SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 45
Modern Portfolio Theory and Practice -or- Get Rich Slow -or- Why the Real Mutual Fund Scandal is Legal David Roodman Summer 2007
Lesson 1:  Do  save/invest ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Modern Portfolio Theory (Harry Markowitz, 1952) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MPT, cont’d ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Can diversification eliminate risk? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
MPT, cont’d ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Efficient market hypothesis (Eugene Fama, 1965, Chicago dissertation) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EMH, cont’d ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Daily % change in AT&T stock vs. previous % change, ~1998-2003
3 forms of EMH ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://www.investorhome.com/emh.htm
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Why should they tell you? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lesson 4: minimize turnover ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DALBAR survey of investors, 1984-2002 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://www.dalbarinc.com/content/printerfriendly.asp?page=2003071601
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],An indignant question
Capital Asset Pricing Model (Sharpe and others, ~1964) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Index mutual funds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Interim conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two things to ponder: 1. Risk vs. return ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Geometric   From Malkiel,  Random Walk Down Wall Street
Two things to ponder: 2. Herd behavior ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fama & French 1992 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
From Robert Haugen,  The New Finance: The Case against Efficient Markets,  based on Fama & French 1992
Here’s where it gets weird ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
From Robert Haugen,  The New Finance: The Case against Efficient Markets,  based on Fama & French 1992 Beta
100 Most-Cited Researchers in Economics SOURCE:  ISI Essential Science Indicators            Web based product from the September 1, 2002 update covering a ten year plus six month period, January 1992 - June 30, 2002.        RANK SCIENTIST PAPERS CITATIONS CITATIONS PER PAPER 1 SHLEIFER, A 50   1,717   34.34   2 FAMA , EF 20   1,242   62.10   3 LEVINE, R 22   1,205   54.77   4 KAHNEMAN, D 16   1,122   70.12   5 VISHNY, RW 23   1,043   45.35   6 MURPHY, KM 20   984   49.20   7 TVERSKY, A 13   901   69.31   8 SALAIMARTIN, X(*) 19 894 47.05 9 FRENCH , KR 14   881   62.93   10 ANDREWS, DWK 27   856   31.70
What’s going on? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
My conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lesson 9 :Vanguard is the best ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What I did ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Allocations
Data collection ,[object Object],[object Object]
Real returns, 8/19/99–10/24/07
 
 
 
 
 
Bottom line ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Total return on some funds in the portfolio Note: Not all funds held all 8 years.
“ Having spent nearly a decade writing about investment management for the little guy, I have come to the conclusion that I no longer believe in the basic premise of my public persona—a surreal cross between Harry Markowitz and Johnny Appleseed, as a friend put it.  “ A decade ago, I really did believe that the average investor could do it himself. After all, the flesh was willing, the vehicles were available, and the math wasn’t  that  hard.  “ I was wrong. Having emailed and spoken to thousands of investors over the years, I’ve come to the sad conclusion that only a tiny minority, at most one percent, are capable of pulling it off.” -- William J. Bernstein,  Efficient Frontier,  Winter 2003 http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/103/probable.htm
For more ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

More Related Content

What's hot

Unit4 portfolio theory & CAPM
Unit4 portfolio theory & CAPMUnit4 portfolio theory & CAPM
Unit4 portfolio theory & CAPMkmaou
 
Portfolio theory chapter
Portfolio theory chapterPortfolio theory chapter
Portfolio theory chaptershashi09kumar
 
MODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
MODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENTMODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
MODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT123vedapradha
 
Topic 3 Risk Return And Sml
Topic 3 Risk Return And SmlTopic 3 Risk Return And Sml
Topic 3 Risk Return And Smlshengvn
 
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)Simran Kaur
 
Markowitz portfolio theory
Markowitz portfolio theoryMarkowitz portfolio theory
Markowitz portfolio theoryDebiprasad Dash
 
