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Top 10
Strategic Technology
Trends for 2015
h"p://denreymer.com	
  
Technology Adoption and
Market Disruption
Strategic
Technology
Trends
Time
Growth
Emerging Growth Mainstream
Disruption
Clarified and
StartingDisruption
Uncertain
Disruption
Happening or
Happened
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT
Reality Emerges
Intelligence
Everywhere
Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World
1  Computing Everywhere
2  The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6  Smart Machines
7  Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure
9 Web-Scale IT
10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT
Reality Emerges
Intelligence
Everywhere
Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World
1  Computing Everywhere
2  The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6  Smart Machines
7  Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure
9 Web-Scale IT
10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Computing Everywhere —
Look Beyond Mobile Form Factors
Inside everything All around
Pocketable
Portable Shared areasDesk
Touch, voice, etc.
Keyboard, mouse
Gesture
Portable screenWearable
Convertible
•  Many form factors, screen sizes,
interaction styles, platforms, architectures
•  Technology advances accelerate:
Sensors, displays, wireless and more
•  Embrace heterogeneity and loss of
complete control
•  Use containment and isolation as a
foundational security strategy
The User Experience
in a Hyper Connected World
Richer I/O
Models
Emotionally
Impactful
Consumer-
Driven
People-
Centric
Think "Outside in" and Focus on Solution
Architecture, Design Thinking and Development
Exploit the natural affinity between agile
development methodologies and UX — Pilot
and iterate
Create UX pattern libraries that guide application
development teams — Personas and use cases
Tool software, so usage data can be extracted
and analyzed — Continuous feedback
1
2
3
The Internet of Things Links to Everything
Internet of Things
25B Things by 2020
Internet of Information
30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013
Internet of Places
6 Foursquare Check-Ins,
January 2015
Manage
Monetize
Operate
Extend
Internet of People
1.35 billion monthly active users
July 2014
Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical
Architectures for the Internet of Things
Enterprise/
Thing Gateway Cloud/"Internet" On-Premises
AnalyticsDataApplication
Logic and Rules
User
Interface
10101001010100
11010101010010
10110101011
Experiment!
A $75 Proof of Concept …
Can Save $75,000
"Customer down, magnet down,
$75,000 magnet recovery problem
to recool the magnet.
These have really worked well
monitoring our magnets at our office
in Ohio."
… and embrace the "maker culture."
Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an-
internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the
… "3d printing is not new but is newly strategic"
2014
Enterprise
2015
Consumer
3
2
1
0
4
5
6
2012 2013 2016 2017
Billions of
Dollars
7
81.9%CAGR
Consumer Shipments Point to
More Pervasive Use
400,000
200,000
0
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Shipments
1,200,000
2012 2013 2014
Enterprise
2015
Consumer
2016 2017
95.4%
CAGR
Look for Innovation Opportunities From the
Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical
Airbus A320
Redesigned Nacelle
Hinge Bracket
Injection Molds
Cut Tooling Costs
by Up to 97%
M1 Abrams
Tank Engine
Material Added to
Worn Components
Not Impossible Labs
"Project Daniel"
Prosthetic Limbs
Courtesy of EOS
Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs
Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions
Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our customers'
needs and less on our manufacturing processes?
Knowledge
Do we need to develop our staff's additive
manufacturing skills?
Agile
Will we make our product development and
production processes more nimble?
Cost
How much can we reduce product development,
operating and support costs?
Will we be able to create items that were
difficult or impossible to produce before?Innovation
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT
Reality Emerges
Intelligence
Everywhere
Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World
1  Computing Everywhere
2  The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6  Smart Machines
7  Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure
9 Web-Scale IT
10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Big Data Security Analytics at the Heart of
Next-Generation Security Platforms
Information
Collect, Correlate
Big Data
Knowledge
Analyze
Data Data Data Data
Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches
Community
Patterns,
Meaningful
Anomalies
Dependencies,
Relationships
Context
Continuous
Monitoring
and Analytics
Context-Aware Intelligence
Model, Simulate, Act, Protect
Context-Rich Systems Understand
Who, What, When, Where, How and Why
User-Facing
Context Content SourcesProcess Models
Environment
Community
Identity and Pref.
Location
Calendar
Etc.
