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© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Made possible by
Seven Ecommerce Trends You Need
to Understand Now
Krista Garcia
Analyst
July 28, 2016
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
1. Mobile Conversions
Climbing
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Smartphone mcommerce is growing fast
46.8%
Mcommerce
15.7%
2.6%
74.2%
Ecommerce Total RetailSmartphone Mcommerce
US Retail Sales Growth, 2016
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Growth in US
smartphone
mcommerce
accelerated in
2015 and will
continue to
expand
through 2020
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
The number of
US smartphone
buyers
continues to
rise
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
US retail
ecommerce
smartphone
conversion rates
improved 33.4% in
2015
Conversion rates on smartphones
were still one-third what they were
on desktops, but that was up from
one-quarter in 2014
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Bigger screens =
higher conversion
rates
Phablets’ share of global
smartphone devices will rise
from 29% in Q4 2015 to 59% in
Q2 2017
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Faster load times = higher conversion rates
Load Time
2.4 seconds
3.3 seconds
4.2 seconds
5.7 seconds
(Source: Soasta, Sept. 2015)
Conversion Rate
1.9% (peak)
1.5%
1.0%
0.6%
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
App search has been enabled by deep links
~50%
of the Internet Retailer 100 use deep links
(Source: Pure Oxygen Labs, 2016)
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
2. Stores Still Matter
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Brick-and-mortar dominates US sales
92.8%
Retail sales that occur in-store
(Source: eMarketer, June 2016)
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Stores
generate the
most revenue
for US
multichannel
retailers
20% of revenues come
from ecommerce
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Stores are
still the focus
of many US
retail execs’
efforts to
enhance the
customer
experience
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Online retailers get physical
Showrooms Partnerships Stores
Image source: Bonobos Image source: West Elm Image source: GeekWire
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
3. Mobile Drives In-Store Sales
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Mobile influences
45%
of all US shopping journeys
(Source: Facebook IQ, Feb. 2016)
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Nearly all
US adult
smartphone
users have used
location-based
services
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Proximity
marketing can
drive foot traffic
and sales
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Personalization
and
understanding
shoppers are
important
Beacons? Not so much
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Beacons have low adoption among US retailers
 Used by 15% (Source: Forbes Insights, Dec. 2015)
 23% implemented and satisfied, 22% implemented but
planning a change, 23% had no plans to implement
(Source: Retail Systems Research, Feb. 2016)
 20% currently used beacons (or augmented reality) and
17% planned to do so (Source: TimeTrade, April 2016)
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
What are
retailers
focused on?
“[Beacons] are one of the
technologies that will help
advertisers and marketers
understand the customer’s overall
behavior. But other technologies are
also contributing to that holistic
customer view—Wi-Fi data, NFC
data and QR codes.”
—Thomas Walle, CEO and Co-Founder, Unacast
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
4. More Experiences, Less
Stuff
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Spending on
services has
been growing
faster than
spending on
goods in the
US
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Digital spending intention among US internet
users is strongest for services
 This trend is more so
for millennials
 25% planned to spend
somewhat or much
more digitally on
entertainment, 24% on
airlines and hotels
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Experiential spending gained steam over the
holidays last year
52%
of US millennials
planned to buy
experiential gifts
(source: PwC, Oct. 2015)
39%
of those 35+ did
(source: PwC, Oct. 2015)
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
The sharing economy isn’t widespread
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Sharing economy skews young
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Sharing or selling?
 eBay and Etsy, not
Rent the Runway and
Le Tote
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
5. Images Speak Louder
Than Words
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Social commerce is practically synonymous with
Pinterest
 4.6 times as many Pinterest
users go there to shop
compared to Facebook and
Instagram
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Pinterest is designed to shop
Image source: Pinterest#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Pinterest sparks discovery
“The discovery is usually led by an idea.
Ideas create intent for us to purchase
products, book a trip for travel or do
something else. We know that in order to
create intent, you must start first with an
idea and move beyond a beautiful photo.”
—Edwin Wong, Head of Partner Marketing
Insights, Pinterest
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Instagram is less
transactional
 Instagram has 34.8 million
more US users than
Pinterest
 58.3% of US Instagram
users are female
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Instagram inspires
Image source: Instagram#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Most US
Snapchat
users are
under 25
Snapchat skews very
young, but will gradually
expand its user base
through 2020
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Nordstrom’s “Study Break”
“Our Snapchat Stories were a little bit
informal and natural—it was not a
commercial, it had hand-written text and
it was very different than what
consumers would see on TV or even
YouTube.”
