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                              Gerd Leonhard
                          gerd@mediafuturist.com
                           www.mediafuturist.com
      Presentation at Canadian Music Week 2008




                             Open is King:
                          The Future of Music
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                    1
Nice start but.... where is it going?             www.mediafuturist.com




                             ITunes         Worldwide Potential




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                       2
www.mediafuturist.com


Maybe we’ve got this the wrong way ‘round ?

                                   Rather then
                                try and sell music
                              in the particular way
                             that WE want to sell it,
                              we must finally start
                               offering it IN THE
                                  WAY THAT
                                    PEOPLE
                                  ACTUALLY
                              WANT TO BUY
                                      IT.




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                            3
www.mediafuturist.com


 This has been the music industry’s response
    to almost all new ways of using music




With detrimental consequences for the Artists and Writers
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                 4
www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                           5
www.mediafuturist.com




  More Protection will kill us.
  Engagement will allow us to prosper. A lot.




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                         6
www.mediafuturist.com



                                 DISRUPTION
                                Disruption is good.
                             Disruption is inevitable.
              Disruption is where we must to put our money.

 Disruption in the Music Industry = the Creators
   and the Users are taking back Control.
                             Which side are you on?

       What do Amazon Google Nokia Sirius/XM Wordpress Linux
         Skype Wikipedia Craigslist Apple Facebook Last.fm Tivo
                          Netflix Easyjet .... have in common?
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                                  7
www.mediafuturist.com

  Everywhere else, the shift from Closed to Open is in full swing




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                            8
www.mediafuturist.com



The Abject Failure of Music Protection & Control
   Trying to control digital distribution via technical protection
    measures (DRM / TPM) has FAILED and trying to control
               digital distribution via the Networks will fail, too.


   1                                               3
                                         2



Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                                  9
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Saturday, March 8, 2008                           10
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Saturday, March 8, 2008                           11
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Saturday, March 8, 2008                           12
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This attitude is what is killing the record industry




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                               13
This has to end now
                                     www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                      14
It’s time for a Change   www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                            15
www.mediafuturist.com




   A message to the IFPI BPI RIAA CRIA:
    Say Goodbye to the world of Scarcity




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                    16
and say goodbye to the dominance of Hits   www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                              17
www.mediafuturist.com




                     The People

Welcome to
                          formerly
                          known as
                          Consumers
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                   18
Old tollbooth logic
                                                                                       www.mediafuturist.com




                          http://www.repmanblog.com/photos/uncategorized/48750_a.jpg




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                                                        19
New tollbooth logic   www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                 20
www.mediafuturist.com




    consumers
   will Pay with
     Attention
                     Music Paid with
                       Attention
Yes - attention is real Money

Saturday, March 8, 2008                                    21
www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                           22
www.mediafuturist.com


               For the creators




              For the Users       Feels Like
                                    Free
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                          23
www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                           24
www.mediafuturist.com




                                         Sync TV      Live
                              Licenses     Film     Concert     Webcasts
                                         Games     Recordings
                                                                 Social
                          Sponsorships                          Networks
                                          UGC Advertising
                                           Revenue Share        Tickets
                              Product
                            Placements
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                                   25
www.mediafuturist.com




    But we have to offer a license to the networks
     first, and enable a Flat Rate that legalizes the
                          ubiquitous use of music




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                     26
The Future of Content
                                                                     www.mediafuturist.com

                                          *Inspired by Kevin Kelly



                     Copies of digital content will

                            Feel Like Free
                               Context is not
                           The Experience is not
                          Packaging [Alt Out] is not
                              Curation is not

Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                                      27
www.mediafuturist.com




     Kevin Kelly: The key is to offer valuable intangibles that can
     not be reproduced at zero cost, and will thus be paid for:

  1. Immediacy - priority access, immediate delivery
  2. Personalization - tailored just for you
  3. Interpretation - support and guidance
  4. Authenticity - be sure it is the real thing?
  5. Accessibility - whereever, whenever
  6. Embodiment & Experience
  7. Patronage - quot;paying simply because it feels goodquot;
  8. Findability & Curation



Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                               28
Let’s start sharing in those revenues!   www.mediafuturist.com




 Start giving PERMISSION




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                          29
www.mediafuturist.com




        And once 4 Billion phones are connected




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                           30
www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                           31
Let’s take a look at Google   www.mediafuturist.com
                           Content
                           Content
                           Content
                           Content
                           Content



                           Content


                           Content



                           Content



                                     Content

Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                32
www.mediafuturist.com


    Search IS Media -what better place to offer your music?




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                    33
www.mediafuturist.com


So why isn’t Google licensed for music yet?




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                        34
www.mediafuturist.com


                          A huge opportunity




  all we need to is to actually PROVIDE THE MUSIC




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                35
www.mediafuturist.com


 How could music NOT make more
      money in the Future?




    We just need to adapt and   participate
Saturday, March 8, 2008                                       36
Cheaper Music = More Revenues                          www.mediafuturist.com




                          Source: Wired / Chris Anderson




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                            37
www.mediafuturist.com




    2% of the consumers have engaged so far

                          4 Billion songs sold on iTunes.


   4 Billion songs ‘sold’ on Yahoo, Napster, Rhapsody et al



400 Billion Songs unsold.

Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                             38
So, do we need more of this?
                                www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                 39
Or more of this?
                                        www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                         40
www.mediafuturist.com




Saturday, March 8, 2008                           41
www.mediafuturist.com


                     Thanks for listening!
                    www.mediafuturist.com
                    www.music20book.com
                 skype me anytime: gleonhard




Saturday, March 8, 2008                                                42

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Futurist Gerd Leonhard on Open is King - The Future of Music, Canadian Music Week 2008

