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POSITIVE THEORY AND 
CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH
PHILOSOPHY of POSITIVE 
ACCOUNTING THEORY 
Philosophy 
• Teori positif dikeluarkan untuk memahami fenomena-fenomena 
akuntansi dengan mengamati kejadian secara empiris dan hasil 
pengamatan tersebut digunakan untuk membuat prediksi kejadian 
di masa akan datang. 
Milton Friedman: 
• Tujuan teori positif adalah mengembangakan teori atau hipotesa 
yang menghasilkan prediksi yang valid dan bermakna untuk 
prediksi atau phenomena yang belum pernah diamati. 
Watt & Zimmerma : 
• Tujuan teori positif adalah memprediksi dan menjelaskan praktek 
akuntansi
PHILOSOPHY of POSITIVE 
ACCOUNTING THEORY 
Asumsi mengenai perilaku individu : 
Para manajer, investor dan lender merupakan orang-orang 
yang rasional, menginginkan adanya keuntungan dari sisi 
finansial 
Manajer bisa memilih metode akuntansi yang secara langsung 
memaksimalkan kepentingan pribadinya atau merubah 
kebijakan yang berkaitan dengan pendanaan dan produksi 
yang secara tidak langsung mensejahterakan dirinya sendiri 
Manajer memaksimalkan nilai perusahaan
STRENGTHS of POSITIVE 
THEORY 
• Menghasilkan hipotesis melalui pengujian empiris 
• Memberi pemahaman tentang bagaimana dunia ini bekerja 
• Memberi pemahaman mengenai kaitan antara akuntansi dan 
harga saham 
• Berusaha memberi pemahaman mengenai kaitan antara 
informasi akuntansi, manajer perusahaan dan pasar serta 
menganalisa hubungannya
SCOPE of POSITIVE 
ACCOUNTING THEORY 
Penelitian dampak akuntansi dan perilaku 
pasar modal. 
Pengembangan 
teori akuntansi 
Menjelaskan dan memprediksi praktek akuntansi 
dalam perusahaan. 
• Usaha untuk menjelaskan apakah perusahaan menggunakan 
metode akuntansi tertentu untuk alasan oportunistik. Contohnya 
memindahkan kesejahteraan milik pemegang saham ke tangan 
manajer. Perspektif mengenai oportunistik ini sering disebut ex 
post. 
• Mengasumsikan perusahaan memilih praktek akuntansi untuk 
alasan efisiensi. Sehingga kebijakan akuntansi ditempatkan 
sebagai ex ante untuk menurunkan biaya kontrak antara 
perusahaan dan pemegang saham. 
positif :
CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH 
and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS 
HYPOTHESIS 
• Studi yang berusaha menentukan dampak 
perilisan informasi keuangan terhadap return 
saham 
• Studi yang memikirkan efek dari perubahan 
kebijakan akuntansi terhadap harga saham 
Penelitian pasar 
modal yang secara 
khusus penting 
terhadap teori 
akuntansi positif: 
• – efficient markets hypothesis (EMH). 
Sebagian besar 
penelitian 
mengenai hal ini 
mengarah pada 
satu paradigma 
ekonomi
CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH 
and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS 
HYPOTHESIS 
Pasar efisien, asumsi: 
Tidak ada biaya transaksi dalam 
perdagangan sekuritas 
Informasi disediakan secara cuma-cuma 
bagi seluruh peserta pasar 
Ada perjanjian mengenai dampak 
informasi saat ini terhadap harga 
sekarang dan pendistribusian harga 
pada masa yang akan datang
CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH 
and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS 
HYPOTHESIS 
Macam 
Informasi 
Weak 
Strong Semistrong
CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH 
and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS 
HYPOTHESIS 
Sementara EMH adalah teori 
tentang mekanisme harga 
pada pasar sekuritas, 
VS 
Capital market research 
(CMR) adalah penelitian 
empiris yang menggunakan 
metode statistik untuk 
menguji hipotesis yang 
berkaitan dengan perilaku 
pasar modal. Kebanyakan 
CMR menggunakan market 
model.
CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH 
and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS 
HYPOTHESIS 
Asumsi dalam market model: 
• Investor merupakan risk-averse 
• Return didistribusikan secara normal 
dan para investor memilih portofolio 
mereka sendiri 
• Investor memiliki ekspektasi yang 
sama 
• Merupakan pasar sempurna
DAMPAK PENGUMUMAN LABA 
AKUNTANSI TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM 
Salah satu tujuan teori akuntansi positif adalah mempelajari 
informasi yang dimiliki laba akuntansi terhadap harga saham. 
Ball & Brown melakukan pengujian terhadap manfaat laba 
historical cost bagi investor. 
Peningkatan laba akuntansi yang tidak diestimasi sebelumnya 
merupakan informasi baru bagi investor. Dalam pasar modal 
efisien, setiap perubahan aliran kas dari yang diharapkan akan 
mempengaruhi harga saham.
PENGARUH PENELITIAN INFORMASI 
LABA TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM ( BALL 
& BROWN’S) 
Laba akuntansi 
historis mengandung 
informasi yang 
cukup berarti. 
Dari hasil penelitian 
diketahui adanya 
informasi yang 
berkelanjutan di 
pasar, jadi akuntansi 
bukan satu-satunya 
informasi mengenai 
perusahaan. 
Pasar secara 
konsisten 
mengantisipasi 
informasi laporan 
akuntansi.
KETIDAK SEIMBANGAN 
INFORMASI DAN BESARNYA 
PERUSAHAAN 
Kandungan informasi pengumuman laba yang tidak diharapkan 
mungkin berlawanan dengan ukuran perusahaan. 
Semakin kecil perusahaan, semakin banyak informasi yang 
terkandung pada perusahaan. 
Argumentasi yang diberikan Freeman: 
• Perusahaan memberikan informasi yang lebih bervariasi 
• Perusahaan besar mempunyai tingkat informasi yang lebih besar yang 
dilakukan oleh para peneliti dan pemberitaan. 
Investor institusi umumnya lebih menyukai bertransaksi dengan 
perusahaan besar, untuk alasan likuiditas dan masalah kontrak.
BEBERAPA FAKTOR YANG 
MEMPENGARUHI EARNING RESPON 
COEFICIENT 
Risiko 
dan 
ketidak 
pastian 
Faktor 
Kualitas 
audit 
Industri 
Tingkat 
Bunga 
Laba 
permanen 
Tingkat 
Pertumbu 
Financial 
Leverage 
han 
Perusaha 
an 
dan 
temporer
STRATEGI PERDAGANGAN 
• Perubahan 
informasi setelah 
pengumuman 
• Winner-losser 
strategies dan 
sikap optimis 
para analis 
keuangan. 
Berdasarkan 
bukti empiris 
ternyata 
pasar dapat 
dipengaruhi 
data 
akuntansi
MECHANISTIC OR BEHAVIOURAL 
EFFECT 
 Cosmetic accounting 
Leftwich 
 Two hypotheses 
Market reacted mechanistically to changes in 
accounting numbers, regardless whether they were 
cosmetic or whether they had cash flow implications 
Market ignored accounting changes which had no 
cash flow consequences
MECHANISTIC OR BEHAVIOURAL 
EFFECT 
Manipulating 
accounting 
numbers:
MECHANISTIC OR BEHAVIOURAL 
EFFECT 
Detecting the quality and probability of accounting 
management :
A POSITIVE THEORY 
OF ACCOUNTING 
DISCRETION
BACKGROUND: EARLY DEMAND 
FOR THEORY 
Capital markets research 
inconclusive 
Observations of 
accounting policy choice 
• Why do managers prepare 
financial reports? 
• How are accounting policy 
choices made? 
