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Sustainable Development and
    Competitive Advantage

        Unit 1: Part 1

Introduction to Sustainable
       Development



          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
2



                 Outline
1) Establishing the theoretical basis for
   sustainable development
2) The limitations of environmental
   economics
3) Weak sustainability vs strong
   sustainability
4) Summary of differences



                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
3



1)   ESTABLISHING A THEORETICAL BASIS
      FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
• ‘Sustainable development’ (SD) is a term
  that means many things to many people
• Murcott lists more than 50 academic
  definitions (see Topic 1.2.1)
• Problematical because SD has been defined
  by interest groups in ways that meet their
  own agendas.


                 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
4




     The Brundtland Report (1987)
• The most widely accepted
  definition:
  ‘development that meets the
  needs of the present without
                                                Gro Harlem
  compromising the ability of future            Brundtland
  generations to meet their
  economic needs’.


                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
5




      Other definitions of SD
• ‘improving the quality of human life while
  living within the carrying capacity of supporting
  ecosystems’
                           IUCN/UNEP/WWF, 1991
• ‘to equitably meet developmental and
  environmental needs of present and future
  generations’
                  Principle 3, Rio Declaration, 1992


                    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
6




          Points to observe …
• Notwithstanding the many definitions of SD,
  it is fairly clear that it is a little more than
  growth
• A key point to observe is that the word
  ‘development’ conveys a meaning
  emphasising equity and increasing quality of
  life
• There is also an emphasis on the future.


                    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
7




     A concern for the future
“I conceive that land
belongs to a vast family of
which many are dead, few
are living, and countless
members are unborn”.
           Kwame Nkrumah (1909-72)
                   Ghanaian leader




                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
8


   Failure of the GDP measure to
    account for the environment
• Neglects depletion of natural capital
• Inadequate treatment of ‘defensive’
  expenditures (e.g. pollution abatement and
  health protection costs)
• Failure to account for the effects of
  environmental degradation.



                 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
9




      Uncertainty creates cynicism
• ‘moral convictions as a substitute for thought’ Redclift, M
  (1987), Sustainable Development: Exploring the Contradictions
  Methuen, London, p. 2.
• ‘how to destroy the environment with compassion’ Smith,
  J.W (1991) The High Tech Fix: Sustainable Ecology or
  Technocratic Megaprojects for the Twenty-first Century,
  Aldershot, Academic Publishing Group, p. 135.
• ‘a good idea which cannot sensibly be put into practice’
  O'Riordan, T (1988) ‘The politics of sustainability’, in R.K.Turner
  (ed.) Sustainable Environmental Management: Principles and
  Practice, London, Belhaven, p. 48.



                            © Jeremy B Williams 2012
10


       This is where ecological
        economics comes in …
• A body of literature has now emerged that is
  providing the SD concept with some much
  needed ballast
• At the time of Brundtland, the SD concept
  emerged devoid of a theoretical core –
  ecological economics can fill this void
• SD is the ecological economic problem


                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
11


        2) THE LIMITATIONS OF
        ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS
• Environmental economics (as a sub-discipline of
  the neo-classical paradigm) views the
  environment as a subset of the economy (the
  factor ‘land’)
• Implicitly, mainstream economics looks upon land
  as an inexhaustible resource, and it is not
  affected by output
  (Environmental economics at least acknowledges
  the negative externalities associated with
  production, and theorises about how they might
  be ‘internalised’.)
                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
12


      GDP and the neo-classical
        circular flow model
• What is ‘assumed away’ in the model?

