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Fixing The Media

                         jo@dearmedia.be


woensdag 12 oktober 11                      1
•     a digital consulting company, working for
                   European clients
             •     founded in 2009 by Jo Caudron
             •     our mission is to help find a new balance
                   between the certainties of your traditional
                   business and the opportunities of innovations
                   in (digital) media
             •     our scope is everything in the digital space, with
                   focus on social, mobile, tablets, location,
                   connected TV, new radio, ...
             •     We work for large European clients

woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                  2
•   Founding Partner of Dear Media (www.dearmedia.be)
                         •   Active in interactive since 1993 as (co-)founder of Dear Media, ONE
                             Agency, theOriginals, tvAgency, xCA, The Reference, ...)
                         •   Media thinker, innovator & strategist
                         •   Interested in all things digital, social & mobile, new media & connected
                             TV
                         •   Consultant, Entrepreneur, Speaker, Writer
                         •   Vice-President IAB Belgium
                         •   Contact
                             •   jo@dearmedia.be
            Jo               •   http://jocaudron.me (for the personal stuff)
            Caudron          •   http://www.linkedin.com/in/jocaudron (for the business stuff)
                             •   www.twitter.com/jcaudron (for my technology newsfeed)

woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                                  3
Available from October 2011

                         Already in pre-order on
                         www.MediaMorgen.com




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                 4
twitter.com/jcaudron



woensdag 12 oktober 11                          5
To get this started...
             • Who is using?                 • Who is using?
                   - Twitter                   - an iPhone
                   - Facebook, Netlog, ...     - an Android
                   - LinkedIn, Plaxo           - a Blackberry
                   - Email                     - a Nokia, Samsung, Sony
                   - LBS                         Ericsson, ...
                   - Augmented Reality         - a tablet (iPad 1, iPad 2,
                                                 Android, ...)



woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                       6
Don’t believe anything
                           you will hear in the
                         following presentation!

woensdag 12 oktober 11                             7
The Perfect Storm

                     Authority Shifting




                                        Shift of
                                                   Content Explosion
                         Place Shifting Control




                         Time Shifting

woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                 8
WTF are
                         social media?




woensdag 12 oktober 11                   9
Radio




woensdag 12 oktober 11
                                                                                           TV


                                                                                          Print


                                                                                       Billboards




                                                   From ...
                                                                                           DM


                                                                                      Social Media




                                                                                Marketing & Communication


                                                                                          Sales
                         The sky is the limit...



                                                                                    Service & Support


                                                                                           HR
                                                   ... to




                                                                                            IT
                                                              Social Business




                                                                                 PR & External Commun.


                                                                                   R&D & Enterprise 2.0
10
woensdag 12 oktober 11   11
7.000.000.000
woensdag 12 oktober 11                   12
2.000.000.000
                         7.000.000.000
woensdag 12 oktober 11                   13
1.300.000.000
                         2.000.000.000
                         7.000.000.000
woensdag 12 oktober 11                   14
5.000.000.000
                         1.300.000.000
                         2.000.000.000
                         7.000.000.000
woensdag 12 oktober 11                   15
The Future is
      ‘Mobile’




woensdag 12 oktober 11   16
Mobile is the
              Biggest!
                                       nes.
                            obile p ho
                       n m         ld o ver
              5 billio       re so
                  illio n we       n e!
              1 b            r alo
                    las t yea
               the




woensdag 12 oktober 11                        17
woensdag 12 oktober 11   18
300


                                                                   225
      In Q4 2010 7,3% of all PC’s sold globally, where iPads ...
      (source: IDC).                                               150

      By 2014 almost 500.000.000 tablets will be sold.
                                                                    75
      Apple will continue to dominate the market for the next
      coming years.                                                  0
                                                                         2010   2011   2012   2013   2014


woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                                      19
The Future of Computing is NOT on PC’s




                         Shift towards tablets, smartphones, ...?
woensdag 12 oktober 11                                              20
So, Traditional Media are Dead?
              No, but...
woensdag 12 oktober 11              21
The end of traditional media?




