additionally, the world’s largest 12,500 twenty-foot Photo Credit: AP Moller Maersk equivalent unit (TEU) containerships have started making calls on North American ports. But while some ports build infrastructure, the completion date for the Panama Canal lock expansion has been postponed to the first half of 2015. And Europe, which is the largest trading partner to Pre-Panamax lock thresholds both the U.S. and China, has seen continued economic slowing.33.5 m report will examine how This (110’) 294.1 m (965’) 33.5 m (110’) these and other global challenges have affected the health of North American ports. 294.1 m (965’) 32.3 m (106’) Eastern Port Traffic Growth Will Accelerate 304.8 m (1,000’) 32.3 m (106’) The expansion of the Panama Canal will alter global trade routes and is already promoting the 304.8 m (1,000’) advancement of the science of logistics. The expansion will impact more than just shipping 12.8 m (42’) companies: Retail supply chains, manufacturers and commoditym (39.5’) will each feel the ef- traders draft 12.4 12.8 m (42’) fects of new access to eastern ports. Growth in East and Gulf Coast port traffic will be fueled draft 12.4 m (39.5’) by new manufacturing operations from Airbus (Mobile), Boeing (Charleston) and Caterpillar (Athens, Georgia), and a new commitment from Disney to exclusively use the port of Jackson- ville for all imports bound to the Magic Kingdom. As China’s economic growth slows and Amer- 55 m (180’) Post-Panamax lock thresholds ican manufacturing grows in the right-to-work states of the Southeast, Midwest and Gulf Coast, port volume growth trends will shift in new ways.(1,200’) from the Port Import/Export Reporting 366 m Data 55 m (180’) Service (PIERS) shows that, for the first time since World War II, the East Coast surpassed the 366 m (1,200’) West in container traffic growth. Eastern ports saw traffic grow by 5.5 percent in Q1 2012 over 49 m (160’) the same quarter in 2011, as compared with 3.0 percent in the western ports. Eastern traffic growth will accelerate further after the 2015 Panama Canal expansion is complete. 427 m (1,400’) 49 m (160’) 427 m (1,400’) U.S. Will Need to Step up Port Infrastructure Spending 18.3 m (60’) According to a recent U.S. Army Corps of Engineers report (U.S. Port and Inland Waterways Mod- draft ernization: Preparing for Post-Panamax Vessels) post-Panamax vessels will make up 62 percent 15.2 m (50’) 18.3 m (60’) of total container ship capacity by 2030. North American ports will need to spend billions in or- draft 15.2 m (50’) der to participate in this global trade opportunity. But the U.S. may be lagging behind—the nation ranks 23rd globally in infrastructure competitiveness, according to the World Economic Forum. 3rd Generation 4th Generation 2nd Generation 5th Generation 1971-1990 1990-2000 1970-1980 1st Generation Pre-1970 3rd Generation 4th Generation 5th Generation 1971-1990 1990-2000 Sea Level 10’ 20’ 9m 30’ 10 m 11.6-12.8 m 12.8-14 m 14 m 40’ 50’ 11.6-12.8 m www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 2 12.8-14 m 14 m
  • 3. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 A Small Guide to Large Cranes North American Port Readiness and Rankings The typical Panamax crane in use at The western ports of Los Angeles, Long Beach, Oakland and Seattle are post-Panamax ready. most U.S. ports today won’t have the Four East Coast ports will be post-Panamax ready in time for the 2015 Panama Canal expansion. capacity required to deal with post- › Norfolk is currently post-Panamax ready Panamax vessels. › Baltimore will be post-Panamax ready by the end of 2012 Typical Feeder – Panamax Crane › Miami will be post-Panamax ready by 2015, with dredging approved and super post-Pana- B Outreach 30.00 – 40.00m D Lift Height 24.00 – 30.00m max cranes ordered SWL Capacity 40/50T Single – 65T Twin › New York will be post-Panamax ready by the end of 2015, with funding now approved to Hoisting Speed 50 – 125 m/min raise the Bayonne Bridge in 2012 Trolley Speed 150 – 180 m/min Travel Speed 45 m/min Wheel Load * 30 – 45T Per Meter North American Post-Panamax Ready Ports A Panamax crane can load and unload a container ship capable of passing through the Panama Canal today. Post-Panamax 2012 TEUs Port 2011 TEUs Global Rank Status/Impediment (Est. 000s) Typical Post-Panamax Crane LA/Long Beach Currently Ready 