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Behavioral Big Data
& Healthcare
Research
‫של‬ ‫לזכרה‬ ‫הרצאה‬‫כהן‬ ‫אילה‬ ‫פרופ׳‬
‫ולרבים‬ ‫רבות‬ ‫ותרמה‬ ‫שהובילה‬
‫כסטטיסטיקאית‬,‫חוקרת‬,‫מרצה‬,‫מנחה‬,‫ומנטורית‬
‫וניהול‬ ‫תעשיה‬ ‫להנדסת‬ ‫הפקולטה‬,‫הטכניון‬4.8.2019
New Data
Landscape
Researchers
2 Examples
What is Behavioral Big Data (BBD)
Special type of Big Data
• Behavioral: people’s measurable
“everyday” behavior,
interactions, self-reported
opinions, thoughts, feelings
• Human and social aspects:
Intentions, deception,
emotion, reciprocation,
herding,…
When aware of data collection ->
modified behavior
BBD vs. Inanimate Big Data
Human Subjects
• Aware, ongoing
interaction with the data
• Can be harmed by BBD
BBD vs.
Physiological
Big Data
• Individual bodies
• Physical measurements
• Medical systems set
data collection timing
• Aware of collection
• Vested interest
• Collection of connected people
• Measurable behaviors
• User generated content
• Often unaware of collection
• Not always in user’s best
interest
‫ביומטריים‬ ‫חיישנים‬ ‫עליך‬ ‫לובש‬ ‫אתה‬ ‫אם‬(‫צמיד‬ ‫כגון‬‫פיטביט‬),
‫למחשב‬ ‫מחוברים‬ ‫הללו‬ ‫והחיישנים‬,‫המחשב‬‫מהו‬ ‫בדיוק‬ ‫ידע‬
‫שלך‬ ‫הלב‬ ‫קצב‬,‫שלך‬ ‫האדרנלין‬ ‫ורמת‬ ‫שלך‬ ‫הדם‬ ‫לחץ‬,‫ועל‬
‫הזה‬ ‫המידע‬ ‫סמך‬‫טוב‬ ‫שלך‬ ‫הרגשי‬ ‫המצב‬ ‫את‬ ‫לזהות‬ ‫יוכל‬
‫אנושי‬ ‫פסיכולוג‬ ‫מכל‬ ‫יותר‬
Behavioral
Research
Health
Research
Landscape of
new healthcare
BBD
Human data from a typical hospital
Patients
Personal info
Medical history
visits, tests, medications,…
Scheduled events
Billing, insurance
Physicians
Scheduled + actual appointments,
procedures, prescriptions,…
Entries of patient info/data
Nurses
Location, work hours,…
Pharmacy staff
Speed of service
Quality of service
Lab staff
Speed of service
Quality of service
Other staff
Finance/accounting
Cleaning
Receptionists
Volunteers
Food court
Data Collection
Technologies
• Medical devices
• HIT systems
“Smart Hospital”
• Cameras
• Sensors
• GPS
• IoT
5 new types of healthcare BBD
Interactions between
Patients – doctors/nurses
Doctors – other doctors
Patients – other patients
Patient family – hospital staff
Patients – social network ”friends”
...
New data #1:
Recorded Interactions
BBD:
• 90,000 doctor-patient conversations
during clinical visits
• 151 types of medical visits for
different purposes
• conversation sometimes also
including a nurse, or family member
New data #2:
Health-related online behavior
Online forums Social networksHealth websites
Search engines
Data voluntarily entered by users
personal details, photos, comments, messages, search terms, likes,
payment information, connections with “friends”
Passive footprints
duration on website, pages browsed, sequence, referring website,
Internet browser, operating system, location, IP address
New data #3:
Health-related Apps
Health-related gaming apps
Self-logged BBD on apps
Data voluntarily entered by users
health condition, symptoms, feelings, behaviors
(eating, exercise, sleep, sex, parking…)
Passive footprints
app log times, pages browsed, sequence, location…
In addition to logging a menstruation and health diary, users can
join a number of different themed groups including weight loss,
clothing, fitness, relationships, and travel. These groups
look and work much like “message board”-style social network
To date, Meet You has reportedly accumulated two million daily
active users, 1.2 million daily active users of its social network,
and over 800,000 daily posts.
