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The Golden Age of
Artificial Intelligence:
Opportunities for an AI scientist
Dr. Kai-Fu Lee
Chairman and CEO
Sinovation Ventures
October 2016
10 years from now, artificial intelligence will replace 90% of the world’s ...
• Can you play a million Chess games a day, while learning from AlphaGo?
• Absorb the cumulative daily experience of Tesla from a million vehicles?
• Instantly compare all of the world’s airport cameras against all wanted criminals’ faces?
Translation Reporters Assistant Police Taxis
Sales Service Traders Accounting Maids
Artificial intelligence is not just an "imitation of the human", but it usually
goes "far beyond human” …
Artificial Intelligence: The greatest value creation engine
GamingPerceptionDecisionFeedback
Artificial Intelligence: A brief history
1989 1992 1997 201620142011
Bill
Othello
Deep Blue AlphaGo
2007
SPHINX IBM
Watson
Apple
Siri
1994
Nuance
2012
Chinook
Checkers
1988
Facebook
DeepFace
Microsoft
Tay
Loebner
Prize
Claudico
Texas Hold’em
2015
Google
Brain
2000 2013
DQN
Xbox
Kinect
Google
Now
Microsoft
Cortana
Palantir
Metropolis
Wealthfront
Betterment
Google
AdWords
Kensho Google Auto-
Email
MS Office
Grammar
2012
CMU Boss Boston
Dynamics
Google CarPepperAmazon Kiva
GamingPerceptionDecisionFeedback
But timing matters…
1989 1992 1997 201620142011
Bill
Othello
Deep Blue AlphaGo
2007
SPHINX IBM
Watson
Apple
Siri
1994
Nuance
2012
Chinook
Checkers
1988
Facebook
DeepFace
Microsoft
Tay
Loebner
Prize
Claudico
Texas Hold’em
2015
Google
Brain
2000 2013
DQN
Xbox
Kinect
Google
Now
Microsoft
Cortana
Palantir
Metropolis
Wealthfront
Betterment
Google
AdWords
Kensho Google Auto-
Email
MS Office
Grammar
2012
CMU Boss Boston
Dynamics
Google CarPepperAmazon Kiva
The PC era The Internet era The Mobile Internet era The AI era
YOU
Bill Gates
Born in 1955
Steve Jobs
Born in 1955
Jeff Bezos
Born in 1964
Jerry Yang
Born in 1968
Kevin Systrom
Born in 1983
Evan Spiegel
Born in 1990
The AI era is YOURS
Deep Learning’s advantages:
• More web layers
• fast learning of abstract concepts
• self-learning
• accelerating convergence
Deep Learning: The biggest breakthrough in recent years
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Human eye
Deep learning
Medical Science:
Automated reading, automated
and auxiliary diagnosis,
personalized diagnosis, gene
sequencing
Education:
Learning a foreign language,
smart learning sequencing
Banking and insurance
applications:
Targeted marketing, loan approval,
credit card fraud prevention
Recognition:
Voice, face, video content
applications: security,
customer service.....
Investment:
AI+high frequency trading,
prediction engine (Bloomberg
replacement)
Internet data:
Purchase conversion,
recommendation, pricing,
targeting, SNS marketing
BI、Business process
automation
Greatest single
opportunity:
Autonomous
vehicles
(tech. applicable
to many areas)
Deep Learning: Exceeding humans & creating value
Google  Alphabet: World’s most ambitious AI Platform
Deep Learning: Rapid adoption inside Google
Deep
Learning:
Learning from
Massive data
Reinforcement
Learning:
Auto-
Learning
Transfer
Learning:
Solve sparse-
data problem
Today Future
Machine Learning: Only the beginning….
Credit to: Prof. Yang Qiang, HKUST
Scientist Question #1: When will AI work?
Five
conditions
of AI
Clear
boundaries
Auto-
collected
feedback
loop
Computing
resources
Big data
(ideally
closed-
loop)
Top data
scientists
Credit to: Prof. Yang Qiang, HKUST
1 2
3 4
Own end-to-end data
Hire best scientists
Buy hardware optimized for AI
$100,000,000 $400,000,000
Train young people in “AI alchemy”
Scientist Question #2: How to profit from AI?
