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Preoperative Pulmonary
Evaluation
Michael Burton, MD, MSPH
April 16, 2015
Case of Mr. Lung
• 78 year old man
• L3-5 laminectomy and fusion, which will take 4 hours
• Severe COPD, diabetes, and hypertension, 40 pack-years but quit 2 yrs ago
• Takes tiotropium, lisinopril, metformin.
• Dyspneic when hurrying on level ground or walking up a hill, at his baseline
(mMRC). Functionally independent.
• Resting O2 sat 95%. Normal work of breathing. Slightly diminished breath
sounds, no wheezes. Cardiovascular exam is normal. Mental status is
normal.
• Hgb 13, BUN 15, Cr 0.8, Albumin 3.5
Preoperative evaluation overview
• Determine and mitigate surgical risk
• Assess and optimize medical conditions
• Perform preoperative testing
• Manage medications perioperatively
Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPC)
are a big problem
• Postop pulmonary vs cardiac complications
• At least as common
• More costly
• Longer length of stay
• Rate of complications across all types of surgery is 6.8%
Smetana et al. Ann Intern Med. 2006;144(8):581.
Risk factors for PPC
• Patient-related risk factors
• Age
• General health status (ASA Class, Functional status)
• Smoking
• Cardiopulmonary disease (Heart failure, PH, COPD, Asthma, OSA, infection)
• Metabolic factors
• Procedure-related factors
• Site
• Duration
• Anesthesia
Risk factors for PPC
PATIENT
Risk Factors
Adjusted OR
Functional
dependence
Total 4.07-4.33
Partial 1.93-2.16
Age 60-69 2.09
>70 3.04
OSA 1.86-2.46
COPD 1.79
ASA class (>=4) 1.28
Smoking 1.26
PROCEDURAL
Risk Factors
Adjusted OR
Aortic 2.94
Foregut/hepatobiliary 2.64
Surgical site Brain 2.08
Other abdominal 1.27-1.78
ENT 1.11
Prolonged (>2 hours) 2.21
Emergency surgery 2.21
General anesthesia 1.83
Pulmonary risk evaluation
• Risk prediction models
• Arozullah
• Gupta
• ARISCAT (Canet)
• ACS NSQIP Universal calculator
• Condition-specific evaluation
• COPD
• Asthma
• Obstructive sleep apnea
• Smoking
• Pulmonary hypertension
ARISCAT
2500 patients
59 centers in Spain
Arozullah
82,000 pts – Resp failure
160,000 pts - Pneumonia
VA NSQIP
Gupta
211,000 pts
Resp failure and
pneumonia
ACS NSQIP
ACS NSQIP Universal
Calculator
1.4 Million patients
ACS NSQIP
Comparison of Risk Models
ARISCAT - Overall
Age
Preop SpO2
Resp infection w/in 1 mo
Preop hemoglobin <=10
Type of surgery
Duration of surgery
Emergency procedure
Arozullah – Resp failure
Age
History of COPD
Dependent functional status
BUN >30
Albumin <3
Type of surgery
Emergency procedure
Arozullah - Pneumonia
Age
History of COPD
Dependent functional status
History of stroke
Weight loss >10% in 6mo
Impaired sensorium
Current smoker within 1yr
Alcohol >2/d past 2 wks
Steroid for chronic condition
Transfusion >4 units
BUN
General anesthesia
Type of surgery
Gupta – Respiratory failure
Dependent functional status
ASA class
Preoperative sepsis
Type of surgery
Emergency surgery
Gupta - Pneumonia
Age
History of COPD
Dependent functional status
ASA class
Preoperative sepsis
Type of surgery
Smoking before operation
3% of patients develop postop respiratory failure
25% of these patients die within 30 days
Preoperative evaluation overview
• Determine and mitigate surgical risk
• Assess and optimize medical conditions
• Perform preoperative testing
• Manage medications perioperatively
Evaluating chronic pulmonary conditions
Optimize treatment
Rx
Severity
Control
Condition-specific evaluation
• Asthma only a risk factor when not well-controlled
• More than 2 symptoms or albuterol uses per week or 2 exac/yr is not well controlled
• Any recent ED or office visits, rescue inhaler within the last month?
• Peak flow measurement
• COPD
• Recent respiratory infection?
