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Measurement &
Proving ROI on a
Digital Campaign
Agenda

1. Brief Introduction to NetBooster

2. Why do we need attribution?

3. Collecting Data

4. Analysis, analysis, analysis!

5. What could the future hold?

6. Wrap up & questions
Who are NetBooster?

 International digital agency

 450 employees across 18 countries

 Running global campaigns for international clients

 All areas of digital covered



4   | Copyright NetBooster Group
Awards and accreditations




5   | Copyright NetBooster Group
Who is this bloke?

 International SEM Director

 Over 12 years in digital

 Experience with multi-channel campaigns across
  multiple markets in multiple languages

 Proper geek


6   | Copyright NetBooster Group
Questions can be sent to:

Twitter: @NateWood

Email: nathan.wood@netbooster.com
Why do we need
attribution?
Historically poor understanding

 Channels managed
  independently

 Last click model predominates




                                                                         Display
                                              Search



                                                                Mobile
                                                       Social
                                      Email
 Very little understanding of full
  interaction

 Budgets increasingly need to
  generate more for less


9   | Copyright NetBooster Group
Digital behaviour

 Digital conversion paths are growing increasingly
  complex

 Multi-touch points are increasing across channels and
  devices

 Every point has value towards the final conversion




10 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Other




                              Social                   TV/Radio



                                          Conversion




                                  Phone                News



                                           Search



11 | Copyright NetBooster Group
User behaviour – a typical conversion funnel




                                  Newsletter           Content
    Registration             X     Signup      X        Share          X   Donation




                                         X - Soft conversion points:
                                                engagement


12 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Attribution asks:

 How do soft and hard conversions interact?

 How do marketing channels influence soft and hard
  conversions?

 How do these marketing channels interact?

 What is the most efficient way to increase conversions?


13 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Attribution modeling and full
path-to-conversion are a bit
like teenage sex…

Everyone says they’re doing
it but hardly anyone is and
most of those that are doing
it probably aren’t doing it
very well



14 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Gathering Data




15 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Tracking – it’s not easy

 Well planned tracking is
essential

 Add tracking to
whatever you can

 Google Analytics has
great features to assist



16 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Tracking shortfalls

 Most tracking only tracks clicks back to your website

 For fundraisers, presence on third party sites is important

 Tracking does not cross devices

 Logged in sessions are the only way to understand a user’s
  full path, across channels and devices, and still falls short
Data gathering solutions – URL shortening



     3rd Party Site A     URL shortener
                                           3rd Party Site B
                         points to pages
         Website         on a subdomain
                                              Content is
          content              of your
                                           displayed, perh
     contains a LINK      site, where GA
                                           aps containing
     to 3rd Party Site   tracking can be
                                              more links
             B                  fired
Data gathering solutions – using images

 Tracking pixels are essentially tracked image requests

 On 3rd party websites where possible host imagery on your
domain

 Image requests can be tagged to show page impression data

 Soft conversion analysis on 3rd party website

 Can also iframe images where possible
Data gathering solutions – using Flash

                            HTML FILE
                                         GA
                   Action
                   Script
                                 JS
                              Tracking




              Flash File
Data gathering solutions – logged sessions

 Logged in sessions provide the most robust data

 Requires strong encouragement

 Only reliable way to track across devices at the moment

 Also a good permission based approach to using
behavioural data
FaceBook Connect
The data cycle




                 Borrowed from: Kaushik.net
Some famous opinions

“It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data.”
Sir Arthur Conan Doyle

“Errors using inadequate data are much less than those
using no data at all.”
Charles Babbage

“Experts often possess more data than judgement”
Colin Powell
Finding the value with
analysis
Analysis goals

             Understand channel/conversion
                      interactions



                 Increase budget efficiency



                   Identify channel pairs
Typical attribution models

                    • Predominant model used by most analytics packages
      Last Click    • Finds the “true” conversion channels


                    • Good for engagement sensitivity
      First Click   • Hard to justify revenue attribution for long journeys


                    • All stages receive equal weighting in the journey
        Linear      • Very simplistic, looks purely at volume of interactions


                    • Assigns importance based on position in the journey
       Position     • Can adjust position weighting to suit


       Time         • Factors in journey length – older clicks have less value
       Decay        • Channels have equal standing


                    • Combine any of these models together
       Custom       • Could have U-shaped with time decay, or linear with channel focus
Google multi-channel reporting
Sensitivity analysis

 Sensitivity analysis shows how each channel performs
within different models

 Very useful for understanding the true balance within a
model

 Will always show more insights that applying a flat model
Sensitivity in action
4D analysis

 4D – a 3D investigation over time

 3D – looking at the data from multiple angles using
sensitivity analysis and multiple attribution models

 Requires thinking flexibly about your data, and looking
for trends
  September               October               November
Who owns attribution?

 Analysts?

 Marketing/Fundraising Managers?

 Marketing/Fundraising Directors?

 Operations Directors?

 Finance Directors?

