SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 25
Silicon Valley 2.0
  Lean Startup, Lean VC
Re-Inventing Venture Capital through
 Innovation, Incubation, & Iteration




            Dave McClure
               http://500.co
                   (@DaveMcClure)
                      May 2012
         http://slideshare.net/dmc500hats
Changes in Tech Startups
• LESS Capital required to build product, get to market
   – Dramatically reduced $$$ on servers, software, bandwidth
   – Cheap access to online platforms for 100M+ consumers, smallbiz, etc
   – A few big IPOs @ $1B+, but LOTS of small acquisitions (<$100M)

• MORE Customers via ONLINE platforms (100M+ users)
   –   Search (Google)
   –   Social (Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn)
   –   Mobile (Apple, Android)
   –   Local (Groupon, Living Social, Yelp)
   –   Media (YouTube, Pinterest, Tumblr)
   –   Communications (Email, IM/Chat, Voice, SMS, etc)

• LOTS of little bets: Accelerators, Angels, Angel List
   – Y Combinator, TechStars, 500 Startups, AngelPad
   – Funding + Co-working + Mentoring -> Design, Data, Distribution
   – “Fast Cheap Fail”, network effects, quantitative + iterative investments
Web 2.0 + Lean Startup

   2. Startup Costs = Lower.
   3. # Users, Bandwidth = Bigger.
   4. Transaction $$$ = Better.

 Building Product => Cheaper, Faster, Better
 Getting Customers => Easier, More Measurable

Iterative Product & Marketing Decisions
based on Measured User Behavior
Dave McClure


00’s & 10’s:
• Investor: Founders Fund, Facebook fbFund, 500 Startups
• Companies: Mint.com, SlideShare, Twilio, WildFire, SendGrid
• Marketing: PayPal, Simply Hired, Mint.com, O’Reilly Media
• Speaker: Lean Startup, Web 2.0, Stanford/Facebook

80’s & 90’s:
• Entrepreneur: Founder/CEO Aslan Computing (acq’d)
• Developer: Windows / SQL DB consultant (Intel, MSFT)
• Engineer: Johns Hopkins‘88, BS Eng / Applied Math
500 Startups:
                   “Super-Angel / Micro-VC” Fund
• Seed Fund & Startup Accelerator
  –   250+ Companies (Fund I, $29M)
  –   9-person team, 4 partners
  –   10,000 sq ft, HQ in Silicon Valley
  –   100+ Mentors in 10+ Countries


• Fund I Portfolio: 250
  –   Twilio (Union Square, Bessemer)
  –   Wildfire (Summit)
  –   SendGrid (Foundry, Bessemer)
  –   TaskRabbit (First Round)
  –   MakerBot (Foundry)
  –   Viki (Greylock, Andreessen)
  –   Smule (Bessemer, Granite)
500 Strategy: Lots of Little Bets
1. Start with large,
  well-screened                                 30%
  funnel of early-                             Fund
  stage companies.                            Capital


2. After first 6-12 months,                 70 %
    identify best performers                Fund
    double-down on top 20%                 Capital


1. Build conservative model assuming
   5-10% larger exits @ > $100M,
   10-20% smaller exits @ <$100M




                                       6
Tech Investor Ecosystem

                  Y-Combinator
                                Angels &
               TechStars       Incubators
                                ($0-10M)


      SV Angel (Conway)
                                              SoftTech (Clavier)
                           “Micro-VC” Funds
    Floodgate (Maples)        ($10-100M)
                                                  Felicis (Senkut)
      First Round                                  True Ventures
                           Smaller VC Funds
   Union Square              ($100-500M)             Foundry Group
                                                         Andreessen-
    Accel
                                                          Horowitz
   Partners                Larger VC Funds
                               (>$500M)
                                                              Sequoia
Greylock
Platforms 2.0
Search, Social, Mobile
Platform Viability
Successful Platforms
have 3 Things:          Features
1) Features
2) Users
3) Money
                   Growth             Profit
                            Nirvana

                                .
                        Profitable
           Users           .
                         Growth Money
Distribution Platforms
Customer Reach: 100M+

  • Search: Google

  • Social: Facebook, Twitter, Zynga, LinkedIn

  • Mobile: Apple (iOS), Android

  • Local: Groupon, LivingSocial, Yelp

  • Media: Video (YouTube), Blogs (Tumblr), Photos (Pinterest)