1 2
3 4
Assist and not replace people
“Trick”users to provide data
“Error-tolerant”user interface
Constrained application scena
“无人驾驶”
Scientist Question #3: How to succeed despite AI imperfections?
Scientist Question #4: Best AI founder = ?
The Internet era The App era The O2O era The AI era
US Returnee
Product manager
On-the-Ground Sales
+
Back-end Technologist
AI Scientist
+
Enterprise Sales Leader
YOU
L1:
(AI as input to
humans)
Vision
Voice
Language
Gesture
Industrial
Robots
Househol
d Robots
Big Data Perception Robotics
Autonomous
Driving
Stage3–5yr5–10yr10yr+
Internet
Application
All-terrain fully
autonomousdri
ving
L2-3:
(AI assisting
human driver)
AR/VR &
New natural
interface
Com-
mercial
Robots
Cross-domain and general
natural language understanding
L4
(Human assisting
AI)
Investment
Insurance
Banking
Healthcare
Education
Any industry with
big data
Artificial intelligence + computing architecture
+ algorithm framework + sensing platform
BI、
Business
process
automation
Mass
produced
sensors
Sinovation Ventures AI roadmap
Understanding
Expensive sensors:
Infrared, depth
camera,
Gyroscope,
Lidar…
Attract top tech talents
Collect cross-
cutting big data
Build up a platform
and create a cluster
(2) Series A+B VC
Sinovation Ventures AI Strategy
Top engineers
Explore
collaboration with
industry leaders
Look for the
best AI
opportunities
(1) Early stage incubation:
AI Institute
Sinovation Ventures: $675M duo-fund just raised
USD Fund III
300M USD
RMB Fund II
2.5B RMB
39%
22%
32%
5%
2%
Type of LPs
大学基金会和退休基金 家族办公室和捐赠基金 上市公司
主权基金 美元母基金
University funds
& pension funds
Family offices &
endowment funds
59%
10%
20%
11%
Type of LPs
高净值个人及财富管理机构 上市公司
政府引导资金 人民币母基金
Sovereignty funds USD FOFs
Public companies
Public companiesWealth mgmt. institutions
RMB FOFsGov’t guidance funds
The most complete AI research and
blueprint in industry.
• Include detailed predictions and
methodology.
Sinovation Ventures AI portfolio
Series A+B VC
The most important investment area
for Sinovation Ventures.
• 25 portfolio companies in total.
• 75% in China, 25% in the U.S.
• Total investments in AI > US$100M.
Sinovation Ventures raised new
capital in preparation.
• Total AUM: US$1.2B.
Provide comprehensive help to
portfolio companies.
• Cooperation both at home and abroad.
• Industry analysis and insights.
• Global & campus recruitment.
• ImageNet World Champion.
• FaceID having been called
over 2 billion times.
• Leader in China’s unmanned
driving.
• Founded by former head of
Intel China Research Institute.
• Preparing for going public on the
Hong Kong stock market.
• Covering 1.1 billion devices
globally.
• ACM world champion.
• Founded by Baidu's youngest
scientist.
• Gathered industry’s top AI experts.
输入内容
输入内容
• Innovated K12 English
textbooks in China.
• Product used in > 10,000
schools nationwide.
• Founded by former head
of Baidu IDL.
• A rising star for both
capital & talents.
输入内容
The world's fastest
developing K12
programming toy robot
Compact, low-power, high-
resolution computer vision
processor.
• Industry leader in video
conference.
• Defined the family-
accompanying robot.
• Work with first-class
researchers & scientists.
• Artificial Intelligence +
General Robots.
