This is a presentation which I delivered at a conference. The theme is to point out the crisis in the power sector in Pakistan. The renewable energy development at the Global level to show that wind and solar have become viable and mature technologically. It shows Pakistan's potential and the way forward. There will be many more presentations on the subject to deal with various areas in more detail.
Pakistan energy scenario , a case for renewable energy
1. A case for renewable energy
by
Kashif Mateen Ansari
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2.
What are the organisations in the power
sector
What is the impact of power crisis on
businesses
The new technologies in power generation
Future outlook
And a conclusion
He came back with this
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9. Total generation in Pakistan as on December 2012 was 23,538 MW.
On the basis of source, it is subdivided as
Thermal
16,035 MW (68.12%)
Hydroelectricity 6,716 MW (28.53%)
Nuclear
787 MW (3.34%)
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13.
Total consumption of electricity for the year 2012
SECTOR
CONSUMPTION
(GWh)
% OF TOTAL
Domestic
35617.104
46.4
Industrial
21800.124
28.4
Agriculture
8520.471
11.1
Commercial
5757.075
7.5
Bulk Supplies
4528.899
5.9
St. Light & other
Auxiliaries
537.327
0.7
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19.
A woman rang up to the doctor nervously and
said, Dr sahab my husband has been struck
with electricity.
Dr replied you should be thankful to God that
at least you have The Electricity
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20. The Energy Consumption (kWh per capita) in Pakistan
for the years 2009-2011 was:
◦ 2009 : 450
◦ 2010 : 458
◦ 2011 : 449
This is amongst one of the lowest in the developing
economies.
Source :
Kashif Mateen Ansari Bank – Data Bank
World
20
25. RANK
COUNTRY
TERRA –WATT-HOUR / YEAR
1
China
797.4
-
European Union
699.3
2
United States
520.1
3
Brazil
459.2
4
Canada
399.1
5
Russia
166.6
6
India
162
7
Germany
136.1
8
Norway
121.4
9
Japan
116.4
10
Italy
89.759
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27. Why Wind power so popular
because
it has a lot of fans.
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28.
In the year 2012, the worldwide wind capacity reached
282’275 megawatt.
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29. Top 10 countries by wind power capacity (end of 2012)
Country
China
United States
Germany
Spain
India
UK
Italy
France
Canada
Portugal
Rest of world
World Total
New 2012 Capacity
(MW)
Wind power Total
capacity (MW)
% world total
12,960
13,124
2,145
1,122
2,336
1,897
1,273
757
935
145
6,737
44,799Mw
75,324
60,007
31,308
22,796
18,421
8,845
8,144
7,564
6,200
4,525
39,853
282,587Mw
26.7
21.2
11.1
8.1
6.5
3.0
2.9
2.7
2.2
1.6
14.1
100
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32. Denmark – a case in point
• 30% power is generated through Wind.
• Plans to take it up to 50% by 2020.
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33.
India -18,000 MWs(5th position globally)
Mexico - 1300MWs
Romania - 1905 MWs
Cyprus – 147 MWs
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34. Wind Energy Outlook Globally
According to Global Wind Energy Council
Global Wind Power Market Could Triple by 2020
Wind power could supply up to 12% of global electricity by 2020
Create 1.4 million new jobs
Reduce CO2 emissions by more than 1.5 billion tons per year
Wind power could generate up to 18% of world’s electricity by 2050 compared with 2.6% today
At the end of 2012, the total installed capacity has risen to 282 GW as compared to 240GW by
end of 2011
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37.
AEDB has allocated land to 16 IPPs for installing 50 MW wind power plants in
Gharo – Keti Bandar and Jhimpir Wind corridors.
This equals a total wind power output of 800 MW.
Various Incentives have also been proposed for the wind sector that are
discussed later.
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39.
Solar photovoltaic has reached a total global capacity of
102,156 MW at the end of 2012.
The total power output of the world’s PV capacity in a
calendar year is equal to 110 billion kWh of electricity.
An exponential increase has been observed in Solar PV
capacity in last 10 years.
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42.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), USA in
collaboration with USAID, PMD and AEDB has indicated that the
theoretical solar energy potential for power generation in Pakistan is
approximately 2.9 million MW.
Average solar global insolation of 5–7 kWh/m2/day exists over
more than 95% of its area with persistence factor of over 85%.
