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Future World Giving
Recognising the potential of middle class giving
27 May 2014
Adam Pickering, International Policy Manager
 Demonstrate the potential growth of middle class
giving
 Highlight the importance of mass engagement in
giving
 Highlight some of the barriers for future growth
Aims
MIDDLE CLASS GROWTH
OPPORTUNITY
The polarity of wealth is changing
Explosion of wealth
The rise of the global middle classes
US$55 trillion
US$223 billion
0.4%
US$1.2 trillion
US$4.9 billion
0.4%
And Brazil?
Mass market
 By 2030 spending of middle class Brazilians, adjusted for
purchasing power parity, will have almost doubled to $1.2 trillion.
 If middle class Brazilians were to give at the same rate as seen
in the UK (0.4%) this could generate $4.9 billion in charitable
donations annually.
 Brazil is becoming a more equal society with a broad tax
revenue base. 27% of government revenue comes from
individuals suggesting that incentives could be effective (World
Bank).
High Net Worth
 In 2013 Brazil had 222,000 $millionaires. By 2018 this number
will have grown by 84% to 407,000 according to Credit Suisse
Research
 Civil society about more than services to beneficiaries
 Combats “the tyranny of the majority”
 Can act as a pressure gauge
 Crucial for governance
 Concerns about leeching of sovereignty assume power is
finite
Without an appropriate means to voice their dissent,
disenfranchised citizens will eventually make their
grievances known, and it may be in radical and
destructive ways"
Jimmy Carter
Why middle class giving?
BARRIERS
World Giving Index: 5 year trends
5.20
-0.03
7.50
2.70 3.00
23
25 26
24 23
15 15 14
12 13
51
49 48
44
42
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4 5
GDP growth Donating money
Volunteering time Helping a stranger
Brazil: 5 year trend
Year Overall rank Donating money Volunteering time Helping a stranger
Rank % Rank % Rank %
2008 68 63 23 83 15 40 51
2009 54 52 25 64 15 46 49
2010 69 59 26 80 14 50 48
2011 83 68 24 93 12 71 44
2012 91 72 23 90 13 90 42
Brazil: 5 year trend
Creating an enabling environment for giving
• Global giving climate is complex
• National context key to understanding
• But there are global trends
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Changes in giving money] (%) from 2008 to 2012
Country
2012
data %
2008
data %
Change in
percentage
points from
2008-12
Uruguay 40 17 23
Cambodia 45 23 22
Indonesia 63 43 20
Latvia 31 15 16
Paraguay 49 34 15
India 28 14 14
Uganda 25 11 14
Norway 56 43 13
Portugal 27 15 12
Chile 54 42 12
Country
2012
data %
2008
data %
Change in
percentage
points from
2008-12
Benin 8 19 -11
Malta 72 83 -11
France 24 36 -12
Denmark 54 67 -13
Laos 47 64 -17
Austria 52 69 -17
Guatemala 29 46 -17
Nepal 25 46 -21
Honduras 23 46 -23
Vietnam 13 43 -30
Changes in giving money since 2008
10 largest increases 10 largest decreases
 30 countries have tax incentives for corporate
giving but not for individuals
 Others have very limited incentives for individuals
 Still more follow the US model of tax credits ruling
out those who do not file tax returns
 In many developing countries such a framework is
understandable seems logical but is short sighted
Favouring corporations and HNWIs in tax
incentive regimes
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
No incentives Incentives No incentives Incentives No incentives Incentives No incentives Incentives
Low income countries Lower middleincoem
countries
Upper middle income High Income countries
WGIGivingmoney(%)
The power of incentives
Recent restrictions on advocacy & foreign funding
• Recent/proposed laws restricting
advocacy
• Recent/proposed laws restricting
foreign funding
• Lack of clarity or implementation
of laws causing friction
Globalisation of values challenging state sovereignty
85
83
78
73
71
70
67
86
83
78
70
69
67
63
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Delivering social services
Working with companies to solve issues
Communicating activities/commitments
Publicaly criticising governments/companies
Raising money to support activities
Publicaly protesting
Influencing government policies
*Includes: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Spain,
Turkey, UK and USA
Data from GlobeScan RADAR 2012 Wave 2: Issues and Reputation
Support for Environmental and Social Groups’ Actions 2008-2012
*Support (strongly + somewhat), * average of 15 countries
2008
2012
Publically criticizing
governments/companies
Influencing government
policies
Delivering social services
Working with companies
Using public protests to
raise awareness
Support for Environmental and Social Groups’ Actions in Brazil
Data from GlobeScan RADAR 2012 Wave 2: Issues and Reputation
75
66
91
89
75
18
26
6
7
19
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Oppose
Support
Global Trust in NGOs
Brazilian trust in NGOs
Giving grows
Benefits are
felt
Expectations
rise
Market
develops to
meet
expectations
Market
tends
towards
complexity
The need for continuous policy development
Big year for CSR
 Privatization has placed greater expectations on corporations to address public
problems
 Companies Act in India seen as an experiment
Corporate leaders increasingly see philanthropy and CSR programmes as
opportunities for differentiation:
 In the market for customers. 88% of Indian and 86% of Chinese consumers
say they buy products with a social or environmental benefit (67 per cent
globally).