Chapter v capital market theory
Chapter v  capital market theoryChapter v  capital market theory
Chapter v capital market theorynirdoshk88
 
Portfolio theory and capm
Portfolio theory and capmPortfolio theory and capm
Portfolio theory and capmBhaskar T
 
Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)
Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)
Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)Ece Akbulut
 
Modern portfolio theory
Modern portfolio theoryModern portfolio theory
Modern portfolio theorynaojan
 
Measuring portfolio risk
Measuring portfolio riskMeasuring portfolio risk
Measuring portfolio riskUrusha Hada
 
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali TirmiziFinancial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali TirmiziDr. Muhammad Ali Tirmizi., Ph.D.
 
MBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing
MBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset PricingMBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing
MBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset PricingWildcatSchoolofBusiness
 

What's hot (20)

Ch13
Ch13Ch13
Ch13
 
Unit4 portfolio theory & CAPM
Unit4 portfolio theory & CAPMUnit4 portfolio theory & CAPM
Unit4 portfolio theory & CAPM
 
Portfolio theory chapter
Portfolio theory chapterPortfolio theory chapter
Portfolio theory chapter
 
MODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
MODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENTMODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
MODERN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
 
Topic 3 Risk Return And Sml
Topic 3 Risk Return And SmlTopic 3 Risk Return And Sml
Topic 3 Risk Return And Sml
 
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
 
Markowitz portfolio theory
Markowitz portfolio theoryMarkowitz portfolio theory
Markowitz portfolio theory
 
Chapter v capital market theory
Chapter v  capital market theoryChapter v  capital market theory
Chapter v capital market theory
 
Mpt lec 1
Mpt lec 1Mpt lec 1
Mpt lec 1
 
Ch 05
Ch 05Ch 05
Ch 05
 
Chap010
Chap010Chap010
Chap010
 
Modern Portfolio Theory
Modern Portfolio TheoryModern Portfolio Theory
Modern Portfolio Theory
 
Portfolio theory and capm
Portfolio theory and capmPortfolio theory and capm
Portfolio theory and capm
 
Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)
Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)
Coursework- Soton (Single Index Model and CAPM)
 
Modern portfolio theory
Modern portfolio theoryModern portfolio theory
Modern portfolio theory
 
Measuring portfolio risk
Measuring portfolio riskMeasuring portfolio risk
Measuring portfolio risk
 
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali TirmiziFinancial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi
Financial Risk Mgt - Lec 2 by Dr. Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi
 
MBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing
MBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset PricingMBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing
MBA 8480 - Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing
 
Chapter 7
Chapter 7Chapter 7
Chapter 7
 
Capm
CapmCapm
Capm
 

Viewers also liked (13)

Portfolio theory
Portfolio theoryPortfolio theory
Portfolio theory
 
Markowitz model
Markowitz modelMarkowitz model
Markowitz model
 
Portfolio markowitz model
Portfolio markowitz modelPortfolio markowitz model
Portfolio markowitz model
 
Portfolio management
Portfolio managementPortfolio management
Portfolio management
 
Risk types
Risk  typesRisk  types
Risk types
 
MPT
MPT MPT
MPT
 
Islamic finance theories
Islamic finance theoriesIslamic finance theories
Islamic finance theories
 
Capm
CapmCapm
Capm
 
Portfolio analysis
Portfolio analysisPortfolio analysis
Portfolio analysis
 
Term Structure Of Interest Rate
Term  Structure Of  Interest  RateTerm  Structure Of  Interest  Rate
Term Structure Of Interest Rate
 
Black scholes(Venu)
Black scholes(Venu)Black scholes(Venu)
Black scholes(Venu)
 
Black schole
Black scholeBlack schole
Black schole
 
Inroduction to Decision Theory and Decision Making Under Certainty
Inroduction to Decision Theory and Decision Making Under CertaintyInroduction to Decision Theory and Decision Making Under Certainty
Inroduction to Decision Theory and Decision Making Under Certainty
 