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44. QUAID E AZAM SOLAR PARK (QASP)CHOLISTAN -CHARACTERISTICS
Government has initiated a project of QASP in Punjab.
The area of QASP is about 11,000 acres with 1000 MW solar energy
generation capacity.
The land requirement for generation of 1 MW electricity is 5 acres.
5,000 acres land will be reserved for 1000 MW energy production.
The 20 farms consisting of 250 acres area of each farm will be developed.
Capacity of each farm will be 50 MW.
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47.
After an electrician finished repairing some
faulty wiring in my home he handed down the
bill.
“Ten Thousand Rs! For an hour's work?'' I
almost shouted, ''That's ridiculous! Why I'm a
project developer and I don't charge that
much.''
To which the electrician replied, ''Funny, when
I was project developer I didn't either!''
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48. Incentives For Renewable Energy Market
Financial
• No customs duty or sale tax
• Exemption from income tax, including turnover rate tax and withholding tax on
imports
• Repatriation of equity along with dividends freely allowed
• Non-Muslims and non-residents shall be exempted from payment of Zakat on dividends
paid by the company.
• Implementation Agreement signed by Government of Pakistan, Sovereign Guarantee
• Government support for project applications for Carbon Credits
Government • Land lease for 25 years through Land Sub-Lease Agreement
of Pakistan
Power
Purchaser
•
•
•
•
Mandatory Purchase of Electricity for 20 years
Bonus payment for power production above benchmark energy
Provision for Wheeling the generated energy
RE Resource Variability Risk borne by power purchaser
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49. One of the major means of increasing energy generation and
reducing the bulk energy production requirements of the
Government is to introduce small scale Grid-tied Solar
Technology to the Domestic consumer and SMEs.
(Democratization of Energy)
This can be achieved through the introduction of:
Domestic Solar Power (Hybrid) Technologies
Solar Appliances
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50. Domestic Solar power (PV-based) systems can be installed with:
A production meter, which monitors the total amount of electricity
produced by domestic solar array,
A net meter, which enables the domestic consumer to reduce his
demand from the electric utility and sell excess supply back when the
system generates more than required capacity.
In this way, the consumers are liberated of the capital investments
required in storage products.
The result is an increase in the local electricity generation with a
corresponding decrease in the Government’s energy demands.
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52.
Solar cookers
Solar road studs
Solar street lights
Solar traffic lights
Solar-powered agricultural pumps
Solar geysers
Solar water heaters
Spreading awareness about these devices and the introduction
of subsidies and incentives on them can go a great way in
reducing the government energy expenditures.
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53. According to a study, Pakistan has identified cumulative
potential to generate 3.2 million MW from renewable energy
resources including:
340,000 MW from wind
2.9 million MW from solar
50,000 MW from hydro (large)
3,100 MW from hydro (small)
1,800 MW from biogases cogeneration
500 MW from waste.
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54.
Load shedding is imposing a huge cost on the economy to the tune of Rs 1272
billion in 2011-12, equivalent to over 6 percent of the economy. (Institute of
Public Policy, BNU, Lahore).
This implies that the growth rate of the economy could have been 1.5 percent
higher had there been no load shedding.
This is why the energy shortage issue needs to be addressed in a timely and
efficient manner if Pakistan is to be put on the road to progress.
Special attention needs to be paid towards the renewable sector to cater for the
energy shortfall.
Installation of more Wind IPPs in the wind corridor should be encouraged.
Energy production should be democratized through residential based Solar
generation to reduce the burden on the demand side and to include common
people in the resolution of Energy Crisis.
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55.
Sixth Annual Report – Institute of Public Policy, BNU, Lahore
Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan – Pakistan Energy Yearbook (2012)
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) wind maps for wind and solar potential of Pakistan
Global Market Outlook for photovoltaics (2013-2017) – European Photovoltaic Industry Association
Global Wind Report 2012 – Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
Enerdata – Global Energy Statistical Yearbook
World Bank (Data Bank) - http://data.worldbank.org/
National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) - http://www.nepra.org.pk/industryreports.htm
Pakistan Renewable Energy Society - http://www.pres.org.pk/category/reaepakistan/re-scenario/
Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) - http://www.aedb.org/REPolicy.htm
Petroleum Institute of Pakistan http://www.iepkarachi.org.pk/IEP%20Energy%20Presentation%2030%20Jan%2013-Hasan%20Nawab.pdf
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