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seven deadly sins
  gareth kay - head of planning, modernista!
mark lewis - planning director, ddb san francisco
people

against

 lazy
quot;i'm just surprised that no-one's
  thought of a better idea yet”

                 stephen king on planning
success?
“in most categories a brand’s market share is
stationary”

4 out of 5 categories seen as increasingly
homogeneous

less than 1 in 10 ads seen as different

4% response rate successful in dm

0.5% average click through rate for banners
Seven Deadly Sins
we think we’re changing, but we are
what we do
old assumptions


              old models of communication


                            old behavior


                                            misplaced
                                            action
deadly sin #1
living by old, unchallenged assumptions
is this it ??

                awareness

                 interest


                  desire


                  action
we’ve based our thinking on an anomaly




                                         now
Seven Deadly Sins
a half century oddity
    tv                  other communication


    passive             active

    monologue           dialogue

    centralized         decentralized

    image               substance

    money               stickiness

    what ‘we’ do        what you do to what
                        we do
deadly sin #2
we care about the wrong objectives
the usual suspects are wrong

awareness…
             …when meaning and familiarity matter
             more in our world of overchoice

attitude…
             ...attitude and attributes, adjusted for
             size, don’t change

image…
             …image doesn’t shift until after behavior
the real objective
energy

and the world is made of energy
and the world is electricity
and the world is made of energy
and there's a lot inside of you
and there's a lot inside of me

and the world is made of energy
and the world is synchronicity
and the world is made of energy
and there's a lot inside of you
and there's a lot inside of me
it’s not what you got, it’s how you use it




 y&r’s bav found that a brand’s energy changes the dynamics of
 differentiation and relevance

 andrew ehrenberg: salience is what matters

 hall & partners: momentum rules
Source: McKinsey Quarterly
ye can ney break the laws of physics Jim




    low entropy             high entropy
deadly sin #3
our craving for simplicity
 and order of outcome
embrace complexity

randomness creates energy

culture craves complexity

the thrill of the new
information predictability…
…or information entropy



             the more random the source of
             information is, the higher it’s
             entropy and the more information it
             has
Seven Deadly Sins
how does this fit?
brand onions, brand prints etc. are designed to force
consistency…




…but that means less energy
“consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative”
Seven Deadly Sins
culture craves complexity



  “it takes a thousand voices
      to tell a single story”

                            native american saying
Seven Deadly Sins
Seven Deadly Sins
the thrill of the new
john grant and the molecule

                                                                                specials eg
                                                      language,                 frappucino
                                                      eg ‘skinny’
                                                                      habits
                                                                    formation
              ‘my sister’
                                                         range
                book
                                                      and options

                                                                                 book
                       barista
                                             better                             reading
                       culture                                ordering
                                            coffee             system                         akelah and
                                            mission
  used grounds                                                                                  the bee
                                                                           in store
  for gardeners               starbucks
                                                                         performance
                                                       sofas and
                              company
                                                                           and art
                 social                                                              starbucks
                                                       ambience
             responsibility                                                            salon
                                     africa 05
                                                                hearmusic
     fair trade                                       Xm
       coffee
                                          music cd
                   cause
                                                           burn your own
                  publicity
                                                                 cd
                  in store
deadly sin #4
what’s the main message?
everything in its right place
the reality is everything is intertwingled
Seven Deadly Sins
reality is more ambiguous




    (especially in Italy)
Seven Deadly Sins
Seven Deadly Sins
knowledge vs. information

We work hard to find the right message, for the right target at the
right time




But this only works if the information’s and it’s value doesn’t
change once it’s in people’s hands (and it does)
from thinking to doing
deadly sin #5
self-importance
“people look at what interests them and sometimes it’s your ad.”

                                               howard gossage




  “often our biggest mistake as managers is believing that, in
 general, customers care a lot about your brand. they do not.”

