SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 24
Download to read offline
ROBERT A. KNAKAL
Chairman & Founding Partner
Massey Knakal Realty Services


BACKGROUND:
  • Wharton School of Business - 1984
  • Began Career 1984 – CB Richard Ellis
  • Massey Knakal Established 1988
 BROKERAGE:
  •   Over 1,150 Properties Sold
  •   $7.4 Billion Aggregate Market Value
  •   Two-Time Winner – Most Ingenious Deal of the Year
  •   REBNY Lifetime Achievement Award
INVESTMENT SALES
MARKET OVERVIEW
ROBERT A. KNAKAL
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. NEW YORK CITY OVERVIEW

2. COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE METRICS
  • Volume
  • Value
  • Distressed Assets
  • Sector Performance

3. OPTIMISM VS. PESSIMISM

4. MACRO CONSIDERATIONS
  • Economic
  • Political
NEW YORK CITY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES

                             Top Brokerage Firms 2010
                       Based on # of Transactions (All Sales Over $500,000)
                                                                             # T ransactions   T otal $ Volume
                                                                                 2010                 2010
 Massey Knakal Realty Services                                                    215          $   1,010,466,998
 Marcus & Millichap                                                                65          $       191,126,513
 Besen & Associates Inc.                                                           63          $       355,324,408
 GFI Capital Resources Group, Inc.                                                 45          $       142,516,600
 Rosewood Realty Group                                                             43          $       392,327,912
 Eastern Consolidated                                                              33          $       407,713,629
 Prudential Douglas Elliman                                                        27          $       310,502,475
 CB Richard Ellis                                                                  25          $     5,013,457,500
 The Corcoran Group                                                                19          $        95,238,237
 Newmark Knight Frank                                                              17          $       375,817,659
 Greiner-Maltz Company, Inc.                                                       14          $        54,790,100
 Kalmon Dolgin Affiliates, Inc.                                                    14          $        51,742,000
 Eastdil S ecured                                                                  12          $     3,074,835,000
 Itzhaki Properties                                                                12          $        85,195,000
 Time Equities, Inc.                                                               10          $        30,207,899
 S Equities, LLC
   wig                                                                              9          $        41,348,500
 Angelo, Gordon & Co.                                                               9          $         8,851,775
 Leslie J Garfield & Company
         .                                                                          8          $        40,980,473
 Jones Lang LaS  alle                                                               6          $       856,500,000
 Friedman-Roth Realty Corp.                                                         6          $        18,995,000
 The Halstead Property Company                                                      6          $        18,882,550
 City One Real Estate & Financing                                                   6          $        18,755,000
 Winoker Realty Company, Inc.                                                       6          $        17,215,019
 Murray Hill Properties LLC                                                         5          $       171,350,000
 Cushman & Wakefield                                                                4          $       499,800,000
 T otal Dollar Volume - (Brokers on Chart)                                        679          $ 13,283,940,247
 T otal Dollar Volume - (All transactions tracked by CoStar Comps in 2010)       1058          $ 16,776,912,620
NEW YORK CITY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES

             Top Brokerage Firms 2001-2010
                     Based on # of Transactions (All Sales)
                                                       # T ransactions
                                                         2001-2010
   Massey Knakal Realty Services                              2,229
   Besen & Associates Inc.                                     599
   Eastern Consolidated                                        514
   Marcus & Millichap                                          433
   GFI Realty S ervices                                        421
   Capin & Associates                                          259
   CB Richard Ellis                                            184
   Prudential Douglas Elliman                                  167
   Cushman & Wakefield                                         153
   Corcoran Group                                              145
   Newmark Knight Frank                                        142
   Lee O'dell Real Estate Inc.                                 138
   Itzhaki Properties                                          126
   Greiner-Maltz Company of Long Island, Inc.                  122
   Kalmon Dolgin Affiliates Inc.                               114
   S holom & Zuckerbrot Realty Corp.                            95
   Eastdil Realty                                               93
   S Equities, LLC.
     wig                                                        64
   S olar Realty Management Corp                                62
   Extreme Realty                                               55
   WRA Properties                                               46
   Rosewood Realty Group                                        43
   Grubb & Ellis                                                40
   GVA Worldwide, LLC.                                          37
   John Anthony Group, Inc.                                     35
   NAI Global                                                   27
   Other Brokerage Firms - Combined                            309
   T otal T ransaction Volume (Brokers on Charts)             6,652
CITYWIDE DOLLAR VOLUME
                (AGGREGATE SALES PRICE)

