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Gerd Leonhard
        Futurist, Author, CEO
                 TheFuturesAgency




The Future of Business and Communications
         in a Networked Society :
   Social, Local, Mobile ...
      Print and Paper?
The future is already here!




 There
 are no
Recipes
The future is already here!
                              Media use is a reflection of Culture
                              Paying for Content is a reflection of Culture
Dramatic Shifts in Control
Interaction before transaction
The future is already here!
The future is already here!
The future is already here!
                                 Mind-boggling pace of technology -
                              but really useful ideas must change our habits
Entering the era of leaps
The future is already here!
                              Social Local Mobile Cloud Video

                                      “SoLoMo”
The future is already here!
SoLoMo




We are ‘the show’               Image licensed from sevensheaven.nl
The future is already here!




                              Not just ‘social media’ - but a
                                                   Social OS!
Social
OS
The future is already here!
                                 Every screen is becoming some
                              kind of connected TV, Radio or Reader
The future is already here!
                              Imagine this in the hands of 5 Billion people
The future is already here!
                              People of the Book☯ People of the Screen
The future is already here!
                              Increasing Unbundling of Media
The future is already here!
           Increased Fragmentation:
                              User behavior and preferences, UIs
                              and devices, payment-readiness...
Fragmentation Opportunities:
Personalization. Customization. Aggregation.
     Curation. Filtering. Sense-Making




                 Image via Flickr/virtuallysupine
Abundance is inevitable
- therefore Curation, Context &
  Interface becomes crucial
But our future is not an either/or world ...it’s an


           ‘AND’- World
Speed ⚇ Slowness
Social ⚇ In Solitude
Print / Physical ⚇ Digital
Planned ⚇ Serendipitous
Filtered ⚇ Accidental
Peers ⚇ Experts
Free ⚇ Paid
The future is already here!
                              Convergence will pose serious Challenges
                                  - and offer massive Opportunities
                              Search « » Social
                              Television « » Internet
                              Computer « » Mobile
                              Online « » Offline
                              Social Media « » ‘Old Media’
                              Print « » Digital
                              User « » Producer
The future is already here!




                                        Digital
                              Paper &    Mobile
                              Print       Social
                                         Cloud
The future is already here!
                                     Imagine the possibilities:
                              Connecting the crowd and the cloud
The future is already here!
                               Disruptive Innovation Example:
                              Print ⇠➲ Digital & Augmented




                                      Layar via Youtube
The future is already here!
                              Opportunity: combining new and old
The future is already here!
                                   When the pivot point is reached
                              change is often much faster than anticipated
The future is already here!
                              Expect the total Re-Invention of Advertising
The future is already here!
               Disrupt...or Be Disrupted
The future is already here!
                              The rise of disruptive technologies
The future is already here!




 Content
  Media Telecom                 Technology Devices
                                            / CE
Publishing
The future is already here!
The future is already here!
                              Hyper-Collaboration
                                   - not Hyper-Competition
The future is already here!
                              Make bold - but not stupid - moves
                              Was: paid




                              Now: FREE
The future is already here!
                              The power of assumptions and expectations
                                                      “it should be at least
                                                      as good as the past”
A new goal: setting your customers free:)
The future is already here!
                  Open is the new ‘captive’
Heading towards even more
Radical Consumer Empowerment:)

Was...




     Is and will be...
The future is already here!
                    Imagine...
The future is already here!
                   Bank on Open Platforms
The future is already here!
                                  The problem is not the ‘pay’ -
                                        it’s the wall!




                              Source:
The future is already here!
                              Content pricing is increasingly subject to multiple, and changing ‘soft’ factors -
                                 But what is your reason to get paid...?
The future is already here!
                              The future of paid content:
                               Pay-Will not Pay-Wall :)




                              Pay-Wall ((   Pay-Will :)
The future is already here!




                               Build value
around the content
The future is already here!
The future is already here!
                       Key points to remember
The future is already here!