• No lower limit of FEV1 where surgery cannot be performed
• Obstructive sleep apnea
• Screening with STOP-BANG criteria1
• Increased PPCs if score >=52
• Smoking
• Current smoking increases risk
• Cessation 2-4 weeks: OR 0.99 compared to non-smokers3
• Pulmonary hypertension
• Especially with history of PE, OSA, poor functional status
• Interstitial lung disease
• Worse dyspnea, higher PCO2/PO2, low DLCO, FEV1 or FCV <60% all higher risk
• Complications less than those seen in COPD
1Joshi GP et al. Anesth Analg. 2012;115(5):1060-68.
3Jung KH et al. Gastric Cancer 2014.
Snoring loudly
Tired during the day
Observed apnea
Pressure high (HTN)
BMI > 35
Age > 50
Neck > 40cm
Gender=Male
2Chung F et al. Chest. 2013; 143(5):1284-93.
Preoperative evaluation overview
• Determine and mitigate surgical risk
• Assess and optimize medical conditions
• Perform preoperative testing
• Manage medications perioperatively
Preoperative Testing
• FEV1 correlates with rate of complications, but to a small degree
• Studies mixed; do not clearly show superior predictive value over H&P
• Reasonable to get in 1) unexplained dyspnea, or 2) if control of COPD/Asthma
unclear
• Value of screening CXR has been questioned
• Rates of abnormalities increase with age
• Most of the findings are chronic/predictable and do not affect management*
• Sleep study for STOP-BANG
• STOP-BANG 5-6
• STOP-BANG 3-4 + HCO3 >= 28
• STOP>=2 + Male + BMI > 35
*Archer et al. Can J Anaesth. 1993;40:1022-7.
Preop interventions
• Continue existing inhalers perioperatively
• Optimize chronic lung disease based on your assessment
• Consider preop bronchodilators or preop steroids on a case-by-case basis
• Inspiratory muscle training in high risk patients reduced PPC (RR 0.48,
95% CI 0.26 to 0.89)1 in cardiothoracic and upper abd surgery
• Another systematic review in cardiac surgery showed that any preop
intervention helps (RR 0.39, CI 0.23 to 0.66)2
1Mans CM et al. Clin Rehab 2014; 1-13
2Snowden D et al. Physiotherapy 2014; 60:66-77
Inspiratory muscle training reduces PPC
Intra- and Postop interventions
• Some postop lung expansion modality is better than nothing
• Don’t know if one is better than the other
• Low quality evidence favors postop CPAP* (for non-OSA) in abdominal surgery
• Low quality evidence with lack of IS effectiveness**
• Studies of regional vs general anesthesia have been mixed
• For high risk of severe OSA, sleep study vs empiric CPAP
*Ireland et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2014, Issue 8. Art. No.: CD008930.
**do Nascimento et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2014, Issue 2. Art. No.: CD006058.
Guidelines
• Systematic review by ACP
• Use some type of lung expansion intervention
• Use nasogastric tubes selectively (not routinely) after abdominal surgery
• Insufficient evidence for epidural anesthesia/analgesia, smoking cessation,
laparoscopic vs open
• Routine TEN or TPN does not reduce risk
Smetana et al. Ann Intern Med. 2006;144:581-595.
Case of Mr. Lung
• 78 year old man
• L3-5 laminectomy and fusion, which will take 4 hours
• Severe COPD, diabetes, and hypertension, 40 pack-years but quit 2 yrs ago
• Takes tiotropium, lisinopril, metformin.
• Dyspneic when hurrying on level ground or walking up a hill, at his
baseline. Functionally independent.
• Resting O2 sat 95%. Normal work of breathing. Slightly diminished breath
sounds, no wheezes. Cardiovascular exam is normal. Mental status is
normal.
• Hgb 13, BUN 15, Cr 0.8, Albumin 3.5
Risks for Mr. L
ARISCAT Arozullah Gupta ACS Surgical Risk
Overall 13.3%
Postop pneumonia 1.18% 1.75% 1.9%
Postop respiratory
failure
1.8% 1.42%
Recommend
• postoperative lung expansion modalities
• monitoring for bronchospasm and use of bronchodilators
• early mobility
• continue home inhaler
Summary
• Assess risk factors for postoperative pulmonary complications
• Determine the status of chronic lung conditions and optimize
• Use a risk prediction to objectively predict complications
• Use preoperative testing judiciously and not routinely
• For high risk patients, consider less aggressive approach
• Use lung expansion techniques (take your pick), use NGT selectively
Questions?
