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WHY MAKERS
FAIL AT RETAIL


LEAN HARDWARE
BY @HAXLR8R


BENJAMIN JOFFE


	

CYRIL EBERSWEILER
WHAT THIS IS ABOUT	

	

How do hardware startups scale?	

	

How to finance growth?	

	

Should you target WalMart?	

	

What are the pitfalls when scaling?
TWO RETAIL MYTHS	

	

LET’S DO WAL-MART ASAP!	

	

PUT IT ON SHELVES AND IT WILL SELL
REALITY

RETAIL CAN KILL YOU
1. 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

  	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

SCALING
YOU SHIPPED TO YOUR BACKERS, NOW WHAT?	

•  KickStarter backers are (very) early adopters	

–  They are high tolerance innovators	

–  They pre-pay and buy direct from you	

–  Best cash flow ever!	


	

The second batch is the hardest	

–  Have you created enough demand?	

–  How will you finance it?
BEWARE OF PREMATURE SCALING	

	

	

	

#1 cause of startup failure	

–  See Startup Genome report	

–  Even more true for hardware	


	

Scale too fast and you’ll burn your cash	

–  Retail can cost a lot	

–  It might not even be a good idea
BEWARE OF PREMATURE SCALING	

Startups should
know their
return and
defect rates
before they try
to scale. 	


“They can learn this via online sales or small
boutique store sales.	

	


Returns and price protection alone can run up
to 20% for some products that were rushed to
the market.	

	


Maybe the second version is when the scaling
should happen.”	


Charles Huang	

Co-Founder, Guitar Hero	

Co-founder, Green Throttle Games
BEWARE OF PREMATURE SCALING	

Retail is not	

a sprint but	

a long slow
build, so take
one step	

at a time.	


“Before market fit startups should only be
selling online and with select specialty retail.	

	


This way you learn what is and isn't working to
get a new customer. 	

	


Once you have reached market fit, know what
works to reach new customers, and people are
asking for your brand, you can build out retail.”	


Marc Barros, Founder, Contour Cameras	

Co-Founder, Moment ($280,000 on KickStarter)	

	


Author, How to Build a Hardware Startup	

Hardware Blogger, MarcBarros.com
2.	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

THE RETAIL CHASM	

	

 	

 	

 	

ALSO CALLED BRIDGE OF DEATH	


How’s cash flow?
CROSSING THE CHASM	

	

The Long March post-crowdfunding	

–  Monthly sales might drop to 1/20th of your KickStarter raise	

–  Got $200,000? Now you’re clocking $10,000 per month	


	

Get paid last	

–  People are not paying you first anymore	

–  Now you need to front the cost of production	


	

Scaling	

–  You need to sort out operations	

–  …and be able to finance inventory for several months!
TIMEFRAME	

$	

	


PROTOTYPING	

	


	


PRODUCTION	

	


	


SCALING	

	


ARE YOU REALISTIC? SOME THINGS TAKE TIME	

	

ARE YOU TOO SLOW? MAYBE YOU NEED HELP	

	


	


3 months ~ 2 years	

 3 months ~ 2 years	

	


	


	


1+ year	

	


TIME
THE CLASSIC CHASM
THE RETAIL CHASM	

$	

	


PROTOTYPING	

	


Accelerators	

Founders	

 Angels	

Friends	

Family	

Fools	


	


	


PRODUCTION	


SCALING	


	


	


RETAIL CHASM
Crowdfunding	


Sales	

Factoring	

Banks	

VCs	


Pre-orders	

Bridge of Dea

th

TIME
3.	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

TIMING FOR SCALING
WHEN TO DO WHAT?	

	

Online	

–  Selling direct offers the highest margin	

–  Against other e-tailers, offer service (e.g. personalization)	

–  Amazon can reach millions	

–  Many e-stores = only marketing. No service	


	

Offline	

–  Avoid big box retailers until they come to you	

–  Specialty retailers have to be serviced properly	

•  They are your test markets. Find your Peoria.	