                Wages, profit, rent, interest
                     Resources


   Households                                   Firms



                  Goods and services
                Payments for products
                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
13




The neoclassical world view
     The economy




                             The
                         environment




                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
14



The ecological economics world
             view
        The environment




                                   The
                                 economy




      Source: Ray Anderson (2002)


                          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
15



           The economy and the
               environment
Reduction in
  natural
  capital                                                     Economic
                                                               growth




               Source: Ray Anderson (2002)


                                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
16



The economy and the
    environment




 Source: Ray Anderson (2002)


                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
17



The economy and the
    environment




 Source: Ray Anderson (2002)


                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
18



The economy and the
    environment

                                                At some point,
                                                the flows
                                                between
                                                environment
                                                and economy
                                                become
                                                unsustainable


 Source: Ray Anderson (2002)


                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
19



                    Cornucopia?
• The neo-classicalists argue that a properly
  functioning market will ensure that as
  resources/sinks become scarce:
   production methods will become more efficient
   consumption more environmentally friendly
   the extent of recycling and pollution control will increase
   humankind will become more inventive
• This would allow for continuing increase in quality
  of life without environmental deterioration.



                          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
20



            A flaw in the logic
• The major focus of mainstream environmental
  economics is puzzling (see Unit 4) over the
  conditions under which the market mechanism will
  function ‘properly’
• The problem is, there are no properly functioning
  markets – not for natural capital, at least
• These assets would need to be privately owned and
  freely exchanged, which is rarely the case




                    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
21




                 Ayres (1993)
• The most important ‘scarcities’ (clean air,
  clean water, climatic stability, biological
  diversity, the absorption of waste by
  natural systems, etc) lie outside the market
  mechanism and outside the realm of
  plausible technological substitution.
   Ayres, R.U. (1993). Cowboys, Cornucopians and Long-Run
   Sustainability. Ecological Economics, 8, 189-207.


                       © Jeremy B Williams 2012
22

        3. WEAK SUSTAINABILITY vs
         STRONG SUSTAINABILITY
• Weak sustainability acknowledges the concept
  of Hicksian income* – limiting consumption to
  the ‘interest’ or flow of services produced by
  the capital stock
• But, it is assumes maintenance of total capital
                                                                                    John Hicks
  stock (MMK + NK) without regard to
  proportions
• Each kind of capital is treated as being
  substitutable for another.
     * Hicks, John R. (1939). Value and Capital: An Inquiry Into Some Fundamental Principles of
                                                     Economic Theory, Oxford: Clarendon Press.
                                      © Jeremy B Williams 2012
23


The ‘everything-has-a-price’ view of
      neoclassical economics
• Weak sustainability is achieved so long as
  investment > the combined depreciation
  of MMK and NK
• Robert Solow (1974)*: ‘If it is easy to
  substitute other factors for natural
  resources … then... the world can, in
  effect, get along without natural
  resources, so exhaustion is just an event,
  not a catastrophe.’


          *Solow, R. (1974). ‘The economics of resources or the resources of
          economics?’ American Economics Review, 64 (2), pp.1-14.

                            © Jeremy B Williams 2012
24



         Strong sustainability
• Strong sustainability rejects the idea that MMK
  adequately compensates future generations for
  ecological depreciation
• Regardless of price, MMK cannot replace the
  unique services and amenities provided by nature
  – most notably life-support services
• Strong sustainability advocates the precautionary
  principle – where there are threats of serious or
  irreversible damage, one should not wait for full
  scientific consensus.


                    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
25


      4. SUMMARY OF DIFFERENCES
• Environmental economics                         • Ecological economics
   – The environment (‘land’) is a                      – People (and economies) are
     ‘factor of production’                               integral to the environment
   – There are man-made substitutes                     – There are no substitutes for
     for environmental goods and                          many environmental goods
     services                                             and services
   – Environmental problems can be                      – Addressing environmental
     addressed by making                                  problems requires a trans-
     adjustments to the economic                          disciplinary enquiry
     systems                                            – Operates within a co-
   – Operates within a comparative                        evolutionary paradigm
     statics paradigm



                             © Jeremy B Williams 2012
26




Envisioning the future

      Case Study 1




       © Jeremy B Williams 2012
27




Think

© Jeremy B Williams 2012
28




               The future
• If you don't know where you're going, you
  end up somewhere else
• We have to decide where we want to go,
  and balance that with where it is possible
  to go




                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
29




               Envisioning
• The processes of envisioning and goal
  setting are extremely important
• They are also very underdeveloped skills in
  our society!
• In order to effectively envision, it is
  necessary to focus on what one really
  wants, not what one will settle for.