                                                patrick barwise
it’s about having a social mission, not just
a commercial proposition
to get a marketing literate and resistant culture enthusiastic about your
brand, then your brand needs to have an enthusiasm bigger than your
category

create something of social meaning above your product or service

your point of view on real society and life, not Nielsen categories, allows
you to connect in mutually beneficial and contagious way

it’s about being useful to customers and relevant to your brand
real beauty, not moisturizer
heart health / cholesterol, not margarine
encourage messy play
good design is a right, not a privilege
against dirty
deadly sin #6
it’s the big things that matter
the world of fat tails
phase transitions

Change is never smooth, continuous or instant
complex systems, huge changes
we live in complex systems,
not unstable ones




    why are we over complicating the input and
         oversimplifying the outcomes???
we live in an unstable world
“i gave volunteers variations of a newspaper story describing an
assassination attempt on a fictitious president. those who were
given the version where the president died were significantly more
likely to attribute the event to a conspiracy than those who read
the one where the president survived, even though all other
aspects of the story were equivalent…
…to appreciate why this form of reasoning is seductive consider
the alternative: major events having minor or mundane causes - for
example, the assassination of a president by a single, possibly
mentally unstable, gunman, or the death of a princess because of
a drunk driver. this presents us with a rather chaotic and
unpredictable relationship between cause and effect. instability
makes most of us uncomfortable: we prefer to imagine we live in a
predictable safe world, so in a strange way, some conspiracy
theories offer us accounts of events that allow us to retain a sense
of safety and predictabilityquot;
                                                                     patrick leman
Source: New Scientist, July 11 2007. Via Mark Earls:
http://herd.typepad.com/herd_the_hidden_truth_abo/2007/07/big-things-big-.html
Seven Deadly Sins
Seven Deadly Sins
deadly sin #7
learn then do
Seven Deadly Sins
the 1 in 20 rule
Seven Deadly Sins
so, in summary
Old assumptions




                                Wrong models
Misplaced doing
                                 of thinking
seven deadly sins

1.   old assumptions should remain unchallenged
2.   awareness and image are the things that matter
3.   simplicity, predictability and order exist
4.   messaging works
5.   what we do is important
6.   focus on the big things
7.   learn then do
seven ways to make brands and their
communication matter again
1.   challenge (the old) assumptions
2.   energy is what really matters
3.   embrace complexity
4.   be uncomplete
5.   be humble
6.   sweat the small stuff
7.   DO then learn then DO again
“if you don’t like change, you’re
going to like irrelevance even less”

                        general eric shinseki
embrace uncertainty

forget the planning (sort of)
don’t predict (less theory)
get out there and try
transmission is not the only way

   communication can work…
                          …through modeling
                          …as feedback
                          …by making you present
                          …by being interesting




quot;people will forget what you said, people will forget what you
did, but people will never forget how you made them feel.”
                                         bonnie jean wasmund
planning for uncertainty

a linear process   ! a continuous process of creation

presenting to clients   ! co-creating with clients
planning for uncertainty

one size fits all campaign   ! frequent micro-initiatives

big stuff ! small stuff

strategy to execution     ! strategy in execution
energy ! noise

it’s not about getting noticed, it’s about demonstrating
motion
thank you
           and be very