•  Research personas, find the right demo, location or channel. 	

•  You can test prices too!
SCALING STEP BY STEP	

$	


Big box	

retailers	

Specialty	

stores	

Online	

retailers	

Bridge of Death

Direct	

TIME
RETAIL CHANNELS	

If you cannot get
factory credit,
do a year of sales
online or with
distributors to	

build sales history. 
Then get credit
and do retail.	


“Online still leaves you exposed but offer much
higher margins and control over the customer
service experience.	

	


Distributors are a way to get paid sooner and
scale more smoothly. Some might avoid
distributors altogether until they can take the
credit hit and do retail.”	


Daniel Cowen	

Co-founder, 3Doodler	

$2.3M on KickStarter
RETAIL CHANNELS	

Demand for
your brand	

has to be
greater than
the number	

of points of
distribution. 	


“Get to the point where people are walking into
the retailer, asking for your product.	

	


And don’t think online is small: Amazon has way
more customers than Best Buy or Target. You just
have to work really hard to make sure people know
who you are and go buy your product.”	


Marc Barros, Founder, Contour Cameras	

Co-Founder, Moment ($280,000 on KickStarter)	

	


Author, How to Build a Hardware Startup	

Hardware Blogger, MarcBarros.com
HARDWARE HERO: XIAOMI	

•  China’s “Apple”	

–  Founded April 2010 by Jun LEI (Lei Jun)	

–  18.7 million phones sold online only in 2013	

–  Hired Hugo Barra, VP PM for Android in August 2013	


•  Latest valuation is over $10 billion	


The	
  MI3	
  sold	
  100,000	
  units	
  
in	
  90	
  seconds	
  
4.	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

DISTRIBUTORS
THE CASE FOR DISTRIBUTORS	

	

Benefits	

–  Reach wider distribution	

–  Scale more smoothly	

–  Shed some financial risk	


	

Drawbacks	

–  An extra layer	

–  Lower margins	

–  Less control over customer experience
DISTRIBUTORS	

This is about
building a
relationship	

and knowing	

as much as	

you can	

about your	

future partner	


“Can we work with them as people?	

Are they financially stable?	

Do they have good references?	

Can they ramp up to our expected minimum orders?	

Can they grow their scale/reach over time?	

Are they able to take the payment terms we are requiring?	

Do they understand the product and what we are trying to
do as a business?	

Are there specific sectors in that country that we want
tackled and can they do it?”	


Daniel Cowen	

Co-founder, 3Doodler	

$2.3M on KickStarter
DISTRIBUTORS	

Distributors
probably know
the 'big box'
retailers
already, so its
very much a
two-way (push
pull) activity.	


“Making 'friends' with your dream distributor from the
outset is worthwhile. Distributors DO offer ways to test
products (regionally, demographically, volume related).	

	


If the startup researches among customers and store
managers on the ground, then it is much easier to
leverage that at HQ, and then with the distributor.	

	


It is always worth stalking buyers etc. using social media
or LinkedIn groups and asking for advice.”	


Alan Clayton 	

	

Roaming mentor	

SOS Ventures
5.	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

BIG BOX RETAILERS
WHAT BIG BOX RETAIL IS	

Retailers profit on margins, selling fast
(inventory velocity)  paying you last	

Retailers are order takers. 
You create demand.	

Proper in-store placement is critical
HIDDEN COSTS	

Registration fee with purchasing department	

Catalog placement	

In-store placement costs	

Marketing materials	

Custom demo products	

Training fees	

Discounts for special events	

Mandatory media plan	

Price Protection	

Returns
MORE RETAIL PAIN	

	

Can you finance and deliver large
	

volumes across many stores?	

–  e.g. 100 products x 200 stores	

–  Penalty for late delivery!	


