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David Cancel- @dcancelhttp://davidcancel.com/
Data-Driven Startups
NYVC Speaker Series
New York, NY, September 2010
Twitter hash tags: #datadriven
#nyvc
David Cancel- @dcancel
“In God we trust; all others must bring data.”
- W. Edwards Deming
David Cancel- @dcancel
Who am I
Companies Advisor Investor
David Cancel- @dcancel
The Problem:
98% of the people who visit your site, leave
never to return.
David Cancel- @dcancel
We love making
something from
nothing.
Yes, we’re hiring.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Talking, Reading and
Dreaming are
Worthless
Get it done.
David Cancel- @dcancel
#JFDI
Just Fucking Do It.
Please.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Lean Startup? Customer Development?
Who cares...
David Cancel- @dcancel
It can all be summarized into one sentence.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Does anyone give a shit about your dumb
idea?
David Cancel- @dcancel
There are NO repeatable patterns for
startup success. None. Stop looking for
one.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Do I have your attention now. ;-)
David Cancel- @dcancel
Buy this book
This is the best startup
book I’ve ever read.
I personally own two
copies.
Required reading for
startup engineers.
You can find it on Lulu.com
David Cancel- @dcancel
And this one too.
This is more of a “manual”
than a “book”.
Good for everyone on your
team to read.
If people care about your
product read this to learn
how to determine if you
can turn your hobby into a
business.
You can find this on
Amazon.
David Cancel- @dcancel
But remember that you will not find any
“secrets” in those books. Stop looking for
one.
Go solve a problem.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Ok enough ranting.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Time to talk data.
David Cancel- @dcancel
http://www.flickr.com/photos/joao_trindade/4363149
160/
David Cancel- @dcancel
Optimize your startup for learning by
creating a data-driven framework.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Analytics & A/B Testing are also not the
answer.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Use quantitative & qualitative data
to test YOUR assumptions.
David Cancel- @dcancel
A/B Testing. Multivariate Testing. Huh?
David Cancel- @dcancel
Multivariate Testing is Useless.
David Cancel- @dcancel
You are way too small to matter.
David Cancel- @dcancel
The point of testing is to prove or disprove
assumptions quickly.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Multivariate testing leads to a non-gratifying
experience because it takes too long.
David Cancel- @dcancel
The vast majority of sites should only use
A/B testing. This means you.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Shameless Plug:
ABTests.com
Learn by example
David Cancel- @dcancel
Always Be Testing Just Don’t be Stupid.
David Cancel- @dcancel
The Local Maxima Problem
Your Design
A Better Design
Optimized at Local Maxima
Current
I stole this slide from Joshua Porter -
@bokardo
David Cancel- @dcancel
“Design is never done”
- Joshua Porter
David Cancel- @dcancel
Optimize your startup for learning not data.
David Cancel- @dcancel
The 3 Steps to Data-Driven Startup
Enlightenment
David Cancel- @dcancel
Data-Driven Startup Checklist
Operating Dashboard
Conversion Funnel Analysis
Cohort Analysis
David Cancel- @dcancel
Skip the fancy shit and use Google
Spreadsheet. Ghettofabulous.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Step 1: The Operating Dashboard.
David Cancel- @dcancel
A single place for your entire team
to see where you suck the most.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Company-wide
dashboard
Everyone! Including interns.
Fictional
David Cancel- @dcancel
Every initiative has to map
to positive changes in these numbers.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Kill all features that don’t improve
your operating metrics.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Only move to the second step after you’ve
mastered the Operating Dashboard.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Step 2: Conversion Funnels
David Cancel- @dcancel
Metrics are fun, but Funnels kick ass.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Fancy Forget pretty visualizations
David Cancel- @dcancel
Pretty Wasted time
David Cancel- @dcancel
Keep it raw & ugly Do this tomorrow morning.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Monitor your funnel weekly to see how
changes are impacting your business.
David Cancel- @dcancel
If you aren’t doing this you are
implementing lots of useless features.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Checkout my friends at KissMetrics.com to
capture your funnel level data.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Step 3: Cohort Analysis
David Cancel- @dcancel
This is the “shot caller” of all analyses.
Respect.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Cohort Analysis by Fred Wilson (post)
David Cancel- @dcancel
Without a cohort analysis you are flying
blind.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Is your churn going up or down?
David Cancel- @dcancel
You don’t have a clue until you’ve
done a cohort analysis.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Time for some more ranting.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Data Visualizations are a Waste of Time.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Don’t use anything except for these 3
charts.
David Cancel- @dcancel
80%
19%
1%
Frequency
David Cancel- @dcancel
Focus on your business. Not data.
David Cancel- @dcancel
This is usually when I get some “data”
questions.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Things clueless people ask
What type of algorithms do you use?
What metrics should I use?
Anything related to a regression analysis.
Anything related to data visualization.
David Cancel- @dcancel
No one cares how smart you are
except for your mom.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Only one thing matters.
David Cancel- @dcancel
Does anyone give a shit about your dumb
idea?
David Cancel- @dcancel
Thank You!
David Cancel Email: dcancel@dcancel.comTwitter: dcan
http://davidcancel.com

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Data-Driven Startups

Editor's Notes

  1. Focused my career on building, advising & investing in data-powered startups. Data is their competitive advantage.
  2. It’s ok to not have all the answers. Design your company around learning and rapid development. If your app doesn’t embarrass you, you wasted too much time refining it.
  3. At the end of the day you have to DO. Be scrappy and just get shit done.
  4. If you had found one would you be writing books or starting and selling companies?
  5. It’s not about A/B testing & Analytics. It’s not about metrics. It’s about building your startup to be data-driven, because it’s all about optimizing for learning.
  6. Testing web pages is stupid, validating assumptions is smart
  7. multivariate testing is for suckers. stick with a/b tests
  8. Sorry someone had to break it to you.
  9. Optimize for agile learning. Fast learning iterations.
  10. Focus on people. Customer experience is the key. This is usually when people start to ask me data related questions.