New Industrial Revolution for Bestseller 2020
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New Industrial Revolution for Bestseller 2020
- 1. The New Industrial Revolution? Future scenarios of value creation for a sustainable future Professor Robin Teigland www.slideshare.net/eteigland www.robinteigland.com | robin.teigland@gmail.com | @RobinTeigland
- 2. Free download on Routledge or Amazon
- 3. People • “Net generation” • 24x7 “mobile” workforce • Gig economy • Online learning • Sharing not owning • Sustainability Technology • Broadband/wifi • Cloud, fog • Internet of Things • AI/ML/DL/NN • Autonomous vehicles • Smart robotics • VR/AR/Holography • 3D/4D printing/ALM • Blockchains • Nanotechnology • Quantum computing Open Source • Software • Hardware • Physibles Convergence of….. Finance • Microlending/microfinance • Crowdfunding/equity/P2P lending • Cryptocurrencies, tokens • Blockchains, smart contracts • Mobile money and payments • M2M/R2R payments
- 4. If the rate of change on the outside (of an organization) exceeds the rate of change on the inside, the end is near.... -Jack Welch
- 5. Digital is the main reason just over half the Fortune 500 companies have disappeared since the year 2000. -Pierre Nanterme, CEO Accenture, 2016 Yet..Digital disruption has only just begun.
- 6. All our knowledge is about the past, but all our strategic decisions are about the future Conway 2003 What we don’t know we don’t know about the future What we know What we know we don’t know
- 7. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
- 8. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
- 9. We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. - Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, 1996
- 10. Smart Robots
- 11. FIRM FOUNDED EMPLOYEES MKT CAP BMW 1916 135,000 $39B UBER 2009 25,000 $58B MARRIOTT 1927 176,000 $42B AIRBNB 2008 3,100 $35B WALT DISNEY 1923 201,000 $245B FACEBOOK 2004 40,000 $519B WALMART 1962 2,200,000 $319B ALIBABA 1999 102,000 $446B Adapted from Parker & Van Alstyne, with Choudary, 2016, updated August 2019 Something fundamental is changing
- 12. Shifting market logics to platforms Ericsson & Augur 2011
- 13. • Major retailers in USA closed down more than 5000 stores in 2017 and plan to close >1000 stores in 2018 • 20-25% of USA malls to close within 5 years http://clark.com/shopping-retail/major-retailers-closing-2017/US https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/04/retail-jobs-decline-as-amazons-robot-army-grows.html Retail and supporting mall jobs hit hard in USA
- 14. AI/ML/NN and data scale & scope are foundation for solving customer needs J. Zhang 2017
- 15. • Supplier credit checks & loans • Fake merchandise recognition • Product recommendations pushed to shoppers, and communicated to retailers to increase inventory • Dynamic pricing • Supply chain optimization • Robot packing and drone delivery • “Store concierge” chatbots that understand emotion to engage human when necessary • Sensors to improve customer flows Offline and online AI-based innovation Over 1 mln Mom & Pop stores digitalized
- 16. Free online AI courses
- 23. Pizzas, AI, robots, and AVs
- 27. Scheveningen Harbor – The Hague
- 28. 3D printer workshop on Lisette’s boat Knowledge: RepRap community E-commerce: Aliexpress
- 29. My first attempt at 3D printing – Successful!
- 30. Do-it-yourself (DIY) microfactory networks
- 32. Transformation of economic activity Centralized, hierarchical organizations Decentralized, self-organizing organizations
- 33. Increasing forces for local community and circular economies
- 34. ReGen Villages – Fully self-sufficient http://www.regenvillages.com/
- 36. So, how can we prepare for the future?
- 37. A simple exercise Read out loud together
- 39. All our knowledge is about the past, but all our strategic decisions are about the future Conway 2003 What we don’t know we don’t know about the future What we know What we know we don’t know
- 40. Looking into the future? • Forecast –How we think the future will be • Vision –How we want the future to be • Scenarios –What the future can be –“Alternative memories” from the future ? ? ? ?
- 41. FUTURE OF VALUE CREATION Political Economic Sociological TechnologicalEnvironmental Legal PESTEL
- 44. Brainstorm around a partnership with one company and a product using the core and basic techs # Company Core Technology Basic Technology 1 AIM Sweden 3d printing AI/Big Data 2 Cellink Bioprinting AI/Big Data 3 Furhat Robotics AI/robotics AI/Big Data 4 Everdrone Smart drones AI/Big Data 5 Einride Smart mobility AI/Big Data 6 Epishine Energy/IoT AI/Big Data 7 Swedish Algae Factory New materials AI/Big Data
- 45. BA Two individuals (organizations) with the same number of contacts…
- 46. …but with very different access to resources, ideas, and signals BA
- 47. Peniche, Portugal One Hour North of Lisbon
- 52. The ocean is in a critical state
- 53. A Broken Economic Model
- 54. How might we empower coastal communities to take back their future?
