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Lee & Associates Tri-Valley Retail Market Report




                                                                                                                                                                               Qu
YEAR END RETAIL REVIEW




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  SUMMARY                                                                                                     MARKET SNAPSHOT
  2012 was reminiscent of a middle school dance, patches of activity mingled with
  awkward progression. The market remained segmented, new construction being the                              Livermore			
  biggest star of the year. Paragon Outlets, Pleasanton Gateway, and Fallon Gateway all                       Total Inventory:		                      	                             1,980,395
  fetched incredible rents, the highest ever seen. Meanwhile, the rest of the retail market                   Total Available:			                                                     221,406
  remained plagued by a lack of emerging, growing, and new businesses. This stagnant                          Total Absorption 2012:			                                               -38,006
  activity was expected, after all, it was an election year.                                                  Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11:  11.17%                        (+1.12%)
  Another growing trend of 2012 included the sale of net leased investments. A num-                           Pleasanton
  ber of centers traded hands and not because there was a bargain to be had. Paragon
  Outlets, Pleasanton Gateway, The Shops at Waterford, along with a few strip centers all                     Total Inventory:			                                                   2,112,427
  sold within the year at around six percent capitalization rate. The demand for newer                        Total Available:			                                                     183,674
  construction, class A retail properties is alive and well. Wondering about those bank                       Total Absorption 2012:			                                               -10,949
  owned properties? With few exceptions, the Tri-valley retail market has yet to see                          Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 	 8.69%                       (+0.18%)
  foreclosures or bank owned properties come to market.
  -Jessica Mauser, Associate & Retail Specialist
                                                                                                              Dublin
                                                                                                              Total Inventory:			                                                   2,772,678
  HISTORIC VACANCY RATES                                                                                      Total Available:			                                                     321,790
                                                                                                              Total Absorption 2012:			                                               +11,413
                                                                                                              Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 11.61%                         (-2.28%)

                                                                                                              San Ramon
                                                                                                              Total Inventory:			                                                   1,650,478
                                                                                                              Total Available:			                                                     107,560
                                                                                                              Total Absorption 2012:			                                               +30,338
                                                                                                              Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 6.52%                          (-1.84%)

                                                                                                              Danville
                                                                                                              Total Inventory:			                                                    958,424
                                                                                                              Total Available:			                                                      37,949
                                                                                                              Total Absorption 2012:			                                               +27,179
                                                                                                              Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11:	 3.95%                         (-2.41%)

                                                                                                              RECENT TRANSACTIONS
  DOWNTOWN VACANCY COMPARISON
                                                                                                              Tenant            City             Center                     SF         Date
                                                                                                              7-11              Dublin           Dublin Crossroads          2,700      Q3
                                                                                                              ITrim             San Ramon        Crow Canyon Comm.          6,805      Q4
                                                                                                              Ascona Pizza      Pleasanton       Pleas. Gateway             3,220      Q3

                                                                                                              Buyer              Seller                   Center                    SF
                                                                                                              Simon Prop.        Paragon                  Paragon Outlets           512,000
                                                                                                              Invesco            Property Dev. Centers    Pleasanton Gateway        129,000
                                                                                                              CSL Investments    Cathay Bank              1601 Railroad Ave.        12,640

                                                                                                              DOWNTOWN VACANCY COMPARISON
                                                                                                              Livermore
                                                                                                              Total Inventory			                                                      395,357
                                                                                                              Total Available			                                                       25,558
   KEY TERMS & DEFINITIONS                                                                                    Vacancy Rate		                                                           6.46%
  Inventory: Total square footage of retail space in the market not including malls and
  downtown storefronts
                                                                                                              Pleasanton
                                                                                                              Total Inventory			                                                      402,860
  Availability: Square footage that is marketed for lease which is available within 90 days. This             Total Available			                                                       22,685
  also includes sublease space.
                                                                                                              Vacancy Rate		                                                           5.63%
  Absorption: The change in availability from the previous year.
  Vacancy: The percent of available space based on the total inventory.                                       Danville
                                                                                                              Total Inventory			                                                      431,485
  Triple Net Expenses (NNN): A lease agreement where the Tenant is responsible for their
  proportionate share of taxes, insurance, maintenance and building repairs. Triple Net                       Total Available			                                                       17,115
  Expenses are in addition to base rent.                                                                      Vacancy Rate		                                                           3.97%
  Lee & Associates maintains an up-to-date database of all available properties and sold/leased properties.

