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Vietnam Group-buying Market Overview



Researcher: TuDQ
Twitter: @doqtu84
Date: Nov 26, 2011
Research Methodology

• Collecting 9,120 deals across 53 group-buying sites since Sep, 2010
Share by Listed Deals (All Markets)
                  Share by Listed Deals (All Markets)




                                              Nhommua                  Nhommua     Hotdeal   Cungmua
                                                17%
                                                                       Muachung    Cucre     Runhau
       28%
                                                                       Zing Deal   51deal    Khuyenmaivang
                                                                       Phagia      Others

                                                             Hotdeal
                                                              13%


  2%
   3%

       3%                                               Cungmua
                                                          11%
            4%
                 Runhau
                   4% Cucre          Muachung
                        5%             9%
Share by Listed Deals (Hanoi)

              Share by Listed Deals (Hanoi)



                                                         Nhommua   Muachung
                                                         Hotdeal   Cungmua
                                                         Cucre     Others
                                         Nhommua
     Others                                24%
      29%




                                              Muachung
    Cucre                                       16%
     9%


              Cungmua
                               Hotdeal
                10%
                                11%
Share by Listed Deals (HCM)

            Share by Listed Deals (HCM)




                                                       Nhommua     Hotdeal    Cungmua
                                                       Zing Deal   Muachung   Others
                                 Nhommua
                                   16%




                                             Hotdeal
   Others                                     13%
    49%




                                          Cungmua
                                            11%


                              Zing Deal
                       Muachung 6%
                         5%
Share by Markets

                SGN              HAN            VNM (Others)
                       Share by Markets




                      VNM (Others)
                         3%
               HAN
               23%




                                          SGN
                                          74%
Share by Categories

                        Share by Categories
                                                                Food & Beverage   Beauty & Health
                                                                Spa               Fashion
                    Entertainment
                                                                Education         Tourism
                         6%
                                                                Others            Electronics & Computers
     Electronics & Computers                                    Entertainment
                7%
   Others                              Food & Beverage
    7%                                      26%



 Tourism
   7%



  Education
    8%                                        Beauty & Health
                                                   16%

              Fashion
               10%               Spa
                                 12%
Unique Visitors
                                    Website Traffic by Regional Unique Visitors (Source: Google Ad Planner)


Nhommua.com                                                                                                   930,000


 Muachung.vn                                                                                        820,000


   Hotdeal.vn                                                                        690,000


     Cucre.vn                                              470,000


 Dienmay.com                                   350,000


Cungmua.com                              290,000


  Deal.zing.vn                 220,000


    51deal.vn        120,000


  Everyday.vn        110,000

                 0                       250,000                     500,000                     750,000                1,000,000
Share by Deal Discount Rate
           Share by Deal Discount Rate
                                                            Less than 30%        30-50%                  50-70%
                                                            70-90%               more than 90%
                        2%

                  6%                                                    Discount)Rate)Distribu/on)
                                               2000"


                                               1800"
     15%
                                               1600"


                                               1400"


                                               1200"


                                               1000"
                                         45%
                                                800"


                                                600"


                                                400"


                                                200"

     32%                                          0"
                                                       0"        0.2"   0.4"         0.6"        0.8"   1"        1.2"
Share by Purchased Price and Original Price
                          Share$by$Purchased$Price$


                                                    6%$
                                                                                                          AVERAGE                 MEDIAN
   less$than$100,000$
                                              5%$
                                                                                      Original Price                 1,261,961          260,000
   100,000$<$300,000$                  7%$
                                                                                      Discounted                      300,931           100,000
   300,000$<$500,000$                                                                 Price
                                                          48%$
   500,000$<$1000,000$                                                                Discount Rate                        57%               52%

   more$than$1,000,000$
                                       34%$

                                                                                                Share$by$Original$Price$
                                                                 less$than$500,000$
                                                                                                                        2%$ 1%$
                                                                 500,000$;$1,000,000$
                                                                 1,000,000$;$5,000,000$
                                                                 5,000,000$;$10,000,000$
                                                                                                              17%$
                                                                 more$than$10,000,000$




                                                                                                       13%$



                                                                                                                                      67%$
Total Sales, Customers and Listed Deals (Sep 10 -
Nov 11) (Estimated)
                                                                        Sales (x 100,000 VND)             Customers      Listed Deals