      2005 –2011, ALL SALES (IN BILLIONS)
$70
                         $62.2
$60

$50              $44.2

$40
        $32.6
$30                               $25.3

$20                                                $14.5

$10                                         $6.3
                                                                      $3.9

$0
        2005      2006   2007     2008      2009   2010               2011
                                                     Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
NYC TOTAL SALE DOLLAR VOLUME
1st Quarter 2011




                   Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
NYC TOTAL BUILDINGS SOLD


6,000


                         5,018
                 4,875
5,000
        4,443

4,000

                                 3,144
3,000



2,000                                                 1,667
                                         1,436

1,000
                                                                             433

   0
        2005     2006    2007    2008    2009          2010                 2011


                                                 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
% OF TOTAL STOCK SOLD

3.50%
                         3.04%
                 2.96%
3.00%
        2.69%

2.50%


2.00%                            1.91%


1.50%

                                                  1.01%               1.05%
1.00%                                    0.87%


0.50%


0.00%
        2005     2006    2007    2008    2009      2010                2011

                                                 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
AVG. PRICE PER PROPERTY SOLD
               (IN MILLIONS)


$14.0
                         $12.4
$12.0


$10.0             $9.1                                                    $9.0
                                 $8.0
 $8.0   $7.3                                         $7.2


 $6.0
                                        $4.4
 $4.0


 $2.0


 $0.0
        2005      2006   2007    2008   2009         2010                 2011


                                               Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
AVERAGE PPSF
MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2009




          -32%
AVERAGE PPSF
MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2010




          -38%
Why do people believe values
    were rising in 2009?
Why do people believe values
    were rising in 2009?

  Core vs. Everything Else
Manhattan Leading the Way

 Expect:
     •     +12% PPSF Basis Manhattan

     •     Stabilization in Outer Boroughs
Why Are Values Rising?
Why Are Values Rising?
1   Fundamentals Are Improving
Why Are Values Rising?
1   Fundamentals Are Improving
2   Supply / Demand Imbalance
Why Are Values Rising?
1   Fundamentals Are Improving
2   Supply / Demand Imbalance
3   Interest Rates
Why Are Values Rising?
1   Fundamentals Are Improving
2   Supply / Demand Imbalance
3   Interest Rates
4   Financing is Available
2011 vs. 2010
COMMERCIAL PROPERTY TYPES - MANHATTAN


          Multi-Family
                 Elevator   +18%
                 Walk-Up    +13%
          Mixed-Use         - 32%
          Retail            +92%
          Office            + 5%
          Office Condo      +18%
          Hotel             +15%
          Land              - 15%
          Specialty Use     + 7%
As we progress into 2011,
    there are many reasons for:


• Optimism
• Pessimism




              Half Full or Half Empty?
2011 and BEYOND
10 THINGS TO KEEP AN EYE ON:
 1. Unemployment          6. Housing Market

 2. Corporate Profits     7. Inflation

 3. Banking               8. Fed Monetary Policy

 4. Global Implications   9. Deleveraging

 5. Supply vs. Demand     10. Deficits, Debt, Pensions
ROBERT A. KNAKAL
Chairman & Founding Partner
Massey Knakal Realty Services




     Massey Knakal Realty Services
         275 Madison Avenue
         New York, NY 10016


    rknakal@masseyknakal.com

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

Net Promoter Recession-Proof Growth Strategy
Net Promoter Recession-Proof Growth StrategyNet Promoter Recession-Proof Growth Strategy
Net Promoter Recession-Proof Growth StrategyPaul Marsden
 