  For more local commercial real estate news, insight, and gossip visit me at www.thestorefront.wordpress.com
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Lee & Associates Tri-Valley Retail Market Report




                                                                                                                                                                                               Qu
YEAR END RETAIL REVIEW




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            Exclusive Lee Listings
                              FOR LEASE                                                                  FOR SALE                                                                  FOR LEASE
                         Livermore Valley Plaza                                                   Multi-Tenant Retail Strip                                                       Arroyo Plaza
                         Downtown Livermore                                                        7000 Village Parkway                                                       North Livermore Ave.




            Recently Completed Lee Deals
                               LEASED!                                                                      LEASED!                                                                  SOLD!
                           Home Depot Center                                                            Waterford, Dublin                                                       53 Manor Drive
                              Super Cuts                                                                Armadillo Willy’s                                                      Investor Purchase




            Lee & Associates - Your Retail Connection
        Since 1979, our seasoned, motivated shareholders and professionals have been offering comprehensive quality service nationally and locally in a pro-active manner.
        We develop customized solutions for all of your real estates needs through our market-to-market knowledge in all property types. Our unique business model and
        extensive experience has helped us become one of the largest commercial real estate providers in the United States.

        Services Offered:

        Market Value Analysis	                       Building Optimization	                       Investment Sales	
        Site Search	                                 Landlord Representatio	n                     Tenant Representation

        Retail - Office - Industrial
            RETAIL                 OFFICE 	                                               INDUSTRIAL

                                                                                                                                                  The Lee Retail Team is experienced in both Tenant and
                                                                                                                                                  Landlord representation and has been active in the Easy Bay
                                                                                                                                                  commercial real estate market for a combined 17 years. As
        5890 Stoneridge Drive, Suite 210                                                                                                          retail specialists, they have worked with a number or local
        Pleasanton, CA 94588                                                                                                                      restaurants, retailers, and landlords in sales and leasing of
        (925) 460-6200                                                                                                                            shopping centers and storefronts.
        (925) 460-6210                                       	 John Blatter             	 Jessica Mauser            	 Tim Willet                  For the most up to date market information, follow Jessica
        www.lee-associates.com                               	 Retail Specialist        	 Retail Specialist         	 Retail Specialist
                                                                                                                                                  on her blog www.TheStrorefront.wordpress.com.
        * The property information/detail contained herein has been provided by the seller/lessor or has been obtained from other sources believed to be reliable,
        and Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. has not independently verified such information’s accuracy. Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. makes no representations,
        guarantees, or express or implied warranties of any kind regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein nor the condition of the
        property and expressly disclaims all such warranties, including but not limited to the implied warranty of suitability and fitness for a particular purpose. Buyer/
        Lessee should perform its own due diligence regarding the accuracy of the information upon which buyer/lessee relies when entering into any transaction
        with seller/lessor herein. Further, the information provided herein, including any sale/lease terms, are being provided subject to errors, omissions, changes of
        price or conditions, prior sale or lease, and withdrawal without notice.
        * CoStar sourced for portion of market data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2

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4Q12 Tri-Valley Retail Review

