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Six Social Media ROI Models
     We’ll begin show shortly…
Who’s presenting?




Jim Tobin                          Tom Webster
Founder, President                   VP, Marketing
Ignite Social Media                Edison Research
@jtobin                              @webby2001

                      #igniteroi
Details

•   Jim & Tom will lead Q&A at the end of the call.
•   Tag your tweets with #igniteroi
•   We’re recording the show.
•   We’ll send an email follow up to everyone.




                          #igniteroi
Download the
 White Paper

http://bit.ly/ignite-roi
We’ve come a long way.
The Models
1.   Amplification
2.   Value of Social Traffic vs Display
3.   Quality of Visitors From Social
4.   Revenue From Facebook Fans
5.   Revenue From Social Media Marketing
6.   Social Promotions Sales ROI


                     #igniteroi
None of the
models are
 perfect.
All of the models
 are better than
     nothing.
Model 1: Amplification
Amplification Step By Step

                       Facebook impressions and clicks, Twitter
  Calculate social
                           impressions and clicks, YouTube
impressions, actions
                             views, Online mentions, etc.



                       Assign value to impressions and actions,
   Sum value of
                         weighting actions more heavily that
impressions, actions
                                     impressions.



 Compare to total       Map social impressions and actions to
social media spend       paid marketing value equivalency.

                       #igniteroi
Amplification Model Example

Social Impressions, Actions   Paid Advertising Equivalent   Value
2,000 Facebook impressions    $10 CPM                       $20

100 Facebook clicks           $0.50 per click               $50

100 YouTube Views             $0.20 per view                $20

                              Total Value:                  $90


                              Social Budget:                $30

                              Social ROI:                   300%


                               #igniteroi
Likely Questions & Considerations
• Most of the social data inputs are available for free.
• The model is complex. It requires proxy values for
  social actions based on non-social comps.
• The model aggregates cross-channel social data and
  maps it to familiar marketing metrics.
• The output is a relative comparison, not an actual
  sales return on investment.



                         #igniteroi
Model 2: Value of
Social Traffic versus
      Display
Example Traffic Comparison

Description               Display             Social             Delta

Net New Visitors          30,000              170,000            Social drove 5.67X
Above baseline                                                   more visitors


Cost                      $150,000            $130,000           Social cost only
                                                                 86.7% of display

Cost per visitor          $5.00               $0.76              Social generated a
                                                                 6.5X better return



             This data reflects actual performance from an Ignite Social Media client.
                                     #igniteroi
Likely Questions & Considerations
• This approach is less complicated than others, it
  requires fairly simple inputs.
• The model works well if you have an active display
  advertising campaign as a basis for comparison.
• The model doesn’t incorporate impression
  value, only traffic value.
• The channels are the variable, so try to keep other
  variables constant.


                         #igniteroi
Model 3: Quality of
Visitors From Social
        Media
Example Traffic Quality
               Comparison
Description             Display             Social             Delta

Pages per Visit         1.57                2.84               Social drove 1.8X
                                                               more pages per
                                                               visit.

Time on Site            0:40                2:18               Social visitors spend
                                                               3.45X time on site.

Bounce Rate             81.40%              45.46%             Social visitors had a
                                                               44% lower bounce
                                                               rate.

Goal Conversions        3,098               12,603             Social drove 4X
                                                               conversions.
           This data reflects actual performance from an Ignite Social Media client.
                                   #igniteroi
Likely Questions & Considerations
• You can compare social traffic against other
  channels or “average” site traffic.
• Choose the most meaningful metrics, don’t
  worry about comparing all of them.
• Factor in all costs related to social and other
  channels for a final calcuation.



                       #igniteroi
Model 4: Revenue
From Facebook Fans
The Facebook Factor
  Brand      Purchase in Last      Likely Consider      Likely Recommend
                12 Months

              Fan     Non-Fan        Fan     Non-Fan        Fan      Non-Fan

Bust Buy      79%       41%         78%        47%         74%          38%

Coca-Cola     95%       71%         85%        58%         83%          47%

Blackberry    55%       10%         69%        17%         62%          16%

Walmart       94%       74%         85%        56%         77%          39%

                    Source: Forrester Research, The Facebook Factor, April 2012
                                #igniteroi
Example Calculation
Net New Facebook Fans         283,786                                 For a year.