                            The Estimation of Total Sales, Customers and Listed Deals (Sep 10 - Nov 11)
3,000,000        1,350                                                                                                          1,400



                                                                              1,146


2,250,000                                                                                                                       1,050


                                                844
                                                                      1,821,000
                                       1,675,000
1,500,000                                                                                                                         700


                                                                                                                461

            916,000
 750,000                                                                                                                          350




                      516,371                      2,028,951                      1,353,338                     60,692
       0                                                                                              100,000                           0
               Muachung                     Nhommua                         Hotdeal                         Cucre
Sales
                                 Sep 10 - Nov 11 Sales (Billion in VND)                                   Muachung
40                                                                                                        Nhommua
                                                                                                          Hotdeal
                                                                                                          Cucre




30




20




10




0
Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11     Jul 11   Aug 11 Sep 11 Oct 11
Deal Purchasers
                                            Sep 10 - Nov 11 Deal Purchasers                                              Muachung
300,000                                                                                                                  Nhommua
                                                                                                                         Hotdeal
                                                                                                                         Cucre




225,000




150,000




 75,000




     0
     Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10   Jan 11   Feb 11   Mar 11   Apr 11   May 11 Jun 11   Jul 11   Aug 11 Sep 11   Oct 11
Listed Deals
                                      Sep 10 - Nov 11 Listed Deals   Muachung         Nhommua         Hotdeal   Cucre
300




225




150




 75




 0
 Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11    Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11   Jul 11   Aug 11 Sep 11 Oct 11
Value of a Deal Purchaser
    Muachung   Nhommua     Hotdeal         Cucre

                         Value of a Deal Purchaser (VND)




                                                                               177,573




                            82,569




                                                           134,557




                                                                         165,805




0              45,000                90,000                    135,000              180,000
Comparison of Average figures
               Buyers per Deals            Average Original Price        Average Sales Price        Average Discount Rate




           Unadjusted     Adjusted        Unadjusted    Adjusted      Unadjusted     Adjusted      Unadjusted    Adjusted




Muachung          383              417       619,097        608,052       307,063        294,820       48.63%        48.76%




Nhommua         2,404             1,737     3,261,164       465,771       151,935        154,810          61%          60%




Hotdeal         1,181             1,000     1,531,321       840,485       262,315        263,201       61.48%        61.32%



Vndoan            796              642       817,465        701,792       268,732        275,637          41%        41.82%



Cucre             132              133       486,867        489,351       220,356        221,300       51.59%        51.48%
Correlation Testing

• Testing correlation between Buyers per Deal and Purchased Price of a Deal
  using Spearman correlation test
            p value   Spearman's
                      R statistic
ALL SITES   < 0.001   -0.344
Muachung    < 0.001   -0.289
                                      high susceptibility to error and bias
Vndoan      0.026     -0.067
Cucre       < 0.001   -0.184
Nhommua     < 0.001   -0.202
Hotdeal     < 0.001   -0.412
                                    adjusted
ALL SITES   < 0.001   -0.417
(excl.
Vndoan)
Payment Options

Cash on Delivery

Payment at Office

Bank Transfer                  coming soon

Credit Card (VISA,              via Paypal                                                          via OnePay
Master)

Paypal Support?

E-Wallet                            Payoo          ViMuaChung                                    Mobivi, Nganluong

Domestic ATM Card       Smartlink                                                            via OnePay

Mobile TopUp or SMS                            Vinaphone, Mobifone     via Tichluydiem.com
Pay

Points System                                         Gold             via Tichluydiem.com

Discount Card                                                                InCard

E-Coupon (SMS, Email,
Mobile)

Paper Coupon

Mobile Apps

                                             50d added to ViMuaChung
Instant Rebate!
                                                  (Loantin service)
Payment Options

Cash on Delivery                                                                                         Cash at checking bill

Payment at Office

Bank Transfer

Credit Card (VISA,          ?                                            via OnePay
Master)

Paypal Support?