Sinovation Ventures’ top AI portfolio with campus recruitment
Attract top tech talents
Collect cross-cutting
big data
Build up a platform
and create a cluster
Top engineers
Explore collaboration
with industry leaders
Look for the best
AI opportunities
• Top tech talents / EIR
• Most promising
young engineers
• Industry experience
from Sinovation Ventures
Sinovation Ventures: AI Institute ($60M funding just raised)
• Example I:
• >20000 Google citations
• Top scientist from academia
• Breakthrough AI application in robotics
• Example 2:
• Key technical position at 3 US & China giants
• Access to exclusive big data access
• Develop specific industry application
• Example 3:
• Director at top company
• Experience in NL/speech and deep learning
• Planning unique consumer product/experience
Sinovation Ventures Technical EIRs
Jiaping Wang – Senior AdvisorYonggang Wang - VP of AI
Institute
Qin Liu - Senior Expert
Yonggang was a Staff Engineer and
Senior Manager at Google where
he was responsible for Desktop
Search, Product Search, Knowledge
Graph, and Pinyin input methods.
Prior to that, he was a Technical
Director at 任方正奥德 building
wide range of financial software
products. Yonggang is a graduate
of Beijing University.
Jiaping was a Lead Researcher and
Team Lead at Microsoft Research
(Seattle). He has published in
SIGGRAPH multiple times and hold
more than 10 patents. He also has
full-stack experience in
recommendation systems, P2P
networks, quantitative trading,
HPC, and GPU Computing. Jiaping
received his PhD from Chinese
Academy of Sciences where he won
the best dissertation in China
(“Data-Driven Appearance
Modeling”)
Qin was previously an engineer at
Google. He has extensive
experience in automated testing
of optical equipments and
wireless networking. Since leaving
Google in 2009, he ran a
successful quantitative hedge
fund. Qin received his BS from
University of Waterloo and MS
from University of Toronto.
Sinovation Ventures AI In-house experts
Sinovation Ventures & portfolio companies recognized as AI leaders
Contact: kfl@chuangxin.com

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AI Happy Hour - Dr. Kai-Fu Lee - The Golden age of Artificial Intelligence

  • 1. The Golden Age of Artificial Intelligence: Opportunities for an AI scientist Dr. Kai-Fu Lee Chairman and CEO Sinovation Ventures October 2016
  • 2. 10 years from now, artificial intelligence will replace 90% of the world’s ... • Can you play a million Chess games a day, while learning from AlphaGo? • Absorb the cumulative daily experience of Tesla from a million vehicles? • Instantly compare all of the world’s airport cameras against all wanted criminals’ faces? Translation Reporters Assistant Police Taxis Sales Service Traders Accounting Maids Artificial intelligence is not just an "imitation of the human", but it usually goes "far beyond human” … Artificial Intelligence: The greatest value creation engine
  • 3. GamingPerceptionDecisionFeedback Artificial Intelligence: A brief history 1989 1992 1997 201620142011 Bill Othello Deep Blue AlphaGo 2007 SPHINX IBM Watson Apple Siri 1994 Nuance 2012 Chinook Checkers 1988 Facebook DeepFace Microsoft Tay Loebner Prize Claudico Texas Hold’em 2015 Google Brain 2000 2013 DQN Xbox Kinect Google Now Microsoft Cortana Palantir Metropolis Wealthfront Betterment Google AdWords Kensho Google Auto- Email MS Office Grammar 2012 CMU Boss Boston Dynamics Google CarPepperAmazon Kiva
  • 4. GamingPerceptionDecisionFeedback But timing matters… 1989 1992 1997 201620142011 Bill Othello Deep Blue AlphaGo 2007 SPHINX IBM Watson Apple Siri 1994 Nuance 2012 Chinook Checkers 1988 Facebook DeepFace Microsoft Tay Loebner Prize Claudico Texas Hold’em 2015 Google Brain 2000 2013 DQN Xbox Kinect Google Now Microsoft Cortana Palantir Metropolis Wealthfront Betterment Google AdWords Kensho Google Auto- Email MS Office Grammar 2012 CMU Boss Boston Dynamics Google CarPepperAmazon Kiva
  • 5. The PC era The Internet era The Mobile Internet era The AI era YOU Bill Gates Born in 1955 Steve Jobs Born in 1955 Jeff Bezos Born in 1964 Jerry Yang Born in 1968 Kevin Systrom Born in 1983 Evan Spiegel Born in 1990 The AI era is YOURS