Overview of bain & company
Overview of bain & companyOverview of bain & company
Overview of bain & companyCRISIL Limited
 
Sequoia Capital Pitch Deck Template
Sequoia Capital Pitch Deck TemplateSequoia Capital Pitch Deck Template
Sequoia Capital Pitch Deck TemplateMalcolm Lewis
 
British GRI 2016 - Programme
British GRI 2016 - ProgrammeBritish GRI 2016 - Programme
British GRI 2016 - ProgrammeAndreas Schonning
 
The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...
The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...
The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...J. Skyler Fernandes
 
Mixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65M
Mixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65MMixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65M
Mixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65MSuhail Doshi
 

Viewers also liked (6)

Net Promoter Recession-Proof Growth Strategy
Net Promoter Recession-Proof Growth StrategyNet Promoter Recession-Proof Growth Strategy
Net Promoter Recession-Proof Growth Strategy
 
Overview of bain & company
Overview of bain & companyOverview of bain & company
Overview of bain & company
 
Sequoia Capital Pitch Deck Template
Sequoia Capital Pitch Deck TemplateSequoia Capital Pitch Deck Template
Sequoia Capital Pitch Deck Template
 
British GRI 2016 - Programme
British GRI 2016 - ProgrammeBritish GRI 2016 - Programme
British GRI 2016 - Programme
 
The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...
The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...
The Best Startup Investor Pitch Deck & How to Present to Angels & Venture Cap...
 
Mixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65M
Mixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65MMixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65M
Mixpanel - Our pitch deck that we used to raise $65M
 

More from Ryan Slack

Engineered Tax Services - Lunch Workshop
Engineered Tax Services - Lunch WorkshopEngineered Tax Services - Lunch Workshop
Engineered Tax Services - Lunch WorkshopRyan Slack
 
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017 - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017  - Speaker SlidesMarcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017  - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017 - Speaker SlidesRyan Slack
 
RealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker Slides
RealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker SlidesRealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker Slides
RealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker SlidesRyan Slack
 
Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit
Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit   Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit
Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit Ryan Slack
 
Fireside Chat - David & Norman Sturner
Fireside Chat - David & Norman SturnerFireside Chat - David & Norman Sturner
Fireside Chat - David & Norman SturnerRyan Slack
 
New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt...
 New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt... New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt...
New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt...Ryan Slack
 
Speaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily Summit
Speaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily SummitSpeaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily Summit
Speaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily SummitRyan Slack
 
Afternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce Eichner
Afternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce EichnerAfternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce Eichner
Afternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce EichnerRyan Slack
 
Increasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent Data
Increasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent DataIncreasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent Data
Increasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent DataRyan Slack
 
Best Energy Power - Afternoon Workshop
Best Energy Power - Afternoon WorkshopBest Energy Power - Afternoon Workshop
Best Energy Power - Afternoon WorkshopRyan Slack
 
Bob Knakal - Opening Remarks
Bob Knakal - Opening RemarksBob Knakal - Opening Remarks
Bob Knakal - Opening RemarksRyan Slack
 
Special Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern California
Special Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern CaliforniaSpecial Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern California
Special Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern CaliforniaRyan Slack
 
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker SlidesMarcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker SlidesRyan Slack
 
National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC
National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC
National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC Ryan Slack
 
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker SlidesMarcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker SlidesRyan Slack
 
NAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford University
NAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford UniversityNAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford University
NAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford UniversityRyan Slack
 
2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley
2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley
2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC BerkeleyRyan Slack
 
Cal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of Northmarq
Cal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of NorthmarqCal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of Northmarq
Cal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of NorthmarqRyan Slack
 
Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...
Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...
Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...Ryan Slack
 
3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides
3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides
3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker SlidesRyan Slack
 