14,000 14,000 6th B Outreach 40.00 – 46.00m 2015 – Bayonne D Lift Height 30.00 – 35.00m New York/NJ 5,600 5,500 20th Bridge SWL Capacity 40/50T Single – 65T Twin Hoisting Speed 60 – 150 m/min Oakland Currently Ready 2,400 2,350 top 50 Trolley Speed 180 – 210 m/min Seattle Currently Ready 2,100 2,000 top 50 Travel Speed 45 m/min Wheel Load * 40 – 55T Per Meter Houston 2013 – Dredging 2,100 1,900 top 50 A post-Panamax crane can load a ship 18 contain- Norfolk Currently Ready 1,900 1,900 top 50 ers wide, which is too big to pass through the 2015 – Dredging/ Miami 950 900 top 100 Panama Canal. Cranes Baltimore 2013 – Cranes 650 630 top 100 Typical Super Post Panamax/Megamax B Outreach 46.00 – 69.00m Source: American Association of Port Authorities, Colliers International D Lift Height 35.00 – 49.00m SWL Capacity 65T Twin - 80T Tandem A port is considered post-Panamax ready when it has met three key criteria. Hoisting Speed 70 – 175 m/min Trolley Speed 210 – 240 m/min › Channel depth of 50 feet with sufficient channel width and turning basin size Travel Speed 45 m/min Wheel Load * 60 – 80T Per Meter › Cranes capable of loading and unloading pots-Panamax ships The Super post-Panamax is the largest crane in use today and can unload containers from vessels › Docks engineered to handle the new bigger cranes with a width of 22 or more containers. Baltimore and Miami are each adding such cranes. *Based on 8 wheels per corner at 1.00m spacing Source: liebherr.com www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 3
  • 4. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 China Ports Lead in Global Traffic Volume Top 20 North American Container Ports China, Korea and the Netherlands not only surpass the U.S. in post- Panamax readiness, they lead in terms of container traffic as well. Rank 2012 TEUs 2011 2010 No. American Port (2011 The top seventy primary container ports in North America handle (Est. 000s) TEUs TEUs TEUs) approximately 45 million TEUs per year, which is the equivalent of Los Angeles, CA 8,000 7,900 7,800 1 35% of China’s 130 million annual TEUs. Six of the world’s ten Long Beach , CA 6,000 6,100 6,300 2 busiest container ports are in China, according to data from the American Association of Port Authorities. The other top global New York/NJ 5,600 5,500 5,300 3 ports are found in Singapore, South Korea, United Arab Emirates Savannah, GA 3,000 2,900 2,900 4 and the Netherlands. Canada – Vancouver 2,600 2,500 5 Oakland, CA 2,400 2,350 2,330 6 In order for the U.S. to crack the global top ten, one would have to combine the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, which would Seattle, WA 2,100 2,000 2,150 7 result in 14 million TEUs. This level of traffic is unmatched in North Houston, TX 2,100 1,900 1,812 8–9 America. In fact, combining all Canada and Mexico’s port TEUs would Norfolk, VA 1,950 1,900 1,895 8–9 only equal 8.7 million, 62 percent of the traffic of Mexico – Manzanillo 1,800 1,750 1,700 10 Los Angeles and Long Beach. Tacoma, WA 1,500 1,500 1,455 11 Canada – Montreal 1,400 1,300 12 U.S. Tops North American Port Rankings Charleston, SC 1,350 1,300 1,147 13 All but four of North America’s top twenty ports as ranked by container Jacksonville, FL 950 900 827 14 traffic are in the U.S. The remaining two are in Canada and Mexico. Miami, FL 950 900 847 15 Los Angeles and Long Beach are the busiest North American Baltimore, MD 650 632 16 container ports, followed by New York/New Jersey, Savannah and Canada – Prince Vancouver. Thirteen of the top twenty North American ports handle 500 410 17 Rupert more than one million annual TEUs. Portland, OR 210 200 181 18 › The top 50 U.S. ports handle 32.5 million TEUs Mobile, AL 190 170 145 19 › Canada’s leading 5 ports handle 4.8 million TEUs Tampa, FL (a bulk cargo port) 45 40 44 20 › Mexico’s top 10 ports handle 4.2 million TEUs Subtotals 43,295 42,152 36,833 Of Canada’s 5 largest ports, Vancouver handles the most container % of N.Am TEUs 96% 94% traffic with 2.5 million TEUs in 2011. Port of Manzanillo handles the most container traffic in Mexico, with 1.75 million TEUs. Los Angeles/ Long Beach and New York/New Jersey are the busiest container ports in the U.S., with annual TEUs of 14 million and 5.5 million respectively. www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 4