 In the market to attract and retain talent – An Ipsos MORI survey of 18,150
Indian people found that 51% considered social impact to be important in their
career choice with 58% looking to work for a company with “values like my
own”.
Payroll giving becoming attractive to employers
• Media references to individual philanthropists in emerging markets are rapidly
increasing, with 385 references over the last year in India alone
• Warren Buffet’s “Giving Pledge” is signed by billionaires in 10 countries,
including Russia, Ukraine, Taiwan, India & South Africa
• Some concern that there is too much focus on individuals
• Recent media stories naming and shaming those who don’t give publicly
UHNWI and “celebrity philanthropy” culture
spreading
HNW philanthropy part of the solution
• Globally, income inequality continues to increase
• Attitudes to wealth are worsening in many nations
• Warnings from IMF and World bank
• Should focus on inclusion in civil society
Impact
investment
Improve
perceptions of
wealth
Risk capital
philanthropy
Potentially
transformative
Support
social justice
causes
Combat sense
of reciprocity
About Future World Giving
 Concept paper
 3 thematic reports:
 Building Trust in
Charitable Giving
 Enabling an
independent Not-for-
profit Sector
 Encouraging people to
give
 Recommendations
framework
 Future World Giving
Framework
 Website
www.futureworldgiving .org
QUESTIONS?
apickering@cafonline.org
@A_L_Pickering
www.futureworldgiving .org

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Future World Giving - Recognising the potential of middle class giving

  • 1. Future World Giving Recognising the potential of middle class giving 27 May 2014 Adam Pickering, International Policy Manager
  • 2.  Demonstrate the potential growth of middle class giving  Highlight the importance of mass engagement in giving  Highlight some of the barriers for future growth Aims
  • 4. The polarity of wealth is changing
  • 6. The rise of the global middle classes
  • 9. And Brazil? Mass market  By 2030 spending of middle class Brazilians, adjusted for purchasing power parity, will have almost doubled to $1.2 trillion.  If middle class Brazilians were to give at the same rate as seen in the UK (0.4%) this could generate $4.9 billion in charitable donations annually.  Brazil is becoming a more equal society with a broad tax revenue base. 27% of government revenue comes from individuals suggesting that incentives could be effective (World Bank). High Net Worth  In 2013 Brazil had 222,000 $millionaires. By 2018 this number will have grown by 84% to 407,000 according to Credit Suisse Research
  • 10.  Civil society about more than services to beneficiaries  Combats “the tyranny of the majority”  Can act as a pressure gauge  Crucial for governance  Concerns about leeching of sovereignty assume power is finite Without an appropriate means to voice their dissent, disenfranchised citizens will eventually make their grievances known, and it may be in radical and destructive ways" Jimmy Carter Why middle class giving?