	

Return of unsold inventory	

	

If your first product does not sell,
	

forget about the second
6.	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

 	

FINANCING RETAIL
CASH FLOW MATTERS MOST	

	

Generally, factories get paid first (by you),
	

retailers second (by their customers),
	

you get 	

paid last	

–  Keep it this way and you might dig your own grave	

–  More money will not solve this	

–  The Bridge of Death can be a Long March…	


	

Positive cash flow is much better 	

	

–  Can your factory get paid after delivery?	

–  Can the retailer pay you upon order or delivery?
SAVE YOUR CASH FLOW!	

Pre-sales (best!)	

Credit from supplier (it’s like a bank loan!)	

	


Factoring (purchase order financing)	

Bank credit lines	

Revenue-based financing	

	


VC (most expensive money!)
SAVE YOUR CASH FLOW!	

Our supplier was a
large toy factory in
Guangdong that let
us pay them 60
days after shipping.	


Nabaztag “rabbit”	

150,000 units sold	


I think they were used to work
with guys like WalMart and
being paid last.	


Olivier Mevel	

IOT Pioneer	

Co-founder, Violet (maker of Nabaztag)	

Co-founder, 23 de Enero (IOT Agency)
SAVE YOUR CASH FLOW!	

“Direct sales bring much higher
margins, but with less reach.	

	


How elastic is your demand?”	


Omate TrueSmart	

$1M on KickStarter	


ROCKI Music System 	

$220,000 on KickStarter	


As a startup never offer
credit terms to your
customer until you fix
your financing.	


Nick Yap	

Co-founder, Omate	

Co-founder, ROCKI
FUNDRAISING RULE OF THUMB	

	

When you get offered a good deal, take it	

–  Fundraising can be a full-time job for months	


	

VC	

–  $1m+ on KickStarter + profitable on paper	

–  Or $3m+ yearly sales	


	

Angel / Seed	

–  Pre-KS based on Prototype (is it necessary?)	

–  Over $100k on KickStarter	


	

Do you really need to fundraise?
SUMMARY
LEAN RETAIL RULES	

Keep demand higher than distribution	

	

Your customers are your best investors	

	

Retail is not a sprint. Learn at each step	

	

Cash flow is king
ABOUT HAXLR8R
Your Hardware Startup Accelerator	

	

From a prototype to a real businesss	

In SF  Shenzhen (hardware capital of the world)
LEAN HARDWARE RULES	

“NO HARDWARE PLAN SURVIVES CONTACT WITH A FACTORY”	

Cyril Ebersweiler, Founder of HAXLR8R	


1. 
2. 
3. 
4. 
5. 

Design with the right components	

A prototype is ready when it can be manufactured	

Your factory is your most important partner	

Pick the right business models	

Be memorable
GREAT MAKERS SHIP!	

	