  • 5. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Florida Will Benefit from Canal Expansion It may seem surprising that no port in Florida handles more than one million TEUs, but ports in the Sunshine State often favor bulk cargo and cruise ships over container traffic. In fact, Tampa is the largest fertilizer export port in the world; Miami leads in cruise ships, handling 35 percent of all global cruise ship traffic. Florida also has the most ports of any U.S. coastal state, which helps to keep cargo more widely dispersed. We expect Florida’s traffic to be- come more focused on three ports after 2015 when upgrades in Miami, Tampa and Jackson- ville have made these ports post-Panamax ready. Top N. American Ports: Ranked by 2011 Container Volume (TEUs) ■ 2011 YTD ■2010 ■2009 ■2008 ■2007 9,000 15 Ports on Two Coasts 8,000 While largely favoring bulk cargo and 7,000 cruise ships, expect Florida’s traffic to 6,000 become more focused on three post- 5,000 Panamax ports: Miami, Tampa, and 4,000 Jacksonville 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 y D CA TX Ca Tac nillo s VA ob R L L L nc A r A C A rt al A L e le ve ,A ,F ,F M O ,W ,S ,F Va G ,C – ,W pe tre rs ge n, ou lk, h, d, Ba ami e, – ah, ille ile za pa Je Ru on nd on tle a An to ac an or rfo na om an m st nv da ann kla us at M w i Be m ce rtl M No Ta le s M M Se Ne so Ho lti Oa Lo in Po ar v ng – ck Sa da Pr Ch – ico Lo Ja k – r na ex Yo da Ca M na w Ne Ca Major U.S. Port City Container Traffic Seattle/Tacoma, WA 2011 TEUs: 3,500 Portland, OR 2011 TEUs: 200 New York/NJ 2011 TEUs: 5,500 Oakland, CA 2011 TEUs: 2,350 Annual TEU % Change 2007 – 2011 Norfolk, Virginia 2011 TEUs: 1,850 24 Savannah, GA 2011 TEUs: 2,900 2011 2011 Total TEUs Tota l TEU's Jacksonville, FL 000's Los Angeles/Long Beach, CA 14,000 2011 TEUs: 900 2011 TEUs: 14,000 7,000 Houston, TX Tampa, FL 2011 TEUs: 1,900 2011 TEUs: 40 1,400 Miami, FL 2011 TEUs: 900 www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 5
  • 6. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 The Age of Intermodalism The Rest of the Port Story involves Air, Truck Rail The past fifty-five years have seen intermodalism transformed from The arrival of cargo at a North American coast is just one leg of its a theory into a high tech global phenomenon. “Intermodalism” trip. The entire journey from port to consumer as well as the pro- describes the system of standardized cargo containers which move cess of matching the empty containers with cargo for the return trip seamlessly between different modes of transport around the world. is all part of what the late Paul Harvey might have called “the rest of It began with the maiden voyage of the Ideal X from Newark to the story.” And that story is changing. Houston in 1956 with fifty-eight metal containers on board, and Historically, trucks have been the preferred mode of transporting reached its latest milestone in March with the call of the MSC Fabiola, containerized goods inland from North American ports; rail was the the largest container vessel now serving U.S.-Asia trade with a means by which commodities flowed outward. However, volatile fuel capacity of 12,500 TEUs, at the Port of Long Beach. prices, shortages of qualified truck drivers, highway traffic conges- No longer can a shipping company, manufacturer, or retailer think of tion and the speed and reliability of rail and air cargo have increased the various modes of transportation in isolation. They are their appeal as an inland transport option. interconnected in a global supply chain. But while intermodalism has The primary consideration for retailers and manufacturers is no lon- matured, there are still challenges on the horizon, including the threat ger solely the cost of shipping. Confronted with increasing time pres- from volatile energy prices, congestion at key inland intermodal sures, they now must strike a balance between cost and speed. points such as Chicago, and the lost efficiencies which occur when Clothiers, for example, can’t put the back-to-school season on hold empty containers are transported back to their port of origin. A new when cargo is held up at a choke pointt in the supply chain. When report from the Department of Agriculture is helping shippers to timing is of the essence, retailers employ air cargo to have inventory address this problem. on hand when they