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INDIA
The next super-
    power
CONTENTS
   Introduction
   Education
   Infrastructure
   Macro Economic Indicators
   Saving -> Investment
   Indian Middle Class
   IT & Outsourcing
   Defence
   Conclusion
DEFINITION OF A - SUPERPOWER
   A country that has the
    capacity to project
    dominating power and
    influence anywhere in the
    world, generally
    characterized by strong
    growth rate, defense power
    and foreign influence and so
    may plausibly attain the
    status of global hegemon.
   Some Examples :
EDUCATION
   Third largest education system
    in the World (after China and
    USA).
   17973 institutions (348
    universities and 17625
    colleges).
   Small elite sector of IITs, IIMs
    and IIPMs.
   20 central universities, the rest
    state universities.
   Average enrolment: 530
    students (compared to 4300 in
    USA).
   Most private and foreign
    universities and colleges focus
    on business
LITERACY RATE OF INDIA
     YEAR              %age of literacy in
                             India

     1980                       39


     1990                       52


     2000                       65


     2010                       76




 Source : Census of India, Govt. of India
TOP EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTES
TOP EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTES
INFRASTRUCTURE

   $ 9 billion programme to
    upgrade 25 airports.
   Delhi and Mumbai
    International airports – two
    PPP projects with estimated
    investment of $3.8 billion.
   $54 billion earmarked for
    construction of roads and
    highways.
   100% foreign direct
    investment allowed in this
    sector.
   Improvement in public
    infrastructure including
    schools, hospitals, offices
    .etc.
SOME ILLUSTRATIONS
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS

“The four years to 2007-08
 have been the best years
 so far but, may I say with
humility, that the best is yet
          to come.”


 - Former Finance Minister,
           P.Chidambaram
ECONOMIC GROWTH INDICATORS

   GDP exceeding 8 per cent in
    every year since 2003-04. Grew
    at 9.4% in 2006-07 (Second
    highest ever). Revised economic
    growth of 8.7 per cent for 2007-
    08.

   The Growth Rate of per capita
    income in 2007-08 is projected to
    be 7.2 per cent, the same as the
    average of the five years to the
    current year.
   Since 2002-03 there has been a
    sharp acceleration in the growth
    of Per Capita Income, almost
    doubling to an average of 7.2 per
    cent per annum (2003-04 to 2007-
    08).

   Average income would now
    double in a decade, well within
    one generation, instead of after a
    generation (two decades).
GDP- GROWTH TRAJECTORY
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
India currently has the 12th largest GDP in
              the world……




                                  Source : CIA World
SAVINGS AND INVESTMENT
   Gross Domestic Saving grew by
    13.1 per cent of GDP and Investment
    by 11.3 per cent of GDP over five
    years till 2006-07.

   The savings-investment gap which
    remained positive during 2001-04
    became negative thereafter.

   Excess of domestic saving over
    domestic investment suggests a
    deflationary situation in which demand
    has not kept pace with increased
    capacity. Reversal of the saving-
    investment balance should be viewed
    as a correction occurring through
    above normal increase in demand
    during 2005-06 and 2006-07.
THE INDIAN MIDDLE CLASS
   According to a McKinsey study (MGI) (The
    Rising Classes' January 2008), 431 million
    fewer Indians live in extreme poverty today
    than 1985 level.

   In 2005, private spending reached about
    17 trillion rupees, (like Japan and the US
    and greater than China and other fast-
    growing emerging markets in Asia.)

   The median family income in India is
    approximately Rs.4500 a month. By its
    conventional definition, the middle class
    includes families whose incomes lie
    between 75% and 125% of the median.

   By 2007, Middle class : 50 million people
    (5 percent of the population).

   By 2025, middle class : 583 million (41
    percent of the population)
EFFECT




CHANDNI CHOWK   TO   BIG BAZAAR
OUTSOURCING
   BPO, KPO and other service sectors
    comprise of this.
   Grossed an annual revenue of US$
    12.2b in 2001-02 .
      Software Exports – US$ 9.5 b.

   With over 410,000 employees, India
    is the 2nd largest employer in IT
    software and services industry.
   Huge pool of English speaking and
    computer literate manpower.
   70,000 private training institutes for
    computer education – 1 million
    trained every year.
   We also to some extent outsource
    our pharmaceutical knowledge to
    other countries.
IT EXPORTS
 90

 80

 70

 60

 50

 40

 30

 20

 10

  0
       India   China    Philippines   Russia
2000    3      0.25        0.25        0.25
2002     8       2          0.4        0.75
2005    50      10           2         1.5
2008    80      25          8           3
SOME MAJOR PLAYERS
DEFENCE
   The Indian Army has a total troop
    strength of around 2.5 million (1.3
    million active and 1.2 million
    reserve) .
   It is the second largest standing
    army in the world.
   Indian Navy currently operates
    more than 155 vessels, including
    the INS Viraat, the only aircraft
    carrier in Asia operating jet
    fighters.
   The Indian Air Force has a
    strength of approximately 170,000
    personnel and 1,242 combat
    aircraft.
   It is the fourth largest air force in
DEFENCE BUDGET 2008-09