APPLY
WWW.HAXLR8R.COM	


benjamin@haxlr8r.com
@benjaminjoffe	


cyril@haxlr8r.com
@cebersweiler

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Why makers fail at retail

  • 1. WHY MAKERS FAIL AT RETAIL LEAN HARDWARE BY @HAXLR8R BENJAMIN JOFFE CYRIL EBERSWEILER
  • 2. WHAT THIS IS ABOUT How do hardware startups scale? How to finance growth? Should you target WalMart? What are the pitfalls when scaling?
  • 3. TWO RETAIL MYTHS LET’S DO WAL-MART ASAP! PUT IT ON SHELVES AND IT WILL SELL
  • 5. 1. SCALING
  • 6. YOU SHIPPED TO YOUR BACKERS, NOW WHAT? •  KickStarter backers are (very) early adopters –  They are high tolerance innovators –  They pre-pay and buy direct from you –  Best cash flow ever! The second batch is the hardest –  Have you created enough demand? –  How will you finance it?
  • 7. BEWARE OF PREMATURE SCALING #1 cause of startup failure –  See Startup Genome report –  Even more true for hardware Scale too fast and you’ll burn your cash –  Retail can cost a lot –  It might not even be a good idea
  • 8. BEWARE OF PREMATURE SCALING Startups should know their return and defect rates before they try to scale. “They can learn this via online sales or small boutique store sales. Returns and price protection alone can run up to 20% for some products that were rushed to the market. Maybe the second version is when the scaling should happen.” Charles Huang Co-Founder, Guitar Hero Co-founder, Green Throttle Games
  • 9. BEWARE OF PREMATURE SCALING Retail is not a sprint but a long slow build, so take one step at a time. “Before market fit startups should only be selling online and with select specialty retail. This way you learn what is and isn't working to get a new customer. Once you have reached market fit, know what works to reach new customers, and people are asking for your brand, you can build out retail.” Marc Barros, Founder, Contour Cameras Co-Founder, Moment ($280,000 on KickStarter) Author, How to Build a Hardware Startup Hardware Blogger, MarcBarros.com
  • 10. 2. THE RETAIL CHASM ALSO CALLED BRIDGE OF DEATH How’s cash flow?
  • 11. CROSSING THE CHASM The Long March post-crowdfunding –  Monthly sales might drop to 1/20th of your KickStarter raise –  Got $200,000? Now you’re clocking $10,000 per month Get paid last –  People are not paying you first anymore –  Now you need to front the cost of production Scaling –  You need to sort out operations –  …and be able to finance inventory for several months!
  • 12. TIMEFRAME $ PROTOTYPING PRODUCTION SCALING ARE YOU REALISTIC? SOME THINGS TAKE TIME ARE YOU TOO SLOW? MAYBE YOU NEED HELP 3 months ~ 2 years 3 months ~ 2 years 1+ year TIME
  • 14. THE RETAIL CHASM $ PROTOTYPING Accelerators Founders Angels Friends Family Fools PRODUCTION SCALING RETAIL CHASM Crowdfunding Sales Factoring Banks VCs Pre-orders Bridge of Dea th TIME
  • 15. 3. TIMING FOR SCALING
  • 16. WHEN TO DO WHAT? Online –  Selling direct offers the highest margin –  Against other e-tailers, offer service (e.g. personalization) –  Amazon can reach millions –  Many e-stores = only marketing. No service Offline –  Avoid big box retailers until they come to you –  Specialty retailers have to be serviced properly •  They are your test markets. Find your Peoria. •  Research personas, find the right demo, location or channel. •  You can test prices too!
  • 17. SCALING STEP BY STEP $ Big box retailers Specialty stores Online retailers Bridge of Death Direct TIME
  • 18. RETAIL CHANNELS If you cannot get factory credit, do a year of sales online or with distributors to build sales history. Then get credit and do retail. “Online still leaves you exposed but offer much higher margins and control over the customer service experience. Distributors are a way to get paid sooner and scale more smoothly. Some might avoid distributors altogether until they can take the credit hit and do retail.” Daniel Cowen Co-founder, 3Doodler $2.3M on KickStarter
  • 19. RETAIL CHANNELS Demand for your brand has to be greater than the number of points of distribution. “Get to the point where people are walking into the retailer, asking for your product. And don’t think online is small: Amazon has way more customers than Best Buy or Target. You just have to work really hard to make sure people know who you are and go buy your product.” Marc Barros, Founder, Contour Cameras Co-Founder, Moment ($280,000 on KickStarter) Author, How to Build a Hardware Startup Hardware Blogger, MarcBarros.com