  • Comm: Email, IM/Chat, Skype, Phone/Voice
Web 2.0 Business Model:
           KISS (“Keep It Simple, Stupid”)
• 1) Re-invent Web 1.0 Businesses
   – Make a Website, a Widget, an App
   – Sell Stuff (Transactions, Subscriptions, Affiliate)

• 2) add Web 2.0 Technology
   – Search, Social, Mobile, Local, Media, Comm
   – Google, Facebook/Twitter, Apple/Android
   – Email, SMS, Ecommerce / Payments

• 3) Get Customers, Make Money
   – Distribution, Distribution, Distribution
   – (Customer Acq’stn Cost) vs. ($Rev. Per Customer)
   – Low CapX + Profitable Web Businesses
More Acquirers (tech + non-tech);
          More & Smaller Acquisitions
1. Mature Internet Platform Co’s:
    – GOOG, MSFT, YHOO, EBAY, AOL, AMZN,
      AAPL, INTU, ADBE, FB, TW, LNKD, GRPN


2. Non-Tech “BigCo” / Consumer Verticals
   buying tech startups (for distribution)

•   BigCo = Lots of Customers, $$$
•   BigCo = Bureaucracy, Innovator Dilemma
•   Outsource Innovation; Buy Talent / Products
•   Acquiring LOTS (Small) Startups
•   Great for Founders, Investors 
                                                  * Mint acquired by Intuit in
                                                  Sept 2009 for $170M
Lean Startup, Lean VC
 Customers, Metrics, Iteration.
  Invest BEFORE Traction;
    Double Down AFTER.
The Lean Startup
•   Progress ≠ Features; Measure Conversion
•   Talk to Customers; Discover Problems
•   Focus on “Product/Market Fit” (good solution)
•   Fast, Frequent Iteration (+ Feedback Loop)
•   Keep it Simple & Actionable
Startup Metrics for Pirates

• Acquisition: users come to site from various
  channels
• Activation: users enjoy 1st visit: "happy” experience
• Retention: users come back, visit site multiple times
• Referral: users like product enough to refer others
• Revenue: users conduct some monetization behavior
                                         AARRR!




   (note: If you’re in a hurry, Google
   “Startup Metrics” & watch 5m video)
AARRR!: 5-Step Startup Metrics Model
                                      SEO          Campaigns,
                          SEM                PR     Contests
                                                                    Biz
           Social
          Networks                                                  Dev
                             Blogs                  Affiliates
         Apps &                                                    Direct, Tel,
         Widgets                     Email                             TV
                                         ACQUISITION
                   Domains




        Emails & Alerts




Blogs, RSS,
                              n
News Feeds
                     Retentio

                                                  Ads, Lead Gen,                  Biz Dev
            System Events &                       Subscriptions,
                                                                       Re v
          Time-based Features
                                                   ECommerce
                                                                         en u
                                                    Website.com
                                                                            e $$
                                                                                $
Startup Incubators & Metrics

    Lots of Little Bets. Most FAIL.
        (but a few succeed :)
Incubator 2.0: Fast, Cheap, FAIL
• Incubators = supportive startup ecosystem (+ angels, VCs)
• Efficient use of investment capital ($0-100K)
• High fail rate (60-80%) => large initial sample size
Incubator 2.0:
  Education, Collaboration, Iteration




• Success based on:
  –   MANY, small experiments
  –   common platforms, customers, problems & solutions
  –   physical proximity, open/collaborative environment
  –   Domain-specific mentors & expertise
  –   fast fail, iteration, metrics & feedback loop
• Incremental investment; high-risk, but high-reward
fbFund REV
fbFund REV: Facebook “Social” Incubator: invest in startups, apps,
  websites based on Facebook platform & Facebook Connect.
•   22 startups @ ~$35K each ($850K total)
•   3 month program: Technology, Design, Marketing, Business topics
•   Success: 8 startups raised $500K –> 5 raised Series A -> 2 raised Series B
•   Wildfire Interactive now 300+ people 
The Lean VC:
         Lots of Little Bets, Incremental Investment

Method: Invest in lots of startups using incremental
 investment, iterative development. Start with many
 small experiments, filter out failures, and expand
 investment in successes… (Rinse & Repeat).