ARISCAT - Overview
• Prospective, observational study of a random-sample cohort
• 59 centers in Catalonia, Spain (7.36M inhabitants)
• Nearly 2500 non-obstetric patients included
• Primary outcome: postop pulmonary complication during stay
• Infection, respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, pneumothorax,
bronchospasm, aspiration pneumonitis
• Secondary outcomes: Postop length of stay, 30-day and 90-day
mortality
Canet J et al. Anesthesiology 2010; 113:1338
ARISCAT – Findings
2222
Resp failure
3%
Bronchospasm
2%
Pleural effusion
2%
Resp infection
2%
Atelectasis
1%
242
ARISCAT – Using the Model
Predictor Multivariate
Analysis OR
Risk
score
Age 51-80 1.4 3
Age >80 5.1 16
Preop SpO2 91-95 2.2 8
Preop SpO2 <= 90 10.7 24
Resp infection w/in 1 mo 5.5 17
Preop hemoglobin <=10 3.0 11
Upper abdominal incision 4.4 15
Intrathoracic incision 11.4 24
Surgery >2-3 hrs 4.9 16
Surgery >3 hrs 9.7 23
Emergency procedure 2.2 8
Risk category PPC rate
Low risk <26 points 1.6%
Intermediate risk 26-44 points 13.3%
High risk >= 45 points 42.1%
Back
Arozullah Respiratory failure risk index
• Prospective, multicenter data set
• 44 VA Medical Centers participating in National VA Surgical Quality
Improvement Program (NSQIP)
• 81,719 patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery
• Studied only men
Arozullah et al. Ann Surg 2000; 232:242
Arozullah Respiratory failure risk index
Predictor Multivariate
Analysis OR
Risk
score
Age 60-69 1.5 4
Age >=70 1.9 6
History of COPD 1.8 6
Partially/fully dependent
functional status
1.9 7
BUN >30 2.3 8
Albumin <3 2.5 9
Neck surgery 3.1 11
NSGY, upper abd, peripheral
vascular
4.2 14
Thoracic 8.1 21
AAA 14.3 27
Emergency 3.1 11
Risk category PPC rate
Class 1, <= 10 points 0.5%
Class 2, 11-19 points 1.8%
Class 3, 20-27 points 4.2%
Class 4, 28-40 points 10.1%
Class 5, >40 points 26.6%
Arozullah Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index
• Prospective, multicenter data set
• 100 VA Medical Centers
• 160,805 patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery
• Primary outcome: Nosocomial pneumonia (CDC definition)
Arozullah et al. Ann Intern Med. 2001;135:847-857.
Arozullah Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index
Predictor Multivariate
Analysis OR
Risk
score
Age 50-59 1.5 4
Age 60-69 2.4 9
Age 70-79 3.6 13
Age >=80 5.6 17
History of COPD 1.7 5
History of stroke 1.5 4
Weight loss >10% in 6mo 1.9 7
Impaired sensorium 1.5 4
Partially dependent
functional status
1.8 6
Fully dependent 2.8 10
Current smoker within 1yr 1.3 3
Alcohol >2/d past 2 wks 1.2 2
Predictor Multivariate
Analysis OR
Risk
score
Steroid for chronic condition 1.3 3
Transfusion >4 units 1.3 3
BUN <8 1.5 4
BUN 22-30 1.2 2
BUN >30 1.4 3
General anesthesia 1.6 4
Vascular 1.3 3
Neck surgery 2.3 8
Neurosurgery 2.1 8
Upper abdominal 2.7 10
Thoracic 3.9 14
AAA 4.3 15
Emergency 1.3 3
Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index vs
Respiratory Failure Risk Index
Risk category PPC rate
Class 1, 0-15 points 0.24%
Class 2, 16-25 points 1.18%
Class 3, 26-40 points 4.6%
Class 4, 41-55 points 10.8%
Class 5, >55 points 15.9%
Risk category PPC rate
Class 1, <= 10 points 0.5%
Class 2, 11-19 points 1.8%
Class 3, 20-27 points 4.2%
Class 4, 28-40 points 10.1%
Class 5, >40 points 26.6%
Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index Respiratory Failure Risk Index
Back
Gupta Perioperative Risk Calculators
• Prospective, multicenter data set
• 183 academic and community hospitals
• American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement
Program (NSQIP)
• 211,410 patients undergoing major surgery
Gupta et al. CHEST 2011; 140(5):1207–1215
Gupta et al. May Clin Proc 2013; 88(11):1241–1249
Surgicalriskcalculator.com
Predictors of Resp Failure
Dependent functional status
ASA class
Preoperative sepsis
Type of surgery
Emergency surgery
Gupta Perioperative Risk Calculators
Predictors of Pneumonia
Dependent functional status
ASA class
Preoperative sepsis
Type of surgery
Age
COPD
Smoking before operation
Gupta et al. CHEST 2011; 140(5):1207–1215
Gupta et al. May Clin Proc 2013; 88(11):1241–1249
Surgicalriskcalculator.com
Back
ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator
Back
Main worry in PH should be arrhythmia
Kim D et al. HSS Journal 2014; 10:131-135 Back
OSA increases risk of respiratory failure
Hai F, et al. J Clin Anesth 2014; 26:591.