  • 20. HARDWARE HERO: XIAOMI •  China’s “Apple” –  Founded April 2010 by Jun LEI (Lei Jun) –  18.7 million phones sold online only in 2013 –  Hired Hugo Barra, VP PM for Android in August 2013 •  Latest valuation is over $10 billion The  MI3  sold  100,000  units   in  90  seconds  
  • 21. 4. DISTRIBUTORS
  • 22. THE CASE FOR DISTRIBUTORS Benefits –  Reach wider distribution –  Scale more smoothly –  Shed some financial risk Drawbacks –  An extra layer –  Lower margins –  Less control over customer experience
  • 23. DISTRIBUTORS This is about building a relationship and knowing as much as you can about your future partner “Can we work with them as people? Are they financially stable? Do they have good references? Can they ramp up to our expected minimum orders? Can they grow their scale/reach over time? Are they able to take the payment terms we are requiring? Do they understand the product and what we are trying to do as a business? Are there specific sectors in that country that we want tackled and can they do it?” Daniel Cowen Co-founder, 3Doodler $2.3M on KickStarter
  • 24. DISTRIBUTORS Distributors probably know the 'big box' retailers already, so its very much a two-way (push pull) activity. “Making 'friends' with your dream distributor from the outset is worthwhile. Distributors DO offer ways to test products (regionally, demographically, volume related). If the startup researches among customers and store managers on the ground, then it is much easier to leverage that at HQ, and then with the distributor. It is always worth stalking buyers etc. using social media or LinkedIn groups and asking for advice.” Alan Clayton Roaming mentor SOS Ventures
  • 25. 5. BIG BOX RETAILERS
  • 26. WHAT BIG BOX RETAIL IS Retailers profit on margins, selling fast (inventory velocity) paying you last Retailers are order takers. You create demand. Proper in-store placement is critical
  • 27. HIDDEN COSTS Registration fee with purchasing department Catalog placement In-store placement costs Marketing materials Custom demo products Training fees Discounts for special events Mandatory media plan Price Protection Returns
  • 28. MORE RETAIL PAIN Can you finance and deliver large volumes across many stores? –  e.g. 100 products x 200 stores –  Penalty for late delivery! Return of unsold inventory If your first product does not sell, forget about the second
  • 29. 6. FINANCING RETAIL
  • 30. CASH FLOW MATTERS MOST Generally, factories get paid first (by you), retailers second (by their customers), you get paid last –  Keep it this way and you might dig your own grave –  More money will not solve this –  The Bridge of Death can be a Long March… Positive cash flow is much better –  Can your factory get paid after delivery? –  Can the retailer pay you upon order or delivery?
  • 31. SAVE YOUR CASH FLOW! Pre-sales (best!) Credit from supplier (it’s like a bank loan!) Factoring (purchase order financing) Bank credit lines Revenue-based financing VC (most expensive money!)
  • 32. SAVE YOUR CASH FLOW! Our supplier was a large toy factory in Guangdong that let us pay them 60 days after shipping. Nabaztag “rabbit” 150,000 units sold I think they were used to work with guys like WalMart and being paid last. Olivier Mevel IOT Pioneer Co-founder, Violet (maker of Nabaztag) Co-founder, 23 de Enero (IOT Agency)
  • 33. SAVE YOUR CASH FLOW! “Direct sales bring much higher margins, but with less reach. How elastic is your demand?” Omate TrueSmart $1M on KickStarter ROCKI Music System $220,000 on KickStarter As a startup never offer credit terms to your customer until you fix your financing. Nick Yap Co-founder, Omate Co-founder, ROCKI
  • 34. FUNDRAISING RULE OF THUMB When you get offered a good deal, take it –  Fundraising can be a full-time job for months VC –  $1m+ on KickStarter + profitable on paper –  Or $3m+ yearly sales Angel / Seed –  Pre-KS based on Prototype (is it necessary?) –  Over $100k on KickStarter Do you really need to fundraise?
  • 36. LEAN RETAIL RULES Keep demand higher than distribution Your customers are your best investors Retail is not a sprint. Learn at each step Cash flow is king
  • 38. Your Hardware Startup Accelerator From a prototype to a real businesss In SF Shenzhen (hardware capital of the world)
  • 39.
  • 40. LEAN HARDWARE RULES “NO HARDWARE PLAN SURVIVES CONTACT WITH A FACTORY” Cyril Ebersweiler, Founder of HAXLR8R 1.  2.  3.  4.  5.  Design with the right components A prototype is ready when it can be manufactured Your factory is your most important partner Pick the right business models Be memorable