  • 12. World Giving Index: 5 year trends
  • 13. 5.20 -0.03 7.50 2.70 3.00 23 25 26 24 23 15 15 14 12 13 51 49 48 44 42 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1 2 3 4 5 GDP growth Donating money Volunteering time Helping a stranger Brazil: 5 year trend
  • 14. Year Overall rank Donating money Volunteering time Helping a stranger Rank % Rank % Rank % 2008 68 63 23 83 15 40 51 2009 54 52 25 64 15 46 49 2010 69 59 26 80 14 50 48 2011 83 68 24 93 12 71 44 2012 91 72 23 90 13 90 42 Brazil: 5 year trend
  • 15. Creating an enabling environment for giving • Global giving climate is complex • National context key to understanding • But there are global trends -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Changes in giving money] (%) from 2008 to 2012
  • 16. Country 2012 data % 2008 data % Change in percentage points from 2008-12 Uruguay 40 17 23 Cambodia 45 23 22 Indonesia 63 43 20 Latvia 31 15 16 Paraguay 49 34 15 India 28 14 14 Uganda 25 11 14 Norway 56 43 13 Portugal 27 15 12 Chile 54 42 12 Country 2012 data % 2008 data % Change in percentage points from 2008-12 Benin 8 19 -11 Malta 72 83 -11 France 24 36 -12 Denmark 54 67 -13 Laos 47 64 -17 Austria 52 69 -17 Guatemala 29 46 -17 Nepal 25 46 -21 Honduras 23 46 -23 Vietnam 13 43 -30 Changes in giving money since 2008 10 largest increases 10 largest decreases
  • 17.  30 countries have tax incentives for corporate giving but not for individuals  Others have very limited incentives for individuals  Still more follow the US model of tax credits ruling out those who do not file tax returns  In many developing countries such a framework is understandable seems logical but is short sighted Favouring corporations and HNWIs in tax incentive regimes
  • 18. 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 No incentives Incentives No incentives Incentives No incentives Incentives No incentives Incentives Low income countries Lower middleincoem countries Upper middle income High Income countries WGIGivingmoney(%) The power of incentives
  • 19. Recent restrictions on advocacy & foreign funding • Recent/proposed laws restricting advocacy • Recent/proposed laws restricting foreign funding • Lack of clarity or implementation of laws causing friction
  • 20. Globalisation of values challenging state sovereignty
  • 21. 85 83 78 73 71 70 67 86 83 78 70 69 67 63 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Delivering social services Working with companies to solve issues Communicating activities/commitments Publicaly criticising governments/companies Raising money to support activities Publicaly protesting Influencing government policies *Includes: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Spain, Turkey, UK and USA Data from GlobeScan RADAR 2012 Wave 2: Issues and Reputation Support for Environmental and Social Groups’ Actions 2008-2012 *Support (strongly + somewhat), * average of 15 countries 2008 2012
  • 22. Publically criticizing governments/companies Influencing government policies Delivering social services Working with companies Using public protests to raise awareness Support for Environmental and Social Groups’ Actions in Brazil Data from GlobeScan RADAR 2012 Wave 2: Issues and Reputation 75 66 91 89 75 18 26 6 7 19 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Oppose Support
  • 25.
  • 26. Giving grows Benefits are felt Expectations rise Market develops to meet expectations Market tends towards complexity The need for continuous policy development
  • 27. Big year for CSR  Privatization has placed greater expectations on corporations to address public problems  Companies Act in India seen as an experiment Corporate leaders increasingly see philanthropy and CSR programmes as opportunities for differentiation:  In the market for customers. 88% of Indian and 86% of Chinese consumers say they buy products with a social or environmental benefit (67 per cent globally).  In the market to attract and retain talent – An Ipsos MORI survey of 18,150 Indian people found that 51% considered social impact to be important in their career choice with 58% looking to work for a company with “values like my own”. Payroll giving becoming attractive to employers
  • 28. • Media references to individual philanthropists in emerging markets are rapidly increasing, with 385 references over the last year in India alone • Warren Buffet’s “Giving Pledge” is signed by billionaires in 10 countries, including Russia, Ukraine, Taiwan, India & South Africa • Some concern that there is too much focus on individuals • Recent media stories naming and shaming those who don’t give publicly UHNWI and “celebrity philanthropy” culture spreading
  • 29. HNW philanthropy part of the solution • Globally, income inequality continues to increase • Attitudes to wealth are worsening in many nations • Warnings from IMF and World bank • Should focus on inclusion in civil society Impact investment Improve perceptions of wealth Risk capital philanthropy Potentially transformative Support social justice causes Combat sense of reciprocity
  • 30. About Future World Giving  Concept paper  3 thematic reports:  Building Trust in Charitable Giving  Enabling an independent Not-for- profit Sector  Encouraging people to give  Recommendations framework  Future World Giving Framework  Website