Similar to Modern Portfolio Theory and Practice

The Facts and Fictions of the Securities Industry
The Facts and Fictions of the Securities IndustryThe Facts and Fictions of the Securities Industry
The Facts and Fictions of the Securities IndustrySam Vaknin
 
Fearful Fund Fantasies
Fearful Fund FantasiesFearful Fund Fantasies
Fearful Fund FantasiesHans Goetze
 
The Capital Asset Prising Model
The Capital Asset Prising ModelThe Capital Asset Prising Model
The Capital Asset Prising ModelSandra Arveseth
 
An introduction to value at risk
An introduction to value at riskAn introduction to value at risk
An introduction to value at riskRisk Edge Solutions
 
Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09
Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09
Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09Prescient Partners
 
Market behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsMarket behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsBabasab Patil
 
Market behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsMarket behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsBabasab Patil
 
Market behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsMarket behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsBabasab Patil
 
Accounting questions
Accounting questionsAccounting questions
Accounting questionsRohit Sethi
 
Improving Your Trading Plan
Improving Your Trading PlanImproving Your Trading Plan
Improving Your Trading PlanBenjamin Cheeks
 
Modern Portfolio Theory in the Age of Unicorns
Modern Portfolio Theory in the Age of UnicornsModern Portfolio Theory in the Age of Unicorns
Modern Portfolio Theory in the Age of UnicornsNed McDonnell III, CFA PMP
 
Efficient Market Hypotheses
Efficient Market HypothesesEfficient Market Hypotheses
Efficient Market Hypotheseslazzerir
 
N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409
N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409
N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409Chris Wicks CFP
 
2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final
2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final
2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Finalmjdeschaine
 
The Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docx
The Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docxThe Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docx
The Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docxtodd771
 

Similar to Modern Portfolio Theory and Practice (20)

Multifactor investing dfa 7-2006
Multifactor investing dfa 7-2006Multifactor investing dfa 7-2006
Multifactor investing dfa 7-2006
 
The Facts and Fictions of the Securities Industry
The Facts and Fictions of the Securities IndustryThe Facts and Fictions of the Securities Industry
The Facts and Fictions of the Securities Industry
 
An overview of behavioral finance
An overview of behavioral financeAn overview of behavioral finance
An overview of behavioral finance
 
Fearful Fund Fantasies
Fearful Fund FantasiesFearful Fund Fantasies
Fearful Fund Fantasies
 
The Capital Asset Prising Model
The Capital Asset Prising ModelThe Capital Asset Prising Model
The Capital Asset Prising Model
 
An introduction to value at risk
An introduction to value at riskAn introduction to value at risk
An introduction to value at risk
 
Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09
Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09
Hybrid Portfolio Theory, 6.17.09
 
Market behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsMarket behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec doms
 
Market behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsMarket behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec doms
 
Market behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec domsMarket behavior research @ bec doms
Market behavior research @ bec doms
 
Prof Portfolio Construction
Prof  Portfolio ConstructionProf  Portfolio Construction
Prof Portfolio Construction
 
Accounting questions
Accounting questionsAccounting questions
Accounting questions
 
Improving Your Trading Plan
Improving Your Trading PlanImproving Your Trading Plan
Improving Your Trading Plan
 
JMS Partners Equity Strategy
JMS Partners Equity StrategyJMS Partners Equity Strategy
JMS Partners Equity Strategy
 
Monthly Perspectives - Volatility - June 2016
Monthly Perspectives - Volatility - June 2016Monthly Perspectives - Volatility - June 2016
Monthly Perspectives - Volatility - June 2016
 
Modern Portfolio Theory in the Age of Unicorns
Modern Portfolio Theory in the Age of UnicornsModern Portfolio Theory in the Age of Unicorns
Modern Portfolio Theory in the Age of Unicorns
 