• Incubator: $0-100K (“Build & Validate Product”)
• Seed: $100K-$1M (“Test & Grow Marketing Channels””)
• Venture: $1M-$10M (“Maximize Growth & Revenue”)
Investment Stage #1:
  Product Validation + Customer Usage
• Structure
   – 1-3 founders
   – $25-$100K investment
   – Incubator environment: multiple peers, mentors/advisors


• Test Functional Prototype / “Minimum Viable Product” (MVP):
   –   Prototype->Alpha, ~3-6 months
   –   Develop Minimal Critical Feature Set => Get to “It Works! Someone Uses It.”
   –   Improve Design & Usability, Setup Conversion Metrics
   –   Test Small-Scale Customer Adoption (10-1000 users)

• Demonstrate Concept, Reduce Product Risk, Test Functional Use
• Develop Metrics & Filter for Possible Future Investment
Investment Stage #2:
   Market Validation + Revenue Testing
• Structure
   – 2-10 person team
   – $100K-$1M investment
   – Syndicate of Angel Investors / Small VC Funds


• Improve Product, Expand Customers, Test Revenue:
   –   Alpha->Beta, ~6-12 months
   –   Scale Customer Adoption => “Many People Use It, & They Pay.”
   –   Test Marketing Campaigns, Customer Acquisition Channels + Cost
   –   Test Revenue Generation, Find Profitable Customer Segments

• Prove Solution/Benefit, Assess Market Size
• Test Channel Cost, Revenue Opportunity
• Determine Org Structure, Key Hires
Investment Stage #3:
            Revenue Validation + Growth
• Structure
   – 5-25 person team
   – $1M-$10M investment
   – Seed & Venture Investors


• Make Money (or Go Big), Get to Sustainability:
   –   Beta->Production, 12-24 months
   –   Revenue / Growth => “We Can Make (a lot of) Money!”
   –   Mktg Plan => Predictable Channels / Campaigns + Budget
   –   Scalability & Infrastructure, Customer Service & Operations
   –   Connect with Distribution Partners, Expand Growth

• Prove/Expand Market, Operationalize Business
• Future Milestones: Profitable/Sustainable, Exit Options
Underpants 2.0
1. Make a Good Product: Activation & Retention
2. Market the Product: Acquisition & Referral
3. Make Money: Revenue & Profitability

More Related Content

What's hot

Venture Capital 2.0: The Lean VC
Venture Capital 2.0: The Lean VCVenture Capital 2.0: The Lean VC
Venture Capital 2.0: The Lean VC
Dave McClure
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little BetsSilicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets
Dave McClure
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VCSilicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Dave McClure
 

What's hot (20)

Venture Capital 2.0: The Lean VC
Venture Capital 2.0: The Lean VCVenture Capital 2.0: The Lean VC
Venture Capital 2.0: The Lean VC
 
VC 2.0: The Lean Investor (Sept 2010)
VC 2.0: The Lean Investor (Sept 2010)VC 2.0: The Lean Investor (Sept 2010)
VC 2.0: The Lean Investor (Sept 2010)
 
Silicon Valley 2.0 -- The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0 -- The Lean VCSilicon Valley 2.0 -- The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0 -- The Lean VC
 
Building Startup Ecosystems (Bahrain, May 2013)
Building Startup Ecosystems (Bahrain, May 2013)Building Startup Ecosystems (Bahrain, May 2013)
Building Startup Ecosystems (Bahrain, May 2013)
 
Startup Metrics 4 Pirates (May 2010)
Startup Metrics 4 Pirates (May 2010)Startup Metrics 4 Pirates (May 2010)
Startup Metrics 4 Pirates (May 2010)
 
Startup 2.0: A Silicon Valley Story (Jan 2010)
Startup 2.0: A Silicon Valley Story (Jan 2010)Startup 2.0: A Silicon Valley Story (Jan 2010)
Startup 2.0: A Silicon Valley Story (Jan 2010)
 
Changes in Venture Capital & Building 500 Startups (Sao Paulo, Sept 2013)
Changes in Venture Capital & Building 500 Startups (Sao Paulo, Sept 2013)Changes in Venture Capital & Building 500 Startups (Sao Paulo, Sept 2013)
Changes in Venture Capital & Building 500 Startups (Sao Paulo, Sept 2013)
 
Changes in Venture Capital (Pioneers, Vienna)
Changes in Venture Capital (Pioneers, Vienna)Changes in Venture Capital (Pioneers, Vienna)
Changes in Venture Capital (Pioneers, Vienna)
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Jakarta, June 2013)
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Jakarta, June 2013)Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Jakarta, June 2013)
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Jakarta, June 2013)
 