E-Wallet

Domestic ATM Card       via Baokim                                       via OnePay

Mobile TopUp or SMS                                                Vinaphone, Mobifone via
                                     Vinaphone, Mobifone, Vietel                             Zing Card
Pay                                                                      Mobibank

Points System

Discount Card

E-Coupon (SMS, Email,
Mobile)

Paper Coupon

Mobile Apps

Instant Rebate!
Market Opportunities

• Trust in online media forms
  - 79% of VNM consumers influenced by ads on social media websites
  - 82% of VNM consumers believe targeted advertising makes the content
  more relevant to them


• VNM has highest promotion sensitivity in Asia at 87% - “Value for Money”


• High-growth in Retailing & FMCG market




Southeast Asia Trust in Advertising, Aug 2011, Nielsen
Shopper Trends 2011, Nielsen
Nielsen Retail Report, Aug 2011
Market Opportunities

• 17 mln. young new consumers in the next 10 years


• 18 mln. current urban consumers in middle & BOP class


• More mature, wealthier, and more savvy consumer base


• The wealthy income class has increased by 33%, while the middle class in
  urban Vietnam has doubled in two years




VN GSO and TNS Viet Cycle, TNS analysis
Market Opportunities




Vietnamese consumer spending trends in 2011, TNS
Market Opportunities




Euromonitor, 2011
Vietnam groupbuying market overview 2010-2011

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Vietnam groupbuying market overview 2010-2011