- 55. University Shipyard Port Tourists Entrepreneurs Fishing Boats Underutilized Resources Warehouses Fishermen Digital Nomads Students Local Industries R&D
- 56. Digital technologies enable ocean opportunities • Renewables • Robotics and drones • AI/ML/NN • Marine simulations • New material technologies • Additive manufacturing • IoT • Blockchain Entrepreneurial Mindset
- 57. To improve competitiveness and sustainability of small-scale fishing fleets through a subscription data service The Peladrone Project
- 58. From catching fish to searching for ocean litter Extending the Peladrone service range
- 59. Recycling Ocean Waste with Carbon, Graphene, & 3D Printing Recovering Ocean Litter with Repurposed Fishing Vessels Manufacturing combined with Blockchain PENICHE OCEAN WATCH A Blue Circular Economy Based on Ocean Litter Sustainable Ocean Entrepreneurship Mapping Ocean Litter with AI and Drones55 TONNES LITTER
- 61. To empower researchers, students, entrepreneurs and businesses under one roof to find innovative solutions to societal problems A global hotspot for entrepreneurial activity, a flagship in ocean innovation, and a showcase in circular economy Vision & Strategy
- 66. The OCEAN Warehouse A Tech Hub - Not a Surf Hostel
- 67. Under the same roof at The OCEAN Warehouse Coliving Colearning Coinventing To empower entrepreneurs, businesses, researchers, and students under one roof to find innovative solutions to societal problems
- 68. Boundary objects
- 69. Collective competence We live in different worlds... And it’s difficult to achieve real cooperation even if you understand one another. There are always culture crashes … it takes time to build bridges between the different worlds. Ruuska & Teigland 2008
- 70. 70 OUR FACILITIES “THE TANK” A warehouse under renovation to become a modern workspace for collaborative innovation
- 71. The OCEAN Tank – Project Space
- 73. Go4Surf The Tank The OCEAN Warehouse Fishing Port SmartOcean ESTM CETEMARES EXAME 2019
- 74. A Marine Symbiosis Marine Bioresources Marine Technology +
- 75. The Plastic Chain Project & EMLO Empowering Marine Litter Opportunities
- 77. Next step – to add ocean plastic waste ?
- 79. Graphene at GLN?
- 80. Smart Ocean Network for data-driven, sustainable innovation smartOCEAN Peniche, Portugal Smart Ocean VGR, Sweden Goal: To create a global network of hubs for sustainable ocean innovation
- 81. POW Partnerships with Government, University & Industry • Peniche Municipality, Portugal • IPMA, Portugal • Institute Politécnico de Leiria (IPL), Portugal • University of Aveiro, Portugal • smartOcean, Portugal • Docapesca, Portugal • ADEPE, Portugal • Ocean Tech Hub, Portugal • Afrodite, Portugal • Inocean, Norway and Sweden • Birdview, Norway • OsloMet, Norway • Empower, Norway • Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden • University of Gothenburg, Sweden • Ocean Data Factory, Sweden • Eurocean, EU
- 82. Current POW Projects Project Name Purpose Target Group Partners Peladrone Improve competitiveness and sustainability of small and medium scale fishing fleets Fishermen Inocean, Birdview, Ocean Tech Hub LDA EduDrones Increase awareness about the local marine ecosystem and provide practical demonstration of emerging technologies Junior High School Go4Surf, IPL Leira ESTM, Escola EB 2,3 D. Luísde Ataíde, PEK Ocean Wheels Challenge To enhance an entrepreneurial and solution-oriented mindset to ocean challenges High School Patrimonium Peniche, Cenfim, PEK, OsloMet University, Ocean Tech Hub LDA Ocean Awareness 2.0 Centre Inspire entrepreneurship and innovation towards solving ocean challenges Community IPL Leira ESTM, PEK, Go4Surf, Birdview, Chalmers University of Technology The Plastic Chain Cost efficient offtake of plastic in places where waste management is inadequate. Bring valuable resources back into the economy and insuring traceability through the blockchain Community Ocean Tech Hub LDA, Empower AS, TOMRA Sorting, Klaveness Digital AS, Subsea 7 Norway AS Niord Create value of marine litter by recycling fishing nets into nylon Fishermen Ambiberica, Aquafil Ocean Community Challenge Develop prototypes based on circular economy principles and focusing on utility to help coastal communities reach UN SDGs Global SmartOcean, IPL Leira ESTM, Chalmers University of Technology, Ocean Data Factory Sweden, + more
- 83. The Ocean Wheels Challenge Local schools and community in Peniche to create a form of transportation on wheels reusing marine litter and with digital technologies
- 84. An open challenge inspiring inclusive innovation for coastal communities to achieve UN Sustainable Development Goals Technology Circular Economy Models Ocean Waste Ocean Data www.oceancommunitychallenge.com
- 85. ”Best Practice” Presentation for EU - EMFF Managing Authorities
- 86. Documentary on Portuguese National TV https://www.rtp.pt/programa/tv/p37509/e4
- 88. Boundary spanning enables scenario thinking 1. Build relationships across diverse networks, avoid echo chambers 2. Practice scenario thinking and look for signals from the periphery 3. Ask “What if?”, challenge basic assumptions, and experiment 4. Ensure access to resources, not ownership, through your networks Boundary spanner
- 90. Robin Teigland www.robinteigland.com www.slideshare.net/eteigland robin.teigland@chalmers.se @RobinTeigland http://www.go4surf.pt/ Trond Gunnar Teigland tgteigland94@gmail.com www.PenicheOceanWatch.com @penicheoceanwatch If you love knowledge, set it free! OCEAN TECH HUB