History
Connectivity
Patterns
System-Facing
Context
Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-Aware and
Active: Adaptive Access Control
Risk engine.
Trust elevation.
Step-up authentication.
Transaction verification.
Contextual
information.
Get more information!
Allow access.
STOP Deny access.
Allow access with
fine-grained audit.
Other obligation.
Emerging Trend:
The Contextual User Experience
Personal Assistants as IntermediariesContextual Information:
•  Location Information
•  Available Endpoints
•  Human Request for Action
•  Relevant Services and Content
User Experience Platform:
•  Intermediary Between Users and
Content/Capabilities
•  Acts for or Interacts With the User to
Accomplish Goals:
- The Invisible User Interface
•  Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms
Image © Apple
Siri
Image © Microsoft
Cortana
Image © Google
Google Now
… Just the Beginning!
Information-Based Helpers
Machine-Focused Helpers
Sages
Doers
Autonomous Vehicles
Smart Machine Categories
Based on What They Do
Movers
(Related market terms - Artificial Intelligence, Robots, Cognitive Computing, Anticipatory Computing)
Rio Tinto —
Reinventing Mining … and More
Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013.
Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation
Cornell's Observant, Predictive Servant
Virtual Private Assistants — You Will Not
Have Just One
Image © Microsoft
Image © Google
Memorial Sloan Kettering
and IBM Watson
Source: IBM
Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion
Segment
Smart Advisor
Virtual Personal
Assistant1
Early Emerging
Use Cases
Adoption
Accelerates
90% Adoption for
Addressable
Market
Autonomous
Personal Transport
Semiautonomous
Robotic Assistants
1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes in 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth in its first 2 years.
2014 2017 Segments Merge
(and Fragment)
2020 to 20222013 2017
2020
(±2)
2030
(±5)
2044
(±10)
2025
(2020 to 2030)
2032
(2025 to 2040)
?
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT
Reality Emerges
Intelligence
Everywhere
Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World
1  Computing Everywhere
2  The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6  Smart Machines
7  Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure
9 Web-Scale IT
10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies:
Cloud/Client Computing
•  The application is in the cloud.
•  Cloud is the coordination point and system of record.
•  Clients can be anything with varying levels of data
and logic.
•  Applications can span multiple clients.
•  Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions.
•  The experience flows to the user in context.
•  Mobile is not about devices … it is about people.
UX logic
Business logic
UX logic
Business logic
Data
Data
Software-Defined Applications and
Infrastructure: The Future Is Software-Defined
Networking Cloud Services
Real-Time
Infrastructure
Fabric-Based
Computing
Service-Oriented
Architecture
Model-Driven
Architecture
Storage
Security
Data Centers
OpenStack
Open Compute
Everything
Is Programmable
The API Economy
Software-Defined Architecture
for Application Services
Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)
Outer View
Resource
Virtualization
Inner View
Managed
Resources
Inner APIs
Outer APIs
Inner View
Outer View
Web-Scale IT:
The Foundation for the Digital Future
Web-scale IT is a pattern of
global class computing that
delivers the capabilities of
large cloud services
providers to the enterprise
Web-Scale
IT
Infrastructure
as Code
Web-Oriented
Architecture
Collaborative
Aligned
Organization
Velocity-
Fo c u s e d
Processes
Risk-
Embracing
Culture
Open
Industrially
Designed Data
Centers
Source
Create Your Blueprint and Road Map
for Web-Scale IT
DevOps
API-Based Management
Velocity-Focused Processes
Collaboratively-Aligned
Organization
Risk-Embracing Culture
Web-Oriented
Architecture
Industrially
Designed
Infrastructure
1 2 3
All Roads to the Digital Future
Lead Through Security
Security Myth:
Perimeter Defense Will Protect My Applications
Mobile Internet of
Things
Insider
Attacks
Enable Applications to Protect Themselves
Application Runtime
Dynamic
Interaction Application
Source Code
Output:
High-Assurance
Security
Vulnerabilities
Runtime
Application
Self-Protection
Security-Aware
Application
Design
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends
for 2015
ü  Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and
create a vision of the future technology landscape
ü  Link trend analysis to the impact on people
(employees and customers), the business and IT
ü  Establish strategic decision models to take action on
disruptive impacts
ü  Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and
a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT and
the business
The New IT
Reality Emerges
Intelligence
Everywhere
Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World
Digital Transformation & Innovation
http://denreymer.com

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Gartner: Top 10 Technology Trends 2015

  • 1. Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 h"p://denreymer.com  
  • 2. Technology Adoption and Market Disruption Strategic Technology Trends Time Growth Emerging Growth Mainstream Disruption Clarified and StartingDisruption Uncertain Disruption Happening or Happened