Big and Behavioral:
Every day, women manually log around 1.4 M new data points
including cycle history, ovulation and pregnancy tests results, age,
height, weight, lifestyle statistics about sleep, activity, and nutrition.
In addition, more data comes from wearable devices like Fitbit &
Apple Watch.
New data #4:
Health-related behavior from IoT
Mobile health apps and wearable devices
that use artificial intelligence to help
diagnose or even treat medical conditions
pose a new regulatory challenge for the
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
New data #5:
Health-“unrelated” (implicit) behaviors
“Some hospitals are collecting new information
from patients directly, while others have sought
data from companies that sell consumer and
financial information, or federal agencies that
provide statistics on poverty, housing density
and unemployment”
“Quantified self”
devices also collect…
Subjects underwent a standardized
neurocognitive assessment, then went home
with an app that measured the ways they
touched their phone’s display (swipes, taps,
and keyboard typing)
Mindstrong conducted studies to figure
out whether there might be a systemic
measure of cognitive ability—or
disability—hidden in how we use our
phones.
memory problems… can be spotted by looking at
things including how rapidly you type and what errors
you make (such as how frequently you delete
characters), as well as by how fast you scroll down a
list of contacts
PRIVACY:
“while Mindstrong says it protects users’
data, collecting such data at all could be
a scary prospect for many of the people it
aims to help.
Companies may be interested in, say,
including it as part of an employee
wellness plan, but most of us wouldn’t
want our employers anywhere near our
mental health data”
This is where it becomes
ethically challenging:
Who’s collecting the data
and for what purpose?
Are users aware of the data collection
and usage?
What are users’ benefits & risks
from sharing their data?
What we’ve learned… is that
we need to take a more
proactive role in a broader
view of our responsibility. It’s
not enough to just build tools,
we need to make sure that
they’re used for good
What we’ve learned… is that
we need to take a more
proactive role in a broader
view of our responsibility. It’s
not enough to just build tools,
we need to make sure that
they’re used for good
Medical data privacy is regulated.
What about BBD?
Recent data privacy regulations is
reshaping the collection & use of BBD
Researchers Using Health-Related BBD
Research Fields Using Health-Related BBD
Operations Researchers and Industrial Engineers
For: Hospital Management and Operations
(staffing, scheduling,…)
Medical/Healthcare Researchers & Clinicians
For: Improved Medical Treatment
(safety, effectiveness,…)
Information Systems Researchers
For: Improved Design & Use of Medical IS
(value of IS, effectiveness, standardization,…)
Marketing
Advertising
Insurance
Machine Learning
Social Science
How Do Researchers Get
Health BBD?
1. Open/Publicly Available Data
Constantly refreshed or single data dump
API, web scraping
Hacked data
2. Partner with Company/Organization
• Both parties interested in research question
• Data purchase
• Personal connections, sabbaticals, internships
• Partnership between school and organization
• Third party (WCAI)
3. Crowdsourcing
4. China (!)
Research Using New Health BBD: Challenges
Behavioral
Big Data
Researcher
Human
Subjects
Research
Question
Scientific vs.
Clinical vs.
Commercial
Explain
vs.
Predict
Different (conflicting) Goals:
Unit of analysis vs.
Unit of measurement
Under/over-coverage
New risks (privacy, liability,
security, HIPAA compliance)
New ethical challenges:
Generalization Challenges:
Acquire + analyze data
Users (self-selection,
spill-over, knowledge of
allocation, network)
Company algorithms
Data contaminated by:New modes of connection &
information (social networks,
forums, IoT, Apps)
Overall vs.
Individual
effect
Technical expertise
larger distance
Old Q, new data: Operationalize new variables
New Q: Lack of literature
2
Examples
Two examples of high-profile studies
using new health BBD
Emotional contagion in
social networks
Kramer et al. (PNAS, 2014)
Detecting influenza epidemics
using search engine query data
Ginsberg et al. (Nature, 2009)
Example #1
• No Ethics Board Review (IRB)
“[The work] was consistent with Facebook’s Data
Use Policy, to which all users agree prior to
creating an account on Facebook, constituting
informed consent for this research.”
• PNAS editorial Expression of Concern
• Varied response from public, academia, press,
ethicists, corporates
Where do data scientists get ethics training?