The Lean Investor (Dallas, Nov 2014)
The Lean Investor (Dallas, Nov 2014)The Lean Investor (Dallas, Nov 2014)
The Lean Investor (Dallas, Nov 2014)
 
Building #500STRONG
Building #500STRONGBuilding #500STRONG
Building #500STRONG
 
Building Startup Ecosytems & Investing in Tech Startups
Building Startup Ecosytems & Investing in Tech StartupsBuilding Startup Ecosytems & Investing in Tech Startups
Building Startup Ecosytems & Investing in Tech Startups
 
Building Startup Ecosystems (Riyadh, Nov 2014)
Building Startup Ecosystems (Riyadh, Nov 2014)Building Startup Ecosystems (Riyadh, Nov 2014)
Building Startup Ecosystems (Riyadh, Nov 2014)
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little BetsSilicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets
 
Changes in Tech & Venture Capital (Istanbul, Nov 2013)
Changes in Tech & Venture Capital (Istanbul, Nov 2013)Changes in Tech & Venture Capital (Istanbul, Nov 2013)
Changes in Tech & Venture Capital (Istanbul, Nov 2013)
 
The Lean VC, Global Edition (March 2011, London)
The Lean VC, Global Edition (March 2011, London)The Lean VC, Global Edition (March 2011, London)
The Lean VC, Global Edition (March 2011, London)
 
Building Startup Ecosystems (Berlin, June 2015)
Building Startup Ecosystems (Berlin, June 2015)Building Startup Ecosystems (Berlin, June 2015)
Building Startup Ecosystems (Berlin, June 2015)
 
Corporate VC Innovation: Strategies That Don't Suck
Corporate VC Innovation: Strategies That Don't SuckCorporate VC Innovation: Strategies That Don't Suck
Corporate VC Innovation: Strategies That Don't Suck
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VCSilicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
 
The Lean Investor: Lots of Little Bets (Boston, Dec 2014)
The Lean Investor: Lots of Little Bets (Boston, Dec 2014)The Lean Investor: Lots of Little Bets (Boston, Dec 2014)
The Lean Investor: Lots of Little Bets (Boston, Dec 2014)
 

Similar to Silicon Valley 2.0: Lean Startup, Lean VC

GROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclure
GROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclureGROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclure
GROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclure
Dealmaker Media
 

Similar to Silicon Valley 2.0: Lean Startup, Lean VC (20)

Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VCSilicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC
 
The Lean VC (Sapporo, May 2011)
The Lean VC (Sapporo, May 2011)The Lean VC (Sapporo, May 2011)
The Lean VC (Sapporo, May 2011)
 
Hong Kong 2.0: The Lean VC
Hong Kong 2.0: The Lean VCHong Kong 2.0: The Lean VC
Hong Kong 2.0: The Lean VC
 
GROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclure
GROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclureGROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclure
GROW2010 Conference - Dave mcclure
 
Startup Organizer Summit (Rio, 2013)
Startup Organizer Summit (Rio, 2013)Startup Organizer Summit (Rio, 2013)
Startup Organizer Summit (Rio, 2013)
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC (Waterloo)
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC (Waterloo)Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC (Waterloo)
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean VC (Waterloo)
 
Changes in Venture Capital & Tech Startups (Nov 2013, Mumbai)
Changes in Venture Capital & Tech Startups (Nov 2013, Mumbai)Changes in Venture Capital & Tech Startups (Nov 2013, Mumbai)
Changes in Venture Capital & Tech Startups (Nov 2013, Mumbai)
 
Hack Osaka: Innovation Strategies for Regional Startup Ecosystems
Hack Osaka: Innovation Strategies for Regional Startup EcosystemsHack Osaka: Innovation Strategies for Regional Startup Ecosystems
Hack Osaka: Innovation Strategies for Regional Startup Ecosystems
 
LeanVC : Dave McClure opens TEC SF Chapter
LeanVC : Dave McClure opens TEC SF ChapterLeanVC : Dave McClure opens TEC SF Chapter
LeanVC : Dave McClure opens TEC SF Chapter
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean Investor
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean InvestorSilicon Valley 2.0: The Lean Investor
Silicon Valley 2.0: The Lean Investor
 