                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
30




              For example:
Really want                         Settle for
• Self-esteem                       • Fancy car
• Serenity                          • Drugs
• Health                            • Medicine
• Human happiness                   • Higher GDP
• Permanent prosperity              • Unsustainable growth




                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
31




Read

© Jeremy B Williams 2012
32




• Unit 1 courseware
• Especially Disposable Planet? (Activities,
  Unit 1); Topic 1.1.1




                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
33




Discuss

 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
34



                        Two world views
        Technological optimist                             Technological sceptic
•   Technical progress can deal with       •     Technical progress is limited and ecological
    any future challenge                         carrying capacity must be preserved
•   Competition                            •     Cooperation
•   Linear systems with no                 •     Complex, nonlinear systems with
    discontinuities or                           discontinuities and irreversibilities
    irreversibilities                      •     Humans in partnership with nature
•   Humans dominant over nature            •     Partnership with others
•   Everybody for themselves               •     Market as servant of larger goals
•   Market as guiding principle




                                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
35




              Four visions of the future

                                          Real state of world
                             Optimists right              Sceptics right



             Technological
             optimist
                                         ?                       ?
World view




             Technological
             sceptic
                                         ?                       ?
                               © Jeremy B Williams 2012
36

Dystopian ‘Mad Max’ world?




         © Jeremy B Williams 2012
37

Alternative ‘Star Trek’ world?




           © Jeremy B Williams 2012
38

Controlled ‘Big Brother’ world?




           © Jeremy B Williams 2012
39

Ecotopian world?




    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
40




              Four visions of the future

                                          Real state of world
                             Optimists right              Sceptics right



             Technological      Star Trek                 Mad Max
             optimist
World view




             Technological    Big Brother                  Ecotopia
             sceptic




                               © Jeremy B Williams 2012
41




Deliver

 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
42




Watch archive footage in 2055




           © Jeremy B Williams 2012
43



 Trace the events back to 2011
 from 2055 … what happened?
• Sketch out one of the four visions of the
  future
• Reflect upon the various initiatives that
  might, or might not have been taken, and
  the prospective consequences
• Prepare a 10-12 minute presentation



                 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
Sustainable Development and
        Competitive Advantage

              Unit 1: Part 2

The Ecological Economic Problem:
Matching ultimate means with ultimate ends




                © Jeremy B Williams 2012
45



                Outline
1) From empty world to full world
2) Why some believe there is no need to
   worry about climate change
3) Why we should worry about climate
   change
4) Living within our means




                © Jeremy B Williams 2012
46




1) FROM EMPTY WORLD TO
      FULL WORLD




        © Jeremy B Williams 2012
47




       The Classical Economists

• Adam Smith (1723-90)
  – Moral philosopher, Theory of Moral
    Sentiments, (1759)
  – Political economy – market part of the
    social fabric
• Thomas Robert Malthus (1766-1834)
  – One of the first to talk of the limits to
    growth with his Essay on the Principle of
    Population, (1798)
  – Seen by some as the forefather of
    ecological economics

                      © Jeremy B Williams 2012
48

• John Stuart Mill (1806-73)
   – On the notion of the stationary state:

     ‘If the earth must lose that great
     proportion of its pleasantness which it
     owes to things that the unlimited increase
     of wealth and population would extirpate
     from it, for the mere purpose of enabling
     it to support a larger, but not a happier or
     better population…
     …I sincerely hope, for the sake of
     posterity, that they will be content to be
     stationary long before necessity compels
     them to.’
                 John Stuart Mill, Principles of Political Economy, book IV, chapter
                 VI, pp 756-57, (1848), as presented in J. E. Cohen, How Many
                 People Can the Earth Support?, WW Norton, pp. 397-98, 1995.