                         ?
woensdag 12 oktober 11                        22
What might impact TV? Timeshifting!
                                           How big is time shifted
                                           viewing today?
                                           • 2,5% (VRT)
                                           • 20% (VTM telenovelas)-
                                             30%
                                           • 10% (RTL)
                                           It IS growing.

                                           How much loss of advertising
                                           can commercial TV digest?




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                    23
What might impact TV? Direct OTT Distribution!




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                         24
woensdag 12 oktober 11   25
The future of TV might not be on TV




woensdag 12 oktober 11                              26
What might impact TV? The People!
                 They don’t watch less TV.

          But they are changing the very
        nature of the DNA of (commercial)
                        TV.

           They might even pay for TV, but
                 maybe not to you.

       They might stay loyal to TV-brands,
                 (near) linear TV, ...
         but if they run away from your
       advertising, pay-TV, ... you still have
                      an issue.


woensdag 12 oktober 11                            27
Fixing TV   TV must mix linear with On Demand


                               TV must mix and free-to-air with pay-TV


                           TV must be on all platforms
                           providing unique, compelling experiences


                          TV must create a wider offering with more content
                          faster and deeper


                                  TV must create a mix of local and
                                  international content and compete with
                                  iTunes and the likes


woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                        28
What about newspapers?




woensdag 12 oktober 11                 29
What about newspapers?
                                       • Print newspapers are no longer to
                                         best “format” to bring the “latest”
                                         news
                                       • The daily frequency can not
                                         compete to online newspapers
                                       • They have cannibalized on their
                                         own business: free newssites
                                       • Classifieds are lost completely
                                       • Advertisers believe in online and
                                         new advertising formats and are
                                         slowly towards online
                                       • Yet traditional online advertising
                                         does not work as hoped for, is
                                         worth less, thus is not compensating
                                         for offline loss
                                       • Readers are less loyal
                                         (subscriptions) and become
                                         weekend-consumers


woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                          30
woensdag 12 oktober 11   31
Will new technology help?




woensdag 12 oktober 11                    32
The future of
           Magazines?




woensdag 12 oktober 11     33
Fixing Print           Print will continue to exist, but digital will rule

                              Expect newspapers and magazines to
                              become similar formats

                         It’s not just about tablets, it’s all you can dream of

                              Find a new balance between slow (destination: deep,
                              quality) and fast (stream: instant, short, quantity)

                             Let go of publication dates, the time is NOW

                                    Your inspiration should not be “The Daily”, it
                                    should be “Flipboard”

woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                     34
And, THEY don’t listen to radio...




woensdag 12 oktober 11                   35
Fixing Radio
                                  Don’t be asleep, it’s happening to you too

                             You don’t have direct competition as “radio” but
                             you do have competition in your core values/
                             features: closeness, community feeling, local,
                             services, ...


                                 Each of your core features is under attack by new
                                 market entrants on mobile, social media, ...

                                         Get out of the box to invent new services
                                         that go with your core DNA.



woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                               36
Is there a future for print and offline media?




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                         37
And what about the music industry?




woensdag 12 oktober 11                       38
It’s not going well...




woensdag 12 oktober 11                 39
It’s not going well...
              “Jo, read and feel the horror”

              (someone at a very big record label)
                                                     Bob Lefsetz
                                                     talking on Lady GaGa and the 0,99 sales on
                                                     Amazon...

                                                     “You can't argue about the price. "Born This Way"
                                                     was available at Amazon for 99 cents. And then, just
                                                     in case you didn't catch it the first time around, they
                                                     repeated the promotion a couple of days later. Only
                                                     400,000 odd people took Amazon up on this offer.  
                                                     Meaning for many, they just don't want to hear GaGa
                                                     AT ANY PRICE!”


woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                                         40
The new online paradigm




                Content is no longer King
                It’s a commodity




                                            Connection just became
                                            the new King
woensdag 12 oktober 11                                               41
The new online paradigm




                         Yes, you are connecting.
                         But who’s community is this
                         anyway?
                                                       Connection just became
                                                       the new King
woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                          42
People Don’t Mind Paying.
                           But not for content...


woensdag 12 oktober 11                               43
We pay for experiences
             • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                          44
We pay for experiences
             • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers
             • We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                  45
We pay for experiences
             •     We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers
             •     We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental
             •     We never paid for TV, we pay for “Ooit Gemist”
             •     We never paid for football, we paid for being in the arena