Startup 2.0: From Silicon Valley to Hong Kong
Startup 2.0: From Silicon Valley to Hong KongStartup 2.0: From Silicon Valley to Hong Kong
Startup 2.0: From Silicon Valley to Hong Kong
 
Investing in Tech Startups (Miami, Nov 2015)
Investing in Tech Startups (Miami, Nov 2015)Investing in Tech Startups (Miami, Nov 2015)
Investing in Tech Startups (Miami, Nov 2015)
 
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Hong Kong, May 2013)
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Hong Kong, May 2013)Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Hong Kong, May 2013)
Silicon Valley 2.0: Lots of Little Bets (Hong Kong, May 2013)
 
Startup 2.0: a Silicon Valley Story
Startup 2.0: a Silicon Valley StoryStartup 2.0: a Silicon Valley Story
Startup 2.0: a Silicon Valley Story
 
Changes in Venture Capital & Startup Ecosystem (#H2Osummit)
Changes in Venture Capital & Startup Ecosystem (#H2Osummit)Changes in Venture Capital & Startup Ecosystem (#H2Osummit)
Changes in Venture Capital & Startup Ecosystem (#H2Osummit)
 
From 500 Startups to 500 VCs
From 500 Startups to 500 VCsFrom 500 Startups to 500 VCs
From 500 Startups to 500 VCs
 
Incubator 2.0: A Silicon Valley Success Story
Incubator 2.0: A Silicon Valley Success StoryIncubator 2.0: A Silicon Valley Success Story
Incubator 2.0: A Silicon Valley Success Story
 
Building 500 Startups + Changes in VC
Building 500 Startups + Changes in VCBuilding 500 Startups + Changes in VC
Building 500 Startups + Changes in VC
 
Changes in Venture Capital + Building 500 Startups (Istanbul, Sept 2013)
Changes in Venture Capital + Building 500 Startups (Istanbul, Sept 2013)Changes in Venture Capital + Building 500 Startups (Istanbul, Sept 2013)
Changes in Venture Capital + Building 500 Startups (Istanbul, Sept 2013)
 
Build Your Own Valley: Engineering Startup & Investor Ecosystems in Emerging ...
Build Your Own Valley: Engineering Startup & Investor Ecosystems in Emerging ...Build Your Own Valley: Engineering Startup & Investor Ecosystems in Emerging ...
Build Your Own Valley: Engineering Startup & Investor Ecosystems in Emerging ...
 

More from Dave McClure

More from Dave McClure (20)

How to VC: Creating a VC fund portfolio model
How to VC: Creating a VC fund portfolio modelHow to VC: Creating a VC fund portfolio model
How to VC: Creating a VC fund portfolio model
 
VC Marketing and Branding Strategies
VC Marketing and Branding StrategiesVC Marketing and Branding Strategies
VC Marketing and Branding Strategies
 
The Helpful VC (June 2019)
The Helpful VC (June 2019)The Helpful VC (June 2019)
The Helpful VC (June 2019)
 
Skip the J-Curve: An Intro to Venture Capital Secondary
Skip the J-Curve: An Intro to Venture Capital SecondarySkip the J-Curve: An Intro to Venture Capital Secondary
Skip the J-Curve: An Intro to Venture Capital Secondary
 
Tech and Venture Capital in the Time of Corona
Tech and Venture Capital in the Time of Corona Tech and Venture Capital in the Time of Corona
Tech and Venture Capital in the Time of Corona
 
The Helpful VC
The Helpful VC The Helpful VC
The Helpful VC
 
Bringing Silicon Valley to LatAm: Startup Ecosystems & Investment
 Bringing Silicon Valley to LatAm: Startup Ecosystems & Investment Bringing Silicon Valley to LatAm: Startup Ecosystems & Investment
Bringing Silicon Valley to LatAm: Startup Ecosystems & Investment
 
Building #500STRONG
Building #500STRONGBuilding #500STRONG
Building #500STRONG
 
Take a Walk on the Dark Side: Branding for Startups & Sith Lords
Take a Walk on the Dark Side: Branding for Startups & Sith LordsTake a Walk on the Dark Side: Branding for Startups & Sith Lords
Take a Walk on the Dark Side: Branding for Startups & Sith Lords
 
Startup & VC Tech Trends
Startup & VC Tech Trends Startup & VC Tech Trends
Startup & VC Tech Trends
 