—Bryan Galipeau, Director, Social Media and
Display, Nordstrom
Image source: Fortune#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
There’s
no
shortage
of visual
social
platforms
Image source: We Heart ItImage source: Imgur
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Influencers in the
Purchase Funnel
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Retail is late to influencer marketing
“Retailers have one
specific goal in mind:
Come shop with us
and spend your
money with us.”
—Stacy DeBroff,
Founder and CEO,
Influence Central
“Retailers do have more
emphasis on the middle of
the funnel and the bottom
funnel than other brands
who use our platform. …
Especially if they are
ecommerce, everything has
got to tie back to the sale.”
—Rustin Banks, Co-Founder and
Chief Product Officer,
Tapinfluence
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Advertising
has a trust
problem
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Younger US
internet users
are more
swayed by
influencers
But friends and family still
beat all other sources for
influence
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
The value of
influencer
marketing
continues to grow
 Food and beverage had high
earned media value
 2015 EMV average ($11.20)
grew 63% over 2014
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
7. Ecommerce Is Evolving
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Contextual, Connected, Conversational
Image source: Amazon Image source: Pizza HutImage source: Pinterest
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Buy buttons at work
Image source: Pinterest Image source: Instagram Image source: Facebook
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Social media users haven’t been clamoring for
buy buttons
 Less than a fifth of
consumers polled in
November 2015
worldwide were
interested in buy
buttons on select
social media sites
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
#eMwebinar
Getting cozy with artificial intelligence
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Voice search is still emerging
 74% of US smartphone
users under 25 have
used digital voice
assistants
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Convincing consumers to use Facebook
Messenger for commerce will be a challenge
 54.7% of US users
would like to see
discounts and
promotional offers
 27.7% didn’t want to
receive any
messages
#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Are bots the new apps?
Image source: Wingstop Image source: Kik
“We’ll begin to identify phrases that
identify people’s interest in placing
an order, and then we will be able to
proactively reach out to them. We
will learn as we go so we can learn
and adapt to those phrases.”
—Flynn Dekker, CMO, Wingstop, in
Nation’s Restaurant News
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Kik’s Bot
Shop
features
retail
brands
Image source: Kik#eMwebinar
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Recap
1. Smartphone conversion rates are improving
2. The store still matters for sales
3. Mobile can bridge online and offline worlds
4. Spending is shifting to experiences over goods
5. Visual commerce’s success varies by platform
6. Influencers can have sales impact, but it’s hard to measure
7. Ecommerce is becoming contextual and conversational
#eMwebinar
 Accelerate time to insight
 Holistically view customer journeys
 See experiences through your
customers’ eyes
 Unite teams around the customer
© 2015 IBM
A single place to answer…
what is happening and why
Performance Bikes Gains Insight Across
Channels
Leading Consumer Brand Visualizes Entire
Customer Journey
• Single view of journeys enables brand to
personalize content and deliver extraordinary
experiences that meet their business goals
• Understand activities that lead up to
key milestones, and customize content
to increase conversion
• Target look-alikes on third-party sites to
find more high value customers
• Single view of customer journeys across
channels to better personalize and deliver
extraordinary experiences
• Holistic customer understanding of multi-
channel experiences
• Easily connected email and web touchpoints
for a single view
IBM Customer Experience Analytics
Learn more at:
ibm.com/cxanalytics
© 2016 eMarketer Inc.
Learn more about digital marketing with an
eMarketer corporate subscription
Around 200 eMarketer reports are published
each year. Here are some recent reports you
may be interested in:
Q&A Session
Made possible by
You will receive an email
tomorrow with a link to view the
deck and webinar recording.
