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Tổng quan về biến đổi khí hậu và tác động của chúng đến hoạt động của con người TS. Nguyễn Văn Cường Viện nghiên cứu Đào tạo và Phát triển công nghệ . Huế 10/2008
Lịch sử Nghiên cứu Về BDKH ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Biến đổi khí hậu là gì ? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Biến đổi khí hậu là gì?( tiếp) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Đặc điểm của biến đổi khí hậu ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Phát hiện về sự giao động khí hậu ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Tác nhân dẫn đến biến đổi khí hậu: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trái đất đang nóng dần (Globalwarming) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
KhÝ hËu tr¸i ®Êt ®­îc gi÷ æn ®Þnh nhê sù c©n b»ng vµ æn ®Þnh nång ®é khÝ nhµ kÝnh HiÖu øng nhµ kÝnh
Nguyªn nh©n cña BiÕn ®æi khÝ hËu Source: IPCC  Con ng­êi víi c¸c øng dông khoa häc kü thuËt ®· bæ sung thªm mét khèi l­îng lín c¸c khÝ nhµ kÝnh ®· cã vµ nh÷ng khÝ nhµ kÝnh hoµn toµn míi
Một số hình ảnh về tác động của con người
 
Sự nóng lên diễn ra mạnh mẽ hơn trên lục địa bắc bán cầu so với toàn cầu, đặc biệt là từ những năm 60 của thế kỷ trước đến nay . Note: different scales Xu thế diễn biến nhiệt độ trung bình năm toàn cầu (°C) Nguồn: Báo cáo lần thứ 4 của IPCC, 2007
 
 
National Obligations based on capacity and responsibility population income Capacity cumulative emissions (1990-2010) Responsibility Obligation (RCI) USA 4.6 20.7 29.7 23.3 33.9 31.8 EU (27) 7.2 21.6 27.9 15.9 20.5 24.8 Liên hiệp Anh 0.9 3.1 4.2 2.1 2.9 3.7 Đức 1.2 4.1 5.6 3.4 4.6 5.2 Nga 2.0 3.2 2.9 6.3 5.9 3.9 Brazil 2.9 2.8 2.3 1.4 1.2 1.8 Trung quốc 19.7 12.5 5.9 15.7 7.5 6.6 Ấn độ 17.2 5.2 0.8 4.2 0.7 0.8 South Africa 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.6 1.4 0.9 LDCs 12.5 1.5 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.1 Annex 1 18.8 57.2 75.1 56.5 73.4 74.6 Non-Annex 1 81.2 42.8 24.9 43.5 26.7 25.4 All high income  15.1 55.2 75.6 50.9 71.4 74.3 All middle Income 46.7 36.4 23.4 42.2 27.8 24.8 All low Income 38.2 8.5 1.0 6.9 0.9 0.9 Toàn cầu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Hậu quả của Biến đổi khí hậu ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nhiet do ,[object Object]
Melting of glazier in poles
Băng ở biển bắc 9/2007
Nước biển dâng ,[object Object]
Các sự kiện thời tiết cực đại ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thu hẹp diện tích không gian sinh tồn. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hiện tượng thời tiết bất thường : ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ví dụ: Châu á ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
(Tiep) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
, ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
• Rủi ro do lũ tăng do xu hướng mưa nhiều •Rủi ro do hạn hán cũng tăng ở một số vùng, đi kèm là rủi ro về hỏa hoạn ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Tóm tắt tác động tương hỗ : Hệ thống KH Các hệ thống tự nhiên và con người Tương tác Tác động từ BĐKH Phát triển KTXH Gia tăng hiệu ứng nhà kính Các áp lực không liên quan tới BĐKH Tác  động  tới  môi trường Phản hồi Ô nhiễm không khí Nồng độ khí nhà kính Phát thải do con người
[object Object]
Hết  ,[object Object]

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Tổng Quan Về Biến đổi Khí Hậu Và

  • 1. Tổng quan về biến đổi khí hậu và tác động của chúng đến hoạt động của con người TS. Nguyễn Văn Cường Viện nghiên cứu Đào tạo và Phát triển công nghệ . Huế 10/2008
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. KhÝ hËu tr¸i ®Êt ®­îc gi÷ æn ®Þnh nhê sù c©n b»ng vµ æn ®Þnh nång ®é khÝ nhµ kÝnh HiÖu øng nhµ kÝnh
  • 11. Nguyªn nh©n cña BiÕn ®æi khÝ hËu Source: IPCC Con ng­êi víi c¸c øng dông khoa häc kü thuËt ®· bæ sung thªm mét khèi l­îng lín c¸c khÝ nhµ kÝnh ®· cã vµ nh÷ng khÝ nhµ kÝnh hoµn toµn míi
  • 12. Một số hình ảnh về tác động của con người
  • 13.  
  • 14. Sự nóng lên diễn ra mạnh mẽ hơn trên lục địa bắc bán cầu so với toàn cầu, đặc biệt là từ những năm 60 của thế kỷ trước đến nay . Note: different scales Xu thế diễn biến nhiệt độ trung bình năm toàn cầu (°C) Nguồn: Báo cáo lần thứ 4 của IPCC, 2007
  • 15.  
  • 16.  
  • 17. National Obligations based on capacity and responsibility population income Capacity cumulative emissions (1990-2010) Responsibility Obligation (RCI) USA 4.6 20.7 29.7 23.3 33.9 31.8 EU (27) 7.2 21.6 27.9 15.9 20.5 24.8 Liên hiệp Anh 0.9 3.1 4.2 2.1 2.9 3.7 Đức 1.2 4.1 5.6 3.4 4.6 5.2 Nga 2.0 3.2 2.9 6.3 5.9 3.9 Brazil 2.9 2.8 2.3 1.4 1.2 1.8 Trung quốc 19.7 12.5 5.9 15.7 7.5 6.6 Ấn độ 17.2 5.2 0.8 4.2 0.7 0.8 South Africa 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.6 1.4 0.9 LDCs 12.5 1.5 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.1 Annex 1 18.8 57.2 75.1 56.5 73.4 74.6 Non-Annex 1 81.2 42.8 24.9 43.5 26.7 25.4 All high income 15.1 55.2 75.6 50.9 71.4 74.3 All middle Income 46.7 36.4 23.4 42.2 27.8 24.8 All low Income 38.2 8.5 1.0 6.9 0.9 0.9 Toàn cầu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Melting of glazier in poles
  • 21. Băng ở biển bắc 9/2007
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
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  • 32.