Example #2
• “Up-to-date influenza estimates may enable
public health officials and health professional to
better respond to seasonal epidemics”
• BBD: automated search results for 50M
keywords on Google.com (2003-2007). For each
query: {query text, IP address}
• Fit 450M different models, correlating each
query text with CDC data; Combined 45 queries
with highest correlation
Researchers: epidemiologists + data science academics
Dalton et al. )2016(, “Flutracking weekly online community
survey of influenza-like illness annual report, 2015”
Communicable diseases intelligence quarterly report
Challenge: Acquire data
• Algorithm detects “flu” or “winter”?
• Persistent over-estimation
• Performs worse than lagged CDC
3-week-old data
• Never released 45 terms used
• Lazer et al. recommend combining/
calibrating GFT with CDC data
But most importantly…
Changes made by Google’s search
algorithm to display potential
diagnoses + recommend search for
treatment (more advertising)
-> increased search
This type of BBD research is still popular
Uses Google searches to measure sensitive
behaviors/opinions/thoughts on
racism, self-induced abortion, depression,
child abuse, hateful mobs, the science of
humor, sexual preference, anxiety, son
preference, and sexual insecurity, among
many other topics.
New healthcare BBD offers new research opportunities
… and new challenges
Behavioral
Big Data
Researcher
Human
Subjects
Research
Question
Scientific vs.
Clinical vs.
Commercial
Explain
vs.
Predict
Different (conflicting) Goals:
Unit of analysis vs.
Unit of measurement
Under/over-coverage
New risks (privacy, liability,
security, HIPAA compliance)
New ethical challenges:
Generalization Challenges:
Acquire + analyze data
Users (self-selection,
spill-over, knowledge of
allocation, network)
Company algorithms
Data contaminated by:New modes of connection &
information (social networks,
forums, IoT, Apps)
Overall vs.
Individual
effect
Technical expertise
Old Q, new data: Operationalize new variables
New Q: Lack of literature
Behavioral Big Data
& Healthcare
Research
‫של‬ ‫לזכרה‬ ‫הרצאה‬‫כהן‬ ‫אילה‬ ‫פרופ׳‬
‫ולרבים‬ ‫רבות‬ ‫ותרמה‬ ‫שהובילה‬
‫כסטטיסטיקאית‬,‫חוקרת‬,‫מרצה‬,‫מנחה‬,‫ומנטורית‬
‫וניהול‬ ‫תעשיה‬ ‫להנדסת‬ ‫הפקולטה‬,‫הטכניון‬4.8.2019
• Greene, Shmueli, Ray & Fell (2019), Adjusting to the GDPR: The Impact on Data Scientists and
Behavioral Researchers, Big Data, forthcoming
• Shmueli (2017), Research Dilemmas With Behavioral Big Data, Big Data, vol 5 issue 2, pp. 98-119
• Shmueli (2017), Analyzing Behavioral Big Data: Methodological, Practical, Ethical, and Moral Issues,
with discussion and rejoinder, Quality Engineering, vol 29 no 1, pp. 57-74 and 88-90.