need it. Shippers Will Realize New Efficiencies Retailers and manufacturers are remaking their entire supply chains, Thanks to OSCAR Report looking for hidden opportunity in the more than three thousand U.S. For the first time, shippers have access to weekly data about the intermodal facilities. Many retailers are spending almost as much surpluses and shortages of TEU maritime containers at 18 inland capital on new distribution centers and logistics technology as they U.S. intermodal load points. The U.S. Department of Agriculture are in new store openings. Distribution centers are appearing in introduced the Ocean Shipping Container Availability Report (OSCAR) in places some might call off-the-beaten-path. Ashley Furniture, for July. OSCAR helps distributors, retailers, and others to better manage example, frustrated with freight train delays in Chicago and seeing transportation costs and increase “match-back” shipments. This the export opportunities developing along the Mid-Atlantic and process reduces shipping costs by matching an emptied import Southeast coast, has announced it will build a 3.3 million square foot container with goods or materials for the return trip to its port of manufacturing and warehouse facility in North Carolina. origin. OSCAR provides shippers with three weeks of future estimates and projections of inventory of dry, high cube and refrigerated containers. The Intermodal Rail Yard in Chicago is the largest in the U.S. Transportation Truck Rail Seaport/Ship Air Freight Logistics Supplier Manufacturer Warehouser Retailer Consumer www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 6
  • 7. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Defining the Epicenters of Intermodalism OSCAR Report Coverage Getting a handle on such a vast interconnected network can be a challenge. To visualize the Region MSA American intermodal network, we’ve chosen to focus on the routes of the seven Class I North American railroads in conjunction with the eighteen designated load points identified in West Coast Long Beach, CA OSCAR, along with three other metros that we believe deserve attention. Oakland, CA American Association of Railroads Map of Class I Railroads Seattle, WA Tacoma, WA East Coast New York Norfolk, VA Charleston, SC Savannah, GA Gulf Coast Houston, TX New Orleans, LA Inland Chicago, IL Cincinnati, OH Columbus, OH Dallas, TX Denver, CO Kansas City, MO Memphis, TN Minneapolis, MN These twenty-one hubs are the nodes of connection between the key elements of commerce, OSCAR Atlanta connecting imported and exported goods with populations of consumers, raw materials, labor Omissions Florida/Jacksonville and the capital of banks and financial markets that lubricate the wheels of commerce. Indianapolis The eighteen OSCAR markets that make up the majority of our list have all the pieces needed The OSCAR goes to 18 US Markets to assemble the logistics puzzle. They include the port markets that process 75 percent of with the Logistics Data all North American containers, the primary intersecting points for all seven Class-1 railroads (excepting Atlanta and Indianapolis) and financially important MSAs located in all but two of These twenty-one markets will be the Federal Reserve’s districts. the leading intermodal and logistics centers for North American retailers and manufacturers in the first post-Panamax decade beginning in 2015. They are the epicenters of intermodalism in North America. www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 7
  • 8. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Port Intermodal Risk: Port Competition Could Under- competitive practices that distort the market Risk Assessment mine Infrastructure Maintenance Funding and threaten these efficiencies, by ensuring a With the expansion of the Panama Canal, The global intermodal system is a complex fair approach to port maintenance, funding technological advances in logistics and network that operates most efficiently when and cargo fees. new efficiencies in supply-chain manage- all nodes operate on an equal footing without Risk: Environmental Inaction ment, the opportunities ahead for shippers, artificial incentives. The system comes into Most port authorities understand the environ- manufacturers, retailers, and industrial real risk when nodes compete in destructive mental