  • 1. Vietnam Group-buying Market Overview Researcher: TuDQ Twitter: @doqtu84 Date: Nov 26, 2011
  • 2. Research Methodology • Collecting 9,120 deals across 53 group-buying sites since Sep, 2010
  • 3. Share by Listed Deals (All Markets) Share by Listed Deals (All Markets) Nhommua Nhommua Hotdeal Cungmua 17% Muachung Cucre Runhau 28% Zing Deal 51deal Khuyenmaivang Phagia Others Hotdeal 13% 2% 3% 3% Cungmua 11% 4% Runhau 4% Cucre Muachung 5% 9%
  • 4. Share by Listed Deals (Hanoi) Share by Listed Deals (Hanoi) Nhommua Muachung Hotdeal Cungmua Cucre Others Nhommua Others 24% 29% Muachung Cucre 16% 9% Cungmua Hotdeal 10% 11%
  • 5. Share by Listed Deals (HCM) Share by Listed Deals (HCM) Nhommua Hotdeal Cungmua Zing Deal Muachung Others Nhommua 16% Hotdeal Others 13% 49% Cungmua 11% Zing Deal Muachung 6% 5%
  • 6. Share by Markets SGN HAN VNM (Others) Share by Markets VNM (Others) 3% HAN 23% SGN 74%
  • 7. Share by Categories Share by Categories Food & Beverage Beauty & Health Spa Fashion Entertainment Education Tourism 6% Others Electronics & Computers Electronics & Computers Entertainment 7% Others Food & Beverage 7% 26% Tourism 7% Education 8% Beauty & Health 16% Fashion 10% Spa 12%
  • 8. Unique Visitors Website Traffic by Regional Unique Visitors (Source: Google Ad Planner) Nhommua.com 930,000 Muachung.vn 820,000 Hotdeal.vn 690,000 Cucre.vn 470,000 Dienmay.com 350,000 Cungmua.com 290,000 Deal.zing.vn 220,000 51deal.vn 120,000 Everyday.vn 110,000 0 250,000 500,000 750,000 1,000,000
  • 9. Share by Deal Discount Rate Share by Deal Discount Rate Less than 30% 30-50% 50-70% 70-90% more than 90% 2% 6% Discount)Rate)Distribu/on) 2000" 1800" 15% 1600" 1400" 1200" 1000" 45% 800" 600" 400" 200" 32% 0" 0" 0.2" 0.4" 0.6" 0.8" 1" 1.2"
  • 10. Share by Purchased Price and Original Price Share$by$Purchased$Price$ 6%$ AVERAGE MEDIAN less$than$100,000$ 5%$ Original Price 1,261,961 260,000 100,000$<$300,000$ 7%$ Discounted 300,931 100,000 300,000$<$500,000$ Price 48%$ 500,000$<$1000,000$ Discount Rate 57% 52% more$than$1,000,000$ 34%$ Share$by$Original$Price$ less$than$500,000$ 2%$ 1%$ 500,000$;$1,000,000$ 1,000,000$;$5,000,000$ 5,000,000$;$10,000,000$ 17%$ more$than$10,000,000$ 13%$ 67%$
  • 11. Total Sales, Customers and Listed Deals (Sep 10 - Nov 11) (Estimated) Sales (x 100,000 VND) Customers Listed Deals The Estimation of Total Sales, Customers and Listed Deals (Sep 10 - Nov 11) 3,000,000 1,350 1,400 1,146 2,250,000 1,050 844 1,821,000 1,675,000 1,500,000 700 461 916,000 750,000 350 516,371 2,028,951 1,353,338 60,692 0 100,000 0 Muachung Nhommua Hotdeal Cucre
  • 12. Sales Sep 10 - Nov 11 Sales (Billion in VND) Muachung 40 Nhommua Hotdeal Cucre 30 20 10 0 Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11 Jul 11 Aug 11 Sep 11 Oct 11
  • 13. Deal Purchasers Sep 10 - Nov 11 Deal Purchasers Muachung 300,000 Nhommua Hotdeal Cucre 225,000 150,000 75,000 0 Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11 Jul 11 Aug 11 Sep 11 Oct 11
  • 14. Listed Deals Sep 10 - Nov 11 Listed Deals Muachung Nhommua Hotdeal Cucre 300 225 150 75 0 Sep 10 Oct 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11 Jul 11 Aug 11 Sep 11 Oct 11
  • 15. Value of a Deal Purchaser Muachung Nhommua Hotdeal Cucre Value of a Deal Purchaser (VND) 177,573 82,569 134,557 165,805 0 45,000 90,000 135,000 180,000
  • 16. Comparison of Average figures Buyers per Deals Average Original Price Average Sales Price Average Discount Rate Unadjusted Adjusted Unadjusted Adjusted Unadjusted Adjusted Unadjusted Adjusted Muachung 383 417 619,097 608,052 307,063 294,820 48.63% 48.76% Nhommua 2,404 1,737 3,261,164 465,771 151,935 154,810 61% 60% Hotdeal 1,181 1,000 1,531,321 840,485 262,315 263,201 61.48% 61.32% Vndoan 796 642 817,465 701,792 268,732 275,637 41% 41.82% Cucre 132 133 486,867 489,351 220,356 221,300 51.59% 51.48%
  • 17. Correlation Testing • Testing correlation between Buyers per Deal and Purchased Price of a Deal using Spearman correlation test p value Spearman's R statistic ALL SITES < 0.001 -0.344 Muachung < 0.001 -0.289 high susceptibility to error and bias Vndoan 0.026 -0.067 Cucre < 0.001 -0.184 Nhommua < 0.001 -0.202 Hotdeal < 0.001 -0.412 adjusted ALL SITES < 0.001 -0.417 (excl. Vndoan)
  • 18. Payment Options Cash on Delivery Payment at Office Bank Transfer coming soon Credit Card (VISA, via Paypal via OnePay Master) Paypal Support? E-Wallet Payoo ViMuaChung Mobivi, Nganluong Domestic ATM Card Smartlink via OnePay Mobile TopUp or SMS Vinaphone, Mobifone via Tichluydiem.com Pay Points System Gold via Tichluydiem.com Discount Card InCard E-Coupon (SMS, Email, Mobile) Paper Coupon Mobile Apps 50d added to ViMuaChung Instant Rebate! (Loantin service)
  • 19. Payment Options Cash on Delivery Cash at checking bill Payment at Office Bank Transfer Credit Card (VISA, ? via OnePay Master) Paypal Support? E-Wallet Domestic ATM Card via Baokim via OnePay Mobile TopUp or SMS Vinaphone, Mobifone via Vinaphone, Mobifone, Vietel Zing Card Pay Mobibank Points System Discount Card E-Coupon (SMS, Email, Mobile) Paper Coupon Mobile Apps Instant Rebate!
  • 20. Market Opportunities • Trust in online media forms - 79% of VNM consumers influenced by ads on social media websites - 82% of VNM consumers believe targeted advertising makes the content more relevant to them • VNM has highest promotion sensitivity in Asia at 87% - “Value for Money” • High-growth in Retailing & FMCG market Southeast Asia Trust in Advertising, Aug 2011, Nielsen Shopper Trends 2011, Nielsen Nielsen Retail Report, Aug 2011
  • 21. Market Opportunities • 17 mln. young new consumers in the next 10 years • 18 mln. current urban consumers in middle & BOP class • More mature, wealthier, and more savvy consumer base • The wealthy income class has increased by 33%, while the middle class in urban Vietnam has doubled in two years VN GSO and TNS Viet Cycle, TNS analysis
  • 22. Market Opportunities Vietnamese consumer spending trends in 2011, TNS

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