Back
Back
Modified MRC Questionnaire
Back
Back
Back

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Preop pulmonary evaluation 4 16-15

  • 2. Case of Mr. Lung • 78 year old man • L3-5 laminectomy and fusion, which will take 4 hours • Severe COPD, diabetes, and hypertension, 40 pack-years but quit 2 yrs ago • Takes tiotropium, lisinopril, metformin. • Dyspneic when hurrying on level ground or walking up a hill, at his baseline (mMRC). Functionally independent. • Resting O2 sat 95%. Normal work of breathing. Slightly diminished breath sounds, no wheezes. Cardiovascular exam is normal. Mental status is normal. • Hgb 13, BUN 15, Cr 0.8, Albumin 3.5
  • 3. Preoperative evaluation overview • Determine and mitigate surgical risk • Assess and optimize medical conditions • Perform preoperative testing • Manage medications perioperatively
  • 4. Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPC) are a big problem • Postop pulmonary vs cardiac complications • At least as common • More costly • Longer length of stay • Rate of complications across all types of surgery is 6.8% Smetana et al. Ann Intern Med. 2006;144(8):581.
  • 5. Risk factors for PPC • Patient-related risk factors • Age • General health status (ASA Class, Functional status) • Smoking • Cardiopulmonary disease (Heart failure, PH, COPD, Asthma, OSA, infection) • Metabolic factors • Procedure-related factors • Site • Duration • Anesthesia
  • 6. Risk factors for PPC PATIENT Risk Factors Adjusted OR Functional dependence Total 4.07-4.33 Partial 1.93-2.16 Age 60-69 2.09 >70 3.04 OSA 1.86-2.46 COPD 1.79 ASA class (>=4) 1.28 Smoking 1.26 PROCEDURAL Risk Factors Adjusted OR Aortic 2.94 Foregut/hepatobiliary 2.64 Surgical site Brain 2.08 Other abdominal 1.27-1.78 ENT 1.11 Prolonged (>2 hours) 2.21 Emergency surgery 2.21 General anesthesia 1.83
  • 7. Pulmonary risk evaluation • Risk prediction models • Arozullah • Gupta • ARISCAT (Canet) • ACS NSQIP Universal calculator • Condition-specific evaluation • COPD • Asthma • Obstructive sleep apnea • Smoking • Pulmonary hypertension
  • 8. ARISCAT 2500 patients 59 centers in Spain Arozullah 82,000 pts – Resp failure 160,000 pts - Pneumonia VA NSQIP Gupta 211,000 pts Resp failure and pneumonia ACS NSQIP ACS NSQIP Universal Calculator 1.4 Million patients ACS NSQIP
  • 9. Comparison of Risk Models ARISCAT - Overall Age Preop SpO2 Resp infection w/in 1 mo Preop hemoglobin <=10 Type of surgery Duration of surgery Emergency procedure Arozullah – Resp failure Age History of COPD Dependent functional status BUN >30 Albumin <3 Type of surgery Emergency procedure Arozullah - Pneumonia Age History of COPD Dependent functional status History of stroke Weight loss >10% in 6mo Impaired sensorium Current smoker within 1yr Alcohol >2/d past 2 wks Steroid for chronic condition Transfusion >4 units BUN General anesthesia Type of surgery Gupta – Respiratory failure Dependent functional status ASA class Preoperative sepsis Type of surgery Emergency surgery Gupta - Pneumonia Age History of COPD Dependent functional status ASA class Preoperative sepsis Type of surgery Smoking before operation 3% of patients develop postop respiratory failure 25% of these patients die within 30 days
  • 10. Preoperative evaluation overview • Determine and mitigate surgical risk • Assess and optimize medical conditions • Perform preoperative testing • Manage medications perioperatively
  • 11. Evaluating chronic pulmonary conditions Optimize treatment Rx Severity Control
  • 12. Condition-specific evaluation • Asthma only a risk factor when not well-controlled • More than 2 symptoms or albuterol uses per week or 2 exac/yr is not well controlled • Any recent ED or office visits, rescue inhaler within the last month? • Peak flow measurement • COPD • Recent respiratory infection? • No lower limit of FEV1 where surgery cannot be performed • Obstructive sleep apnea • Screening with STOP-BANG criteria1 • Increased PPCs if score >=52 • Smoking • Current smoking increases risk • Cessation 2-4 weeks: OR 0.99 compared to non-smokers3 • Pulmonary hypertension • Especially with history of PE, OSA, poor functional status • Interstitial lung disease • Worse dyspnea, higher PCO2/PO2, low DLCO, FEV1 or FCV <60% all higher risk • Complications less than those seen in COPD 1Joshi GP et al. Anesth Analg. 2012;115(5):1060-68. 3Jung KH et al. Gastric Cancer 2014. Snoring loudly Tired during the day Observed apnea Pressure high (HTN) BMI > 35 Age > 50 Neck > 40cm Gender=Male 2Chung F et al. Chest. 2013; 143(5):1284-93.