 CEOs?
What does the future
hold?
In the future…

 Devices will talk to each other, sharing
behavioural information

 Offline increasingly digitised – real-time
bidding will prevail

   Only WOM will continue to be untrackable

 Litigation and self-regulation will need to
ensure correct data usage

 New tools will enter the market to assist
with analysis
Wrapping up
Superstring theory


 Superstring theory tries to explain everything in one
unified theory

 The smaller laws of physics still hold true




36 | Copyright NetBooster Group
Action points

 Track what you can, accept when you can’t

 A partial picture is better than no picture

 A series of small decisions will add up – don’t wait to start
making decisions

 Include the wider business – it’s about insight, not just data

 Don’t paralyse yourself with data
Thank you for listening!

www.kaushik.net

analytics.blogspot.com

blog.webanalyticsdemystified.com

www.webanalyticsworld.net

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Measurement & Proving ROI on a Digital Campaign: Data Analysis Essentials

  • 1. Measurement & Proving ROI on a Digital Campaign
  • 2. Agenda 1. Brief Introduction to NetBooster 2. Why do we need attribution? 3. Collecting Data 4. Analysis, analysis, analysis! 5. What could the future hold? 6. Wrap up & questions
  • 3.
  • 4. Who are NetBooster?  International digital agency  450 employees across 18 countries  Running global campaigns for international clients  All areas of digital covered 4 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 5. Awards and accreditations 5 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 6. Who is this bloke?  International SEM Director  Over 12 years in digital  Experience with multi-channel campaigns across multiple markets in multiple languages  Proper geek 6 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 7. Questions can be sent to: Twitter: @NateWood Email: nathan.wood@netbooster.com
  • 8. Why do we need attribution?
  • 9. Historically poor understanding  Channels managed independently  Last click model predominates Display Search Mobile Social Email  Very little understanding of full interaction  Budgets increasingly need to generate more for less 9 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 10. Digital behaviour  Digital conversion paths are growing increasingly complex  Multi-touch points are increasing across channels and devices  Every point has value towards the final conversion 10 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 11. Other Social TV/Radio Conversion Phone News Search 11 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 12. User behaviour – a typical conversion funnel Newsletter Content Registration X Signup X Share X Donation X - Soft conversion points: engagement 12 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 13. Attribution asks:  How do soft and hard conversions interact?  How do marketing channels influence soft and hard conversions?  How do these marketing channels interact?  What is the most efficient way to increase conversions? 13 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 14. Attribution modeling and full path-to-conversion are a bit like teenage sex… Everyone says they’re doing it but hardly anyone is and most of those that are doing it probably aren’t doing it very well 14 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 15. Gathering Data 15 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 16. Tracking – it’s not easy  Well planned tracking is essential  Add tracking to whatever you can  Google Analytics has great features to assist 16 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 17. Tracking shortfalls  Most tracking only tracks clicks back to your website  For fundraisers, presence on third party sites is important  Tracking does not cross devices  Logged in sessions are the only way to understand a user’s full path, across channels and devices, and still falls short
  • 18. Data gathering solutions – URL shortening 3rd Party Site A URL shortener 3rd Party Site B points to pages Website on a subdomain Content is content of your displayed, perh contains a LINK site, where GA aps containing to 3rd Party Site tracking can be more links B fired
  • 19. Data gathering solutions – using images  Tracking pixels are essentially tracked image requests  On 3rd party websites where possible host imagery on your domain  Image requests can be tagged to show page impression data  Soft conversion analysis on 3rd party website  Can also iframe images where possible
  • 20. Data gathering solutions – using Flash HTML FILE GA Action Script JS Tracking Flash File
  • 21. Data gathering solutions – logged sessions  Logged in sessions provide the most robust data  Requires strong encouragement  Only reliable way to track across devices at the moment  Also a good permission based approach to using behavioural data
  • 23. The data cycle Borrowed from: Kaushik.net
  • 24. Some famous opinions “It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data.” Sir Arthur Conan Doyle “Errors using inadequate data are much less than those using no data at all.” Charles Babbage “Experts often possess more data than judgement” Colin Powell
  • 25. Finding the value with analysis
  • 26. Analysis goals Understand channel/conversion interactions Increase budget efficiency Identify channel pairs
  • 27. Typical attribution models • Predominant model used by most analytics packages Last Click • Finds the “true” conversion channels • Good for engagement sensitivity First Click • Hard to justify revenue attribution for long journeys • All stages receive equal weighting in the journey Linear • Very simplistic, looks purely at volume of interactions • Assigns importance based on position in the journey Position • Can adjust position weighting to suit Time • Factors in journey length – older clicks have less value Decay • Channels have equal standing • Combine any of these models together Custom • Could have U-shaped with time decay, or linear with channel focus
  • 29. Sensitivity analysis  Sensitivity analysis shows how each channel performs within different models  Very useful for understanding the true balance within a model  Will always show more insights that applying a flat model
  • 31. 4D analysis  4D – a 3D investigation over time  3D – looking at the data from multiple angles using sensitivity analysis and multiple attribution models  Requires thinking flexibly about your data, and looking for trends September October November
  • 32. Who owns attribution?  Analysts?  Marketing/Fundraising Managers?  Marketing/Fundraising Directors?  Operations Directors?  Finance Directors?  CEOs?
  • 33. What does the future hold?
  • 34. In the future…  Devices will talk to each other, sharing behavioural information  Offline increasingly digitised – real-time bidding will prevail  Only WOM will continue to be untrackable  Litigation and self-regulation will need to ensure correct data usage  New tools will enter the market to assist with analysis
  • 36. Superstring theory  Superstring theory tries to explain everything in one unified theory  The smaller laws of physics still hold true 36 | Copyright NetBooster Group
  • 37. Action points  Track what you can, accept when you can’t  A partial picture is better than no picture  A series of small decisions will add up – don’t wait to start making decisions  Include the wider business – it’s about insight, not just data  Don’t paralyse yourself with data
  • 38. Thank you for listening! www.kaushik.net analytics.blogspot.com blog.webanalyticsdemystified.com www.webanalyticsworld.net