1. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
GROUP NAME: THE INNOVATORS (Text Book Division, Ministry of Education)
GROUP MEMBERS
No. Name E-mail Telephone
1 Zaid Arafat Bin Mohd Noor zaid.noor@moe.gov.my 03-8884 4498
2 Sarinah Binti Harun sarinah.harun@customs.gov.my 03-8882 2747
3 Dr Lee Oi Wah drlee_ow@moh.gov.my 05-2456135
4 Dr Arulalan K Kumaran
dr.arulalan@gmail.com
03-6145 4333
5 Nurul Widyamirza Binti Sujan @ Jan widyamirza@gmail.com 03-8886 4179
6 Akhzailina Binti Md Akhir akhzailina.akhir@bheuu.gov.my 03-8885 1961

2. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE 1: PRE-SCENARIO BUILDING
GROUP NAME: THE INNOVATORS (TEXT BOOK DIVISION, MOE)
1 OBJECTIVES By 2025 full implementationof virtual learninginall urbansecondaryschools
OUTCOMES
Urban secondaryschoolsusingvirtual learningasa mediumof teachingand learningprocessasa
replacementforthe conventional textbook
2 RATIONALE To keepabreastwithnewlearningenvironmentfocusingonvirtual learning
3 DOMAIN COVERAGE Urban secondaryschoolsinPeninsularMalaysia
4 TIME HORIZON 2015 – 2025 (10 years)
5 TERRITORIAL SCOPE
KualaLumpur, Johore and Penang(502 i.e.20.97% of total secondaryschool)
Note: Statistic of schools, students and teachers in KL, Johore and Penang as at 31 Dec 2014
Total in Malaysia Territorial Scope Kuala Lumpur Johore Penang
Secondary schools 2,394 502 20.97% 101 274 127
Students 2,220,679 450,852 20.30% 97,365 248,113 105,374
Teachers 181,747 63,076 34.70% 13,892 34,314 14,871
(Source: EMIS 31 Dec 2014)

3. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE 1: PRE-SCENARIO BUILDING (CONTINUE)
GROUP NAME: THE INNOVATORS (TEXT BOOK DIVISION, MOE)
6 FUNDING & DURATION Federal BudgetfromTextBookDivision,Ministryof Education; 2015 - 2025
7
FTSP METHODOLOGY &
WORK PLAN
ScenarioPlanningInitiative
8
SPONSORS &
CHAMPIONS
Ministryof Education
9
PROJECT TEAM &
OVERALL STRUCTURE
VLSSProjectTeam:8 people
Overall Structure:
- ProjectTeamMeeting
- Workshop (Pre and priorto implementation)
- PublicConsultation(Pre andpriortoimplementation)
- Briefing(progressandfinal report)
10
PARTICIPATION &
TARGET GROUP
VLSS Project Team:
- Representative from R&D Division
- Representative from Text Book Division
- Representative from Curriculum Division
- Representative from Teachers Education Division
- Representative from Ministry of Higher Education
- Representative from IT Division
- Representative from Budget Division
- Representative from Parent and Teachers Association

4. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE 1: PRE-SCENARIO BUILDING (CONTINUE)
GROUP NAME: THE INNOVATORS (TEXT BOOK DIVISION, MOE)
Workshop 1:
Participant: 25
Target Group: Text Book Division and Curriculum Division
Workshop 2:
Participant: 25
Target Group: IT Division and Budget Division
Workshop 3:
Participant: 25
Target Group: Ministry of Higher Education and Teachers Education Division
Workshop 4:
Participant: 25
Target Group: Ministry of Higher Education and Teachers Education Division
Public Consultation 1:
Participant: 300
Target Group: Parent and Teachers Association and Parents from the effected schools
Public Consultation 2:
Participant: 300
Target Group: Students from the effected schools
Public Consultation 3:
Participant: 300
Target Group: NUTP and NGOs

5. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE 1: PRE-SCENARIO BUILDING (CONTINUE)
GROUP NAME: THE INNOVATORS (TEXT BOOK DIVISION, MOE)
11
IDENTIFY COOPERATION
& NETWORKING EFFORTS
MCMC, ICU Prime MinistersDepartment(Educationsector)
12
WHO WILL YOUPRESENT
YOUR FTSP FINDING?
ProjectLeader;Directorof TextBook Division;UnderSecretary;Ministerof Education;Cabinet

6. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE 2: SCENARIO BUILDING
I. RE-CLARIFY WHAT FUTURES WE ARE INTERESTED IN AND EXECUTE HORIZON SCANNING OF THE
FUTURE WE ARE INTERESTED IN
Virtual learning via Portal MyVLSS (Malaysia Virtual Learning in Secondary School) taking over textbook in
teaching and learning
Horizon Scanning:
i. Literature review from
1) Instructional Technology in the 21st
Century Classroom
Webspace.ship.edu/hliu/etextbook/mode
2) Symposium on the Future of the Textbook
www.affordablelearninggeorgia.org/about/symposium
3) An investigation into the influence of learning style and other factors affecting students’ perception of
virtual learning environment, Khaled Swesi
4) Effective learning and the virtual learning environment, MJ Stiles, The Learning Development Centre,
Staffordshire University, UK
5) The Future of Textbook, August 2014, Richard Benson, Jimmy Sarakatsannis and Ken Wee
6) Video games and the future of the textbook, Jordan Shapiro, August15 2014

7. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
ii) Interview with the subject matter experts of the subject
1) Team members fromPerformanceManagement and Delivery Unit (PEMANDU), Prime Minister
Department of Malaysia who is responsiblefor NKRA GTP 1.0 Improving Students Outcomeand GTP 2.0
Assuring Quality Education
2) Council members from Institutefor Democracy and Economic Affairs (IDEAS) who is responsiblefor
Unit of Education or R&D on education
iii) Interview with the leadersof the industries which you are interested about
Tan Sri Dato’ Dr Wan Mohd Zahid Mohd Noordin who has a vastexperience in the education
and business field.
Qualification:
Bachelor of Arts (Honours) degreefromUniversity Malaya
Masters fromStanford University
PhD fromUniversity of California, Berkeley.
Experience ineducation field:
He started his career as a teacher, moving up to principal level and eventually held various positions in the
Ministry of Education. His last postprior to retirement was as Director-Generalof Education. Currently he
is a Chairman of Universiti Teknologi Mara and Management and Science University.

8. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
Course attended:
BUSINESS managementunder the Advanced Management Programmeat Harvard Business School.
Career:
He is a Non-IndependentNon-Executive Director of the Board of Sime Darby Berhad.
He was appointed to the Governing Council of Yayasan Sime Darby on 16 October 2008.
Currently he is a Chairman of FECCables (M) Sdn Bhd, a Director of Permodalan Nasional Berhad (PNB),
Amanah Saham Nasional Berhad, Perbadanan Usahawan NasionalBerhad, SP Setia Berhad and Amanah
Mutual Berhad. He is also a board member of the Securities Industry DevelopmentCorporation (SIDC), the
training and development arm of the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC).
He was formerly the Chairman of Berger InternationalLtd based in Singapore, and Deputy Chairman of
InternationalBank Malaysia Berhad.
II. IDENTIFY TRENDS, ISSUES AND CHALLENGES INVOLVED
Identify trends, issues and challenges regarding the future you are interested about. Use PESTELV Analysis to
help you categorized trends, issues and challenges involved.

9. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
TRENDS (EXTERNAL FACTOR) ISSUES (INTERNAL FACTOR)
1 POLITICAL New world order (digitalized world) Non-sustainable political will
2 ECONOMICAL
Funding (budget allocation)  Low budget allocation for text book
 Increase operational cost for text book
 Printing companies unable to deliver text book on time
3 SOCIAL
Globalisation  Learning without boundary
 To prepare students for job market
 Resistance from parents
4 TECHNOLOGICAL
MCMC approval
Bandwith coverage
Pedagogical
Content knowledge
 Sub-optimal bandwdith
 Vendors appointed incapable to deliver
 To integrate content knowledge among various type of
schools
 Hackers
 Malware
5 ENVIRONMENTAL Green, environment friendly and sustainable technology-
paperless school
Lack of support from Environmental groups
6 LEGAL Intellectual PropertyRight(IPR) Ownershipof Intellectual PropertyRight(IPR)
7 VALUES Teachers-Studentsconventional relationship Level of comprehensionamongstudents

10. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
III. IDENTIFY AND VERIFY DRIVERS OF CHANGE OR DRIVERS OF THE FUTURE
Identify and verify ‘Drivers of change’ and rank them according to their importance fromD1 to D10
D1
Political will
D2
Funding
D3
No learning
boundary
D4
Technology
support
D5
Infrastructure
(hardware)
D6
Level of
students’
comprehension
D7
Acceptance by
stakeholders
D8
Paperless
environment
D9
Standardized
education
stream
D10
Ownership of
Intellectual
Property
Right (IPR)

11. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
IV. USE IMPACT-UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS TO HELP RANK AND VERIFY AGAIN YOUR DRIVERS
Use ‘Impact-Uncertainty Analysis’ to help rank and verify again your drivers

12. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
IMPACT
MORE LIKELY TO HAPPEN
UNCERTAINTY
LESS LIKELYTO HAPPEN
D1
Political will
D2
Funding
D7
Acceptance by
stakeholders
D4
Technology
support
D5
Infrastructure
(hardware)
D9
Standardized
education
stream
D3
No learning
boundary
D10
Ownership of
IPR
D8
Paperless
environment
D6
Level of
students’
comprehension

13. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
V. DECIDING THE DIRECTION OF CHANGE (INTEGRATED APPROACH)
Drivers of Uncertainty MyVLSS
(Preferred)
Book Worm
(Disowned)
e-Hybrid
(Integrated)
Bravo
(Outlier)
1. Political will
Strongpolitical will to
revampthe education
systemwithMyVLSS
(Portal MalaysiaVirtual
LearninginSecondary
School)
No political will for
change:maintaining
statusof complete
utilizationof
conventional textbook
Political will togradually
implementvirtual
learninginphases
Revampof education
systemby external
forces
2. Funding
Givenpriorityandenough
budgetallocationfor
MyVLSS
Budgetallocation only
for textbook
Integratedbudget
allocationforbothtext
bookand MyVLSS
Sponsorshipfrom
UNESCO,etc.
3. Acceptance by
stakeholders Full acceptance by
stakeholderstouse
MyVLSS
Resistance touse
MyVLSS
Gradual acceptance of
some amountof virtual
learningbyall
stakeholder
Overwhelming
response from
secondaryschoolsin
rural areaand Sabah
and Sarawak
4. Technologysupport
Adequate,worldclassICT
technologytosupportthe
requirementsfor
developmentand
sustainingof MyVLSS
Non-availabilityof
technological support
Existence of some
technological support
for developmentof
virtual learning
Widespreadutilization
of Cloudtechnology

14. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
V. DECIDING THE DIRECTION OF CHANGE
APPROACH/MODELS OF SCENARIO BUILDING
INTEGRATED APPROACH
MyVLSS
(preferred)
The implementation of
virtual learning in
secondary schools through
portal developed by
Ministry of Education
Bookworm
(disowned)
Maintaining status quo of
complete rely on conventional
text book for teaching
E-Hybrid
(integrated)
The use of text book as main
medium of teaching
complemented with
technology as additional tool
Bravo
(outlier)
Unexpected sponsorship and
utilization of virtual learning
in all schools of
Malaysia(positive unexpected
X-factor)

15. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
VI. FINALIZE WHICH APPROACH/MODEL OF SCENARIO BUILDING TO BE USE AND WRITE THE
SCENARIOS
Drivers of Uncertainty MyVLSS
(preferred)
Book Worm
(disowned)
e-Hybrid
(integrated)
Bravo
(outlier)
1. Political will
Strongpolitical will to
revampthe education
system withvirtual
learning
No political willforchange
; maintainingstatus of
complete utilizationof
conventional textbook
Political will togradually
implemente-learningin
phases
Revampof education
system byexternal forces
2. Funding
Givenpriorityandenough
budgetallocationfor
MyVLSS
Budgetallocationonlyfor
textbook.
Integratedbudget
allocationforbothtext
bookand MyVLSS
SponsorshipfromUNESCO,
etc.
3. Acceptance by
stakeholders
Full acceptance by
stakeholderstouse MyVLSS
Resistance touse MyVLSS Gradual acceptance of
some amountof virtual
learningbyall stakeholder
Overwhelmingresponse
fromsecondaryschoolsin
rural areaand Sabah and
Sarawak
4. Technologysupport
Adequate ,worldclass ICT
technologytosupportthe
requirementsfor
developmentand
sustainingof MyVLSS
Non-availabilityof
technological support
Existence of some
technological supportfor
developmentof virtual
learning
Widespreadutilizationof
Cloudtechnology

16. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
MyVLSS
• Strongpolitical will torevampthe
educationsystem withvirtual learning.
• Priority and adequate budget isgiven to
developMyVLSS.
• Full acceptance by all stakeholders
towardsimplementationof MyVLSS .
• Adequate ,worldclass ICT technologyto
supportthe requirementsfordevelopment
and sustainingof MyVLSS
Bookworm
• No political willforchange ;
maintainingstatus of complete
utilizationof conventional textbook
• Budgetallocationonlyfortextbook.
• Resistance byall stakeholdersto
use MyVLSS
• Non-availabilityof technological
support for developmentof learning
portal
Integrated
• Political will tograduallyimplemente-
learninginphases
• Integratedbudgetallocationforboth
textbookand MyVLSS
• Gradual acceptance of some amount
of virtual learningbyall stakeholder
• Existence of some technological
supportfor developmentof virtual
learning
Bravo
• Revampof educationsystem by
external forces
• Receive external sponsorshipeg
UNESCO.
• Overwhelmingresponsefrom
secondaryschoolsinrural area
and Sabahand Sarawak
• Widespreadutilizationof Cloud
technology

17. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE2- POST-SCENARIO BUILDING –DEVELOPING SIGNPOST/ EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
Preferred – (MyVLSS) Disowned– (Bookworm) Integrated - (e-Hybrid)
(Tahun 2023)
 Full acceptance by stakeholders to use
MyVLSS
 Standardized education stream
 Increase contact hours with students
 Spacious room for co-curriculum activities
 Expansion of MyVLSS to all secondary
schools in Malaysia
 Back to basic teaching and learning
methods.
 Gradual replacement of text book with
virtual learning
(Tahun 2020)
 Fully developed and functional Portal MyVLSS
in all schools in Kuala Lumpur, Penang and
Johore.
 Launching of Virtual School Initiative in pilot
schools in Kuala Lumpur, Penang and Johore.
 Full implementation of virtual learning in
schools in Kuala Lumpur, Penang and Johore
 Maintaining status quo of full dependence
on conventional textbook as teaching and
learning medium.
 Organize book reading campaign
 Gradual improvement in technology to
support virtual learning.
(Tahun 2017)
 Special allocation approved by Cabinet for
development of MyVLSS.
 Approval by MAMPU and appointment of
vendors to develop MyVLSS
 Resistance to use MyVLSS
 No effort to develop system suitable for
virtual learning
 Special subsidy to printing industry to
ensure quality printed textbook.
 Printing companies provide text book
together with CD as supplementary
teaching/learning tools.
 Introduction of virtual learning for
certain subject in secondary schools
(e.g. language, science, mathematic)
 Gradual acceptance of some amount
of virtual learning by all stakeholder
(Tahun 2015)
 MoE produce a new Educational Blue Print to
revamp the current education system setting a
target to achieve implementation of Virtual
Learning in all schools by year 2025.
 Promotion of virtual learning in schools to all
stake holders
 MoE maintain the current National
Education Blue Print.
 Budget allocation only for text book
 Political will to gradually implement
virtual learning in phases as outline in
the Education Development Plan of
MoE for the year 2013-2025.
 Budget allocation for both text book
and development of MyVLSS

18. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE2: POST-SCENARIO BUILDING –TRANSLATEFUTUREOPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS TO FUTURE PRODUCTS
/ SERVICES
OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
MyVLSS Bookworm e-Hybrid MyVLSS Bookworm e-Hybrid
 Development
and Innovation
inICT industry
for securityand
storage
methodsand
capacity
 Smart
partnershipwith
ICT industryand
social media
 Awareness
movement
among
environmental
groupto
conserve trees
and maintaining
ecosystem
 Change in
approach in
tachingand
learning
methodsand
acceptance by
younger
 Improving
technologyof
printingusing
recyclable
materialswhich
are more
environmental
friendlyand
doesnot
threatenour
ecosystem
 Future of
managedtree
plantationto
provide
materialsfor
paper
 Future lifestyle
of returningto
the traditional
approach to
teachingand
learning(Backto
basics- needs
qualityteacher-
student
 Smart
partnership
between
traditional
printingindustry
withthe ICT
industry
 Gradual
acceptance by
the stakeholders
to incorporate
virtual learning
inschools
 Internet
capability
unable tomatch
demandof
usage.
 Limitedaccess
of internetin
certain
geographical
areas and
certain
marginalized
population
 Increase in
awarenessof
publiconthe
perilsof
choppingdown
trees.
 Campaignto
boycott
hardcopyof
booksby NGOs
and lobbyist
 Lack of financial
supportor
subsidytofund
developmentof
technological
supportfor
software
development.
 Increase costfor
printing
companiesto
provide
additional
materialsor
software as
supplementto
the
conventional
books.
 Highercost of
learning
material that
neededtobe
borne by
governmentand
parents.

19. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
generation(Gen
Y and Gen Z)
 Massive
improvementin
developingof
software
includinge-book
, e-journal and
othertools
interactiontime)
PRODUCTS / SERVICES
MyVLSS Bookworm e-Hybrid MyVLSS Bookworm e-Hybrid
 Portal –MyVLSS
 Storage and
archiving–
Cloud@My
VLSS
 Toolsfor
assessmentof
students-
Nilai@MyVLSS
 GreenBookor
EarthBook
 Productof
learning
materialseg
e-Matematiks,e-
Biology,e-Kimia
, e-Fiziketc
 Providinghigh
speed free wifi
inrural schools
and certain
facilitieswithin
the community
eg 1-Bestarinet
 Promoting
recyclable paper
campaignto
industryand
consumers
 Tax reductionor
exemptionfor
companiesusing
environmentally
friendly
materials
 Tax reductionor
exemptionfor
companies
providinghybrid
teachingand
learning
materials
CONSOLIDATED PRODUCTS & SERVICES
MyVLSS Bookworm e-Hybrid
1 Malaysia Virtual Learning Centre
Website
GreenBook Concept Printing
Consortium
SmartBook Programme for all schools

20. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]
PHASE2: POST-SCENARIO BUILDING –DEVELOPING STRATEGIES FOR EACH SCENARIOS
STRATEGIES FOR SCENARIO A
(MyVLSS)
STRATEGIES FOR SCENARIO B
(Bookworm)
 Funding–togenerate from governmentbudgetandadditional
sponsorshipfromUNESCO,NGOs and AsianDevelopment
Bank
 Hardware supportincludingcomputers,laptops/tabletsand
broadband– central procurementbyMoE
 HomegrownSoftware developmentandmaintenance byICT
Divisionof MoE
 Developmentof specific curriculumandrelevantcourse
materialsbythe CuriculumDivisionof MoE
 To establish Corporate DivisioninMoE as a “marketingtool”to
promote conceptof virtual learninginschoolsthroughvarious
medium–to targetparents,teachers,students,potential
studentsandpolicymakerswithinMoE
 Partnershipwithsocial mediatopromote virtual learningeg
viaFacebookIdolsasicon/ambassadorforMyVLSS
 Trainingof all teachersinthe methodologyand
skills/competenciesrequiredforvirtual learning.
 Campaignstouse recyclable materialsforprintingpurposes.
 Special subsidyortax exemptionforprintingcompaniesusing
recyclable papers.
 Merger of small unprofitableprintingcompaniestoform
printingconsortium-GreenBookConceptPrintingConsortium
whichwill be the onlysupplierof school textbooksforall
publicschoolsinMalaysia
STRATEGIES FOR SCENARIO C
(E-Hybrid)
STRATEGIES FOR SCENARIO D
(Bravo)
 Strategicpartnershipbetweentraditional printingcompany
withICT company for massproductionof hybridreading
materialsforstudents
 Facilitatingthe unexpectedresponse towardsthe revampof
the entire educationsysteminMalaysianschools including
increaseddemandsforhardware andICTinfrastructure .
 Innovative approachof usingyoungergenerationof teachers/
freshgraduate whoare gadgetsavvyto be trainedas virtual
learningspecialistteachers.

21. [TITLE : THE FUTURE OF TEXT BOOK IN SECONDARY SCHOOL 2025]