  • 13. Preoperative evaluation overview • Determine and mitigate surgical risk • Assess and optimize medical conditions • Perform preoperative testing • Manage medications perioperatively
  • 14. Preoperative Testing • FEV1 correlates with rate of complications, but to a small degree • Studies mixed; do not clearly show superior predictive value over H&P • Reasonable to get in 1) unexplained dyspnea, or 2) if control of COPD/Asthma unclear • Value of screening CXR has been questioned • Rates of abnormalities increase with age • Most of the findings are chronic/predictable and do not affect management* • Sleep study for STOP-BANG • STOP-BANG 5-6 • STOP-BANG 3-4 + HCO3 >= 28 • STOP>=2 + Male + BMI > 35 *Archer et al. Can J Anaesth. 1993;40:1022-7.
  • 15. Preop interventions • Continue existing inhalers perioperatively • Optimize chronic lung disease based on your assessment • Consider preop bronchodilators or preop steroids on a case-by-case basis • Inspiratory muscle training in high risk patients reduced PPC (RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.26 to 0.89)1 in cardiothoracic and upper abd surgery • Another systematic review in cardiac surgery showed that any preop intervention helps (RR 0.39, CI 0.23 to 0.66)2 1Mans CM et al. Clin Rehab 2014; 1-13 2Snowden D et al. Physiotherapy 2014; 60:66-77
  • 17. Intra- and Postop interventions • Some postop lung expansion modality is better than nothing • Don’t know if one is better than the other • Low quality evidence favors postop CPAP* (for non-OSA) in abdominal surgery • Low quality evidence with lack of IS effectiveness** • Studies of regional vs general anesthesia have been mixed • For high risk of severe OSA, sleep study vs empiric CPAP *Ireland et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2014, Issue 8. Art. No.: CD008930. **do Nascimento et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2014, Issue 2. Art. No.: CD006058.
  • 18. Guidelines • Systematic review by ACP • Use some type of lung expansion intervention • Use nasogastric tubes selectively (not routinely) after abdominal surgery • Insufficient evidence for epidural anesthesia/analgesia, smoking cessation, laparoscopic vs open • Routine TEN or TPN does not reduce risk Smetana et al. Ann Intern Med. 2006;144:581-595.