Information hypothesis 
could not explain all 
observations
CONTRACTING THEORY 
The firm as a legal ‘nexus’ of 
contractual relationships 
Organising economic activity 
to reduce contracting costs 
• management contracts 
• debt contracts
AGENCY THEORY 
Jensen & Meckling 
(1976) 
Contract where one 
party (the principal) 
engages another 
(the agent) to act 
on their behalf 
e.g. where there is a 
separation of 
management and 
control. Managers 
have remuneration 
contracts 
Utility maximisation 
by both parties 
Agent may act on 
her/his own behalf 
(self-interest)
AGENCY THEORY 
Firms can be characterised as a nexus of 
contracts 
• Between consumers of products and the suppliers of 
factors of production 
Firms exist because they reduce contracting 
costs, 
• Firms provide an efficient means of organising economic 
activity 
Contracts include all types of agreements 
between two or more parties
AGENCY THEORY 
Agency costs 
Due to self interest, the agent might act in his/her own 
interest rather than that of the principal (moral hazard) 
Agents may undertake certain Divergent Behaviours 
This agency problem gives rise to Agency Costs 
(monitoring, bonding and residual loss)
AGENCY THEORY 
Agency costs can be categorised into: 
1. Monitoring Costs – the cost of observing the 
agent’s behaviour 
 Auditing costs 
2. Bonding Costs – Costs borne by the agent 
(e.g. manager) as a result of aligning their 
interests with the principal (e.g. owners) 
 Manager has to prepare financial reports (a cost to 
the manager in terms of time and effort)
AGENCY THEORY 
Agency costs can be categorised into 
(continued): 
3. Residual Loss – loss associated with not 
being able to fully align the interests of the 
principal with the agent
AGENCY THEORY 
• The principal reduces the 
remuneration paid to the agent in 
anticipation of agency costs 
• Cost of dysfunctional behaviour 
built into remuneration 
Price 
Protection (ex 
ante – up front) 
• The principal reduces the 
remuneration paid to the agent 
• Remuneration based on observed 
agent performance 
Ex post settling 
up (ex post – 
after the fact 
e.g. at the end 
of each year)
MANAGER-SHAREHOLDER 
AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS 
Managers as 
agents of 
owners can 
act in own 
interest 
The smaller 
the manager 
ownership in 
the firm the 
more likely 
divergent 
behaviours 
Manager has 
incentive to 
contract with 
firm to 
reduce 
divergent 
behaviours 
to reduce 
price 
protection 
Manager 
bear cost of 
owner 
monitoring
MANAGER-SHAREHOLDER 
AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS 
Agency 
Costs of 
Equity 
Risk-Aversion 
• – limited incentive to 
increase value of 
firm through 
investment in risky 
projects 
Dividend 
Retention 
• – reduced incentive 
to pay dividends or 
take on optimal 
levels of debt 
Over-consumption 
of 
Perquisites 
Horizon 
Problem 
• – short term focus on 
performance of firm
MANAGER-SHAREHOLDER 
AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS 
Reducing the agency costs of equity 
 Bonuses are usually tied to firm 
performance in some way to motivate 
managers to act in the owners’ interest 
 Bonuses can be paid in cash and/or 
shares/share options 
Bonuses can be tied to: 
1. Accounting numbers(such as net 
income, sales, return on assets) 
2. Share price (market based performance 
measure)
SHAREHOLDER-DEBTHOLDER 
AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS 
• Excessive dividend payments-reducing 
debtholder’s security 
• Asset substitution-firm invests in 
higher risk projects (no benefit to 
debtholder) 
• Under investment-where no 
incentive to invest in positive NPV 
projects 
• Claim dilution-issuing higher 
priority debt 
Agency 
costs 
of debt