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems for Emerging Markets
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems for Emerging MarketsFarming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems for Emerging Markets
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems for Emerging Markets
 
Farming Unicorns in Emerging Markets (Dubai, Oct 2016) #Gitex
Farming Unicorns in Emerging Markets (Dubai, Oct 2016) #GitexFarming Unicorns in Emerging Markets (Dubai, Oct 2016) #Gitex
Farming Unicorns in Emerging Markets (Dubai, Oct 2016) #Gitex
 
The Unicorn Hedge: Why Are Corporations Buying Unicorns? (Madrid, Oct 2016)
The Unicorn Hedge: Why Are Corporations Buying Unicorns? (Madrid, Oct 2016)The Unicorn Hedge: Why Are Corporations Buying Unicorns? (Madrid, Oct 2016)
The Unicorn Hedge: Why Are Corporations Buying Unicorns? (Madrid, Oct 2016)
 
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor EcosystemsFarming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems
 
500 Startups #Batch17 #DemoDay: "Beauty and the GEEK"
500 Startups #Batch17 #DemoDay: "Beauty and the GEEK"500 Startups #Batch17 #DemoDay: "Beauty and the GEEK"
500 Startups #Batch17 #DemoDay: "Beauty and the GEEK"
 
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Stanford, June 2016)
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Stanford, June 2016)Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Stanford, June 2016)
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Stanford, June 2016)
 
Dinosaurs vs Unicorns aka "Bubble My Ass, All Dinosaurs Gonna Die" (London, J...
Dinosaurs vs Unicorns aka "Bubble My Ass, All Dinosaurs Gonna Die" (London, J...Dinosaurs vs Unicorns aka "Bubble My Ass, All Dinosaurs Gonna Die" (London, J...
Dinosaurs vs Unicorns aka "Bubble My Ass, All Dinosaurs Gonna Die" (London, J...
 
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Madrid, June 2016)
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Madrid, June 2016)Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Madrid, June 2016)
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Madrid, June 2016)
 
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Dublin, June 2016)
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Dublin, June 2016)Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Dublin, June 2016)
Farming Unicorns: Building Startup & Investor Ecosystems (Dublin, June 2016)
 
500 Startups / Batch 16 Demo Day (Q1/2016 update)
500 Startups / Batch 16 Demo Day (Q1/2016 update)500 Startups / Batch 16 Demo Day (Q1/2016 update)
500 Startups / Batch 16 Demo Day (Q1/2016 update)
 

Recently uploaded

Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and MythsArtificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Joaquim Jorge
 
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsIAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
Enterprise Knowledge
 
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
Earley Information Science
 
CNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of Service
CNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of ServiceCNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of Service
CNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of Service
giselly40
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
 
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and MythsArtificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
Artificial Intelligence: Facts and Myths
 
Evaluating the top large language models.pdf
Evaluating the top large language models.pdfEvaluating the top large language models.pdf
Evaluating the top large language models.pdf
 
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone ProcessorsExploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
 
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
 
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsIAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
 
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
 
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreterPresentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
 
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law DevelopmentsTrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
 
Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
 
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps ScriptAutomating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
 
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
 
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
 
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdfGenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
 
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
 
CNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of Service
CNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of ServiceCNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of Service
CNv6 Instructor Chapter 6 Quality of Service
 