To learn more: www.emarketer.com/products
800-405-0844 or webinars@emarketer.com
Krista Garcia
Seven Ecommerce Trends You
Need to Understand Now
 Digital Shopper Marketing Trends in the US: Getting Personal
in the Aisles
 The Changing Path to Purchase: What It Means to Add Mobile
to the Mix
 Cross-Border Ecommerce 2016: A Country-by-Country Look at
Consumer Behavior and Trends

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eMarketer Webinar: Seven Ecommerce Trends You Need to Understand Now

  • 1. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Made possible by Seven Ecommerce Trends You Need to Understand Now Krista Garcia Analyst July 28, 2016
  • 2. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. 1. Mobile Conversions Climbing
  • 3. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Smartphone mcommerce is growing fast 46.8% Mcommerce 15.7% 2.6% 74.2% Ecommerce Total RetailSmartphone Mcommerce US Retail Sales Growth, 2016
  • 4. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Growth in US smartphone mcommerce accelerated in 2015 and will continue to expand through 2020 #eMwebinar
  • 5. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The number of US smartphone buyers continues to rise #eMwebinar
  • 6. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. US retail ecommerce smartphone conversion rates improved 33.4% in 2015 Conversion rates on smartphones were still one-third what they were on desktops, but that was up from one-quarter in 2014 #eMwebinar
  • 7. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Bigger screens = higher conversion rates Phablets’ share of global smartphone devices will rise from 29% in Q4 2015 to 59% in Q2 2017 #eMwebinar
  • 8. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Faster load times = higher conversion rates Load Time 2.4 seconds 3.3 seconds 4.2 seconds 5.7 seconds (Source: Soasta, Sept. 2015) Conversion Rate 1.9% (peak) 1.5% 1.0% 0.6% #eMwebinar
  • 9. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. App search has been enabled by deep links ~50% of the Internet Retailer 100 use deep links (Source: Pure Oxygen Labs, 2016) #eMwebinar
  • 10. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. 2. Stores Still Matter
  • 11. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Brick-and-mortar dominates US sales 92.8% Retail sales that occur in-store (Source: eMarketer, June 2016) #eMwebinar
  • 12. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Stores generate the most revenue for US multichannel retailers 20% of revenues come from ecommerce #eMwebinar
  • 13. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Stores are still the focus of many US retail execs’ efforts to enhance the customer experience #eMwebinar
  • 14. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Online retailers get physical Showrooms Partnerships Stores Image source: Bonobos Image source: West Elm Image source: GeekWire
  • 15. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. 3. Mobile Drives In-Store Sales
  • 16. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Mobile influences 45% of all US shopping journeys (Source: Facebook IQ, Feb. 2016) #eMwebinar
  • 17. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Nearly all US adult smartphone users have used location-based services #eMwebinar
  • 18. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Proximity marketing can drive foot traffic and sales #eMwebinar
  • 19. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Personalization and understanding shoppers are important Beacons? Not so much #eMwebinar
  • 20. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Beacons have low adoption among US retailers  Used by 15% (Source: Forbes Insights, Dec. 2015)  23% implemented and satisfied, 22% implemented but planning a change, 23% had no plans to implement (Source: Retail Systems Research, Feb. 2016)  20% currently used beacons (or augmented reality) and 17% planned to do so (Source: TimeTrade, April 2016) #eMwebinar
  • 21. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. What are retailers focused on? “[Beacons] are one of the technologies that will help advertisers and marketers understand the customer’s overall behavior. But other technologies are also contributing to that holistic customer view—Wi-Fi data, NFC data and QR codes.” —Thomas Walle, CEO and Co-Founder, Unacast #eMwebinar
  • 22. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. 4. More Experiences, Less Stuff
  • 23. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Spending on services has been growing faster than spending on goods in the US #eMwebinar
  • 24. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Digital spending intention among US internet users is strongest for services  This trend is more so for millennials  25% planned to spend somewhat or much more digitally on entertainment, 24% on airlines and hotels #eMwebinar
  • 25. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Experiential spending gained steam over the holidays last year 52% of US millennials planned to buy experiential gifts (source: PwC, Oct. 2015) 39% of those 35+ did (source: PwC, Oct. 2015) #eMwebinar
  • 26. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The sharing economy isn’t widespread #eMwebinar
  • 27. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Sharing economy skews young #eMwebinar
  • 28. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Sharing or selling?  eBay and Etsy, not Rent the Runway and Le Tote #eMwebinar
  • 29. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. 5. Images Speak Louder Than Words
  • 30. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Social commerce is practically synonymous with Pinterest  4.6 times as many Pinterest users go there to shop compared to Facebook and Instagram #eMwebinar
  • 31. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Pinterest is designed to shop Image source: Pinterest#eMwebinar
  • 32. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Pinterest sparks discovery “The discovery is usually led by an idea. Ideas create intent for us to purchase products, book a trip for travel or do something else. We know that in order to create intent, you must start first with an idea and move beyond a beautiful photo.” —Edwin Wong, Head of Partner Marketing Insights, Pinterest #eMwebinar