dangers of diesel emissions from estate investors are many. Yet there are ways. It’s as though a person’s arm were to ships, trucks and gantry cranes, as well as the also some risks on the horizon. We have fight their leg for supremacy of the body: impact of improper port dredging and are en- identified five risks, based on the current even if one succeeds over the other, the en- gaged in finding solutions. Baltimore is recog- state of the industry. tire body is worse off. nized as “The Green Port” for the steps it has Ports are now attempting to unfairly direct taken to lessen its impact on the Chesapeake container cargo traffic to their ports over Bay. Los Angeles, Long Beach and Houston others. Some ports in Canada and Mexico lead the continent in their funding of environ- have steered container traffic bound for U.S. mental upgrades. The electrification of Mi- destinations into their ports; from there, the ami’s cranes will eliminate one entire source cargo enters the U.S. via rail, avoiding U.S. of that port’s diesel emissions. port taxes which support harbor mainte- But in a time of constricting government bud- nance. In Florida, business and political lead- gets, there is a great risk of inaction. Incen- ers are engaged in a statewide campaign to tives and financing mechanisms are required have all goods which are consumed in Flori- for port authorities to maintain momentum on da enter the state through a Florida port. environmental progress. What’s more, some Florida hopes to capture some of the con- environmental initiatives such as the electrifi- tainer traffic—and the tax revenue and jobs cation of gantry cranes and automation of that come with it—from ports in Georgia, port facilities face resistance from organized South Carolina and Virginia. labor. The growth in global trade has create effi- Risk: Labor Strikes Could Halt Port ciencies of scale that have steadily reduced Activity shipping costs for decades, despite increased Strikes can greatly disrupt container traffic in costs of fuel, labor, environmental compli- North America. In its Q2 earnings release, ance and terminal fees. Fifty years ago, the the Canadian Pacific Railway blamed a nine- cost of ocean shipping was approximately 15 day strike for an almost twenty percent drop percent of the value of shipped goods; in in second-quarter profits. But this would be 2012, it’s less than 1 percent. minor compared with the impact of a Harbor maintenance fees and taxes pay not potential International Longshoremen’s just for port dredging and security, but also Association (ILA) strike at U.S. ports maintenance of the inland waterways that following the October 1st expiration of its connect Canada and Mexico to the U.S. Only existing labor agreement. The timing of such government leadership can prevent anti- a strike would hit retailers just as they are www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 8
  • 9. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Port Intermodal importing goods for the holiday shopping season. The ILA is concerned with loss of jobs to Risk Assessment port automation and the transfer of ownership of intermodal equipment. Port authorities and (continued) multinational shipping companies have turned to leasing companies to help upgrade facilities and finance post-Panamax port equipment. The ILA fears that these new private owners will employ non-union labor, or turn to other labor unions such as electrical workers for new electric gantry cranes. This issue was central to a pair of recent ILA showdowns at grain terminals in Washington State and Oregon. The question remains whether the U.S. is entering a new phase of ILA activism. Risk: Slowing Global GDP China’s slowing GDP growth and Europe’s debt crisis each threaten global trade. For port authorities, this could mean a dramatic drop in fees collected to maintain and upgrade their ports. China’s five primary ports originate approximately forty-five percent of all the world’s container cargo; Europe is the largest trading partner to both the U.S. and China. A mere five- percent drop in global container traffic would mean the loss in traffic of the equivalent of all the containers handled annually in Los Angeles and Long Beach. Risk: State Budget Crises Half of the top ten U.S. container ports are located within states ranked