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Behavioral Big Data & Healthcare Research

  • 1. Behavioral Big Data & Healthcare Research ‫של‬ ‫לזכרה‬ ‫הרצאה‬‫כהן‬ ‫אילה‬ ‫פרופ׳‬ ‫ולרבים‬ ‫רבות‬ ‫ותרמה‬ ‫שהובילה‬ ‫כסטטיסטיקאית‬,‫חוקרת‬,‫מרצה‬,‫מנחה‬,‫ומנטורית‬ ‫וניהול‬ ‫תעשיה‬ ‫להנדסת‬ ‫הפקולטה‬,‫הטכניון‬4.8.2019
  • 3. What is Behavioral Big Data (BBD) Special type of Big Data • Behavioral: people’s measurable “everyday” behavior, interactions, self-reported opinions, thoughts, feelings • Human and social aspects: Intentions, deception, emotion, reciprocation, herding,… When aware of data collection -> modified behavior
  • 4. BBD vs. Inanimate Big Data Human Subjects • Aware, ongoing interaction with the data • Can be harmed by BBD
  • 5. BBD vs. Physiological Big Data • Individual bodies • Physical measurements • Medical systems set data collection timing • Aware of collection • Vested interest • Collection of connected people • Measurable behaviors • User generated content • Often unaware of collection • Not always in user’s best interest
  • 6. ‫ביומטריים‬ ‫חיישנים‬ ‫עליך‬ ‫לובש‬ ‫אתה‬ ‫אם‬(‫צמיד‬ ‫כגון‬‫פיטביט‬), ‫למחשב‬ ‫מחוברים‬ ‫הללו‬ ‫והחיישנים‬,‫המחשב‬‫מהו‬ ‫בדיוק‬ ‫ידע‬ ‫שלך‬ ‫הלב‬ ‫קצב‬,‫שלך‬ ‫האדרנלין‬ ‫ורמת‬ ‫שלך‬ ‫הדם‬ ‫לחץ‬,‫ועל‬ ‫הזה‬ ‫המידע‬ ‫סמך‬‫טוב‬ ‫שלך‬ ‫הרגשי‬ ‫המצב‬ ‫את‬ ‫לזהות‬ ‫יוכל‬ ‫אנושי‬ ‫פסיכולוג‬ ‫מכל‬ ‫יותר‬
  • 9. Human data from a typical hospital Patients Personal info Medical history visits, tests, medications,… Scheduled events Billing, insurance Physicians Scheduled + actual appointments, procedures, prescriptions,… Entries of patient info/data Nurses Location, work hours,… Pharmacy staff Speed of service Quality of service Lab staff Speed of service Quality of service Other staff Finance/accounting Cleaning Receptionists Volunteers Food court Data Collection Technologies • Medical devices • HIT systems “Smart Hospital” • Cameras • Sensors • GPS • IoT
  • 10. 5 new types of healthcare BBD
  • 11. Interactions between Patients – doctors/nurses Doctors – other doctors Patients – other patients Patient family – hospital staff Patients – social network ”friends” ... New data #1: Recorded Interactions
  • 12. BBD: • 90,000 doctor-patient conversations during clinical visits • 151 types of medical visits for different purposes • conversation sometimes also including a nurse, or family member
  • 13. New data #2: Health-related online behavior
  • 14. Online forums Social networksHealth websites Search engines Data voluntarily entered by users personal details, photos, comments, messages, search terms, likes, payment information, connections with “friends” Passive footprints duration on website, pages browsed, sequence, referring website, Internet browser, operating system, location, IP address
  • 17. Self-logged BBD on apps Data voluntarily entered by users health condition, symptoms, feelings, behaviors (eating, exercise, sleep, sex, parking…) Passive footprints app log times, pages browsed, sequence, location…
  • 18. In addition to logging a menstruation and health diary, users can join a number of different themed groups including weight loss, clothing, fitness, relationships, and travel. These groups look and work much like “message board”-style social network To date, Meet You has reportedly accumulated two million daily active users, 1.2 million daily active users of its social network, and over 800,000 daily posts. Big and Behavioral: Every day, women manually log around 1.4 M new data points including cycle history, ovulation and pregnancy tests results, age, height, weight, lifestyle statistics about sleep, activity, and nutrition. In addition, more data comes from wearable devices like Fitbit & Apple Watch.
  • 19.
  • 20. New data #4: Health-related behavior from IoT
  • 21. Mobile health apps and wearable devices that use artificial intelligence to help diagnose or even treat medical conditions pose a new regulatory challenge for the U.S. Food and Drug Administration
  • 22. New data #5: Health-“unrelated” (implicit) behaviors
  • 23. “Some hospitals are collecting new information from patients directly, while others have sought data from companies that sell consumer and financial information, or federal agencies that provide statistics on poverty, housing density and unemployment”
  • 25. Subjects underwent a standardized neurocognitive assessment, then went home with an app that measured the ways they touched their phone’s display (swipes, taps, and keyboard typing) Mindstrong conducted studies to figure out whether there might be a systemic measure of cognitive ability—or disability—hidden in how we use our phones. memory problems… can be spotted by looking at things including how rapidly you type and what errors you make (such as how frequently you delete characters), as well as by how fast you scroll down a list of contacts
  • 26. PRIVACY: “while Mindstrong says it protects users’ data, collecting such data at all could be a scary prospect for many of the people it aims to help. Companies may be interested in, say, including it as part of an employee wellness plan, but most of us wouldn’t want our employers anywhere near our mental health data”
  • 27. This is where it becomes ethically challenging: Who’s collecting the data and for what purpose? Are users aware of the data collection and usage? What are users’ benefits & risks from sharing their data?