                              © Jeremy B Williams 2012
49


The rise of conspicuous
     consumption




                                   (1899)
        © Jeremy B Williams 2012
50



Oil-fuelled economic growth:
       ‘The Golden Age’




          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
2) WHY SOME BELIEVE THERE IS NO NEED
  TO WORRY ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE




              © Jeremy B Williams 2012
52




                           1.Doubts about
                             the science




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
53




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
54




Image source: healthandenergy.com/global_warming_cartoons.htm

                                          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
55




2.We will invent
  our way out
   of trouble




                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
56




                           3.Think about
                           today not the
                               future




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
57




1.Doubts about                                Bordering on
  the science                                 the absurd

2.We will invent                              Ignores
  our way out                                 precautionary
   of trouble
                                              principle

 3.Think about
 today not the                                Unethical
     future
                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
3) WHY WE SHOULD WORRY
 ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE




        © Jeremy B Williams 2012
59




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
60




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
61




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
62


The Stern Review, October 2006
                                        • On climate
                                          change:
                                          “The greatest
                                          market failure the
                                          world has ever
                                          seen”



Sir Nicholas Stern
                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
63




IPCC Fourth Assessment Report

                                      February, 2007:
                                      Evidence of Human-
                                      caused Global Warming
                                      is ... “Unequivocal”




           © Jeremy B Williams 2012
64




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
65


“Climate change will not be a major issue in
              my life time.”
 A.   Strongly
      disagree
 B.   Disagree
 C.   Note sure
 D.   Agree
 E.   Strongly agree



                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
66




2005: CO2 = 379ppm




      © Jeremy B Williams 2012
67




350.org




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
68




Source: http://www.21school.ox.ac.uk/news/archive/200702_inaugural_lecture.cfm
                                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
69




Source: http://www.21school.ox.ac.uk/news/archive/200702_inaugural_lecture.cfm
                                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
70
1928




2004




Upsala Glacier, Argentina
                            © Jeremy B Williams 2012
71


Blomstrandbreen Glacier, Norway




                                       1922


            © Jeremy B Williams 2012
72


Blomstrandbreen Glacier, Norway




                                       2002


            © Jeremy B Williams 2012
73



The Imja Glacier, Himalayas




          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
74



The Imja Glacier, Himalayas




          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
75




Floods in Southern China, July 2009,
       400,000 left homeless
            © Jeremy B Williams 2012
76

Southwestern China, March 2010

 Anhui Province, China, August 2006




              © Jeremy B Williams 2012
77




          Forced migrations
• 2005: UN study reveals that there could be
  as many as 50 million environmental
  refugees around the world by 2010.
• Same study estimates that as many as 100
  million people live in areas that are below
  sea level or liable to storm surge


                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
78




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
79



                           • 1 metre sea
                             level rise will
                             inundate
                             more than 15
                             percent of
                             Bangladesh,
                             displacing
                             more than 13
                             million people



© Jeremy B Williams 2012
80

   Annual carbon dioxide emissions
• Bangladesh: 172kg per capita
• United States: 21 tonnes per capita




                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
81




© Jeremy B Williams 2012
82



 The ecological footprint concept

• How many planets would
  we need if everyone lived
  like you?

    http://www.myfootprint.org




                  © Jeremy B Williams 2012
83




    Calculating the ecological footprint
• Official statistics on
  consumption are used to
  calculate the amount of
  biologically productive land
  and water area required to
  produce the resources
  consumed and to absorb
  the wastes generated using
  prevailing technology
                                                   Image source: http://www.ew.govt.nz




                        © Jeremy B Williams 2012
84




                                                             Worldwide, there
                                                             exists about 1.9
                                                             biologically
                                                             productive global
                                                             hectares per person




Image source: www.adbusters.org   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
85

At what stage do you think humankind will outstrip
   its supply of biologically productive hectares?

    A.   2010
    B.   2020
    C.   2050
    D.   2100
    E.   No answer




                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
86




Image source: http://www.footprintnetwork.org/   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
87




Image source: http://www.footprintnetwork.org/


                                                 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
88




Image source: http://www.footprintnetwork.org/   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
89




                                                 China




Image source: http://www.footprintnetwork.org/   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
90




  4) LIVING WITHIN OUR MEANS

• Ecological economics addresses the relationships
  between ecosystems and economic systems in a
  holistic way
• As the term suggests, it integrates economics
  with ecology (which tends to concentrate on
  ‘natural’ systems rather than the human impact
  upon them)
• But as we shall see, it also embraces moral
  philosophy, ethics and political economy.

