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The Financial Crisis of 2008: Why It Happened,  Where It’s Going, How To Respond
It started with what was called:  “The Great Moderation” ,[object Object],Real GDP Year-on-year change 1948-2008
Lower risk encouraged many investors to utilize leverage  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Consumers increased  their leverage, too ,[object Object],[object Object]
How did NINJA loans get done? Very cleverly!
This led to a residential housing bubble:
Which spread across  the financial landscape. Due to leverage: Countries affected by the Credit Crisis
Where are we going? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],S&P 500 1948-present
Why is the long-term trend up? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],US  Real GDP (Log Graph) 1948-2008
Why is this NOT a Depression? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Dow Jones 1919-1949
What happens next? ,[object Object],[object Object]
How long will the recession last? ,[object Object],[object Object],Conventional wisdom: Or at least return to the trend:
But the recession will likely be shorter and shallower than expected ,[object Object]
Technological innovation continues to accelerate. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Trade is increasing, especially with and in emerging markets. ,[object Object],[object Object],World Area by population
The world is a safer and more peaceful place than it has been at least since the 12 th  Century. ,[object Object],[object Object]
So what do we do? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Facing the facts allows us to deal honestly with the situation. ,[object Object]
Different rules apply ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rule #1: Always stay with the boat! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rule #2: Plan for trouble ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rule #3: Work with your  team ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rule #4: Be flexible ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Opportunities: JNJ = 3% dividend TIPS = Inflation + 3% GLW = 5x Cash Flow
Rule #5: Enjoy the ride ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Benjamin Graham: ,[object Object]
How can I contact you? ,[object Object]

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2008 Financial Crisis: Causes, Effects & Lessons

  • 1. The Financial Crisis of 2008: Why It Happened, Where It’s Going, How To Respond
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. How did NINJA loans get done? Very cleverly!
  • 6. This led to a residential housing bubble:
  • 7. Which spread across the financial landscape. Due to leverage: Countries affected by the Credit Crisis
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.