Hotelmarkt Deutschland: München weiter auf Wachstumskurs

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Hotelmarkt Deutschland: München weiter auf Wachstumskurs, sowohl beim Angebot als auch bei der Nachfrage. Der jüngste Rückgang hängt nur mit dem Messezyklus zusammen, das zeigt unser EY Real Estate Hotel Landscape.

Hotel Landscape
München
EY Real Estate
Ursula Kriegl
ursula.kriegl@de.ey.com
Christoph Eichbaum
christoph.eichbaum@de.ey.com
Kelly Hoffmann
kelly.hoffmann@de.ey.com
Moritz Sanoner
moritz.sanoner@de.ey.com
Münchens Angebots- und Nachfragekurven zeigen
weiter nach oben. Jüngster Rückgang
in den Leistungsergebnissen reﬂektiert
vor allem den Messezyklus.
*RevPAR: Logisumsatz pro verfügbarem Zimmer
Quellen: STR Global, Statistisches Landesamt Hessen
Betten
Übernachtungen
Ankünfte
RevPAR*
4,6%
1,2%
4,9%
-1,4%
Entwicklung
1. HJ 2016–1. HJ 2017
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 5
4,5%
2,8%
3,7%
2,0%
Durchschnittliches jährliches
Wachstum 2013–2016

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Ob die Metropolregionen dem Anspruch gerecht werden, Entwicklungsmotoren zu sein, wurde kürzlich für die Metropolregion Hamburg untersucht. „Hamburg 2020 – Chancen nutzen, Zukunft gestalten“ heißt die Studie, die gemeinsam vom Hamburgischen WeltWirtschaftsInstitut (HWWI) (Nora Reich, Silvia Stiller, Ulrich Zierahn) und PricewaterhouseCoopers (Andreas Borcherding, Tatjana Hansen) im Frühjahr 2012 veröffentlicht wurde. Hier wird Hamburg mit den Metropolregionen Stuttgart, Rhein-Ruhr, München, Frankfurt/Rhein-Main sowie Berlin-Brandenburg bezüglich wichtiger Wachstumsindikatoren verglichen. Die Studie geht dabei auf die ökonomische Dynamik sowie Spezialisierungsvorteile der Region Hamburg ein, beleuchtet die Ausstattung mit den „Arbeitskräften der Zukunft“, präsentiert Szenarien zur Entwicklung der Erwerbstätigenzahlen und zeigt zentrale standortpolitische Handlungsfelder auf. Nora Reich, Wissenschaftlerin am HWWI beschreibt in einem Artikel im HWWI-Update (04/2012) die wichtigsten Ergebnisse der Studie bezüglich der Fachkräfteausstattung. Darin erklärt Nora Reich, dass das Potenzial an Fachkräften von großer Bedeutung für die Entwicklung von Produktivität, Wirtschaftswachstum und Arbeitsplätzen ist. Das zukünftige Fachkräftepotenzial hängt dabei unter anderem von der Entwicklung der Bevölkerung, der Attraktivität der Metropolregion Hamburg und der Bildungsperformance ab. Nach Nora Reichs Datenanalysen hat sich die Metropolregion Hamburg beim Bevölkerungswachstum in den vergangenen Jahren positiv von den anderen Metropolregionen abgehoben. Auch die Offenheit gegenüber Zuwanderern – gemessen an der Zuwanderungsrate der Stadt Hamburg aus dem Ausland – bewertet Nora Reich positiv. Gleichzeitig weist Nora Reich auf einige Verbesserungsbedarfe hin. So zeigt die Analyse der Erwerbstätigenstruktur, dass besonders bei Personen mit ausländischer Herkunft sowie bei Frauen Potenzial zur besseren Eingliederung in den Arbeitsmarkt und damit zur Nutzung der vorhandenen Humanressourcen bestehen.

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Beim Stichwort Immobilienboom denken die meisten Bürger an die großen Städte wie München, Hamburg und natürlich auch Köln. Doch die Dynamik bei den Haus- und Wohnungspreisen hat längst die angrenzenden Gebiete erreicht. Mittlerweile können sich Verkäufer hier sogar über in der Relation stärkere Preissprünge als in den Metropolen freuen, zeigt sich im aktuellen Marktbericht der KSK-Immobilien GmbH, den ksta.de hier dokumentiert.

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Oil and gas prices have recovered steadily from their lows and are relatively stable, but that stability is supported by the combination of purposeful withholding of production by oil-producing countries and economic stress on upstream independents. Oil prices closed the quarter roughly where they started it, while refining spreads were down slightly. LNG spreads were substantially higher at the end of Q3 than they were at the beginning of the quarter but are still roughly half of what is generally thought of as sustainable. Going forward, the market will be looking closely at how the economy and demand respond to new developments with respect to a potential COVID-19 vaccine and the US election.

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