% Likely to Consider, Fan         69%        Blackberry is closest comp brand in
                                                               this example case.
% More Likely to Purchase         16%          Conservative estimate from 2011
Since Becoming a Fan                              Chadwick Martin Bailey data.
Price of Product                 $250                                  Fictitious.

Purchases per Year                0.33                                 Fictitious.

# of New Fans Who Are          31,330       New Fans X % Likely to Purchase X %
New Customers                                  More Likely Since Becoming Fan
Total Estimated Revenue     $2,584,723      New Fans Who Are New Customers X
                                               Product Price X Yearly Purchases
                               #igniteroi
Likely Questions & Considerations
• This is an admittedly rough estimate.
• Additional data from comScore further
  indicates that Facebook influences purchase
  behavior.




                     #igniteroi
Model 5: Revenue
From Social Media
    Marketing
Example Calculation
Visitors to Goal Pages         4,830,827                    For a given time period

Products Sold                   345,324                   For the same time period

Goal Pages per Sale              13.989                   For the same time period

Social Traffic to Goal Pages     27,716       Visitors from social who landed on a
                                                      goal page during time period
Social “Sales”                    1,981          Social traffic to goal pages / (goal
                                                                        pages / sale)
Avg Transaction Value              $135        Revenue from period / transactions
                                                                   during period
Social Revenue                 $267,435       Social transactions X Avg transaction
                                                                              value
                                 #igniteroi
Calculation Continued

Social Revenue          $267,435            From previous slide

Social Marketing Cost    $97,500       For the same time period

ROI                        $1.74       (Revenue – Cost) / (Cost)




                          #igniteroi
Likely Questions & Considerations
• This is (also) an admittedly rough estimate.
• For considered, offline purchases, digital
  marketers have limited visibility to impact.
• This model becomes more valuable the more
  you know about your buyers’ aggregate web
  behavior.



                     #igniteroi
Model 6: Social
Promotions Sales ROI
Example Calculation
Total Cost of Promotion   $195,404                             Including ads

# Goal Page Completions     34,812                     Use actual if possible

Goal Pages per Sale         13.989                              From model

Social “Sales”               2,489       Goal page completions / goal pages
                                                                   per sale
Social “Sales” Revenue    $336,015         Social sales X average transaction
                                                                        value
ROI                          $0.72                  (Revenue – Cost) / (Cost)




                            #igniteroi
Likely Questions & Considerations
• This model works well when you want to map
  a specific promotion to purchase intent.
• Remember that you’re comparing the
  effectiveness of marginal marketing spend – a
  “low” ROI might not be a bad thing.




                     #igniteroi
BONUS MODEL 7:
 Show Me Yours
Thanks for attending!
          Tweet your questions
           @ignitesocialmedia.

We’ll email you the slides, the whitepaper,
      and the presentation recording.

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6 Models for Measuring Social Media ROI - Ignite Social Media