  • 3. Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 The New IT Reality Emerges Intelligence Everywhere Merging the Real World and the Virtual World 1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things 4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics 6  Smart Machines 7  Cloud/Client Computing 3 3D Printing 5 Context-Rich Systems 8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
  • 4. Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 The New IT Reality Emerges Intelligence Everywhere Merging the Real World and the Virtual World 1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things 4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics 6  Smart Machines 7  Cloud/Client Computing 3 3D Printing 5 Context-Rich Systems 8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
  • 5. Computing Everywhere — Look Beyond Mobile Form Factors Inside everything All around Pocketable Portable Shared areasDesk Touch, voice, etc. Keyboard, mouse Gesture Portable screenWearable Convertible •  Many form factors, screen sizes, interaction styles, platforms, architectures •  Technology advances accelerate: Sensors, displays, wireless and more •  Embrace heterogeneity and loss of complete control •  Use containment and isolation as a foundational security strategy
  • 6. The User Experience in a Hyper Connected World Richer I/O Models Emotionally Impactful Consumer- Driven People- Centric
  • 7. Think "Outside in" and Focus on Solution Architecture, Design Thinking and Development Exploit the natural affinity between agile development methodologies and UX — Pilot and iterate Create UX pattern libraries that guide application development teams — Personas and use cases Tool software, so usage data can be extracted and analyzed — Continuous feedback 1 2 3
  • 8. The Internet of Things Links to Everything Internet of Things 25B Things by 2020 Internet of Information 30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013 Internet of Places 6 Foursquare Check-Ins, January 2015 Manage Monetize Operate Extend Internet of People 1.35 billion monthly active users July 2014
  • 9. Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical Architectures for the Internet of Things Enterprise/ Thing Gateway Cloud/"Internet" On-Premises AnalyticsDataApplication Logic and Rules User Interface 10101001010100 11010101010010 10110101011
  • 10. Experiment! A $75 Proof of Concept … Can Save $75,000 "Customer down, magnet down, $75,000 magnet recovery problem to recool the magnet. These have really worked well monitoring our magnets at our office in Ohio." … and embrace the "maker culture." Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an- internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the
  • 11. … "3d printing is not new but is newly strategic" 2014 Enterprise 2015 Consumer 3 2 1 0 4 5 6 2012 2013 2016 2017 Billions of Dollars 7 81.9%CAGR
  • 12. Consumer Shipments Point to More Pervasive Use 400,000 200,000 0 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 Shipments 1,200,000 2012 2013 2014 Enterprise 2015 Consumer 2016 2017 95.4% CAGR
  • 13. Look for Innovation Opportunities From the Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical Airbus A320 Redesigned Nacelle Hinge Bracket Injection Molds Cut Tooling Costs by Up to 97% M1 Abrams Tank Engine Material Added to Worn Components Not Impossible Labs "Project Daniel" Prosthetic Limbs Courtesy of EOS Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs
  • 14. Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our customers' needs and less on our manufacturing processes? Knowledge Do we need to develop our staff's additive manufacturing skills? Agile Will we make our product development and production processes more nimble? Cost How much can we reduce product development, operating and support costs? Will we be able to create items that were difficult or impossible to produce before?Innovation
  • 15. Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 The New IT Reality Emerges Intelligence Everywhere Merging the Real World and the Virtual World 1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things 4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics 6  Smart Machines 7  Cloud/Client Computing 3 3D Printing 5 Context-Rich Systems 8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
  • 16. Big Data Security Analytics at the Heart of Next-Generation Security Platforms Information Collect, Correlate Big Data Knowledge Analyze Data Data Data Data Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches Community Patterns, Meaningful Anomalies Dependencies, Relationships Context Continuous Monitoring and Analytics Context-Aware Intelligence Model, Simulate, Act, Protect
  • 17. Context-Rich Systems Understand Who, What, When, Where, How and Why User-Facing Context Content SourcesProcess Models Environment Community Identity and Pref. Location Calendar Etc. History Connectivity Patterns System-Facing Context
  • 18. Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-Aware and Active: Adaptive Access Control Risk engine. Trust elevation. Step-up authentication. Transaction verification. Contextual information. Get more information! Allow access. STOP Deny access. Allow access with fine-grained audit. Other obligation.