SHAREHOLDER-DEBTHOLDER 
AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS 
 Debt-holders can Price Protect via 
increased interest charges or reduced 
amounts provided 
 The interests of shareholders can be 
bonded to those of debtholders via 
restrictions in lending agreements (Loan 
Covenants) 
 Covenants often rely on numbers contained 
in financial statements 
 Covenants usually restrict the behaviour of 
managers acting on behalf of owners
EX POST OPPORTUNISM VERSUS 
EX ANTE EFFICIENT 
CONTRACTING 
 Contracts provide incentives for agents to 
act against principals interest 
Opportunistic perspective 
ex post (after contracts finalised) 
incomplete contracts 
bonus plan hypothesis 
debt-equity hypothesis 
 Efficient contracting perspective
EX POST OPPORTUNISM VERSUS 
EX ANTE EFFICIENT 
CONTRACTING 
Efficient contracting perspective 
Efficient 
contracts 
align 
interests of 
agent with 
principal 
Actions that 
benefit agent 
also benefit 
firm 
Ex ante – 
before 
contracts are 
finalised
INFORMATION PERSPECTIVE 
AND SIGNALLING 
Holthausen 
Derived 
from 
signalling 
theory 
Managers 
provide 
information 
to investors 
to assist in 
their 
decision 
making 
Similar to 
efficient 
contracting 
Accounting 
information 
precedes 
cash flows
INFORMATION PERSPECTIVE 
AND SIGNALLING 
Aligned with the information hypothesis 
Managers use the accounts to signal 
expectations and intentions regarding the future 
Incentives to signal good, neutral and bad news
POLITICAL PROCESSES 
The firm and parties interested 
in the firm 
Political market v. capital 
market 
• Less demand for information in political 
market 
• Less benefit from information gathering 
• Heterogeneity of interests
POLITICAL PROCESSES 
Political costs – wealth transfers 
• Size hypothesis 
Implications for firm behaviour 
• e.g. banking sector in Australia
EMPIRICAL TESTS 
Testing the opportunistic and 
political cost hypothesis 
Watts & 
Zimmerman 
Zmijewski & 
Hagerman 
provided little 
insight
EMPIRICAL TESTS 
Empirical tests – tests using contract details 
(Healy) 
Figure 10.1: Allocation of funds to the bonus pool, 
based on accounting profit
EMPIRICAL TESTS 
Empirical tests – tests using contract details 
(Healy) 
Figure 10.2: Accounting accruals as a function of 
bonus plan specifications
EMPIRICAL TESTS 
Refining the specification 
of political costs 
• Liberty & Zimmerman 
• Godfrey & Jones 
• DeAngelo 
• Wong 
• Lemke & Page 
• Panchapakesan & McKinnon 
• Ali & Kumar
EMPIRICAL TESTS 
Tests of 
efficient 
contracting 
hypotheses 
interest capitalisation 
voluntary consolidated 
financial reporting 
changes in CEO 
other studies
EVALUATION OF THE THEORY 
Methodological and statistical criticisms 
• empirical evidence weak and inconclusive 
• McKee, Bell & Boatsman 
• Christie 
• Leftwich
EVALUATION OF THE THEORY 
Philosophical criticisms 
Tinker, Merino and Neimark 
Christenson 
Watts and Zimmerman

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Positive Theory

  • 1. POSITIVE THEORY AND CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH
  • 2. PHILOSOPHY of POSITIVE ACCOUNTING THEORY Philosophy • Teori positif dikeluarkan untuk memahami fenomena-fenomena akuntansi dengan mengamati kejadian secara empiris dan hasil pengamatan tersebut digunakan untuk membuat prediksi kejadian di masa akan datang. Milton Friedman: • Tujuan teori positif adalah mengembangakan teori atau hipotesa yang menghasilkan prediksi yang valid dan bermakna untuk prediksi atau phenomena yang belum pernah diamati. Watt & Zimmerma : • Tujuan teori positif adalah memprediksi dan menjelaskan praktek akuntansi