                    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
91



       What does sustainable
       development look like?
• How do we know when a nation has reached the
  point of sustainability?
• Who determines the characteristics of a
  sustainably developing economy?
• Lawn (2001): The moral issues of distributive
  justice are unlikely to be realised if biophysical
  limits to growth are ignored
• By the same token, disrespect for moral issues is
  not conducive to biophysical constraint.

                     © Jeremy B Williams 2012
92



       Inter-generational and
     intra-generational equity
• Principle 3, Rio Declaration: ‘… to equitably meet
  developmental and environmental needs of
  present and future generations’.
• inter-generational equity
   – a necessary condition for sustainability
• intra-generational equity
   – a necessary condition for development


                    © Jeremy B Williams 2012
93


The ends-means spectrum




        © Jeremy B Williams 2012
94



          The ‘triple bottom line’
• Economic sustainability in the ‘Hicksian’ sense
      • Preserving the capital (MMK, NK and HK)
• Social sustainability
      • Participation, fellowship, social cohesion
• Environmental sustainability
      • Maintaining the life-supporting function of ecosystems
         – Emissions stay within assimilative capacity
         – Utilisation of renewable resources is within
           regeneration rates




                          © Jeremy B Williams 2012
95




         Summary: The SD matrix
                  Inter-generational            Intra-generational
                justice: Sustainability       justice: Development


Economic        Accumulation of capital        Reduction of poverty



Environmental     Conservation and            Environmental justice (in
                   environmental                application of laws,
                     protection                     regulations)

Social            Health, education,              Democracy and
                       leisure                     participation




