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Fundamentals of
    Business & Financial Journalism
    Week 4: Covering corporate earnings stories

    Jeffrey Timmermans


Monday, 15 October, 12
News Quiz


    1. What is Huawei, and why is it in the news recently?

    2. What does the International Monetary Fund think of the prospects for
       the global economy?

    3. Why is the beauty-care industry in Hong Kong in the news recently?

    4. Who, or rather what, won the 2012 Nobel Peace Prize and why?




Monday, 15 October, 12
Why companies exist


    ✤    Allow individuals to pool capital and share risk

    ✤    To accomplish complicated tasks like international trade & creation of
         complex products

    ✤    To make money (profit) for its owners




Monday, 15 October, 12
How companies function

                                Initial
                                capital
                                                                                 Additional
                                                                                share/bond
                                             Produce goods or                      sales
                                                 services



                                                            Use profit to grow
                           Sell goods for more                company or
                         than cost of production           compensate owners
                                                                 for risk




Monday, 15 October, 12
Types of corporate stories

    ✤    Initial public offering (first sale of shares to public)

    ✤    New product/line of business

    ✤    Top executive changes

    ✤    Fundraising: secondary share sales & bond issues

    ✤    Mergers & acquisitions

    ✤    Earnings announcements


Monday, 15 October, 12
Spot/market comment model

    ✤    Change: What happened? What changed?

    ✤    Cause: Why?

    ✤    Expectations: What was expected to happen?

    ✤    Context: Is this the first? Only? Biggest? Consistent with others?

    ✤    Comment: What are people saying about it? Get quotes.

    ✤    Future: What is likely to happen next?


Monday, 15 October, 12
Spot news model (variant)

    ✤    What happened?

    ✤    Why did it happen?

    ✤    Key details of what happened

    ✤    Context & significance of what happened (“nut graf”)

    ✤    Consequences

    ✤    What’s next?


Monday, 15 October, 12
Bloomberg’s four-paragraph lead


    ✤    Theme: What & Why

    ✤    Authority: Quote from someone that backs up the theme

    ✤    Details: Additional info & data that “are essential to telling the story”

    ✤    What’s at Stake: Why people should care




Monday, 15 October, 12
Earnings announcements

    ✤    Every three or six months

    ✤    In most markets, companies must issue a profit-and-loss statement
         showing (among other items):

          ✤    Revenue

          ✤    Cost of goods sold & other expenses

          ✤    Net profit



Monday, 15 October, 12
The importance of net profit


    ✤    Net profit, or earnings or profit attributable to shareholders, is the main
         driver of share prices

          ✤    particularly expectations about net profit

    ✤    The definition is standard, so net profit is comparable across industries

    ✤    Net profit, after subtracting dividends, becomes working capital




Monday, 15 October, 12
Writing about net profit

    ✤    In the U.S., earnings stories typically focus on earnings per share (EPS)

          ✤    Always use diluted EPS rather than basic EPS

    ✤    In other markets, the focus is on the absolute earnings figure

    ✤    Make sure to clearly define the reporting period

          ✤    “...in the three months ended March 31, 2010.”

    ✤    Net profit can “rise” or “fall,” but a net loss will “widen” or “narrow”


Monday, 15 October, 12
Other measures of profit

    ✤    Gross profit

    ✤    Operating profit

    ✤    Ebidta (earnings before interest, depreciation, taxation &
         amortization)

    ✤    Pretax profit

    ✤    Pro-forma net profit



Monday, 15 October, 12
Structure of an earnings story

    ✤    Change: How did net profit change from the same period a year
         earlier?

    ✤    Cause: What was the cause of the change in net?

    ✤    Expectations: What was the market expecting for net?

    ✤    Context: The current environment and a company description

    ✤    Comment: from company executives and analysts

    ✤    Future: Any guidance from company or analysts about future profit?


Monday, 15 October, 12
Things to remember

    ✤    Compare the year-on-year change in revenue with the change in net
         profit

          ✤    How does the company’s profit margin change and why?

    ✤    Compare costs with other companies in same industry

    ✤    Look for one-time gains or losses from asset sales or revaluations

    ✤    Look at how the company’s share price reacts to the earnings
         announcement


Monday, 15 October, 12
Earnings stories: another look
    BoCom profit rises, but growth slows
    31 March 2010
    The Wall Street Journal Asia
    English


    SHANGHAI -- Bank of Communications Co., China's fifth-largest lender by
                                                                                          Change
    assets, posted a 5.6% increase in 2009 net profit, driven by higher revenue
    from fee-based business, such as credit cards and wealth management.
                                                                                          Cause
    The growth is the slowest since the state-run bank listed in Hong Kong in 2005,
    as China's easy monetary policy weighed on the profitability of its lending
    business. The bank, known as BoCom, said it will cut lending growth to 20%            Context
    this year, about half of last year's level, and expects profit to rise on the
    rebound in the local economy.
    The company, in which HSBC Holdings PLC owns a 19% stake, said its net
    profit for the 12 months ended Dec. 31 was 30.12 billion yuan ($4.41 billion),
    up from 28.52 billion yuan the previous year.
    "I'm confident this year's earnings will be satisfactory and reasonable. We see
    growth in our assets -- net interest margins will continue to recover from low        Comment
    levels last year," said Yu Yali, chief financial officer at BoCom.