                        India’s Defence Budget, 2004-05 to 2008-09
Source: Union Budget,
2004-05 to 2008-09
INS VIRAAT – INDIA’S PRIDE
THE GOLDEN BIRD WILL FLY AGAIN……..
   Sustained growth and resilience
    in the face of shocks, such as high
    energy and commodity prices and
    a slow down in world growth and
    import demand, have characterized
    the Indian economy in the recent
    years.
   In terms of growth, the fiscal
    period 2003-08 has been,
    perhaps, the best ever five year
    growth performance in the history
    of independent India.
SUCCESS ALL THE WAY……
SUCCESS ALL THE WAY
SUCCESS ALL THE WAY
THE FUTURE IS COMING………
THANK
 YOU

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India the next superpower

  • 2. CONTENTS  Introduction  Education  Infrastructure  Macro Economic Indicators  Saving -> Investment  Indian Middle Class  IT & Outsourcing  Defence  Conclusion
  • 3. DEFINITION OF A - SUPERPOWER  A country that has the capacity to project dominating power and influence anywhere in the world, generally characterized by strong growth rate, defense power and foreign influence and so may plausibly attain the status of global hegemon.  Some Examples :
  • 4. EDUCATION  Third largest education system in the World (after China and USA).  17973 institutions (348 universities and 17625 colleges).  Small elite sector of IITs, IIMs and IIPMs.  20 central universities, the rest state universities.  Average enrolment: 530 students (compared to 4300 in USA).  Most private and foreign universities and colleges focus on business
  • 5. LITERACY RATE OF INDIA YEAR %age of literacy in India 1980 39 1990 52 2000 65 2010 76 Source : Census of India, Govt. of India
  • 8. INFRASTRUCTURE  $ 9 billion programme to upgrade 25 airports.  Delhi and Mumbai International airports – two PPP projects with estimated investment of $3.8 billion.  $54 billion earmarked for construction of roads and highways.
  • 9. 100% foreign direct investment allowed in this sector.  Improvement in public infrastructure including schools, hospitals, offices .etc.
  • 11.
  • 12. MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS “The four years to 2007-08 have been the best years so far but, may I say with humility, that the best is yet to come.” - Former Finance Minister, P.Chidambaram
  • 13. ECONOMIC GROWTH INDICATORS  GDP exceeding 8 per cent in every year since 2003-04. Grew at 9.4% in 2006-07 (Second highest ever). Revised economic growth of 8.7 per cent for 2007- 08.  The Growth Rate of per capita income in 2007-08 is projected to be 7.2 per cent, the same as the average of the five years to the current year.
  • 14. Since 2002-03 there has been a sharp acceleration in the growth of Per Capita Income, almost doubling to an average of 7.2 per cent per annum (2003-04 to 2007- 08).  Average income would now double in a decade, well within one generation, instead of after a generation (two decades).
  • 17. India currently has the 12th largest GDP in the world…… Source : CIA World
  • 18. SAVINGS AND INVESTMENT  Gross Domestic Saving grew by 13.1 per cent of GDP and Investment by 11.3 per cent of GDP over five years till 2006-07.  The savings-investment gap which remained positive during 2001-04 became negative thereafter.  Excess of domestic saving over domestic investment suggests a deflationary situation in which demand has not kept pace with increased capacity. Reversal of the saving- investment balance should be viewed as a correction occurring through above normal increase in demand during 2005-06 and 2006-07.
  • 19.
  • 20. THE INDIAN MIDDLE CLASS  According to a McKinsey study (MGI) (The Rising Classes' January 2008), 431 million fewer Indians live in extreme poverty today than 1985 level.  In 2005, private spending reached about 17 trillion rupees, (like Japan and the US and greater than China and other fast- growing emerging markets in Asia.)  The median family income in India is approximately Rs.4500 a month. By its conventional definition, the middle class includes families whose incomes lie between 75% and 125% of the median.  By 2007, Middle class : 50 million people (5 percent of the population).  By 2025, middle class : 583 million (41 percent of the population)
  • 21. EFFECT CHANDNI CHOWK TO BIG BAZAAR
  • 22. OUTSOURCING  BPO, KPO and other service sectors comprise of this.  Grossed an annual revenue of US$ 12.2b in 2001-02 .  Software Exports – US$ 9.5 b.  With over 410,000 employees, India is the 2nd largest employer in IT software and services industry.  Huge pool of English speaking and computer literate manpower.  70,000 private training institutes for computer education – 1 million trained every year.  We also to some extent outsource our pharmaceutical knowledge to other countries.
  • 23. IT EXPORTS 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 India China Philippines Russia 2000 3 0.25 0.25 0.25 2002 8 2 0.4 0.75 2005 50 10 2 1.5 2008 80 25 8 3
  • 25. DEFENCE  The Indian Army has a total troop strength of around 2.5 million (1.3 million active and 1.2 million reserve) .  It is the second largest standing army in the world.  Indian Navy currently operates more than 155 vessels, including the INS Viraat, the only aircraft carrier in Asia operating jet fighters.  The Indian Air Force has a strength of approximately 170,000 personnel and 1,242 combat aircraft.  It is the fourth largest air force in
  • 26. DEFENCE BUDGET 2008-09 India’s Defence Budget, 2004-05 to 2008-09 Source: Union Budget, 2004-05 to 2008-09
  • 27. INS VIRAAT – INDIA’S PRIDE
  • 28. THE GOLDEN BIRD WILL FLY AGAIN……..  Sustained growth and resilience in the face of shocks, such as high energy and commodity prices and a slow down in world growth and import demand, have characterized the Indian economy in the recent years.  In terms of growth, the fiscal period 2003-08 has been, perhaps, the best ever five year growth performance in the history of independent India.
  • 29. SUCCESS ALL THE WAY……
  • 32. THE FUTURE IS COMING………