  • 6. Deep Learning’s advantages: • More web layers • fast learning of abstract concepts • self-learning • accelerating convergence Deep Learning: The biggest breakthrough in recent years
  • 7. 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Human eye Deep learning Medical Science: Automated reading, automated and auxiliary diagnosis, personalized diagnosis, gene sequencing Education: Learning a foreign language, smart learning sequencing Banking and insurance applications: Targeted marketing, loan approval, credit card fraud prevention Recognition: Voice, face, video content applications: security, customer service..... Investment: AI+high frequency trading, prediction engine (Bloomberg replacement) Internet data: Purchase conversion, recommendation, pricing, targeting, SNS marketing BI、Business process automation Greatest single opportunity: Autonomous vehicles (tech. applicable to many areas) Deep Learning: Exceeding humans & creating value
  • 8. Google  Alphabet: World’s most ambitious AI Platform
  • 9. Deep Learning: Rapid adoption inside Google
  • 10. Deep Learning: Learning from Massive data Reinforcement Learning: Auto- Learning Transfer Learning: Solve sparse- data problem Today Future Machine Learning: Only the beginning…. Credit to: Prof. Yang Qiang, HKUST
  • 11. Scientist Question #1: When will AI work? Five conditions of AI Clear boundaries Auto- collected feedback loop Computing resources Big data (ideally closed- loop) Top data scientists Credit to: Prof. Yang Qiang, HKUST
  • 12. 1 2 3 4 Own end-to-end data Hire best scientists Buy hardware optimized for AI $100,000,000 $400,000,000 Train young people in “AI alchemy” Scientist Question #2: How to profit from AI?
  • 13. 1 2 3 4 Assist and not replace people “Trick”users to provide data “Error-tolerant”user interface Constrained application scena “无人驾驶” Scientist Question #3: How to succeed despite AI imperfections?
  • 14. Scientist Question #4: Best AI founder = ? The Internet era The App era The O2O era The AI era US Returnee Product manager On-the-Ground Sales + Back-end Technologist AI Scientist + Enterprise Sales Leader YOU
  • 15. L1: (AI as input to humans) Vision Voice Language Gesture Industrial Robots Househol d Robots Big Data Perception Robotics Autonomous Driving Stage3–5yr5–10yr10yr+ Internet Application All-terrain fully autonomousdri ving L2-3: (AI assisting human driver) AR/VR & New natural interface Com- mercial Robots Cross-domain and general natural language understanding L4 (Human assisting AI) Investment Insurance Banking Healthcare Education Any industry with big data Artificial intelligence + computing architecture + algorithm framework + sensing platform BI、 Business process automation Mass produced sensors Sinovation Ventures AI roadmap Understanding Expensive sensors: Infrared, depth camera, Gyroscope, Lidar…
  • 16. Attract top tech talents Collect cross- cutting big data Build up a platform and create a cluster (2) Series A+B VC Sinovation Ventures AI Strategy Top engineers Explore collaboration with industry leaders Look for the best AI opportunities (1) Early stage incubation: AI Institute
  • 17. Sinovation Ventures: $675M duo-fund just raised USD Fund III 300M USD RMB Fund II 2.5B RMB 39% 22% 32% 5% 2% Type of LPs 大学基金会和退休基金 家族办公室和捐赠基金 上市公司 主权基金 美元母基金 University funds & pension funds Family offices & endowment funds 59% 10% 20% 11% Type of LPs 高净值个人及财富管理机构 上市公司 政府引导资金 人民币母基金 Sovereignty funds USD FOFs Public companies Public companiesWealth mgmt. institutions RMB FOFsGov’t guidance funds
  • 18. The most complete AI research and blueprint in industry. • Include detailed predictions and methodology. Sinovation Ventures AI portfolio Series A+B VC The most important investment area for Sinovation Ventures. • 25 portfolio companies in total. • 75% in China, 25% in the U.S. • Total investments in AI > US$100M. Sinovation Ventures raised new capital in preparation. • Total AUM: US$1.2B. Provide comprehensive help to portfolio companies. • Cooperation both at home and abroad. • Industry analysis and insights. • Global & campus recruitment.
