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Writing kick-ass
hypotheses
@ RASTER MEDIA • JULY 10, 2013
Lean UX
Vegas Style
LUXR.CO JULY 2013
Needs
1. I need...
2. I want...
3. My goal is...
Uses
Mary can...
Features
Users
Sketches,
prototypes,
wireframes,
pixels
Your vision & ideas go here
why
what
how
Interfaces & flows
Prototypes
User stories
This Week
UX Stack BUILD
MEASURE
LEARN
LUXR.CO JULY 2013
Lean Learning in 4 parts
The belief you
want to test.
The testable
“thing.”
An indicator of the
outcome.
“We believe people like [customer
type] have a need for (or problem
doing) [need/action/behavior].”
“The smallest thing we can do to
prove that need is [experiment].”
“We will know we have succeeded
when [quantitative/measurable outcome]
or [qualitative/observable outcome].”
Hypothesis
Experiment
Evidence
Something accepted
as true without proof.
“People need our product.”Assumption
Sounds like...Definition...
LUXR.CO JULY 2013
A good hypothesis is...
✓ Simple & clear
✓ Written as a statement
✓ Establishes
• participants (who)
• variables (whatʼs involved)
• prediction of an outcome (evidence)
✓ Testable
LUXR.CO JULY 2013
What assumptions about your customers
do you have that, if you are wrong,
your product will fail?
Write down 3.
{Hands-on}
LUXR.CO JULY 2013
{Hands-on}
State the assumption
as a hypothesis.
we believe that ________________
Experiment template: http://slideshare.com/luxrco
LUXR.CO JULY 2013
{back at the office}
Iterate through ideas as you
gather evidence
http://leanstartupmachine.com/validationboard/
WSD:
Write stuff down.
Validate with intent.
AFAP:
As fast as possible.
http://luxr.co @luxrco © 2013
The Molecule
people
problem solution
have
addresses
use
Company or team name date
/ /
http://luxr.co @luxrco © 2013
Assumptions
1
Riskiest
Assumption
Testingnow
Later
Team name date
/ /
2 3
Nextup
http://luxr.co @luxrco © 2013
Experiment
We believe that...
We will do/make...
We will know the hypothesis is valid if by we get...
Hypothesis
date
quantitative
measurable outcomes
TestEvidence
qualitative
observable outcome
Team name date
/ /

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  • 2. LUXR.CO JULY 2013 Needs 1. I need... 2. I want... 3. My goal is... Uses Mary can... Features Users Sketches, prototypes, wireframes, pixels Your vision & ideas go here why what how Interfaces & flows Prototypes User stories This Week UX Stack BUILD MEASURE LEARN
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  • 5. LUXR.CO JULY 2013 What assumptions about your customers do you have that, if you are wrong, your product will fail? Write down 3. {Hands-on}
  • 6. LUXR.CO JULY 2013 {Hands-on} State the assumption as a hypothesis. we believe that ________________ Experiment template: http://slideshare.com/luxrco
  • 7. LUXR.CO JULY 2013 {back at the office} Iterate through ideas as you gather evidence http://leanstartupmachine.com/validationboard/ WSD: Write stuff down. Validate with intent. AFAP: As fast as possible.
  • 8. http://luxr.co @luxrco © 2013 The Molecule people problem solution have addresses use Company or team name date / /
  • 9. http://luxr.co @luxrco © 2013 Assumptions 1 Riskiest Assumption Testingnow Later Team name date / / 2 3 Nextup
  • 10. http://luxr.co @luxrco © 2013 Experiment We believe that... We will do/make... We will know the hypothesis is valid if by we get... Hypothesis date quantitative measurable outcomes TestEvidence qualitative observable outcome Team name date / /