  • 33. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Instagram is less transactional  Instagram has 34.8 million more US users than Pinterest  58.3% of US Instagram users are female #eMwebinar
  • 34. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Instagram inspires Image source: Instagram#eMwebinar
  • 35. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Most US Snapchat users are under 25 Snapchat skews very young, but will gradually expand its user base through 2020
  • 36. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Nordstrom’s “Study Break” “Our Snapchat Stories were a little bit informal and natural—it was not a commercial, it had hand-written text and it was very different than what consumers would see on TV or even YouTube.” —Bryan Galipeau, Director, Social Media and Display, Nordstrom Image source: Fortune#eMwebinar
  • 37. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. There’s no shortage of visual social platforms Image source: We Heart ItImage source: Imgur
  • 38. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Influencers in the Purchase Funnel
  • 39. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Retail is late to influencer marketing “Retailers have one specific goal in mind: Come shop with us and spend your money with us.” —Stacy DeBroff, Founder and CEO, Influence Central “Retailers do have more emphasis on the middle of the funnel and the bottom funnel than other brands who use our platform. … Especially if they are ecommerce, everything has got to tie back to the sale.” —Rustin Banks, Co-Founder and Chief Product Officer, Tapinfluence #eMwebinar
  • 40. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Advertising has a trust problem #eMwebinar
  • 41. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Younger US internet users are more swayed by influencers But friends and family still beat all other sources for influence #eMwebinar
  • 42. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The value of influencer marketing continues to grow  Food and beverage had high earned media value  2015 EMV average ($11.20) grew 63% over 2014 #eMwebinar
  • 43. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. 7. Ecommerce Is Evolving
  • 44. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Contextual, Connected, Conversational Image source: Amazon Image source: Pizza HutImage source: Pinterest
  • 45. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Buy buttons at work Image source: Pinterest Image source: Instagram Image source: Facebook
  • 46. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Social media users haven’t been clamoring for buy buttons  Less than a fifth of consumers polled in November 2015 worldwide were interested in buy buttons on select social media sites #eMwebinar
  • 47. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. #eMwebinar Getting cozy with artificial intelligence
  • 48. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Voice search is still emerging  74% of US smartphone users under 25 have used digital voice assistants #eMwebinar
  • 49. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Convincing consumers to use Facebook Messenger for commerce will be a challenge  54.7% of US users would like to see discounts and promotional offers  27.7% didn’t want to receive any messages #eMwebinar
  • 50. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Are bots the new apps? Image source: Wingstop Image source: Kik “We’ll begin to identify phrases that identify people’s interest in placing an order, and then we will be able to proactively reach out to them. We will learn as we go so we can learn and adapt to those phrases.” —Flynn Dekker, CMO, Wingstop, in Nation’s Restaurant News
  • 51. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Kik’s Bot Shop features retail brands Image source: Kik#eMwebinar
  • 52. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Recap 1. Smartphone conversion rates are improving 2. The store still matters for sales 3. Mobile can bridge online and offline worlds 4. Spending is shifting to experiences over goods 5. Visual commerce’s success varies by platform 6. Influencers can have sales impact, but it’s hard to measure 7. Ecommerce is becoming contextual and conversational #eMwebinar
  • 53.  Accelerate time to insight  Holistically view customer journeys  See experiences through your customers’ eyes  Unite teams around the customer © 2015 IBM A single place to answer… what is happening and why
  • 54. Performance Bikes Gains Insight Across Channels Leading Consumer Brand Visualizes Entire Customer Journey • Single view of journeys enables brand to personalize content and deliver extraordinary experiences that meet their business goals • Understand activities that lead up to key milestones, and customize content to increase conversion • Target look-alikes on third-party sites to find more high value customers • Single view of customer journeys across channels to better personalize and deliver extraordinary experiences • Holistic customer understanding of multi- channel experiences • Easily connected email and web touchpoints for a single view
  • 55. IBM Customer Experience Analytics Learn more at: ibm.com/cxanalytics
  • 56. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Learn more about digital marketing with an eMarketer corporate subscription Around 200 eMarketer reports are published each year. Here are some recent reports you may be interested in: Q&A Session Made possible by You will receive an email tomorrow with a link to view the deck and webinar recording. To learn more: www.emarketer.com/products 800-405-0844 or webinars@emarketer.com Krista Garcia Seven Ecommerce Trends You Need to Understand Now  Digital Shopper Marketing Trends in the US: Getting Personal in the Aisles  The Changing Path to Purchase: What It Means to Add Mobile to the Mix  Cross-Border Ecommerce 2016: A Country-by-Country Look at Consumer Behavior and Trends