Efficient Market Hypotheses
Efficient Market HypothesesEfficient Market Hypotheses
Efficient Market Hypotheses
 
N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409
N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409
N Trust Investment Client Presentation 150409
 
2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final
2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final
2nd Qrt 2010 8 Page Final
 
The Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docx
The Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docxThe Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docx
The Financial Review 40 (2005) 1--9Reflections on the Effi.docx
 

Recently uploaded

NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...Amil Baba Dawood bangali
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...amilabibi1
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...Amil baba
 
Tenets of Physiocracy History of Economic
Tenets of Physiocracy History of EconomicTenets of Physiocracy History of Economic
Tenets of Physiocracy History of Economiccinemoviesu
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHenry Tapper
 
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technologyz xss
 
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasThe Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasCherylouCamus
 
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办fqiuho152
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一S SDS
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdfStock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdfMichael Silva
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...First NO1 World Amil baba in Faisalabad
 
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfStock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfMichael Silva
 
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACTGOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACTharshitverma1762
 
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)twfkn8xj
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithAdamYassin2
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)ECTIJ
 
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojnaPMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojnaDharmendra Kumar
 

Recently uploaded (20)

NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
 
Tenets of Physiocracy History of Economic
Tenets of Physiocracy History of EconomicTenets of Physiocracy History of Economic
Tenets of Physiocracy History of Economic
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
 
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology
212MTAMount Durham University Bachelor's Diploma in Technology
 
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasThe Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
 
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
 
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdfStock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for 4/24/24 .pdf
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
 
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfStock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
 
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACTGOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
 
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
 
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
 
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojnaPMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojna
 

Modern Portfolio Theory and Practice

  • 1. Modern Portfolio Theory and Practice -or- Get Rich Slow -or- Why the Real Mutual Fund Scandal is Legal David Roodman Summer 2007
  • 2.
  • 3.  
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Daily % change in AT&T stock vs. previous % change, ~1998-2003
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.  
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.   Geometric  From Malkiel, Random Walk Down Wall Street
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. From Robert Haugen, The New Finance: The Case against Efficient Markets, based on Fama & French 1992
  • 27.
  • 28. From Robert Haugen, The New Finance: The Case against Efficient Markets, based on Fama & French 1992 Beta
  • 29. 100 Most-Cited Researchers in Economics SOURCE: ISI Essential Science Indicators         Web based product from the September 1, 2002 update covering a ten year plus six month period, January 1992 - June 30, 2002.      RANK SCIENTIST PAPERS CITATIONS CITATIONS PER PAPER 1 SHLEIFER, A 50 1,717 34.34 2 FAMA , EF 20 1,242 62.10 3 LEVINE, R 22 1,205 54.77 4 KAHNEMAN, D 16 1,122 70.12 5 VISHNY, RW 23 1,043 45.35 6 MURPHY, KM 20 984 49.20 7 TVERSKY, A 13 901 69.31 8 SALAIMARTIN, X(*) 19 894 47.05 9 FRENCH , KR 14 881 62.93 10 ANDREWS, DWK 27 856 31.70
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 35.
  • 37.  
  • 38.  
  • 39.  
  • 40.  
  • 41.  
  • 42.
  • 43. Total return on some funds in the portfolio Note: Not all funds held all 8 years.
  • 44. “ Having spent nearly a decade writing about investment management for the little guy, I have come to the conclusion that I no longer believe in the basic premise of my public persona—a surreal cross between Harry Markowitz and Johnny Appleseed, as a friend put it. “ A decade ago, I really did believe that the average investor could do it himself. After all, the flesh was willing, the vehicles were available, and the math wasn’t that hard. “ I was wrong. Having emailed and spoken to thousands of investors over the years, I’ve come to the sad conclusion that only a tiny minority, at most one percent, are capable of pulling it off.” -- William J. Bernstein, Efficient Frontier, Winter 2003 http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/103/probable.htm
  • 45.