More from Ryan Slack (20)

Engineered Tax Services - Lunch Workshop
Engineered Tax Services - Lunch WorkshopEngineered Tax Services - Lunch Workshop
Engineered Tax Services - Lunch Workshop
 
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017 - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017  - Speaker SlidesMarcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017  - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum: New England 2017 - Speaker Slides
 
RealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker Slides
RealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker SlidesRealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker Slides
RealInsight Emerging Trends Summit - Speaker Slides
 
Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit
Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit   Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit
Speaker Slides - Emerging Trends Summit
 
Fireside Chat - David & Norman Sturner
Fireside Chat - David & Norman SturnerFireside Chat - David & Norman Sturner
Fireside Chat - David & Norman Sturner
 
New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt...
 New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt... New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt...
New Trump Administration Updates: Federal, State and Local Energy & Specialt...
 
Speaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily Summit
Speaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily SummitSpeaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily Summit
Speaker Slides - RealInsight New York Multifamily Summit
 
Afternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce Eichner
Afternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce EichnerAfternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce Eichner
Afternoon Keynote - Lindsay Eichner Kraus & Bruce Eichner
 
Increasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent Data
Increasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent DataIncreasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent Data
Increasing NOI & NAV with Smart Building Technologies & Intelligent Data
 
Best Energy Power - Afternoon Workshop
Best Energy Power - Afternoon WorkshopBest Energy Power - Afternoon Workshop
Best Energy Power - Afternoon Workshop
 
Bob Knakal - Opening Remarks
Bob Knakal - Opening RemarksBob Knakal - Opening Remarks
Bob Knakal - Opening Remarks
 
Special Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern California
Special Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern CaliforniaSpecial Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern California
Special Presentation - Christopher Ballard of UBER Southern California
 
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker SlidesMarcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Southern California - Speaker Slides
 
National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC
National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC
National Multifamily Housing Council Presentation - Matthew Berger of NMHC
 
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker SlidesMarcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker Slides
Marcus & Millichap / IPA Multifamily Forum Houston - Speaker Slides
 
NAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford University
NAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford UniversityNAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford University
NAIOP Golden Shovel Competition - Travis Duncan of Stanford University
 
2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley
2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley
2016 NAIOP Golden Shovel Challenge - Jeffrey Bean of UC Berkeley
 
Cal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of Northmarq
Cal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of NorthmarqCal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of Northmarq
Cal-Stanford Development Showdown - Dennis Williams of Northmarq
 
Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...
Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...
Uncertainty and Fundamentals Driving Capital Decisions - Keynote David Bitner...
 
3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides
3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides
3rd annual EisnerAmper Real Estate Private Equity Summit West Speaker Slides
 

Recently uploaded

Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfInnovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfrichard876048
 
Organizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful BusinessOrganizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful BusinessSeta Wicaksana
 
Buy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail Accounts
Buy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail AccountsBuy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail Accounts
Buy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail AccountsBuy Verified Accounts
 
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncrdollysharma2066
 
Case study on tata clothing brand zudio in detail
Case study on tata clothing brand zudio in detailCase study on tata clothing brand zudio in detail
Case study on tata clothing brand zudio in detailAriel592675
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis UsageNeil Kimberley
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Kirill Klimov
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportMintel Group
 
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?Olivia Kresic
 
International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...
International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...
International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...ssuserf63bd7
 
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.Anamaria Contreras
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deckHajeJanKamps
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdfDigital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdfJos Voskuil
 
Investment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy Cheruiyot
Investment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy CheruiyotInvestment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy Cheruiyot
Investment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy Cheruiyotictsugar
 
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadIslamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadAyesha Khan
 
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby AfricaKenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africaictsugar
 
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607dollysharma2066
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCREnjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
Enjoy ➥8448380779▻ Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida Escorts Delhi NCR
 
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfInnovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
 
Organizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful BusinessOrganizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful Business
 