  • 1. 4t h Lee & Associates Tri-Valley Retail Market Report Qu YEAR END RETAIL REVIEW ar te r2 01 2 SUMMARY MARKET SNAPSHOT 2012 was reminiscent of a middle school dance, patches of activity mingled with awkward progression. The market remained segmented, new construction being the Livermore biggest star of the year. Paragon Outlets, Pleasanton Gateway, and Fallon Gateway all Total Inventory: 1,980,395 fetched incredible rents, the highest ever seen. Meanwhile, the rest of the retail market Total Available: 221,406 remained plagued by a lack of emerging, growing, and new businesses. This stagnant Total Absorption 2012: -38,006 activity was expected, after all, it was an election year. Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 11.17% (+1.12%) Another growing trend of 2012 included the sale of net leased investments. A num- Pleasanton ber of centers traded hands and not because there was a bargain to be had. Paragon Outlets, Pleasanton Gateway, The Shops at Waterford, along with a few strip centers all Total Inventory: 2,112,427 sold within the year at around six percent capitalization rate. The demand for newer Total Available: 183,674 construction, class A retail properties is alive and well. Wondering about those bank Total Absorption 2012: -10,949 owned properties? With few exceptions, the Tri-valley retail market has yet to see Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 8.69% (+0.18%) foreclosures or bank owned properties come to market. -Jessica Mauser, Associate & Retail Specialist Dublin Total Inventory: 2,772,678 HISTORIC VACANCY RATES Total Available: 321,790 Total Absorption 2012: +11,413 Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 11.61% (-2.28%) San Ramon Total Inventory: 1,650,478 Total Available: 107,560 Total Absorption 2012: +30,338 Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 6.52% (-1.84%) Danville Total Inventory: 958,424 Total Available: 37,949 Total Absorption 2012: +27,179 Vacancy Rate 4Q12 & % Change From 4Q11: 3.95% (-2.41%) RECENT TRANSACTIONS DOWNTOWN VACANCY COMPARISON Tenant City Center SF Date 7-11 Dublin Dublin Crossroads 2,700 Q3 ITrim San Ramon Crow Canyon Comm. 6,805 Q4 Ascona Pizza Pleasanton Pleas. Gateway 3,220 Q3 Buyer Seller Center SF Simon Prop. Paragon Paragon Outlets 512,000 Invesco Property Dev. Centers Pleasanton Gateway 129,000 CSL Investments Cathay Bank 1601 Railroad Ave. 12,640 DOWNTOWN VACANCY COMPARISON Livermore Total Inventory 395,357 Total Available 25,558 KEY TERMS & DEFINITIONS Vacancy Rate 6.46% Inventory: Total square footage of retail space in the market not including malls and downtown storefronts Pleasanton Total Inventory 402,860 Availability: Square footage that is marketed for lease which is available within 90 days. This Total Available 22,685 also includes sublease space. Vacancy Rate 5.63% Absorption: The change in availability from the previous year. Vacancy: The percent of available space based on the total inventory. Danville Total Inventory 431,485 Triple Net Expenses (NNN): A lease agreement where the Tenant is responsible for their proportionate share of taxes, insurance, maintenance and building repairs. Triple Net Total Available 17,115 Expenses are in addition to base rent. Vacancy Rate 3.97% Lee & Associates maintains an up-to-date database of all available properties and sold/leased properties. For more local commercial real estate news, insight, and gossip visit me at www.thestorefront.wordpress.com
  • 2. 4t h Lee & Associates Tri-Valley Retail Market Report Qu YEAR END RETAIL REVIEW ar te r2 01 2 Exclusive Lee Listings FOR LEASE FOR SALE FOR LEASE Livermore Valley Plaza Multi-Tenant Retail Strip Arroyo Plaza Downtown Livermore 7000 Village Parkway North Livermore Ave. Recently Completed Lee Deals LEASED! LEASED! SOLD! Home Depot Center Waterford, Dublin 53 Manor Drive Super Cuts Armadillo Willy’s Investor Purchase Lee & Associates - Your Retail Connection Since 1979, our seasoned, motivated shareholders and professionals have been offering comprehensive quality service nationally and locally in a pro-active manner. We develop customized solutions for all of your real estates needs through our market-to-market knowledge in all property types. Our unique business model and extensive experience has helped us become one of the largest commercial real estate providers in the United States. Services Offered: Market Value Analysis Building Optimization Investment Sales Site Search Landlord Representatio n Tenant Representation Retail - Office - Industrial RETAIL OFFICE INDUSTRIAL The Lee Retail Team is experienced in both Tenant and Landlord representation and has been active in the Easy Bay commercial real estate market for a combined 17 years. As 5890 Stoneridge Drive, Suite 210 retail specialists, they have worked with a number or local Pleasanton, CA 94588 restaurants, retailers, and landlords in sales and leasing of (925) 460-6200 shopping centers and storefronts. (925) 460-6210 John Blatter Jessica Mauser Tim Willet For the most up to date market information, follow Jessica www.lee-associates.com Retail Specialist Retail Specialist Retail Specialist on her blog www.TheStrorefront.wordpress.com. * The property information/detail contained herein has been provided by the seller/lessor or has been obtained from other sources believed to be reliable, and Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. has not independently verified such information’s accuracy. Lee & Associates - East Bay, Inc. makes no representations, guarantees, or express or implied warranties of any kind regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein nor the condition of the property and expressly disclaims all such warranties, including but not limited to the implied warranty of suitability and fitness for a particular purpose. Buyer/ Lessee should perform its own due diligence regarding the accuracy of the information upon which buyer/lessee relies when entering into any transaction with seller/lessor herein. Further, the information provided herein, including any sale/lease terms, are being provided subject to errors, omissions, changes of price or conditions, prior sale or lease, and withdrawal without notice. * CoStar sourced for portion of market data 2