        www.garethkay.com
www.planning-outside-in.blogspot.com
Seven Deadly Sins

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Seven Deadly Sins

  • 1. seven deadly sins gareth kay - head of planning, modernista! mark lewis - planning director, ddb san francisco
  • 3. quot;i'm just surprised that no-one's thought of a better idea yet” stephen king on planning
  • 4. success? “in most categories a brand’s market share is stationary” 4 out of 5 categories seen as increasingly homogeneous less than 1 in 10 ads seen as different 4% response rate successful in dm 0.5% average click through rate for banners
  • 6. we think we’re changing, but we are what we do old assumptions old models of communication old behavior misplaced action
  • 7. deadly sin #1 living by old, unchallenged assumptions
  • 8. is this it ?? awareness interest desire action
  • 9. we’ve based our thinking on an anomaly now
  • 11. a half century oddity tv other communication passive active monologue dialogue centralized decentralized image substance money stickiness what ‘we’ do what you do to what we do
  • 12. deadly sin #2 we care about the wrong objectives
  • 13. the usual suspects are wrong awareness… …when meaning and familiarity matter more in our world of overchoice attitude… ...attitude and attributes, adjusted for size, don’t change image… …image doesn’t shift until after behavior
  • 15. energy and the world is made of energy and the world is electricity and the world is made of energy and there's a lot inside of you and there's a lot inside of me and the world is made of energy and the world is synchronicity and the world is made of energy and there's a lot inside of you and there's a lot inside of me
  • 16. it’s not what you got, it’s how you use it y&r’s bav found that a brand’s energy changes the dynamics of differentiation and relevance andrew ehrenberg: salience is what matters hall & partners: momentum rules
  • 18. ye can ney break the laws of physics Jim low entropy high entropy
  • 19. deadly sin #3 our craving for simplicity and order of outcome
  • 20. embrace complexity randomness creates energy culture craves complexity the thrill of the new
  • 22. …or information entropy the more random the source of information is, the higher it’s entropy and the more information it has
  • 24. how does this fit? brand onions, brand prints etc. are designed to force consistency… …but that means less energy
  • 25. “consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative”
  • 27. culture craves complexity “it takes a thousand voices to tell a single story” native american saying
  • 30. the thrill of the new
  • 31. john grant and the molecule specials eg language, frappucino eg ‘skinny’ habits formation ‘my sister’ range book and options book barista better reading culture ordering coffee system akelah and mission used grounds the bee in store for gardeners starbucks performance sofas and company and art social starbucks ambience responsibility salon africa 05 hearmusic fair trade Xm coffee music cd cause burn your own publicity cd in store
  • 32. deadly sin #4 what’s the main message?
  • 33. everything in its right place
  • 34. the reality is everything is intertwingled
  • 36. reality is more ambiguous (especially in Italy)
  • 39. knowledge vs. information We work hard to find the right message, for the right target at the right time But this only works if the information’s and it’s value doesn’t change once it’s in people’s hands (and it does)
  • 42. “people look at what interests them and sometimes it’s your ad.” howard gossage “often our biggest mistake as managers is believing that, in general, customers care a lot about your brand. they do not.” patrick barwise
  • 43. it’s about having a social mission, not just a commercial proposition to get a marketing literate and resistant culture enthusiastic about your brand, then your brand needs to have an enthusiasm bigger than your category create something of social meaning above your product or service your point of view on real society and life, not Nielsen categories, allows you to connect in mutually beneficial and contagious way it’s about being useful to customers and relevant to your brand
  • 44. real beauty, not moisturizer
  • 45. heart health / cholesterol, not margarine
  • 47. good design is a right, not a privilege
  • 49. deadly sin #6 it’s the big things that matter
  • 50. the world of fat tails
  • 51. phase transitions Change is never smooth, continuous or instant
  • 53. we live in complex systems, not unstable ones why are we over complicating the input and oversimplifying the outcomes???
  • 54. we live in an unstable world “i gave volunteers variations of a newspaper story describing an assassination attempt on a fictitious president. those who were given the version where the president died were significantly more likely to attribute the event to a conspiracy than those who read the one where the president survived, even though all other aspects of the story were equivalent… …to appreciate why this form of reasoning is seductive consider the alternative: major events having minor or mundane causes - for example, the assassination of a president by a single, possibly mentally unstable, gunman, or the death of a princess because of a drunk driver. this presents us with a rather chaotic and unpredictable relationship between cause and effect. instability makes most of us uncomfortable: we prefer to imagine we live in a predictable safe world, so in a strange way, some conspiracy theories offer us accounts of events that allow us to retain a sense of safety and predictabilityquot; patrick leman Source: New Scientist, July 11 2007. Via Mark Earls: http://herd.typepad.com/herd_the_hidden_truth_abo/2007/07/big-things-big-.html
  • 59. the 1 in 20 rule
  • 62. Old assumptions Wrong models Misplaced doing of thinking
  • 63. seven deadly sins 1. old assumptions should remain unchallenged 2. awareness and image are the things that matter 3. simplicity, predictability and order exist 4. messaging works 5. what we do is important 6. focus on the big things 7. learn then do
  • 64. seven ways to make brands and their communication matter again 1. challenge (the old) assumptions 2. energy is what really matters 3. embrace complexity 4. be uncomplete 5. be humble 6. sweat the small stuff 7. DO then learn then DO again
  • 65. “if you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less” general eric shinseki
  • 66. embrace uncertainty forget the planning (sort of) don’t predict (less theory) get out there and try
  • 67. transmission is not the only way communication can work… …through modeling …as feedback …by making you present …by being interesting quot;people will forget what you said, people will forget what you did, but people will never forget how you made them feel.” bonnie jean wasmund
  • 68. planning for uncertainty a linear process ! a continuous process of creation presenting to clients ! co-creating with clients
  • 69. planning for uncertainty one size fits all campaign ! frequent micro-initiatives big stuff ! small stuff strategy to execution ! strategy in execution
  • 70. energy ! noise it’s not about getting noticed, it’s about demonstrating motion
  • 71. thank you and be very www.garethkay.com www.planning-outside-in.blogspot.com