Silicon Valley 2.0: Lean Startup, Lean VC

  • 1. Silicon Valley 2.0 Lean Startup, Lean VC Re-Inventing Venture Capital through Innovation, Incubation, & Iteration Dave McClure http://500.co (@DaveMcClure) May 2012 http://slideshare.net/dmc500hats
  • 2. Changes in Tech Startups • LESS Capital required to build product, get to market – Dramatically reduced $$$ on servers, software, bandwidth – Cheap access to online platforms for 100M+ consumers, smallbiz, etc – A few big IPOs @ $1B+, but LOTS of small acquisitions (<$100M) • MORE Customers via ONLINE platforms (100M+ users) – Search (Google) – Social (Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn) – Mobile (Apple, Android) – Local (Groupon, Living Social, Yelp) – Media (YouTube, Pinterest, Tumblr) – Communications (Email, IM/Chat, Voice, SMS, etc) • LOTS of little bets: Accelerators, Angels, Angel List – Y Combinator, TechStars, 500 Startups, AngelPad – Funding + Co-working + Mentoring -> Design, Data, Distribution – “Fast Cheap Fail”, network effects, quantitative + iterative investments
  • 3. Web 2.0 + Lean Startup 2. Startup Costs = Lower. 3. # Users, Bandwidth = Bigger. 4. Transaction $$$ = Better.  Building Product => Cheaper, Faster, Better  Getting Customers => Easier, More Measurable Iterative Product & Marketing Decisions based on Measured User Behavior
  • 4. Dave McClure 00’s & 10’s: • Investor: Founders Fund, Facebook fbFund, 500 Startups • Companies: Mint.com, SlideShare, Twilio, WildFire, SendGrid • Marketing: PayPal, Simply Hired, Mint.com, O’Reilly Media • Speaker: Lean Startup, Web 2.0, Stanford/Facebook 80’s & 90’s: • Entrepreneur: Founder/CEO Aslan Computing (acq’d) • Developer: Windows / SQL DB consultant (Intel, MSFT) • Engineer: Johns Hopkins‘88, BS Eng / Applied Math
  • 5. 500 Startups: “Super-Angel / Micro-VC” Fund • Seed Fund & Startup Accelerator – 250+ Companies (Fund I, $29M) – 9-person team, 4 partners – 10,000 sq ft, HQ in Silicon Valley – 100+ Mentors in 10+ Countries • Fund I Portfolio: 250 – Twilio (Union Square, Bessemer) – Wildfire (Summit) – SendGrid (Foundry, Bessemer) – TaskRabbit (First Round) – MakerBot (Foundry) – Viki (Greylock, Andreessen) – Smule (Bessemer, Granite)
  • 6. 500 Strategy: Lots of Little Bets 1. Start with large, well-screened 30% funnel of early- Fund stage companies. Capital 2. After first 6-12 months, 70 % identify best performers Fund double-down on top 20% Capital 1. Build conservative model assuming 5-10% larger exits @ > $100M, 10-20% smaller exits @ <$100M 6
  • 7. Tech Investor Ecosystem Y-Combinator Angels & TechStars Incubators ($0-10M) SV Angel (Conway) SoftTech (Clavier) “Micro-VC” Funds Floodgate (Maples) ($10-100M) Felicis (Senkut) First Round True Ventures Smaller VC Funds Union Square ($100-500M) Foundry Group Andreessen- Accel Horowitz Partners Larger VC Funds (>$500M) Sequoia Greylock
  • 9. Platform Viability Successful Platforms have 3 Things: Features 1) Features 2) Users 3) Money Growth Profit Nirvana . Profitable Users . Growth Money
  • 10. Distribution Platforms Customer Reach: 100M+ • Search: Google • Social: Facebook, Twitter, Zynga, LinkedIn • Mobile: Apple (iOS), Android • Local: Groupon, LivingSocial, Yelp • Media: Video (YouTube), Blogs (Tumblr), Photos (Pinterest) • Comm: Email, IM/Chat, Skype, Phone/Voice
  • 11. Web 2.0 Business Model: KISS (“Keep It Simple, Stupid”) • 1) Re-invent Web 1.0 Businesses – Make a Website, a Widget, an App – Sell Stuff (Transactions, Subscriptions, Affiliate) • 2) add Web 2.0 Technology – Search, Social, Mobile, Local, Media, Comm – Google, Facebook/Twitter, Apple/Android – Email, SMS, Ecommerce / Payments • 3) Get Customers, Make Money – Distribution, Distribution, Distribution – (Customer Acq’stn Cost) vs. ($Rev. Per Customer) – Low CapX + Profitable Web Businesses
  • 12. More Acquirers (tech + non-tech); More & Smaller Acquisitions 1. Mature Internet Platform Co’s: – GOOG, MSFT, YHOO, EBAY, AOL, AMZN, AAPL, INTU, ADBE, FB, TW, LNKD, GRPN 2. Non-Tech “BigCo” / Consumer Verticals buying tech startups (for distribution) • BigCo = Lots of Customers, $$$ • BigCo = Bureaucracy, Innovator Dilemma • Outsource Innovation; Buy Talent / Products • Acquiring LOTS (Small) Startups • Great for Founders, Investors  * Mint acquired by Intuit in Sept 2009 for $170M