  • 1. Six Social Media ROI Models We’ll begin show shortly…
  • 2. Who’s presenting? Jim Tobin Tom Webster Founder, President VP, Marketing Ignite Social Media Edison Research @jtobin @webby2001 #igniteroi
  • 3. Details • Jim & Tom will lead Q&A at the end of the call. • Tag your tweets with #igniteroi • We’re recording the show. • We’ll send an email follow up to everyone. #igniteroi
  • 4. Download the White Paper http://bit.ly/ignite-roi
  • 5. We’ve come a long way.
  • 6. The Models 1. Amplification 2. Value of Social Traffic vs Display 3. Quality of Visitors From Social 4. Revenue From Facebook Fans 5. Revenue From Social Media Marketing 6. Social Promotions Sales ROI #igniteroi
  • 7. None of the models are perfect.
  • 8. All of the models are better than nothing.
  • 10. Amplification Step By Step Facebook impressions and clicks, Twitter Calculate social impressions and clicks, YouTube impressions, actions views, Online mentions, etc. Assign value to impressions and actions, Sum value of weighting actions more heavily that impressions, actions impressions. Compare to total Map social impressions and actions to social media spend paid marketing value equivalency. #igniteroi
  • 11. Amplification Model Example Social Impressions, Actions Paid Advertising Equivalent Value 2,000 Facebook impressions $10 CPM $20 100 Facebook clicks $0.50 per click $50 100 YouTube Views $0.20 per view $20 Total Value: $90 Social Budget: $30 Social ROI: 300% #igniteroi
  • 12. Likely Questions & Considerations • Most of the social data inputs are available for free. • The model is complex. It requires proxy values for social actions based on non-social comps. • The model aggregates cross-channel social data and maps it to familiar marketing metrics. • The output is a relative comparison, not an actual sales return on investment. #igniteroi
  • 13. Model 2: Value of Social Traffic versus Display
  • 14. Example Traffic Comparison Description Display Social Delta Net New Visitors 30,000 170,000 Social drove 5.67X Above baseline more visitors Cost $150,000 $130,000 Social cost only 86.7% of display Cost per visitor $5.00 $0.76 Social generated a 6.5X better return This data reflects actual performance from an Ignite Social Media client. #igniteroi
  • 15. Likely Questions & Considerations • This approach is less complicated than others, it requires fairly simple inputs. • The model works well if you have an active display advertising campaign as a basis for comparison. • The model doesn’t incorporate impression value, only traffic value. • The channels are the variable, so try to keep other variables constant. #igniteroi
  • 16. Model 3: Quality of Visitors From Social Media
  • 17. Example Traffic Quality Comparison Description Display Social Delta Pages per Visit 1.57 2.84 Social drove 1.8X more pages per visit. Time on Site 0:40 2:18 Social visitors spend 3.45X time on site. Bounce Rate 81.40% 45.46% Social visitors had a 44% lower bounce rate. Goal Conversions 3,098 12,603 Social drove 4X conversions. This data reflects actual performance from an Ignite Social Media client. #igniteroi
  • 18. Likely Questions & Considerations • You can compare social traffic against other channels or “average” site traffic. • Choose the most meaningful metrics, don’t worry about comparing all of them. • Factor in all costs related to social and other channels for a final calcuation. #igniteroi
  • 19. Model 4: Revenue From Facebook Fans
  • 20. The Facebook Factor Brand Purchase in Last Likely Consider Likely Recommend 12 Months Fan Non-Fan Fan Non-Fan Fan Non-Fan Bust Buy 79% 41% 78% 47% 74% 38% Coca-Cola 95% 71% 85% 58% 83% 47% Blackberry 55% 10% 69% 17% 62% 16% Walmart 94% 74% 85% 56% 77% 39% Source: Forrester Research, The Facebook Factor, April 2012 #igniteroi
  • 21. Example Calculation Net New Facebook Fans 283,786 For a year. % Likely to Consider, Fan 69% Blackberry is closest comp brand in this example case. % More Likely to Purchase 16% Conservative estimate from 2011 Since Becoming a Fan Chadwick Martin Bailey data. Price of Product $250 Fictitious. Purchases per Year 0.33 Fictitious. # of New Fans Who Are 31,330 New Fans X % Likely to Purchase X % New Customers More Likely Since Becoming Fan Total Estimated Revenue $2,584,723 New Fans Who Are New Customers X Product Price X Yearly Purchases #igniteroi
  • 22. Likely Questions & Considerations • This is an admittedly rough estimate. • Additional data from comScore further indicates that Facebook influences purchase behavior. #igniteroi
  • 23. Model 5: Revenue From Social Media Marketing
  • 24. Example Calculation Visitors to Goal Pages 4,830,827 For a given time period Products Sold 345,324 For the same time period Goal Pages per Sale 13.989 For the same time period Social Traffic to Goal Pages 27,716 Visitors from social who landed on a goal page during time period Social “Sales” 1,981 Social traffic to goal pages / (goal pages / sale) Avg Transaction Value $135 Revenue from period / transactions during period Social Revenue $267,435 Social transactions X Avg transaction value #igniteroi
  • 25. Calculation Continued Social Revenue $267,435 From previous slide Social Marketing Cost $97,500 For the same time period ROI $1.74 (Revenue – Cost) / (Cost) #igniteroi
  • 26. Likely Questions & Considerations • This is (also) an admittedly rough estimate. • For considered, offline purchases, digital marketers have limited visibility to impact. • This model becomes more valuable the more you know about your buyers’ aggregate web behavior. #igniteroi
  • 28. Example Calculation Total Cost of Promotion $195,404 Including ads # Goal Page Completions 34,812 Use actual if possible Goal Pages per Sale 13.989 From model Social “Sales” 2,489 Goal page completions / goal pages per sale Social “Sales” Revenue $336,015 Social sales X average transaction value ROI $0.72 (Revenue – Cost) / (Cost) #igniteroi
  • 29. Likely Questions & Considerations • This model works well when you want to map a specific promotion to purchase intent. • Remember that you’re comparing the effectiveness of marginal marketing spend – a “low” ROI might not be a bad thing. #igniteroi
  • 30. BONUS MODEL 7: Show Me Yours
  • 31. Thanks for attending! Tweet your questions @ignitesocialmedia. We’ll email you the slides, the whitepaper, and the presentation recording.