                   © Jeremy B Williams 2012
96




© Jeremy B Williams 2012

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Unit 1, GRE401

  • 1. Sustainable Development and Competitive Advantage Unit 1: Part 1 Introduction to Sustainable Development © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 2. 2 Outline 1) Establishing the theoretical basis for sustainable development 2) The limitations of environmental economics 3) Weak sustainability vs strong sustainability 4) Summary of differences © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 3. 3 1) ESTABLISHING A THEORETICAL BASIS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT • ‘Sustainable development’ (SD) is a term that means many things to many people • Murcott lists more than 50 academic definitions (see Topic 1.2.1) • Problematical because SD has been defined by interest groups in ways that meet their own agendas. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 4. 4 The Brundtland Report (1987) • The most widely accepted definition: ‘development that meets the needs of the present without Gro Harlem compromising the ability of future Brundtland generations to meet their economic needs’. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 5. 5 Other definitions of SD • ‘improving the quality of human life while living within the carrying capacity of supporting ecosystems’ IUCN/UNEP/WWF, 1991 • ‘to equitably meet developmental and environmental needs of present and future generations’ Principle 3, Rio Declaration, 1992 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 6. 6 Points to observe … • Notwithstanding the many definitions of SD, it is fairly clear that it is a little more than growth • A key point to observe is that the word ‘development’ conveys a meaning emphasising equity and increasing quality of life • There is also an emphasis on the future. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 7. 7 A concern for the future “I conceive that land belongs to a vast family of which many are dead, few are living, and countless members are unborn”. Kwame Nkrumah (1909-72) Ghanaian leader © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 8. 8 Failure of the GDP measure to account for the environment • Neglects depletion of natural capital • Inadequate treatment of ‘defensive’ expenditures (e.g. pollution abatement and health protection costs) • Failure to account for the effects of environmental degradation. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 9. 9 Uncertainty creates cynicism • ‘moral convictions as a substitute for thought’ Redclift, M (1987), Sustainable Development: Exploring the Contradictions Methuen, London, p. 2. • ‘how to destroy the environment with compassion’ Smith, J.W (1991) The High Tech Fix: Sustainable Ecology or Technocratic Megaprojects for the Twenty-first Century, Aldershot, Academic Publishing Group, p. 135. • ‘a good idea which cannot sensibly be put into practice’ O'Riordan, T (1988) ‘The politics of sustainability’, in R.K.Turner (ed.) Sustainable Environmental Management: Principles and Practice, London, Belhaven, p. 48. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 10. 10 This is where ecological economics comes in … • A body of literature has now emerged that is providing the SD concept with some much needed ballast • At the time of Brundtland, the SD concept emerged devoid of a theoretical core – ecological economics can fill this void • SD is the ecological economic problem © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 11. 11 2) THE LIMITATIONS OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS • Environmental economics (as a sub-discipline of the neo-classical paradigm) views the environment as a subset of the economy (the factor ‘land’) • Implicitly, mainstream economics looks upon land as an inexhaustible resource, and it is not affected by output (Environmental economics at least acknowledges the negative externalities associated with production, and theorises about how they might be ‘internalised’.) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 12. 12 GDP and the neo-classical circular flow model • What is ‘assumed away’ in the model? Wages, profit, rent, interest Resources Households Firms Goods and services Payments for products © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 13. 13 The neoclassical world view The economy The environment © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 14. 14 The ecological economics world view The environment The economy Source: Ray Anderson (2002) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 15. 15 The economy and the environment Reduction in natural capital Economic growth Source: Ray Anderson (2002) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 16. 16 The economy and the environment Source: Ray Anderson (2002) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 17. 17 The economy and the environment Source: Ray Anderson (2002) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 18. 18 The economy and the environment At some point, the flows between environment and economy become unsustainable Source: Ray Anderson (2002) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 19. 19 Cornucopia? • The neo-classicalists argue that a properly functioning market will ensure that as resources/sinks become scarce:  production methods will become more efficient  consumption more environmentally friendly  the extent of recycling and pollution control will increase  humankind will become more inventive • This would allow for continuing increase in quality of life without environmental deterioration. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 20. 20 A flaw in the logic • The major focus of mainstream environmental economics is puzzling (see Unit 4) over the conditions under which the market mechanism will function ‘properly’ • The problem is, there are no properly functioning markets – not for natural capital, at least • These assets would need to be privately owned and freely exchanged, which is rarely the case © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 21. 21 Ayres (1993) • The most important ‘scarcities’ (clean air, clean water, climatic stability, biological diversity, the absorption of waste by natural systems, etc) lie outside the market mechanism and outside the realm of plausible technological substitution. Ayres, R.U. (1993). Cowboys, Cornucopians and Long-Run Sustainability. Ecological Economics, 8, 189-207. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 22. 