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The Future of Media
   Presentation at Estacio de Sa
   Rio de Janeiro June 26 2010
   Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
       The Futures Agency
What I do:

             www.mediafuturist.com
             www.twitter.com/gleonhard
Business grows when shared
The Conversation happens with or without you
Tomorrow




 Today
Going Direct is becoming possible
But the Internet is not a Rose Garden
Business 2.0
Explosive Fragmentation
Not just consumption but Sharing and
(Co)-Creation are the key drivers in the
            Future of Media
Media 2.0: Sharing is not
          subject to Renegotiation




Youtube.com/user/ScholzundFriends   Source: Fastcompany
The World’s OS is Morphing


                           OS
                      i al
                   oc
             ,   S
          e w
         n
     A
A Broadcast World
and a Networked World
Closed, Controlled, Exclusive = Money
Power was about what you can control

 Now, Power is about
what you can unleash
Welcome to the New Normal
The Future is Collaboration




  The global, social ‘Brain’
On Cable, the Networks ruled
In a Broadband World, the Users
   - and their Amplifiers - rule *
“Business Model Failure”
                   Image Source: IFPI.org
Beware of Toxic Assumptions



     Giving
   Permission
     to use
Connected Users
    will increasingly - and
exponentially - organize against
what they feel are obsolete and
     outmoded structures
Legacy Media   Social Media
The Future
Open = Risks. But Closed = Irrelevance
Selling ‘copies’ is a shrinking business




Image Source: kk.org / Kevin Kelly
Selling ‘access’ is an exploding business
Good luck!
Everything we like... forbidden?
People buy when the value, the
timing and the package is right
Media 2.0
Yes, people do spend $ on content online!
EGOsystem



ECOsystem
Whatever I can get




   Exactly what / when /
    where / how I want
Was: “my success - my money”
Now:
“Our Success - Our Gains”
All future success will be based on
unprecedented hyper-collaboration
Such as
Image Source: Photobucket




  We need to lose our fear of
‘depending too much on others’
Businesses - and their leaders -
become Connectors (not just Directors)
Privacy is now an action we must take
Unintended consequences will occur
Privacy is an Action we must take
Links are the Currency
Content ‘Piracy’ is Market Failure                     e y
                                                    o n
                                              = M
                                        ive
                                 lu   s
                              xc
                        ,   E
                    led
                o l
            n tr
          Co
       d,
    se
Clo
The Future: Flat-rated & bundled Content
The Internet is the new Radio
Image Source: Ars Electronica 2008




New Social Contracts
versus
Paying because it’s easier, better, fair-
    priced, value, convenience...!
The Future of Selling is...
     Connecting.
Brands are either Networked.
   Or Invisible i.e....Dead.
Thanks for your attention!
email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
      Twitter: gleonhard
     Facebook: gleonhard
     LinkedIn: gleonhard

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The Future of Media: Lecture at Estacio de Sa in Rio de Janeiro June 26 2010