Editor's Notes

  1. Models are much more sophisticated that previous methods…but still not perfect.We would encourage you to do two things: 1)  Analyze your own business performance in new ways to plug in as many metrics as you can that are specific to your brand(s); and 2)  Question these models. Ask the tough questions. Let us know what you learn as you apply them. We consider these very much a work in progress, and your comments on our blog will help us immensely as we work toward version 2.0 and beyond.
  2. Social media marketing, however, is the application of a complicated mix of tactics, including content marketing, influencer outreach, owned channel management and much more. And these tactics are then applied to solve a wide array of marketing issues, from brand awareness to improved SEO to brand loyalty to ecommerce traffic. Models continue to evolve…Models are not plug and play…
  3. Social media marketing, however, is the application of a complicated mix of tactics, including content marketing, influencer outreach, owned channel management and much more. And these tactics are then applied to solve a wide array of marketing issues, from brand awareness to improved SEO to brand loyalty to ecommerce traffic. Models continue to evolve…Models are not plug and play…
  4. Our Amplification Model can also be called a Purchase Equivalency Calculator in that it measures and quantifies the value of social impressions and social actions and compares them to the cost of buying that same level of activity through traditional advertising means. With social media, we have channels that are largely opt- in (like Facebook and Twitter), and we can often use those to reach friends of fans. We know from lots of research that fans and friends of fans are more likely to buy, so reaching these folks is every bit as valuable as advertising. If anything, it’s even more targeted.
  5. Calculating:Impression data is available in social platform analytics.Valuing:Impressions:For a highly targeted online media buy, you could easily spend $10 CPM, so for Facebook and Twitter impressions (highly, highly targeted) we use a $10 CPM. Other brands might use different numbers, such as $8 or $12 for a highly targeted buy.Clicks:We can already measure the value of a click, since many of us spend thousands of dollars on Google pay-per-click advertising, trying to get our prospects to click over to our site. Of course, keywords vary dramatically in price, so use a simple average by taking the total you spend in a period on all keywords and dividing by the number of clicks. YouTube views: YouTube. You can use what you pay for Promoted Videos, or use our average estimate of $0.20 per view. Blog views and mentions: We built on the work done by Tourism Ireland in its Social Equivalent Ad Model paper. In that, Henry and Harte argue that these activities are deeper interactions than page views. While they can’t be directly quantified, Henry and Harte argue that they are at least as valuable as a click on a Google CPC ad in terms of involvement with a brand. Comparing:By aggregating impressions and actions and then assigning a value and then summing – you’ve calculated a paid marketing value equivalency.Compare this paid marketing equivalency to your social budget to back into an ROI.