22 3. WEAK SUSTAINABILITY vs STRONG SUSTAINABILITY • Weak sustainability acknowledges the concept of Hicksian income* – limiting consumption to the ‘interest’ or flow of services produced by the capital stock • But, it is assumes maintenance of total capital John Hicks stock (MMK + NK) without regard to proportions • Each kind of capital is treated as being substitutable for another. * Hicks, John R. (1939). Value and Capital: An Inquiry Into Some Fundamental Principles of Economic Theory, Oxford: Clarendon Press. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 23. 23 The ‘everything-has-a-price’ view of neoclassical economics • Weak sustainability is achieved so long as investment > the combined depreciation of MMK and NK • Robert Solow (1974)*: ‘If it is easy to substitute other factors for natural resources … then... the world can, in effect, get along without natural resources, so exhaustion is just an event, not a catastrophe.’ *Solow, R. (1974). ‘The economics of resources or the resources of economics?’ American Economics Review, 64 (2), pp.1-14. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 24. 24 Strong sustainability • Strong sustainability rejects the idea that MMK adequately compensates future generations for ecological depreciation • Regardless of price, MMK cannot replace the unique services and amenities provided by nature – most notably life-support services • Strong sustainability advocates the precautionary principle – where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, one should not wait for full scientific consensus. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 25. 25 4. SUMMARY OF DIFFERENCES • Environmental economics • Ecological economics – The environment (‘land’) is a – People (and economies) are ‘factor of production’ integral to the environment – There are man-made substitutes – There are no substitutes for for environmental goods and many environmental goods services and services – Environmental problems can be – Addressing environmental addressed by making problems requires a trans- adjustments to the economic disciplinary enquiry systems – Operates within a co- – Operates within a comparative evolutionary paradigm statics paradigm © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 26. 26 Envisioning the future Case Study 1 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 27. 27 Think © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 28. 28 The future • If you don't know where you're going, you end up somewhere else • We have to decide where we want to go, and balance that with where it is possible to go © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 29. 29 Envisioning • The processes of envisioning and goal setting are extremely important • They are also very underdeveloped skills in our society! • In order to effectively envision, it is necessary to focus on what one really wants, not what one will settle for. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 30. 30 For example: Really want Settle for • Self-esteem • Fancy car • Serenity • Drugs • Health • Medicine • Human happiness • Higher GDP • Permanent prosperity • Unsustainable growth © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 31. 31 Read © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 32. 32 • Unit 1 courseware • Especially Disposable Planet? (Activities, Unit 1); Topic 1.1.1 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 33. 33 Discuss © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 34. 34 Two world views Technological optimist Technological sceptic • Technical progress can deal with • Technical progress is limited and ecological any future challenge carrying capacity must be preserved • Competition • Cooperation • Linear systems with no • Complex, nonlinear systems with discontinuities or discontinuities and irreversibilities irreversibilities • Humans in partnership with nature • Humans dominant over nature • Partnership with others • Everybody for themselves • Market as servant of larger goals • Market as guiding principle © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 35. 35 Four visions of the future Real state of world Optimists right Sceptics right Technological optimist ? ? World view Technological sceptic ? ? © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 36. 36 Dystopian ‘Mad Max’ world? © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 37. 37 Alternative ‘Star Trek’ world? © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 38. 38 Controlled ‘Big Brother’ world? © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 39. 39 Ecotopian world? © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 40. 40 Four visions of the future Real state of world Optimists right Sceptics right Technological Star Trek Mad Max optimist World view Technological Big Brother Ecotopia sceptic © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 41. 41 Deliver © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 42. 42 Watch archive footage in 2055 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 43. 43 Trace the events back to 2011 from 2055 … what happened? • Sketch out one of the four visions of the future • Reflect upon the various initiatives that might, or might not have been taken, and the prospective consequences • Prepare a 10-12 minute presentation © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 44. Sustainable Development and Competitive Advantage Unit 1: Part 2 The Ecological Economic Problem: Matching ultimate means with ultimate ends © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 45. 45 Outline 1) From empty world to full world 2) Why some believe there is no need to worry about climate change 3) Why we should worry about climate change 4) Living within our means © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 46. 46 1) FROM EMPTY WORLD TO FULL WORLD © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 47. 47 The Classical Economists • Adam Smith (1723-90) – Moral philosopher, Theory of Moral Sentiments, (1759) – Political economy – market part of the social fabric • Thomas Robert Malthus (1766-1834) – One of the first to talk of the limits to growth with his Essay on the Principle of Population, (1798) – Seen by some as the forefather of ecological economics © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 48. 48 • John Stuart Mill (1806-73) – On the notion of the stationary state: ‘If the earth must lose that great proportion of its pleasantness which it owes to things that the unlimited increase of wealth and population would extirpate from it, for the mere purpose of enabling it to support a larger, but not a happier or better population… …I sincerely hope, for the sake of posterity, that they will be content to be stationary long before necessity compels them to.’ John Stuart Mill, Principles of Political Economy, book IV, chapter VI, pp 756-57, (1848), as presented in J. E. Cohen, How Many People Can the Earth Support?, WW Norton, pp. 397-98, 1995. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 49. 