  • 3. PHILOSOPHY of POSITIVE ACCOUNTING THEORY Asumsi mengenai perilaku individu : Para manajer, investor dan lender merupakan orang-orang yang rasional, menginginkan adanya keuntungan dari sisi finansial Manajer bisa memilih metode akuntansi yang secara langsung memaksimalkan kepentingan pribadinya atau merubah kebijakan yang berkaitan dengan pendanaan dan produksi yang secara tidak langsung mensejahterakan dirinya sendiri Manajer memaksimalkan nilai perusahaan
  • 4. STRENGTHS of POSITIVE THEORY • Menghasilkan hipotesis melalui pengujian empiris • Memberi pemahaman tentang bagaimana dunia ini bekerja • Memberi pemahaman mengenai kaitan antara akuntansi dan harga saham • Berusaha memberi pemahaman mengenai kaitan antara informasi akuntansi, manajer perusahaan dan pasar serta menganalisa hubungannya
  • 5. SCOPE of POSITIVE ACCOUNTING THEORY Penelitian dampak akuntansi dan perilaku pasar modal. Pengembangan teori akuntansi Menjelaskan dan memprediksi praktek akuntansi dalam perusahaan. • Usaha untuk menjelaskan apakah perusahaan menggunakan metode akuntansi tertentu untuk alasan oportunistik. Contohnya memindahkan kesejahteraan milik pemegang saham ke tangan manajer. Perspektif mengenai oportunistik ini sering disebut ex post. • Mengasumsikan perusahaan memilih praktek akuntansi untuk alasan efisiensi. Sehingga kebijakan akuntansi ditempatkan sebagai ex ante untuk menurunkan biaya kontrak antara perusahaan dan pemegang saham. positif :
  • 6. CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS • Studi yang berusaha menentukan dampak perilisan informasi keuangan terhadap return saham • Studi yang memikirkan efek dari perubahan kebijakan akuntansi terhadap harga saham Penelitian pasar modal yang secara khusus penting terhadap teori akuntansi positif: • – efficient markets hypothesis (EMH). Sebagian besar penelitian mengenai hal ini mengarah pada satu paradigma ekonomi
  • 7. CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS Pasar efisien, asumsi: Tidak ada biaya transaksi dalam perdagangan sekuritas Informasi disediakan secara cuma-cuma bagi seluruh peserta pasar Ada perjanjian mengenai dampak informasi saat ini terhadap harga sekarang dan pendistribusian harga pada masa yang akan datang
  • 8. CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS Macam Informasi Weak Strong Semistrong
  • 9. CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS Sementara EMH adalah teori tentang mekanisme harga pada pasar sekuritas, VS Capital market research (CMR) adalah penelitian empiris yang menggunakan metode statistik untuk menguji hipotesis yang berkaitan dengan perilaku pasar modal. Kebanyakan CMR menggunakan market model.
  • 10. CAPITAL MARKET RESEARCH and THE EFFICIENT MARKETS HYPOTHESIS Asumsi dalam market model: • Investor merupakan risk-averse • Return didistribusikan secara normal dan para investor memilih portofolio mereka sendiri • Investor memiliki ekspektasi yang sama • Merupakan pasar sempurna
  • 11. DAMPAK PENGUMUMAN LABA AKUNTANSI TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM Salah satu tujuan teori akuntansi positif adalah mempelajari informasi yang dimiliki laba akuntansi terhadap harga saham. Ball & Brown melakukan pengujian terhadap manfaat laba historical cost bagi investor. Peningkatan laba akuntansi yang tidak diestimasi sebelumnya merupakan informasi baru bagi investor. Dalam pasar modal efisien, setiap perubahan aliran kas dari yang diharapkan akan mempengaruhi harga saham.
  • 12. PENGARUH PENELITIAN INFORMASI LABA TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM ( BALL & BROWN’S) Laba akuntansi historis mengandung informasi yang cukup berarti. Dari hasil penelitian diketahui adanya informasi yang berkelanjutan di pasar, jadi akuntansi bukan satu-satunya informasi mengenai perusahaan. Pasar secara konsisten mengantisipasi informasi laporan akuntansi.