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                          46
We pay for experiences
             •     We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers
             •     We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental
             •     We never paid for TV, we pay for “Ooit Gemist”
             •     We never paid for football, we paid for being in the arena
             •     We never paid for music, we paid for a CD, or instant availability of ALL
                   music




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                         47
We pay for experiences
             •     We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers
             •     We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental
             •     We never paid for TV, we pay for “Ooit Gemist”
             •     We never paid for football, we paid for being in the arena
             •     We never paid for music, we paid for a CD, or instant availability of ALL
                   music


             • So we don’t pay for online. Be honest, what online experience is really
                   worth paying for?



woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                         48
We pay for experiences
             • Create great experiences, convenience of delivery and people will pay (even
                   for stuff that is also available for free)




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                       49
Things to take away ...
woensdag 12 oktober 11                             50
Want to be ready?




                                                         Change your view on
                                                         advertising
  Start using
  social networks                         Get a decent
                         Get on Twitter
                                          smartphone




                                          Get a tablet
woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                         51
Want to be ready?




                                  Get a Plan



woensdag 12 oktober 11                         52
Start
                      1                             AWARENESS
Strategy & Concepts




                                                                    Mobile Strategy
                      2   DIGITAL STRATEGY
                                                                 Social Media Strategy




                                                    Inbound (listen) /Outbound (talk)
                      3   CONCEPTS                      Destinations / Streams
                                                               Fix / Mobile




                                FUNCTIONAL                       SOCIAL MEDIA PLAN
                                                                                             The Plan
                              REQUIREMENTS                            - people & teams
                             (site, portal, apps,
Details




                                                                   - tools (monitoring &
                      4         channels, ...)                          conversation)
                                                                  - policies & guidelines
                                                                   - training & coaching
                             RFP ASSISTANCE
Next




                      5       DEVELOPMENT
                                  follow-up
                                                                CONVERSATION MNGT
                                                              day2day, guidance, follow-up



woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                                  53
Things to take away
                     Everything is becoming digital, so is your business, whatever it is

                          Social is the next logical step in the path of digital evolution

                               The future of the internet and social will be mobile

                                     The future of mobile will be everything

                                 You need a plan NOW to start dealing with this

                         Actually, you don’t need a plan, you need to plan (continuously)

                                 Embrace the future now, but don’t overdo it ;-)



woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                       54
Beware of Macro-Myopia*
                          *the trend to overestimate the impact of change on the short term
                             and to underestimate the impact of change on the long term.

                                               Don’t say I didn’t warn you ;-)




woensdag 12 oktober 11                                                                        55
Fixing The Media