in the bottom ten for fiscal soundness in Forbes’ annual ranking of state debt and fiscal conditions. Only one top- twenty port—Norfolk—is in a state with a high ranking. Chicago, the most vital intermodal metropolitan area in North America, is located within Illinois, the most fiscally distressed state in the U.S. Chicago’s most pressing intermodal congestion issue is the fact that passenger rail traffic must share lines with trains that move freight. The cost to cure Chicago’s conges- tion problem would be $3 billion. It is unlikely that Chicago could soon expect this kind of ex- penditure from a state operating a $500 million annual deficit. The U.S. state fiscal crisis is a material risk to vital U.S. ports such as LA/Long Beach and New York, and pivotal inland in- termodal centers like Chicago. Post-Panamax World Will Require Intelligent Leadership Once its expansion is complete, the Panama Canal will accommodate container vessels 160 percent larger than today’s Panamax ships, forever altering global trade routes. Many ports in North America are rapidly preparing for this coming change, but no single continent controls all of the resources, facilities or technology that determine the flow of global container traffic. The future well-being of global trade resides in successful global collaboration. The twenty-one markets identified in this report will be the North American centers of ab- sorption and construction for modern distribution facilities in the first post-Panamax decade. The successful prosperity of these and all global logistical epicenters rests in great part on in- telligent government leadership to mitigate the many risks. www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 9
  • 10. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Colliers Recognizes the Best Houston: The Irreplaceable Port in North American Ports The Houston Port Authority was the first to introduce double-stacking rail cargo, and the first to receive certain ISO certifications for environmental management and security. It was also We think it’s not enough to judge ports a leader in the creation of foreign trade zones. Thus, it came as no surprise that Containerisa- by mere traffic alone. That’s why tion International named Houston the Port Authority of the Year in 2011. The Port of Houston we’ve chosen to conclude our as- handles seventy percent of all the containerized cargo in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and is vital to sessment with a look at a few of the the nation’s petrochemical industry. Unlike key East and West Coast ports, there are no alter- great achievements and distinguishing natives to the Port of Houston. New Orleans and Tampa might possibly handle Houston’s ves- features in ten of North America’s top sel traffic, but those ports lack the energy, security, and inland infrastructure that make Hous- seventy ports. ton a one-of-a-kind. Los Angeles/Long Beach: A Colossus among Giants The ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach are the big boys in all that is containerization in PORT OF HOUSTON AUTHORITY North America. Since 2000, they have ranked as the busiest container ports in North Ameri- ca. In 2006, the port authority surpassed 8.5 million TEUs, a first for any North American port. The MSC Fabiola, the largest container vessel in operation today, made call in March 2012 on the port of LA/Long Beach loaded with 12,000 containers. As the port’s director said last March: “Few ports can handle these giant ships, but Los Angeles / Long Beach is big-ship ready.” Savannah: Success with Less If you are a shipping company, retailer, or agricultural products exporter along the East Coast, Georgia Port Authority is on your mind. The Port of Savannah has become the third-busiest container port in North America while having a channel depth of just forty-two feet, the shal- lowest of North America’s top 15 ports. Savannah has seen less federal and state funding than other ports along the East Coast, yet the Georgia Port Authority has taken the lead on the East Coast in post-Panamax planning. This past spring, the Port of Savannah received Corps of Engineers approval to dredge to forty-seven feet while other ports along the East Coast were still struggling to complete their dredging impact studies. The port’s Center for In- novation and