49 The rise of conspicuous consumption (1899) © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 50. 50 Oil-fuelled economic growth: ‘The Golden Age’ © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 51. 2) WHY SOME BELIEVE THERE IS NO NEED TO WORRY ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 52. 52 1.Doubts about the science © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 53. 53 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 55. 55 2.We will invent our way out of trouble © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 56. 56 3.Think about today not the future © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 57. 57 1.Doubts about Bordering on the science the absurd 2.We will invent Ignores our way out precautionary of trouble principle 3.Think about today not the Unethical future © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 58. 3) WHY WE SHOULD WORRY ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 59. 59 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 60. 60 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 61. 61 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 62. 62 The Stern Review, October 2006 • On climate change: “The greatest market failure the world has ever seen” Sir Nicholas Stern © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 63. 63 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report February, 2007: Evidence of Human- caused Global Warming is ... “Unequivocal” © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 64. 64 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 65. 65 “Climate change will not be a major issue in my life time.” A. Strongly disagree B. Disagree C. Note sure D. Agree E. Strongly agree © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 66. 66 2005: CO2 = 379ppm © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 67. 67 350.org © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 70. 70 1928 2004 Upsala Glacier, Argentina © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 71. 71 Blomstrandbreen Glacier, Norway 1922 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 72. 72 Blomstrandbreen Glacier, Norway 2002 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 73. 73 The Imja Glacier, Himalayas © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 74. 74 The Imja Glacier, Himalayas © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 75. 75 Floods in Southern China, July 2009, 400,000 left homeless © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 76. 76 Southwestern China, March 2010 Anhui Province, China, August 2006 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 77. 77 Forced migrations • 2005: UN study reveals that there could be as many as 50 million environmental refugees around the world by 2010. • Same study estimates that as many as 100 million people live in areas that are below sea level or liable to storm surge © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 78. 78 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 79. 79 • 1 metre sea level rise will inundate more than 15 percent of Bangladesh, displacing more than 13 million people © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 80. 80 Annual carbon dioxide emissions • Bangladesh: 172kg per capita • United States: 21 tonnes per capita © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 81. 81 © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 82. 82 The ecological footprint concept • How many planets would we need if everyone lived like you? http://www.myfootprint.org © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 83. 83 Calculating the ecological footprint • Official statistics on consumption are used to calculate the amount of biologically productive land and water area required to produce the resources consumed and to absorb the wastes generated using prevailing technology Image source: http://www.ew.govt.nz © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 84. 84 Worldwide, there exists about 1.9 biologically productive global hectares per person Image source: www.adbusters.org © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 85. 85 At what stage do you think humankind will outstrip its supply of biologically productive hectares? A. 2010 B. 2020 C. 2050 D. 2100 E. No answer © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 89. 89 China Image source: http://www.footprintnetwork.org/ © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 90. 90 4) LIVING WITHIN OUR MEANS • Ecological economics addresses the relationships between ecosystems and economic systems in a holistic way • As the term suggests, it integrates economics with ecology (which tends to concentrate on ‘natural’ systems rather than the human impact upon them) • But as we shall see, it also embraces moral philosophy, ethics and political economy. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 91. 91 What does sustainable development look like? • How do we know when a nation has reached the point of sustainability? • Who determines the characteristics of a sustainably developing economy? • Lawn (2001): The moral issues of distributive justice are unlikely to be realised if biophysical limits to growth are ignored • By the same token, disrespect for moral issues is not conducive to biophysical constraint. © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 92. 92 Inter-generational and intra-generational equity • Principle 3, Rio Declaration: ‘… to equitably meet developmental and environmental needs of present and future generations’. • inter-generational equity – a necessary condition for sustainability • intra-generational equity – a necessary condition for development © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 93. 93 The ends-means spectrum © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 94. 94 The ‘triple bottom line’ • Economic sustainability in the ‘Hicksian’ sense • Preserving the capital (MMK, NK and HK) • Social sustainability • Participation, fellowship, social cohesion • Environmental sustainability • Maintaining the life-supporting function of ecosystems – Emissions stay within assimilative capacity – Utilisation of renewable resources is within regeneration rates © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 95. 95 Summary: The SD matrix Inter-generational Intra-generational justice: Sustainability justice: Development Economic Accumulation of capital Reduction of poverty Environmental Conservation and Environmental justice (in environmental application of laws, protection regulations) Social Health, education, Democracy and leisure participation © Jeremy B Williams 2012
  • 96. 96 © Jeremy B Williams 2012

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol4/iss1/art5/