                         jo@dearmedia.be


woensdag 12 oktober 11                      56

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Fixing the media - DMF2011

  • 1. Fixing The Media jo@dearmedia.be woensdag 12 oktober 11 1
  • 2. a digital consulting company, working for European clients • founded in 2009 by Jo Caudron • our mission is to help find a new balance between the certainties of your traditional business and the opportunities of innovations in (digital) media • our scope is everything in the digital space, with focus on social, mobile, tablets, location, connected TV, new radio, ... • We work for large European clients woensdag 12 oktober 11 2
  • 3. Founding Partner of Dear Media (www.dearmedia.be) • Active in interactive since 1993 as (co-)founder of Dear Media, ONE Agency, theOriginals, tvAgency, xCA, The Reference, ...) • Media thinker, innovator & strategist • Interested in all things digital, social & mobile, new media & connected TV • Consultant, Entrepreneur, Speaker, Writer • Vice-President IAB Belgium • Contact • jo@dearmedia.be Jo • http://jocaudron.me (for the personal stuff) Caudron • http://www.linkedin.com/in/jocaudron (for the business stuff) • www.twitter.com/jcaudron (for my technology newsfeed) woensdag 12 oktober 11 3
  • 4. Available from October 2011 Already in pre-order on www.MediaMorgen.com woensdag 12 oktober 11 4
  • 6. To get this started... • Who is using? • Who is using? - Twitter - an iPhone - Facebook, Netlog, ... - an Android - LinkedIn, Plaxo - a Blackberry - Email - a Nokia, Samsung, Sony - LBS Ericsson, ... - Augmented Reality - a tablet (iPad 1, iPad 2, Android, ...) woensdag 12 oktober 11 6
  • 7. Don’t believe anything you will hear in the following presentation! woensdag 12 oktober 11 7
  • 8. The Perfect Storm Authority Shifting Shift of Content Explosion Place Shifting Control Time Shifting woensdag 12 oktober 11 8
  • 9. WTF are social media? woensdag 12 oktober 11 9
  • 10. Radio woensdag 12 oktober 11 TV Print Billboards From ... DM Social Media Marketing & Communication Sales The sky is the limit... Service & Support HR ... to IT Social Business PR & External Commun. R&D & Enterprise 2.0 10
  • 13. 2.000.000.000 7.000.000.000 woensdag 12 oktober 11 13
  • 14. 1.300.000.000 2.000.000.000 7.000.000.000 woensdag 12 oktober 11 14
  • 15. 5.000.000.000 1.300.000.000 2.000.000.000 7.000.000.000 woensdag 12 oktober 11 15
  • 16. The Future is ‘Mobile’ woensdag 12 oktober 11 16
  • 17. Mobile is the Biggest! nes. obile p ho n m ld o ver 5 billio re so illio n we n e! 1 b r alo las t yea the woensdag 12 oktober 11 17
  • 19. 300 225 In Q4 2010 7,3% of all PC’s sold globally, where iPads ... (source: IDC). 150 By 2014 almost 500.000.000 tablets will be sold. 75 Apple will continue to dominate the market for the next coming years. 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 woensdag 12 oktober 11 19
  • 20. The Future of Computing is NOT on PC’s Shift towards tablets, smartphones, ...? woensdag 12 oktober 11 20
  • 21. So, Traditional Media are Dead? No, but... woensdag 12 oktober 11 21
  • 22. The end of traditional media? ? woensdag 12 oktober 11 22
  • 23. What might impact TV? Timeshifting! How big is time shifted viewing today? • 2,5% (VRT) • 20% (VTM telenovelas)- 30% • 10% (RTL) It IS growing. How much loss of advertising can commercial TV digest? woensdag 12 oktober 11 23
  • 24. What might impact TV? Direct OTT Distribution! woensdag 12 oktober 11 24
  • 26. The future of TV might not be on TV woensdag 12 oktober 11 26
  • 27. What might impact TV? The People! They don’t watch less TV. But they are changing the very nature of the DNA of (commercial) TV. They might even pay for TV, but maybe not to you. They might stay loyal to TV-brands, (near) linear TV, ... but if they run away from your advertising, pay-TV, ... you still have an issue. woensdag 12 oktober 11 27
  • 28. Fixing TV TV must mix linear with On Demand TV must mix and free-to-air with pay-TV TV must be on all platforms providing unique, compelling experiences TV must create a wider offering with more content faster and deeper TV must create a mix of local and international content and compete with iTunes and the likes woensdag 12 oktober 11 28
  • 30. What about newspapers? • Print newspapers are no longer to best “format” to bring the “latest” news • The daily frequency can not compete to online newspapers • They have cannibalized on their own business: free newssites • Classifieds are lost completely • Advertisers believe in online and new advertising formats and are slowly towards online • Yet traditional online advertising does not work as hoped for, is worth less, thus is not compensating for offline loss • Readers are less loyal (subscriptions) and become weekend-consumers woensdag 12 oktober 11 30
  • 32. Will new technology help? woensdag 12 oktober 11 32
  • 33. The future of Magazines? woensdag 12 oktober 11 33