Logistics is unmatched along the East Coast. There is no better model for suc- cess with less than the Port of Savannah. Charleston: Getting ‘er Done The port of Charleston started late in obtaining approvals to increase its channel depth to fifty feet. It was also slow in getting its state legislature to appropriate the funds required to be- come post-Panamax ready. But despite the slow start, Charleston got the job done in 2012 like no other port in the past decade. The port and Corps of Engineers recently announced that they had shaved four years off the anticipated dredging approval process and the South Carolina legislature appropriated a record $180 million to fund the needed port upgrades. The port will now be post-Panamax ready between 2015 and 2017. In a time of Washington bu- reaucracy and state budget deficits, these accomplishments deserve special recognition for “getting ‘er done.” www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 10
  • 11. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Colliers Recognizes the Best in North American Ports (continued) Virginia: 50 Feet before 50 Feet Was Cool As of today there is just one East Coast port with a fifty-foot channel depth that is post- Panamax ready: the Port of Virginia, which has become a leading ocean container terminal complex. Although its annual TEU figures—approximately 2 million—rank it eighth among U.S. ports, it was ranked first for competitiveness by Site Selection magazine in 2011. The Port of Virginia is an East Coast sleeper that will likely be a first port-of-call for post-Panamax container vessels in 2015. Companies are already recognizing the Port of Virginia’s competitiveness: Ace Hardware recently selected the Hampton Roads area for its East Coast import re-distribution center. Baltimore: The Delicate Touch The Port of Baltimore has managed to become one of America’s top fifteen container ports while maintaining the delicate ecological balance of a wetland habitat for many Chesapeake Bay species. The Port of Baltimore also demonstrated its delicate engineering touch when it maneuvered four new Super post- Panamax cranes under the Chesapeake Bay Bridge in June. The new cranes, along with the deepening and reconstruction of the Seabirth Marine Terminal, give Bal- timore the distinction of being one of only two post-Panamax ready ports along the East Coast in 2012. The port has a fifty-foot-deep channel and now seven Super post-Panamax cranes. Miami: Cruising to Success The Port of Miami has long been regarded as America’s cruise port. From Carnival, Disney, Norwegian, Royal Caribbean, or one of eight other existing and newly expanding cruise lines, there is hardly an international cruise operator that does not make Miami a primary port of call. Over 4.5 million cruise passengers flow through its terminals annually, a figure which has grown by a third over the past decade in spite of the recession. Miami is now using cruise ship success as a launching pad for its cargo ambitions. Dredging and Super post-Panamax crane upgrades are underway. These post-Panamax readiness projects have already resulted in a joint Memorandum of Understanding designed to promote new business growth between the Port of Miami and the Panama Canal Authority. Miami, along with Port Everglades, is ad- vancing capabilities to capitalize on the boom in traffic soon to flow through the expanded Panama Canal locks. The Port of Miami is no longer just your grandparents’ vacation port of call. It is now cruising to become a primary container port as well. www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 11
  • 12. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Colliers Recognizes the Best in North American Ports (continued) New York New Jersey: Jumping Hurdles in a New York Minute Until recently it appeared as though New York would not be post-Panamax ready in 2015. The bridge’s current 151-foot air draft prohibits some post-Panamax ships from passing un- derneath on their way to four of the port’s biggest container terminals. The port authority will raise the air draft sixty-one feet by lifting the four-lane highway across the bridge. But first, the U.S. Coast Guard and other agencies must complete a study the project’s impact on the environment and on the bridge’s historic structure. It appeared as though the