                              Thanks!!!
                                  mediafuturist.com
                                thefuturesagency.com
                                 gerdtube.com (video)
                              slideshare.net/gleonhard
                               Download: Futurist App
                                   D E S I G N :

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SoLoMo The Future of Business in a networked society

  • 1. Gerd Leonhard Futurist, Author, CEO TheFuturesAgency The Future of Business and Communications in a Networked Society : Social, Local, Mobile ... Print and Paper?
  • 2. The future is already here! There are no Recipes
  • 3. The future is already here! Media use is a reflection of Culture Paying for Content is a reflection of Culture
  • 5. Interaction before transaction The future is already here!
  • 6. The future is already here!
  • 7. The future is already here! Mind-boggling pace of technology - but really useful ideas must change our habits
  • 8. Entering the era of leaps
  • 9. The future is already here! Social Local Mobile Cloud Video “SoLoMo”
  • 10. The future is already here! SoLoMo We are ‘the show’ Image licensed from sevensheaven.nl
  • 11. The future is already here! Not just ‘social media’ - but a Social OS!
  • 13. The future is already here! Every screen is becoming some kind of connected TV, Radio or Reader
  • 14. The future is already here! Imagine this in the hands of 5 Billion people
  • 15. The future is already here! People of the Book☯ People of the Screen
  • 16. The future is already here! Increasing Unbundling of Media
  • 17. The future is already here! Increased Fragmentation: User behavior and preferences, UIs and devices, payment-readiness...
  • 18. Fragmentation Opportunities: Personalization. Customization. Aggregation. Curation. Filtering. Sense-Making Image via Flickr/virtuallysupine
  • 19. Abundance is inevitable - therefore Curation, Context & Interface becomes crucial
  • 20. But our future is not an either/or world ...it’s an ‘AND’- World Speed ⚇ Slowness Social ⚇ In Solitude Print / Physical ⚇ Digital Planned ⚇ Serendipitous Filtered ⚇ Accidental Peers ⚇ Experts Free ⚇ Paid
  • 21. The future is already here! Convergence will pose serious Challenges - and offer massive Opportunities Search « » Social Television « » Internet Computer « » Mobile Online « » Offline Social Media « » ‘Old Media’ Print « » Digital User « » Producer
  • 22. The future is already here! Digital Paper & Mobile Print Social Cloud
  • 23. The future is already here! Imagine the possibilities: Connecting the crowd and the cloud
  • 24. The future is already here! Disruptive Innovation Example: Print ⇠➲ Digital & Augmented Layar via Youtube
  • 25. The future is already here! Opportunity: combining new and old
  • 26. The future is already here! When the pivot point is reached change is often much faster than anticipated
  • 27. The future is already here! Expect the total Re-Invention of Advertising
  • 28. The future is already here! Disrupt...or Be Disrupted
  • 29. The future is already here! The rise of disruptive technologies
  • 30. The future is already here! Content Media Telecom Technology Devices / CE Publishing
  • 31. The future is already here!
  • 32. The future is already here! Hyper-Collaboration - not Hyper-Competition
  • 33. The future is already here! Make bold - but not stupid - moves Was: paid Now: FREE
  • 34. The future is already here! The power of assumptions and expectations “it should be at least as good as the past”
  • 35. A new goal: setting your customers free:)
  • 36. The future is already here! Open is the new ‘captive’
  • 37. Heading towards even more Radical Consumer Empowerment:) Was... Is and will be...
  • 38. The future is already here! Imagine...
  • 39. The future is already here! Bank on Open Platforms
  • 40. The future is already here! The problem is not the ‘pay’ - it’s the wall! Source:
  • 41. The future is already here! Content pricing is increasingly subject to multiple, and changing ‘soft’ factors - But what is your reason to get paid...?
  • 42. The future is already here! The future of paid content: Pay-Will not Pay-Wall :) Pay-Wall (( Pay-Will :)
  • 43. The future is already here! Build value around the content
  • 44. The future is already here!
  • 45. The future is already here! Key points to remember
  • 46. The future is already here! Thanks!!! mediafuturist.com thefuturesagency.com gerdtube.com (video) slideshare.net/gleonhard Download: Futurist App D E S I G N :