  • 34. Fixing Print Print will continue to exist, but digital will rule Expect newspapers and magazines to become similar formats It’s not just about tablets, it’s all you can dream of Find a new balance between slow (destination: deep, quality) and fast (stream: instant, short, quantity) Let go of publication dates, the time is NOW Your inspiration should not be “The Daily”, it should be “Flipboard” woensdag 12 oktober 11 34
  • 35. And, THEY don’t listen to radio... woensdag 12 oktober 11 35
  • 36. Fixing Radio Don’t be asleep, it’s happening to you too You don’t have direct competition as “radio” but you do have competition in your core values/ features: closeness, community feeling, local, services, ... Each of your core features is under attack by new market entrants on mobile, social media, ... Get out of the box to invent new services that go with your core DNA. woensdag 12 oktober 11 36
  • 37. Is there a future for print and offline media? woensdag 12 oktober 11 37
  • 38. And what about the music industry? woensdag 12 oktober 11 38
  • 39. It’s not going well... woensdag 12 oktober 11 39
  • 40. It’s not going well... “Jo, read and feel the horror” (someone at a very big record label) Bob Lefsetz talking on Lady GaGa and the 0,99 sales on Amazon... “You can't argue about the price. "Born This Way" was available at Amazon for 99 cents. And then, just in case you didn't catch it the first time around, they repeated the promotion a couple of days later. Only 400,000 odd people took Amazon up on this offer.   Meaning for many, they just don't want to hear GaGa AT ANY PRICE!” woensdag 12 oktober 11 40
  • 41. The new online paradigm Content is no longer King It’s a commodity Connection just became the new King woensdag 12 oktober 11 41
  • 42. The new online paradigm Yes, you are connecting. But who’s community is this anyway? Connection just became the new King woensdag 12 oktober 11 42
  • 43. People Don’t Mind Paying. But not for content... woensdag 12 oktober 11 43
  • 44. We pay for experiences • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers woensdag 12 oktober 11 44
  • 45. We pay for experiences • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers • We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental woensdag 12 oktober 11 45
  • 46. We pay for experiences • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers • We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental • We never paid for TV, we pay for “Ooit Gemist” • We never paid for football, we paid for being in the arena woensdag 12 oktober 11 46
  • 47. We pay for experiences • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers • We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental • We never paid for TV, we pay for “Ooit Gemist” • We never paid for football, we paid for being in the arena • We never paid for music, we paid for a CD, or instant availability of ALL music woensdag 12 oktober 11 47
  • 48. We pay for experiences • We never paid for news, we paid for newspapers • We never paid for movies, we paid for cinema or rental • We never paid for TV, we pay for “Ooit Gemist” • We never paid for football, we paid for being in the arena • We never paid for music, we paid for a CD, or instant availability of ALL music • So we don’t pay for online. Be honest, what online experience is really worth paying for? woensdag 12 oktober 11 48
  • 49. We pay for experiences • Create great experiences, convenience of delivery and people will pay (even for stuff that is also available for free) woensdag 12 oktober 11 49
  • 50. Things to take away ... woensdag 12 oktober 11 50
  • 51. Want to be ready? Change your view on advertising Start using social networks Get a decent Get on Twitter smartphone Get a tablet woensdag 12 oktober 11 51
  • 52. Want to be ready? Get a Plan woensdag 12 oktober 11 52
  • 53. Start 1 AWARENESS Strategy & Concepts Mobile Strategy 2 DIGITAL STRATEGY Social Media Strategy Inbound (listen) /Outbound (talk) 3 CONCEPTS Destinations / Streams Fix / Mobile FUNCTIONAL SOCIAL MEDIA PLAN The Plan REQUIREMENTS - people & teams (site, portal, apps, Details - tools (monitoring & 4 channels, ...) conversation) - policies & guidelines - training & coaching RFP ASSISTANCE Next 5 DEVELOPMENT follow-up CONVERSATION MNGT day2day, guidance, follow-up woensdag 12 oktober 11 53
  • 54. Things to take away Everything is becoming digital, so is your business, whatever it is Social is the next logical step in the path of digital evolution The future of the internet and social will be mobile The future of mobile will be everything You need a plan NOW to start dealing with this Actually, you don’t need a plan, you need to plan (continuously) Embrace the future now, but don’t overdo it ;-) woensdag 12 oktober 11 54
  • 55. Beware of Macro-Myopia* *the trend to overestimate the impact of change on the short term and to underestimate the impact of change on the long term. Don’t say I didn’t warn you ;-) woensdag 12 oktober 11 55
  • 56. Fixing The Media jo@dearmedia.be woensdag 12 oktober 11 56