  • 28. What we’ve learned… is that we need to take a more proactive role in a broader view of our responsibility. It’s not enough to just build tools, we need to make sure that they’re used for good What we’ve learned… is that we need to take a more proactive role in a broader view of our responsibility. It’s not enough to just build tools, we need to make sure that they’re used for good
  • 29. Medical data privacy is regulated. What about BBD?
  • 30. Recent data privacy regulations is reshaping the collection & use of BBD
  • 32. Research Fields Using Health-Related BBD Operations Researchers and Industrial Engineers For: Hospital Management and Operations (staffing, scheduling,…) Medical/Healthcare Researchers & Clinicians For: Improved Medical Treatment (safety, effectiveness,…) Information Systems Researchers For: Improved Design & Use of Medical IS (value of IS, effectiveness, standardization,…) Marketing Advertising Insurance Machine Learning Social Science
  • 33. How Do Researchers Get Health BBD? 1. Open/Publicly Available Data Constantly refreshed or single data dump API, web scraping Hacked data 2. Partner with Company/Organization • Both parties interested in research question • Data purchase • Personal connections, sabbaticals, internships • Partnership between school and organization • Third party (WCAI) 3. Crowdsourcing 4. China (!)
  • 34. Research Using New Health BBD: Challenges Behavioral Big Data Researcher Human Subjects Research Question Scientific vs. Clinical vs. Commercial Explain vs. Predict Different (conflicting) Goals: Unit of analysis vs. Unit of measurement Under/over-coverage New risks (privacy, liability, security, HIPAA compliance) New ethical challenges: Generalization Challenges: Acquire + analyze data Users (self-selection, spill-over, knowledge of allocation, network) Company algorithms Data contaminated by:New modes of connection & information (social networks, forums, IoT, Apps) Overall vs. Individual effect Technical expertise larger distance Old Q, new data: Operationalize new variables New Q: Lack of literature
  • 36. Two examples of high-profile studies using new health BBD Emotional contagion in social networks Kramer et al. (PNAS, 2014) Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data Ginsberg et al. (Nature, 2009)
  • 38. • No Ethics Board Review (IRB) “[The work] was consistent with Facebook’s Data Use Policy, to which all users agree prior to creating an account on Facebook, constituting informed consent for this research.” • PNAS editorial Expression of Concern • Varied response from public, academia, press, ethicists, corporates Where do data scientists get ethics training?
  • 39. Example #2 • “Up-to-date influenza estimates may enable public health officials and health professional to better respond to seasonal epidemics” • BBD: automated search results for 50M keywords on Google.com (2003-2007). For each query: {query text, IP address} • Fit 450M different models, correlating each query text with CDC data; Combined 45 queries with highest correlation
  • 40. Researchers: epidemiologists + data science academics Dalton et al. )2016(, “Flutracking weekly online community survey of influenza-like illness annual report, 2015” Communicable diseases intelligence quarterly report Challenge: Acquire data
  • 41. • Algorithm detects “flu” or “winter”? • Persistent over-estimation • Performs worse than lagged CDC 3-week-old data • Never released 45 terms used • Lazer et al. recommend combining/ calibrating GFT with CDC data But most importantly…
  • 42. Changes made by Google’s search algorithm to display potential diagnoses + recommend search for treatment (more advertising) -> increased search
  • 43. This type of BBD research is still popular
  • 44. Uses Google searches to measure sensitive behaviors/opinions/thoughts on racism, self-induced abortion, depression, child abuse, hateful mobs, the science of humor, sexual preference, anxiety, son preference, and sexual insecurity, among many other topics.
  • 45.