  • 1. www.mediafuturist.com Gerd Leonhard gerd@mediafuturist.com www.mediafuturist.com Presentation at Canadian Music Week 2008 Open is King: The Future of Music Saturday, March 8, 2008 1
  • 2. Nice start but.... where is it going? www.mediafuturist.com ITunes Worldwide Potential Saturday, March 8, 2008 2
  • 3. www.mediafuturist.com Maybe we’ve got this the wrong way ‘round ? Rather then try and sell music in the particular way that WE want to sell it, we must finally start offering it IN THE WAY THAT PEOPLE ACTUALLY WANT TO BUY IT. Saturday, March 8, 2008 3
  • 4. www.mediafuturist.com This has been the music industry’s response to almost all new ways of using music With detrimental consequences for the Artists and Writers Saturday, March 8, 2008 4
  • 6. www.mediafuturist.com More Protection will kill us. Engagement will allow us to prosper. A lot. Saturday, March 8, 2008 6
  • 7. www.mediafuturist.com DISRUPTION Disruption is good. Disruption is inevitable. Disruption is where we must to put our money. Disruption in the Music Industry = the Creators and the Users are taking back Control. Which side are you on? What do Amazon Google Nokia Sirius/XM Wordpress Linux Skype Wikipedia Craigslist Apple Facebook Last.fm Tivo Netflix Easyjet .... have in common? Saturday, March 8, 2008 7
  • 8. www.mediafuturist.com Everywhere else, the shift from Closed to Open is in full swing Saturday, March 8, 2008 8
  • 9. www.mediafuturist.com The Abject Failure of Music Protection & Control Trying to control digital distribution via technical protection measures (DRM / TPM) has FAILED and trying to control digital distribution via the Networks will fail, too. 1 3 2 Saturday, March 8, 2008 9
  • 13. www.mediafuturist.com This attitude is what is killing the record industry Saturday, March 8, 2008 13
  • 14. This has to end now www.mediafuturist.com Saturday, March 8, 2008 14
  • 15. It’s time for a Change www.mediafuturist.com Saturday, March 8, 2008 15
  • 16. www.mediafuturist.com A message to the IFPI BPI RIAA CRIA: Say Goodbye to the world of Scarcity Saturday, March 8, 2008 16
  • 17. and say goodbye to the dominance of Hits www.mediafuturist.com Saturday, March 8, 2008 17
  • 18. www.mediafuturist.com The People Welcome to formerly known as Consumers Saturday, March 8, 2008 18
  • 19. Old tollbooth logic www.mediafuturist.com http://www.repmanblog.com/photos/uncategorized/48750_a.jpg Saturday, March 8, 2008 19
  • 20. New tollbooth logic www.mediafuturist.com Saturday, March 8, 2008 20
  • 21. www.mediafuturist.com consumers will Pay with Attention Music Paid with Attention Yes - attention is real Money Saturday, March 8, 2008 21
  • 23. www.mediafuturist.com For the creators For the Users Feels Like Free Saturday, March 8, 2008 23
  • 25. www.mediafuturist.com Sync TV Live Licenses Film Concert Webcasts Games Recordings Social Sponsorships Networks UGC Advertising Revenue Share Tickets Product Placements Saturday, March 8, 2008 25
  • 26. www.mediafuturist.com But we have to offer a license to the networks first, and enable a Flat Rate that legalizes the ubiquitous use of music Saturday, March 8, 2008 26
  • 27. The Future of Content www.mediafuturist.com *Inspired by Kevin Kelly Copies of digital content will Feel Like Free Context is not The Experience is not Packaging [Alt Out] is not Curation is not Saturday, March 8, 2008 27
  • 28. www.mediafuturist.com Kevin Kelly: The key is to offer valuable intangibles that can not be reproduced at zero cost, and will thus be paid for: 1. Immediacy - priority access, immediate delivery 2. Personalization - tailored just for you 3. Interpretation - support and guidance 4. Authenticity - be sure it is the real thing? 5. Accessibility - whereever, whenever 6. Embodiment & Experience 7. Patronage - quot;paying simply because it feels goodquot; 8. Findability & Curation Saturday, March 8, 2008 28
  • 29. Let’s start sharing in those revenues! www.mediafuturist.com Start giving PERMISSION Saturday, March 8, 2008 29
  • 30. www.mediafuturist.com And once 4 Billion phones are connected Saturday, March 8, 2008 30
  • 32. Let’s take a look at Google www.mediafuturist.com Content Content Content Content Content Content Content Content Content Saturday, March 8, 2008 32
  • 33. www.mediafuturist.com Search IS Media -what better place to offer your music? Saturday, March 8, 2008 33
  • 34. www.mediafuturist.com So why isn’t Google licensed for music yet? Saturday, March 8, 2008 34
  • 35. www.mediafuturist.com A huge opportunity all we need to is to actually PROVIDE THE MUSIC Saturday, March 8, 2008 35
  • 36. www.mediafuturist.com How could music NOT make more money in the Future? We just need to adapt and participate Saturday, March 8, 2008 36
  • 37. Cheaper Music = More Revenues www.mediafuturist.com Source: Wired / Chris Anderson Saturday, March 8, 2008 37
  • 38. www.mediafuturist.com 2% of the consumers have engaged so far 4 Billion songs sold on iTunes. 4 Billion songs ‘sold’ on Yahoo, Napster, Rhapsody et al 400 Billion Songs unsold. Saturday, March 8, 2008 38
  • 39. So, do we need more of this? www.mediafuturist.com Saturday, March 8, 2008 39
  • 40. Or more of this? www.mediafuturist.com Saturday, March 8, 2008 40
  • 42. www.mediafuturist.com Thanks for listening! www.mediafuturist.com www.music20book.com skype me anytime: gleonhard Saturday, March 8, 2008 42