Buy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail Accounts
Buy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail AccountsBuy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail Accounts
Buy gmail accounts.pdf Buy Old Gmail Accounts
 
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / NcrCall Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
Call Girls in DELHI Cantt, ( Call Me )-8377877756-Female Escort- In Delhi / Ncr
 
Case study on tata clothing brand zudio in detail
Case study on tata clothing brand zudio in detailCase study on tata clothing brand zudio in detail
Case study on tata clothing brand zudio in detail
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
 
Corporate Profile 47Billion Information Technology
Corporate Profile 47Billion Information TechnologyCorporate Profile 47Billion Information Technology
Corporate Profile 47Billion Information Technology
 
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
 
International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...
International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...
International Business Environments and Operations 16th Global Edition test b...
 
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
 
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdfDigital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
 
Investment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy Cheruiyot
Investment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy CheruiyotInvestment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy Cheruiyot
Investment in The Coconut Industry by Nancy Cheruiyot
 
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadIslamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
 
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby AfricaKenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
 
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
 

The Glass Half Full - Robert Knakal

  • 1. ROBERT A. KNAKAL Chairman & Founding Partner Massey Knakal Realty Services BACKGROUND: • Wharton School of Business - 1984 • Began Career 1984 – CB Richard Ellis • Massey Knakal Established 1988 BROKERAGE: • Over 1,150 Properties Sold • $7.4 Billion Aggregate Market Value • Two-Time Winner – Most Ingenious Deal of the Year • REBNY Lifetime Achievement Award
  • 3. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. NEW YORK CITY OVERVIEW 2. COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE METRICS • Volume • Value • Distressed Assets • Sector Performance 3. OPTIMISM VS. PESSIMISM 4. MACRO CONSIDERATIONS • Economic • Political
  • 4. NEW YORK CITY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES Top Brokerage Firms 2010 Based on # of Transactions (All Sales Over $500,000) # T ransactions T otal $ Volume 2010 2010 Massey Knakal Realty Services 215 $ 1,010,466,998 Marcus & Millichap 65 $ 191,126,513 Besen & Associates Inc. 63 $ 355,324,408 GFI Capital Resources Group, Inc. 45 $ 142,516,600 Rosewood Realty Group 43 $ 392,327,912 Eastern Consolidated 33 $ 407,713,629 Prudential Douglas Elliman 27 $ 310,502,475 CB Richard Ellis 25 $ 5,013,457,500 The Corcoran Group 19 $ 95,238,237 Newmark Knight Frank 17 $ 375,817,659 Greiner-Maltz Company, Inc. 14 $ 54,790,100 Kalmon Dolgin Affiliates, Inc. 14 $ 51,742,000 Eastdil S ecured 12 $ 3,074,835,000 Itzhaki Properties 12 $ 85,195,000 Time Equities, Inc. 10 $ 30,207,899 S Equities, LLC wig 9 $ 41,348,500 Angelo, Gordon & Co. 9 $ 8,851,775 Leslie J Garfield & Company . 8 $ 40,980,473 Jones Lang LaS alle 6 $ 856,500,000 Friedman-Roth Realty Corp. 6 $ 18,995,000 The Halstead Property Company 6 $ 18,882,550 City One Real Estate & Financing 6 $ 18,755,000 Winoker Realty Company, Inc. 6 $ 17,215,019 Murray Hill Properties LLC 5 $ 171,350,000 Cushman & Wakefield 4 $ 499,800,000 T otal Dollar Volume - (Brokers on Chart) 679 $ 13,283,940,247 T otal Dollar Volume - (All transactions tracked by CoStar Comps in 2010) 1058 $ 16,776,912,620