  • 19. Emerging Trend: The Contextual User Experience Personal Assistants as IntermediariesContextual Information: •  Location Information •  Available Endpoints •  Human Request for Action •  Relevant Services and Content User Experience Platform: •  Intermediary Between Users and Content/Capabilities •  Acts for or Interacts With the User to Accomplish Goals: - The Invisible User Interface •  Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms Image © Apple Siri Image © Microsoft Cortana Image © Google Google Now … Just the Beginning!
  • 20. Information-Based Helpers Machine-Focused Helpers Sages Doers Autonomous Vehicles Smart Machine Categories Based on What They Do Movers (Related market terms - Artificial Intelligence, Robots, Cognitive Computing, Anticipatory Computing)
  • 21. Rio Tinto — Reinventing Mining … and More
  • 22. Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013. Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation Cornell's Observant, Predictive Servant
  • 23. Virtual Private Assistants — You Will Not Have Just One Image © Microsoft Image © Google
  • 24. Memorial Sloan Kettering and IBM Watson Source: IBM
  • 25. Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion Segment Smart Advisor Virtual Personal Assistant1 Early Emerging Use Cases Adoption Accelerates 90% Adoption for Addressable Market Autonomous Personal Transport Semiautonomous Robotic Assistants 1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes in 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth in its first 2 years. 2014 2017 Segments Merge (and Fragment) 2020 to 20222013 2017 2020 (±2) 2030 (±5) 2044 (±10) 2025 (2020 to 2030) 2032 (2025 to 2040) ?
  • 26. Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 The New IT Reality Emerges Intelligence Everywhere Merging the Real World and the Virtual World 1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things 4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics 6  Smart Machines 7  Cloud/Client Computing 3 3D Printing 5 Context-Rich Systems 8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
  • 27. Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies: Cloud/Client Computing •  The application is in the cloud. •  Cloud is the coordination point and system of record. •  Clients can be anything with varying levels of data and logic. •  Applications can span multiple clients. •  Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions. •  The experience flows to the user in context. •  Mobile is not about devices … it is about people. UX logic Business logic UX logic Business logic Data Data
  • 28. Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure: The Future Is Software-Defined Networking Cloud Services Real-Time Infrastructure Fabric-Based Computing Service-Oriented Architecture Model-Driven Architecture Storage Security Data Centers OpenStack Open Compute Everything Is Programmable The API Economy
  • 29. Software-Defined Architecture for Application Services Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171) Outer View Resource Virtualization Inner View Managed Resources Inner APIs Outer APIs Inner View Outer View
  • 30. Web-Scale IT: The Foundation for the Digital Future Web-scale IT is a pattern of global class computing that delivers the capabilities of large cloud services providers to the enterprise Web-Scale IT Infrastructure as Code Web-Oriented Architecture Collaborative Aligned Organization Velocity- Fo c u s e d Processes Risk- Embracing Culture Open Industrially Designed Data Centers Source
  • 31. Create Your Blueprint and Road Map for Web-Scale IT DevOps API-Based Management Velocity-Focused Processes Collaboratively-Aligned Organization Risk-Embracing Culture Web-Oriented Architecture Industrially Designed Infrastructure 1 2 3
  • 32. All Roads to the Digital Future Lead Through Security
  • 33. Security Myth: Perimeter Defense Will Protect My Applications Mobile Internet of Things Insider Attacks
  • 34. Enable Applications to Protect Themselves Application Runtime Dynamic Interaction Application Source Code Output: High-Assurance Security Vulnerabilities Runtime Application Self-Protection Security-Aware Application Design
  • 35. Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 ü  Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and create a vision of the future technology landscape ü  Link trend analysis to the impact on people (employees and customers), the business and IT ü  Establish strategic decision models to take action on disruptive impacts ü  Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT and the business The New IT Reality Emerges Intelligence Everywhere Merging the Real World and the Virtual World
  • 36. Digital Transformation & Innovation http://denreymer.com