                                                                                      Expectations?
Monday, 15 October, 12

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Class4

  • 1. Fundamentals of Business & Financial Journalism Week 4: Covering corporate earnings stories Jeffrey Timmermans Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 2. News Quiz 1. What is Huawei, and why is it in the news recently? 2. What does the International Monetary Fund think of the prospects for the global economy? 3. Why is the beauty-care industry in Hong Kong in the news recently? 4. Who, or rather what, won the 2012 Nobel Peace Prize and why? Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 3. Why companies exist ✤ Allow individuals to pool capital and share risk ✤ To accomplish complicated tasks like international trade & creation of complex products ✤ To make money (profit) for its owners Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 4. How companies function Initial capital Additional share/bond Produce goods or sales services Use profit to grow Sell goods for more company or than cost of production compensate owners for risk Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 5. Types of corporate stories ✤ Initial public offering (first sale of shares to public) ✤ New product/line of business ✤ Top executive changes ✤ Fundraising: secondary share sales & bond issues ✤ Mergers & acquisitions ✤ Earnings announcements Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 6. Spot/market comment model ✤ Change: What happened? What changed? ✤ Cause: Why? ✤ Expectations: What was expected to happen? ✤ Context: Is this the first? Only? Biggest? Consistent with others? ✤ Comment: What are people saying about it? Get quotes. ✤ Future: What is likely to happen next? Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 7. Spot news model (variant) ✤ What happened? ✤ Why did it happen? ✤ Key details of what happened ✤ Context & significance of what happened (“nut graf”) ✤ Consequences ✤ What’s next? Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 8. Bloomberg’s four-paragraph lead ✤ Theme: What & Why ✤ Authority: Quote from someone that backs up the theme ✤ Details: Additional info & data that “are essential to telling the story” ✤ What’s at Stake: Why people should care Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 9. Earnings announcements ✤ Every three or six months ✤ In most markets, companies must issue a profit-and-loss statement showing (among other items): ✤ Revenue ✤ Cost of goods sold & other expenses ✤ Net profit Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 10. The importance of net profit ✤ Net profit, or earnings or profit attributable to shareholders, is the main driver of share prices ✤ particularly expectations about net profit ✤ The definition is standard, so net profit is comparable across industries ✤ Net profit, after subtracting dividends, becomes working capital Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 11. Writing about net profit ✤ In the U.S., earnings stories typically focus on earnings per share (EPS) ✤ Always use diluted EPS rather than basic EPS ✤ In other markets, the focus is on the absolute earnings figure ✤ Make sure to clearly define the reporting period ✤ “...in the three months ended March 31, 2010.” ✤ Net profit can “rise” or “fall,” but a net loss will “widen” or “narrow” Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 12. Other measures of profit ✤ Gross profit ✤ Operating profit ✤ Ebidta (earnings before interest, depreciation, taxation & amortization) ✤ Pretax profit ✤ Pro-forma net profit Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 13. Structure of an earnings story ✤ Change: How did net profit change from the same period a year earlier? ✤ Cause: What was the cause of the change in net? ✤ Expectations: What was the market expecting for net? ✤ Context: The current environment and a company description ✤ Comment: from company executives and analysts ✤ Future: Any guidance from company or analysts about future profit? Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 14. Things to remember ✤ Compare the year-on-year change in revenue with the change in net profit ✤ How does the company’s profit margin change and why? ✤ Compare costs with other companies in same industry ✤ Look for one-time gains or losses from asset sales or revaluations ✤ Look at how the company’s share price reacts to the earnings announcement Monday, 15 October, 12
  • 15. Earnings stories: another look BoCom profit rises, but growth slows 31 March 2010 The Wall Street Journal Asia English SHANGHAI -- Bank of Communications Co., China's fifth-largest lender by Change assets, posted a 5.6% increase in 2009 net profit, driven by higher revenue from fee-based business, such as credit cards and wealth management. Cause The growth is the slowest since the state-run bank listed in Hong Kong in 2005, as China's easy monetary policy weighed on the profitability of its lending business. The bank, known as BoCom, said it will cut lending growth to 20% Context this year, about half of last year's level, and expects profit to rise on the rebound in the local economy. The company, in which HSBC Holdings PLC owns a 19% stake, said its net profit for the 12 months ended Dec. 31 was 30.12 billion yuan ($4.41 billion), up from 28.52 billion yuan the previous year. "I'm confident this year's earnings will be satisfactory and reasonable. We see growth in our assets -- net interest margins will continue to recover from low Comment levels last year," said Yu Yali, chief financial officer at BoCom. Expectations? Monday, 15 October, 12