  • 13. KETIDAK SEIMBANGAN INFORMASI DAN BESARNYA PERUSAHAAN Kandungan informasi pengumuman laba yang tidak diharapkan mungkin berlawanan dengan ukuran perusahaan. Semakin kecil perusahaan, semakin banyak informasi yang terkandung pada perusahaan. Argumentasi yang diberikan Freeman: • Perusahaan memberikan informasi yang lebih bervariasi • Perusahaan besar mempunyai tingkat informasi yang lebih besar yang dilakukan oleh para peneliti dan pemberitaan. Investor institusi umumnya lebih menyukai bertransaksi dengan perusahaan besar, untuk alasan likuiditas dan masalah kontrak.
  • 14. BEBERAPA FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EARNING RESPON COEFICIENT Risiko dan ketidak pastian Faktor Kualitas audit Industri Tingkat Bunga Laba permanen Tingkat Pertumbu Financial Leverage han Perusaha an dan temporer
  • 15. STRATEGI PERDAGANGAN • Perubahan informasi setelah pengumuman • Winner-losser strategies dan sikap optimis para analis keuangan. Berdasarkan bukti empiris ternyata pasar dapat dipengaruhi data akuntansi
  • 16. MECHANISTIC OR BEHAVIOURAL EFFECT  Cosmetic accounting Leftwich  Two hypotheses Market reacted mechanistically to changes in accounting numbers, regardless whether they were cosmetic or whether they had cash flow implications Market ignored accounting changes which had no cash flow consequences
  • 17. MECHANISTIC OR BEHAVIOURAL EFFECT Manipulating accounting numbers:
  • 18. MECHANISTIC OR BEHAVIOURAL EFFECT Detecting the quality and probability of accounting management :
  • 19. A POSITIVE THEORY OF ACCOUNTING DISCRETION
  • 20. BACKGROUND: EARLY DEMAND FOR THEORY Capital markets research inconclusive Observations of accounting policy choice • Why do managers prepare financial reports? • How are accounting policy choices made? Information hypothesis could not explain all observations
  • 21. CONTRACTING THEORY The firm as a legal ‘nexus’ of contractual relationships Organising economic activity to reduce contracting costs • management contracts • debt contracts
  • 22. AGENCY THEORY Jensen & Meckling (1976) Contract where one party (the principal) engages another (the agent) to act on their behalf e.g. where there is a separation of management and control. Managers have remuneration contracts Utility maximisation by both parties Agent may act on her/his own behalf (self-interest)
  • 23. AGENCY THEORY Firms can be characterised as a nexus of contracts • Between consumers of products and the suppliers of factors of production Firms exist because they reduce contracting costs, • Firms provide an efficient means of organising economic activity Contracts include all types of agreements between two or more parties
  • 24. AGENCY THEORY Agency costs Due to self interest, the agent might act in his/her own interest rather than that of the principal (moral hazard) Agents may undertake certain Divergent Behaviours This agency problem gives rise to Agency Costs (monitoring, bonding and residual loss)
  • 25. AGENCY THEORY Agency costs can be categorised into: 1. Monitoring Costs – the cost of observing the agent’s behaviour  Auditing costs 2. Bonding Costs – Costs borne by the agent (e.g. manager) as a result of aligning their interests with the principal (e.g. owners)  Manager has to prepare financial reports (a cost to the manager in terms of time and effort)
  • 26. AGENCY THEORY Agency costs can be categorised into (continued): 3. Residual Loss – loss associated with not being able to fully align the interests of the principal with the agent
  • 27. AGENCY THEORY • The principal reduces the remuneration paid to the agent in anticipation of agency costs • Cost of dysfunctional behaviour built into remuneration Price Protection (ex ante – up front) • The principal reduces the remuneration paid to the agent • Remuneration based on observed agent performance Ex post settling up (ex post – after the fact e.g. at the end of each year)
  • 28. MANAGER-SHAREHOLDER AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS Managers as agents of owners can act in own interest The smaller the manager ownership in the firm the more likely divergent behaviours Manager has incentive to contract with firm to reduce divergent behaviours to reduce price protection Manager bear cost of owner monitoring