cost and engineering challenges required to raise the Bayonne Bridge would cause the authority to miss the fast-approaching 2015 deadline. However, in what felt to some like a New York minute, the timing challenges were hurdled. On July 18th, the New York Port Authority announced that the $1 billion project had been moved up by six months and had been placed on President Obama’s list of projects for expedited review. It now ap- pears certain that the Bayonne Bridge will have enough clearance by the fall of 2015 to handle post-Panamax ships. NUTLEY BELLEVILLE nj pkwy SECAUCUS Lin co 278 Tu n ln ORANGE ne l KEARNY UNION CITY MANHATTAN 280 Holla NEWARK nd Port Newark JERSEY Tunne l 495 QUEENS Container 78 Terminal CITY Broo ery New B at e l ( ark Tun Bay k lyn t Brg 678 UNION n (Brooklyn Marine Terminal Greenville Yard ( ( Red Hook Container Terminal ( ( Global Marine Port Of Elizabeth ELIZABETH Marine Terminal ( Terminal (South Brooklyn Marine Terminal Port Of Go Bayonne Bayonne eth (65th St Intermodal Terminal als ( Bridge Br LINDEN 95 idg Howland Hook e Marine Terminal BROOKLYN ano ridge 278 raz Ver rows B Na r STATEN ISLAND Outer Bridge Crossing www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 12
  • 13. North American Port Analysis | white paper | August 2012 Colliers Recognizes the Best in North American Ports (continued) 522 offices in 62 countries on 6 continents United States: 147 Jacksonville: The Comeback Kid Canada: 37 Latin America: 19 Florida has more port facilities and miles of waterways than any other U.S. coastal state. As Asia Pacific: 201 a result, capital resources for dredging, cranes, and upgrade projects have often been spread EMEA: 118 thin. Florida allocated a disproportionate share of state funding to the ports of Miami and • $1.8 billion in annual revenue Tampa for post-Panamax readiness, at the expense of the state’s fifteen other ports. But billion square feet under • 1.25 while the port of Jacksonville has been overlooked in the funding process, north Florida’s only management deep-water port is in the process of making a comeback. • Over 12,300 professionals and staff The Disney Resorts decision to bring most goods destined for its Central Florida properties through Jacksonville was made possible thanks to the quality of Jacksonville’s port facilities. For more information: However, we do worry that the state-wide push to bring Florida-bound cargo into the state K.C. Conway, Executive Managing via a Florida port could have unintended consequences: Alabama, Louisiana, South Carolina, Director | Market Analytics +1 678 458 3477 Georgia and Virginia port authorities may see a material impact on container traffic, and re- KC.Conway@colliers.com spond with their own campaigns and tax incentives. What seems to one state like a beneficial James Cook strategy to boost port traffic may place manufacturers, retailers and shippers in the midst of Director of Research | USA an economic port development war. +1 602 633 4061 james.cook@colliers.com Contributors: Aaron Finkelstein, Communications Manager | USA Zach Kroupa, Sr. Graphic Designer | USA Cliff Plank, National Director | GIS Mapping Mobile: The Up-and-Comer colliers international Many are surprised to learn that post-Panamax vessels have started to call on the Port of 601 Union Street, Suite 4800 Seattle, WA 98101 Mobile. The MSC Laura docked there in June, the first post-Panamax vessel in the Mediter- ranean Shipping Company’s fleet to provide new weekly direct service from the North Euro- +1 206 695 4200 pean ports of Antwerp, Felixstowe, Bremerhaven and Le Havre. Airbus’ recently announced plan to build a $600 million assembly plant in Mobile will further bolster the port’s up-and- Copyright © 2012 Colliers International. comer status. The Port of Mobile has already seen an almost 30 percent growth in container The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable traffic; and with Airbus planning to begin production there in 2015, Mobile is the up-and- effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we comer port to monitor. cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report. To learn how Colliers International’s Logistics Transportation Solutions group can assist you, please visit: www.colliers.com/multimodal Accelerating success. www.colliers.com/RESEARCH | p. 13