  • 19. • ImageNet World Champion. • FaceID having been called over 2 billion times. • Leader in China’s unmanned driving. • Founded by former head of Intel China Research Institute. • Preparing for going public on the Hong Kong stock market. • Covering 1.1 billion devices globally. • ACM world champion. • Founded by Baidu's youngest scientist. • Gathered industry’s top AI experts. 输入内容 输入内容 • Innovated K12 English textbooks in China. • Product used in > 10,000 schools nationwide. • Founded by former head of Baidu IDL. • A rising star for both capital & talents. 输入内容 The world's fastest developing K12 programming toy robot Compact, low-power, high- resolution computer vision processor. • Industry leader in video conference. • Defined the family- accompanying robot. • Work with first-class researchers & scientists. • Artificial Intelligence + General Robots. Sinovation Ventures’ top AI portfolio with campus recruitment
  • 20. Attract top tech talents Collect cross-cutting big data Build up a platform and create a cluster Top engineers Explore collaboration with industry leaders Look for the best AI opportunities • Top tech talents / EIR • Most promising young engineers • Industry experience from Sinovation Ventures Sinovation Ventures: AI Institute ($60M funding just raised)
  • 21. • Example I: • >20000 Google citations • Top scientist from academia • Breakthrough AI application in robotics • Example 2: • Key technical position at 3 US & China giants • Access to exclusive big data access • Develop specific industry application • Example 3: • Director at top company • Experience in NL/speech and deep learning • Planning unique consumer product/experience Sinovation Ventures Technical EIRs
  • 22. Jiaping Wang – Senior AdvisorYonggang Wang - VP of AI Institute Qin Liu - Senior Expert Yonggang was a Staff Engineer and Senior Manager at Google where he was responsible for Desktop Search, Product Search, Knowledge Graph, and Pinyin input methods. Prior to that, he was a Technical Director at 任方正奥德 building wide range of financial software products. Yonggang is a graduate of Beijing University. Jiaping was a Lead Researcher and Team Lead at Microsoft Research (Seattle). He has published in SIGGRAPH multiple times and hold more than 10 patents. He also has full-stack experience in recommendation systems, P2P networks, quantitative trading, HPC, and GPU Computing. Jiaping received his PhD from Chinese Academy of Sciences where he won the best dissertation in China (“Data-Driven Appearance Modeling”) Qin was previously an engineer at Google. He has extensive experience in automated testing of optical equipments and wireless networking. Since leaving Google in 2009, he ran a successful quantitative hedge fund. Qin received his BS from University of Waterloo and MS from University of Toronto. Sinovation Ventures AI In-house experts
  • 23. Sinovation Ventures & portfolio companies recognized as AI leaders

Editor's Notes

  1. Crisis Response Phama R&D Cyber Security Anti-Fraud Insurance Analytics Law Enforcement Oil and Gas
  2. 比较快的应用:Decision support – 辅助人做判断决策券商股票:智能高频交易应用:银行贷款审批、信用卡、保险诈骗监测医学:自动辨别核磁共振、超音波、断层扫描、X光视频和广告和电子商务匹配教育:学习外语 Relatively fast application: Decision support -- assistant judge of Stock Brokerage decisions and policy making: intelligent high-frequency trading application: bank loan approval, credit card, insurance fraud monitoring medicine: automatic identification of nuclear magnetic resonance, ultrasound, CT scanning, X light and video advertising and e-commerce, education: learning a foreign language
  3. 我们用大数据发现做足疗和去医院概率的关系,通过统计,得知足疗店去得越多的人、去医院的概率就越小;那么我们就考虑,在这些人购买保险时,可以给他们适当降低保费,因为赔付率比较低。”“例如,百度外卖如若送迟就可进行赔付。”
  4. 4) Telesales
  5. 4) Telesales
  6. Points: AI的两页都是从开复老师之前的演讲里复制过来的,请开复老师按照之前演讲的方式陈述即可。 The two pages of AI are copied from teacher Li before his speech, please stay in accord with teacher Li's speech.
  7. 其愿景为生产出体积小巧、低功耗、高分辨率的计算机视觉处理器,以及相关的服务软件,应用到机器人、无人机、物联网产品等场景中的计算机视觉技术公司