  • 13. Lean Startup, Lean VC Customers, Metrics, Iteration. Invest BEFORE Traction; Double Down AFTER.
  • 14. The Lean Startup • Progress ≠ Features; Measure Conversion • Talk to Customers; Discover Problems • Focus on “Product/Market Fit” (good solution) • Fast, Frequent Iteration (+ Feedback Loop) • Keep it Simple & Actionable
  • 15. Startup Metrics for Pirates • Acquisition: users come to site from various channels • Activation: users enjoy 1st visit: "happy” experience • Retention: users come back, visit site multiple times • Referral: users like product enough to refer others • Revenue: users conduct some monetization behavior AARRR! (note: If you’re in a hurry, Google “Startup Metrics” & watch 5m video)
  • 16. AARRR!: 5-Step Startup Metrics Model SEO Campaigns, SEM PR Contests Biz Social Networks Dev Blogs Affiliates Apps & Direct, Tel, Widgets Email TV ACQUISITION Domains Emails & Alerts Blogs, RSS, n News Feeds Retentio Ads, Lead Gen, Biz Dev System Events & Subscriptions, Re v Time-based Features ECommerce en u Website.com e $$ $
  • 17. Startup Incubators & Metrics Lots of Little Bets. Most FAIL. (but a few succeed :)
  • 18. Incubator 2.0: Fast, Cheap, FAIL • Incubators = supportive startup ecosystem (+ angels, VCs) • Efficient use of investment capital ($0-100K) • High fail rate (60-80%) => large initial sample size
  • 19. Incubator 2.0: Education, Collaboration, Iteration • Success based on: – MANY, small experiments – common platforms, customers, problems & solutions – physical proximity, open/collaborative environment – Domain-specific mentors & expertise – fast fail, iteration, metrics & feedback loop • Incremental investment; high-risk, but high-reward
  • 20. fbFund REV fbFund REV: Facebook “Social” Incubator: invest in startups, apps, websites based on Facebook platform & Facebook Connect. • 22 startups @ ~$35K each ($850K total) • 3 month program: Technology, Design, Marketing, Business topics • Success: 8 startups raised $500K –> 5 raised Series A -> 2 raised Series B • Wildfire Interactive now 300+ people 
  • 21. The Lean VC: Lots of Little Bets, Incremental Investment Method: Invest in lots of startups using incremental investment, iterative development. Start with many small experiments, filter out failures, and expand investment in successes… (Rinse & Repeat). • Incubator: $0-100K (“Build & Validate Product”) • Seed: $100K-$1M (“Test & Grow Marketing Channels””) • Venture: $1M-$10M (“Maximize Growth & Revenue”)
  • 22. Investment Stage #1: Product Validation + Customer Usage • Structure – 1-3 founders – $25-$100K investment – Incubator environment: multiple peers, mentors/advisors • Test Functional Prototype / “Minimum Viable Product” (MVP): – Prototype->Alpha, ~3-6 months – Develop Minimal Critical Feature Set => Get to “It Works! Someone Uses It.” – Improve Design & Usability, Setup Conversion Metrics – Test Small-Scale Customer Adoption (10-1000 users) • Demonstrate Concept, Reduce Product Risk, Test Functional Use • Develop Metrics & Filter for Possible Future Investment
  • 23. Investment Stage #2: Market Validation + Revenue Testing • Structure – 2-10 person team – $100K-$1M investment – Syndicate of Angel Investors / Small VC Funds • Improve Product, Expand Customers, Test Revenue: – Alpha->Beta, ~6-12 months – Scale Customer Adoption => “Many People Use It, & They Pay.” – Test Marketing Campaigns, Customer Acquisition Channels + Cost – Test Revenue Generation, Find Profitable Customer Segments • Prove Solution/Benefit, Assess Market Size • Test Channel Cost, Revenue Opportunity • Determine Org Structure, Key Hires
  • 24. Investment Stage #3: Revenue Validation + Growth • Structure – 5-25 person team – $1M-$10M investment – Seed & Venture Investors • Make Money (or Go Big), Get to Sustainability: – Beta->Production, 12-24 months – Revenue / Growth => “We Can Make (a lot of) Money!” – Mktg Plan => Predictable Channels / Campaigns + Budget – Scalability & Infrastructure, Customer Service & Operations – Connect with Distribution Partners, Expand Growth • Prove/Expand Market, Operationalize Business • Future Milestones: Profitable/Sustainable, Exit Options
  • 25. Underpants 2.0 1. Make a Good Product: Activation & Retention 2. Market the Product: Acquisition & Referral 3. Make Money: Revenue & Profitability