Презентація Жан-Поля Понселе, генерального директора Європейського атомного форуму

1. Nuclear Energy
in a low-carbon Europe
Jean-Pol PONCELET
Ukrainian Nuclear Forum Association
Kiev, Ukraine, 23 September 2015

2. • COP 21 - "21st Conference of the Parties to the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC)"
Paris, France, 2015 (Nov. 30 – Dec. 11)
• UNFCC
Rio de Janeiro, 1992
• Kyoto Protocol (COP 3, 1997)
setting international binding emission reduction targets
"common but differentiated responsibilities"
– 5.2 % GHG (2088-2012) vs. 1990 [192 countries]
extended to 2020 (Doha, 2012)
2
Energy & Climate: on the Road to Decarbonisation

3. • 1990-2015: GHG emissions + 60 % !
• how to reduce CO2 emissions globally without jeopardizing the
development of emerging countries?
1.2 billion people do not have access to electricity
• 70 % of global electricity from fossil fuels
the average global temperature could rise by 6° C
3
Energy & Climate: Why Caring About?

4. • The Climate and Energy Package (January 2008): "the triple Twenties"
– 20 % GHG by 2020
– 20 % primary energy use
+ 20 % renewables in total energy (binding)
Emission Trading System, Renewables (national support)
• A Policy Framework for Climate and Energy 2020-2030 (January 2014)
– 40 % GHG by 2030
+ 27 % renewables in total energy
an EU-wide governance to implement: national plans
• A 2050 Roadmap (not adopted by Council...)
security of supply / competitiveness / sustainability: which balance?
5 decarbonisation scenarios ("delayed CCS" i.e. don't quote nuclear...)
4
Energy & Climate: the EU Roadmap

5. 5
EU's Nuclear (1)

6. 6
EU's Nuclear (2)

7. 7
EU's Nuclear (3)

8. 8
EU's Nuclear (4)

9. 9
EU's Nuclear (5)

10. 10
EU's Nuclear (6)

11. 11
EU's Nuclear (7)

12. 12
Nuclear For Climate
• a grassroots initiative
• brings together the many professionals and scientists of the
international community, coordinated via 60+ nuclear associations
worldwide
• "We proudly believe that nuclear energy is a key part of the solution
in the fight against climate change"
www.nuclearforclimate.org

13. 13
Mobilizing the Communities

14. 14
Three Audiences, One Campain

15. 15
The Size of the Climate Challenge (1)
to limit the temperature increase
below + 2° C in 2050
at least 80 % of the world's electricity must
be low-carbon by 2050
today, it's about 30 %
THIS IS A MASSIVE CHALLENGE THAT
REQUIRES THE USE OF ALL AVAILABLE LOW-
CARBON TECHNOLOGIES

16. 16
The Size of the Climate Challenge (2)
today:
1.2 billion people do not have access to
electricity
2.8 billion use wood or other biomass
products for cooking and heating
by 2050:
the world population will be around
9.6 billion
THE FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
SHOULD NOT JEOPARDIZE DEVELOPMENT

17. 17
The Urgency of Climate Challenge (1)
once released, CO2 remains in the
atmosphere for a long time
70 % of the “carbon budget”
has been consumed
IT IS URGENT TO USE NOW ALL AVAILABLE
LOW-CARBON TECHNOLOGIES

18. 18
The Urgency of Climate Challenge (2)
today: only 6 countries above 80 % goal
of low-carbon electricity, 4 of them are
relying on nuclear
by 2040, nuclear power should have
saved the equivalent of 4 years CO2
emissions
NUCLEAR ENERGY IS AN AVAILABLE, LOW-
CARBON, PROVEN EFFICIENT INDUSTRIAL
SOLUTION

19. 19
Nuclear for Climate
IPCC's 1800 scenarios (WG3):
no credible path to limit global
warming below 2 °C without nuclear
UNFCC PROTOCOLS TO ALLOW COUNTRIES
WISHING TO USE NUCLEAR ENERGY TO
ACCESS TO CLIMATE CHANGE FINANCING
(cf. ALL LOW-CARBON SOURCES)
"there is no credible way to climate
stabilisation that does not include an
important role for nuclear energy... we
cannot afford to turn our back on any
technology"
Open letter from environmentalists,
Washington Post, Oct. 2103

20. 20
They Support…

21. 21
… Now It's Time for You to Join!

22. Nuclear For Climate
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23. FORATOM
www.foratom.org
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B-1000 Bruxelles