  • 46. New healthcare BBD offers new research opportunities
  • 47. … and new challenges Behavioral Big Data Researcher Human Subjects Research Question Scientific vs. Clinical vs. Commercial Explain vs. Predict Different (conflicting) Goals: Unit of analysis vs. Unit of measurement Under/over-coverage New risks (privacy, liability, security, HIPAA compliance) New ethical challenges: Generalization Challenges: Acquire + analyze data Users (self-selection, spill-over, knowledge of allocation, network) Company algorithms Data contaminated by:New modes of connection & information (social networks, forums, IoT, Apps) Overall vs. Individual effect Technical expertise Old Q, new data: Operationalize new variables New Q: Lack of literature
  • 48. Behavioral Big Data & Healthcare Research ‫של‬ ‫לזכרה‬ ‫הרצאה‬‫כהן‬ ‫אילה‬ ‫פרופ׳‬ ‫ולרבים‬ ‫רבות‬ ‫ותרמה‬ ‫שהובילה‬ ‫כסטטיסטיקאית‬,‫חוקרת‬,‫מרצה‬,‫מנחה‬,‫ומנטורית‬ ‫וניהול‬ ‫תעשיה‬ ‫להנדסת‬ ‫הפקולטה‬,‫הטכניון‬4.8.2019
  • 49. • Greene, Shmueli, Ray & Fell (2019), Adjusting to the GDPR: The Impact on Data Scientists and Behavioral Researchers, Big Data, forthcoming • Shmueli (2017), Research Dilemmas With Behavioral Big Data, Big Data, vol 5 issue 2, pp. 98-119 • Shmueli (2017), Analyzing Behavioral Big Data: Methodological, Practical, Ethical, and Moral Issues, with discussion and rejoinder, Quality Engineering, vol 29 no 1, pp. 57-74 and 88-90.

Editor's Notes

  1. Inanimate: Medical devices and drug manufacturing (quality control, safety) Laboratory testing
  2. UGC = User Generated Content Separate research methods & ethics (e.g. deception)
  3. https://www.yediot.co.il/articles/0,7340,L-4948868,00.html
  4. UGC = User Generated Content
  5. Think of complimentary WiFi as a high-level view of your office. You can better understand the behavior of patients and staff and discover ways to make their experiences better. (https://blogs.spectrio.com/use-free-wifi-to-connect-with-patients-in-your-healthcare-office)
  6. https://www.facebook.com/ayala.cohen.733
  7. https://healthitanalytics.com/news/has-google-cracked-ehr-speech-recognition-for-medical-conversations Chiu et al. (2017). Speech recognition for medical conversations. arXiv preprint arXiv:1711.07274.
  8. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-you-diagnose-dementia-from-a-gaming-app/#
  9. https://www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/london-life/are-period-tracking-apps-an-invasion-to-womens-privacy-a3273916.html
  10. https://www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/london-life/are-period-tracking-apps-an-invasion-to-womens-privacy-a3273916.html
  11. John Hancock, one of the largest and oldest insurers in the United States, has announced it will stop selling traditional life insurance and will only market interactive policies that record the exercise activities and data of health of its customers through wearables such as Fitbit or Apple Watch. https://www.forbes.com/sites/enriquedans/2018/09/21/insurance-wearables-and-the-future-of-healthcare/#25ddf7441782
  12. https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-human-os/biomedical/devices/fda-assembles-team-to-oversee-ai-revolution-in-health
  13. https://www.wsj.com/articles/doctors-dig-for-more-data-about-patients-1474855681
  14. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/612266/the-smartphone-app-that-can-tell-youre-depressed-before-you-know-it-yourself/ “thousands of people are using the app, and the company now has five years of clinical study data to confirm its science and technology.”
  15. AOL log data; OKCupid data hacked by Danish researchers; AshleyMadison data
  16. Let’s explore the landscape: what is there, who is using it, and for what?
  17. HHS propose new IRB exemption criteria for publicly available data (or even buying it) Council for Big Data, Ethics & Society’s letter: “these criteria for exclusion focus on the status of the dataset… not the content of the dataset nor what will be done with the dataset, which are more accurate criteria for determining the risk profile of the proposed research
  18. How Does Flutracking work? It takes only 10 - 15 seconds each week. We ask if you have had fever or cough in the last week. This will help us find ways to detect both seasonal influenza and hopefully pandemic influenza and other diseases so we can better protect the community from epidemics. FluNearYou.org
  19. https://academic.oup.com/cid/article-lookup/doi/10.1093/cid/ciu647
  20. https://academic.oup.com/cid/article-lookup/doi/10.1093/cid/ciu647
  21. https://academic.oup.com/cid/article-lookup/doi/10.1093/cid/ciu647