  • 5. NEW YORK CITY COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SALES Top Brokerage Firms 2001-2010 Based on # of Transactions (All Sales) # T ransactions 2001-2010 Massey Knakal Realty Services 2,229 Besen & Associates Inc. 599 Eastern Consolidated 514 Marcus & Millichap 433 GFI Realty S ervices 421 Capin & Associates 259 CB Richard Ellis 184 Prudential Douglas Elliman 167 Cushman & Wakefield 153 Corcoran Group 145 Newmark Knight Frank 142 Lee O'dell Real Estate Inc. 138 Itzhaki Properties 126 Greiner-Maltz Company of Long Island, Inc. 122 Kalmon Dolgin Affiliates Inc. 114 S holom & Zuckerbrot Realty Corp. 95 Eastdil Realty 93 S Equities, LLC. wig 64 S olar Realty Management Corp 62 Extreme Realty 55 WRA Properties 46 Rosewood Realty Group 43 Grubb & Ellis 40 GVA Worldwide, LLC. 37 John Anthony Group, Inc. 35 NAI Global 27 Other Brokerage Firms - Combined 309 T otal T ransaction Volume (Brokers on Charts) 6,652
  • 6. CITYWIDE DOLLAR VOLUME (AGGREGATE SALES PRICE) 2005 –2011, ALL SALES (IN BILLIONS) $70 $62.2 $60 $50 $44.2 $40 $32.6 $30 $25.3 $20 $14.5 $10 $6.3 $3.9 $0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 7. NYC TOTAL SALE DOLLAR VOLUME 1st Quarter 2011 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 8. NYC TOTAL BUILDINGS SOLD 6,000 5,018 4,875 5,000 4,443 4,000 3,144 3,000 2,000 1,667 1,436 1,000 433 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 9. % OF TOTAL STOCK SOLD 3.50% 3.04% 2.96% 3.00% 2.69% 2.50% 2.00% 1.91% 1.50% 1.01% 1.05% 1.00% 0.87% 0.50% 0.00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 10. AVG. PRICE PER PROPERTY SOLD (IN MILLIONS) $14.0 $12.4 $12.0 $10.0 $9.1 $9.0 $8.0 $8.0 $7.3 $7.2 $6.0 $4.4 $4.0 $2.0 $0.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Massey Knakal Realty Services
  • 11. AVERAGE PPSF MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2009 -32%
  • 12. AVERAGE PPSF MANHATTAN – FROM PEAK TO 2010 -38%
  • 13. Why do people believe values were rising in 2009?
  • 14. Why do people believe values were rising in 2009? Core vs. Everything Else
  • 15. Manhattan Leading the Way Expect: • +12% PPSF Basis Manhattan • Stabilization in Outer Boroughs
  • 16. Why Are Values Rising?
  • 17. Why Are Values Rising? 1 Fundamentals Are Improving
  • 18. Why Are Values Rising? 1 Fundamentals Are Improving 2 Supply / Demand Imbalance
  • 19. Why Are Values Rising? 1 Fundamentals Are Improving 2 Supply / Demand Imbalance 3 Interest Rates
  • 20. Why Are Values Rising? 1 Fundamentals Are Improving 2 Supply / Demand Imbalance 3 Interest Rates 4 Financing is Available
  • 21. 2011 vs. 2010 COMMERCIAL PROPERTY TYPES - MANHATTAN Multi-Family Elevator +18% Walk-Up +13% Mixed-Use - 32% Retail +92% Office + 5% Office Condo +18% Hotel +15% Land - 15% Specialty Use + 7%
  • 22. As we progress into 2011, there are many reasons for: • Optimism • Pessimism Half Full or Half Empty?
  • 23. 2011 and BEYOND 10 THINGS TO KEEP AN EYE ON: 1. Unemployment 6. Housing Market 2. Corporate Profits 7. Inflation 3. Banking 8. Fed Monetary Policy 4. Global Implications 9. Deleveraging 5. Supply vs. Demand 10. Deficits, Debt, Pensions
  • 24. ROBERT A. KNAKAL Chairman & Founding Partner Massey Knakal Realty Services Massey Knakal Realty Services 275 Madison Avenue New York, NY 10016 rknakal@masseyknakal.com