  • 29. MANAGER-SHAREHOLDER AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS Agency Costs of Equity Risk-Aversion • – limited incentive to increase value of firm through investment in risky projects Dividend Retention • – reduced incentive to pay dividends or take on optimal levels of debt Over-consumption of Perquisites Horizon Problem • – short term focus on performance of firm
  • 30. MANAGER-SHAREHOLDER AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS Reducing the agency costs of equity  Bonuses are usually tied to firm performance in some way to motivate managers to act in the owners’ interest  Bonuses can be paid in cash and/or shares/share options Bonuses can be tied to: 1. Accounting numbers(such as net income, sales, return on assets) 2. Share price (market based performance measure)
  • 31. SHAREHOLDER-DEBTHOLDER AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS • Excessive dividend payments-reducing debtholder’s security • Asset substitution-firm invests in higher risk projects (no benefit to debtholder) • Under investment-where no incentive to invest in positive NPV projects • Claim dilution-issuing higher priority debt Agency costs of debt
  • 32. SHAREHOLDER-DEBTHOLDER AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS  Debt-holders can Price Protect via increased interest charges or reduced amounts provided  The interests of shareholders can be bonded to those of debtholders via restrictions in lending agreements (Loan Covenants)  Covenants often rely on numbers contained in financial statements  Covenants usually restrict the behaviour of managers acting on behalf of owners
  • 33. EX POST OPPORTUNISM VERSUS EX ANTE EFFICIENT CONTRACTING  Contracts provide incentives for agents to act against principals interest Opportunistic perspective ex post (after contracts finalised) incomplete contracts bonus plan hypothesis debt-equity hypothesis  Efficient contracting perspective
  • 34. EX POST OPPORTUNISM VERSUS EX ANTE EFFICIENT CONTRACTING Efficient contracting perspective Efficient contracts align interests of agent with principal Actions that benefit agent also benefit firm Ex ante – before contracts are finalised
  • 35. INFORMATION PERSPECTIVE AND SIGNALLING Holthausen Derived from signalling theory Managers provide information to investors to assist in their decision making Similar to efficient contracting Accounting information precedes cash flows
  • 36. INFORMATION PERSPECTIVE AND SIGNALLING Aligned with the information hypothesis Managers use the accounts to signal expectations and intentions regarding the future Incentives to signal good, neutral and bad news
  • 37. POLITICAL PROCESSES The firm and parties interested in the firm Political market v. capital market • Less demand for information in political market • Less benefit from information gathering • Heterogeneity of interests
  • 38. POLITICAL PROCESSES Political costs – wealth transfers • Size hypothesis Implications for firm behaviour • e.g. banking sector in Australia
  • 39. EMPIRICAL TESTS Testing the opportunistic and political cost hypothesis Watts & Zimmerman Zmijewski & Hagerman provided little insight
  • 40. EMPIRICAL TESTS Empirical tests – tests using contract details (Healy) Figure 10.1: Allocation of funds to the bonus pool, based on accounting profit
  • 41. EMPIRICAL TESTS Empirical tests – tests using contract details (Healy) Figure 10.2: Accounting accruals as a function of bonus plan specifications
  • 42. EMPIRICAL TESTS Refining the specification of political costs • Liberty & Zimmerman • Godfrey & Jones • DeAngelo • Wong • Lemke & Page • Panchapakesan & McKinnon • Ali & Kumar
  • 43. EMPIRICAL TESTS Tests of efficient contracting hypotheses interest capitalisation voluntary consolidated financial reporting changes in CEO other studies
  • 44. EVALUATION OF THE THEORY Methodological and statistical criticisms • empirical evidence weak and inconclusive • McKee, Bell & Boatsman • Christie • Leftwich
  • 45. EVALUATION OF THE THEORY Philosophical criticisms Tinker, Merino and Neimark Christenson Watts and Zimmerman