  • 19. Case of Mr. Lung • 78 year old man • L3-5 laminectomy and fusion, which will take 4 hours • Severe COPD, diabetes, and hypertension, 40 pack-years but quit 2 yrs ago • Takes tiotropium, lisinopril, metformin. • Dyspneic when hurrying on level ground or walking up a hill, at his baseline. Functionally independent. • Resting O2 sat 95%. Normal work of breathing. Slightly diminished breath sounds, no wheezes. Cardiovascular exam is normal. Mental status is normal. • Hgb 13, BUN 15, Cr 0.8, Albumin 3.5
  • 20. Risks for Mr. L ARISCAT Arozullah Gupta ACS Surgical Risk Overall 13.3% Postop pneumonia 1.18% 1.75% 1.9% Postop respiratory failure 1.8% 1.42% Recommend • postoperative lung expansion modalities • monitoring for bronchospasm and use of bronchodilators • early mobility • continue home inhaler
  • 21. Summary • Assess risk factors for postoperative pulmonary complications • Determine the status of chronic lung conditions and optimize • Use a risk prediction to objectively predict complications • Use preoperative testing judiciously and not routinely • For high risk patients, consider less aggressive approach • Use lung expansion techniques (take your pick), use NGT selectively
  • 23. ARISCAT - Overview • Prospective, observational study of a random-sample cohort • 59 centers in Catalonia, Spain (7.36M inhabitants) • Nearly 2500 non-obstetric patients included • Primary outcome: postop pulmonary complication during stay • Infection, respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, pneumothorax, bronchospasm, aspiration pneumonitis • Secondary outcomes: Postop length of stay, 30-day and 90-day mortality Canet J et al. Anesthesiology 2010; 113:1338
  • 24. ARISCAT – Findings 2222 Resp failure 3% Bronchospasm 2% Pleural effusion 2% Resp infection 2% Atelectasis 1% 242
  • 25. ARISCAT – Using the Model Predictor Multivariate Analysis OR Risk score Age 51-80 1.4 3 Age >80 5.1 16 Preop SpO2 91-95 2.2 8 Preop SpO2 <= 90 10.7 24 Resp infection w/in 1 mo 5.5 17 Preop hemoglobin <=10 3.0 11 Upper abdominal incision 4.4 15 Intrathoracic incision 11.4 24 Surgery >2-3 hrs 4.9 16 Surgery >3 hrs 9.7 23 Emergency procedure 2.2 8 Risk category PPC rate Low risk <26 points 1.6% Intermediate risk 26-44 points 13.3% High risk >= 45 points 42.1% Back
  • 26. Arozullah Respiratory failure risk index • Prospective, multicenter data set • 44 VA Medical Centers participating in National VA Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) • 81,719 patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery • Studied only men Arozullah et al. Ann Surg 2000; 232:242
  • 27. Arozullah Respiratory failure risk index Predictor Multivariate Analysis OR Risk score Age 60-69 1.5 4 Age >=70 1.9 6 History of COPD 1.8 6 Partially/fully dependent functional status 1.9 7 BUN >30 2.3 8 Albumin <3 2.5 9 Neck surgery 3.1 11 NSGY, upper abd, peripheral vascular 4.2 14 Thoracic 8.1 21 AAA 14.3 27 Emergency 3.1 11 Risk category PPC rate Class 1, <= 10 points 0.5% Class 2, 11-19 points 1.8% Class 3, 20-27 points 4.2% Class 4, 28-40 points 10.1% Class 5, >40 points 26.6%
  • 28. Arozullah Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index • Prospective, multicenter data set • 100 VA Medical Centers • 160,805 patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery • Primary outcome: Nosocomial pneumonia (CDC definition) Arozullah et al. Ann Intern Med. 2001;135:847-857.
  • 29. Arozullah Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index Predictor Multivariate Analysis OR Risk score Age 50-59 1.5 4 Age 60-69 2.4 9 Age 70-79 3.6 13 Age >=80 5.6 17 History of COPD 1.7 5 History of stroke 1.5 4 Weight loss >10% in 6mo 1.9 7 Impaired sensorium 1.5 4 Partially dependent functional status 1.8 6 Fully dependent 2.8 10 Current smoker within 1yr 1.3 3 Alcohol >2/d past 2 wks 1.2 2 Predictor Multivariate Analysis OR Risk score Steroid for chronic condition 1.3 3 Transfusion >4 units 1.3 3 BUN <8 1.5 4 BUN 22-30 1.2 2 BUN >30 1.4 3 General anesthesia 1.6 4 Vascular 1.3 3 Neck surgery 2.3 8 Neurosurgery 2.1 8 Upper abdominal 2.7 10 Thoracic 3.9 14 AAA 4.3 15 Emergency 1.3 3
  • 30. Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index vs Respiratory Failure Risk Index Risk category PPC rate Class 1, 0-15 points 0.24% Class 2, 16-25 points 1.18% Class 3, 26-40 points 4.6% Class 4, 41-55 points 10.8% Class 5, >55 points 15.9% Risk category PPC rate Class 1, <= 10 points 0.5% Class 2, 11-19 points 1.8% Class 3, 20-27 points 4.2% Class 4, 28-40 points 10.1% Class 5, >40 points 26.6% Postoperative Pneumonia Risk Index Respiratory Failure Risk Index Back
  • 31. Gupta Perioperative Risk Calculators • Prospective, multicenter data set • 183 academic and community hospitals • American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) • 211,410 patients undergoing major surgery Gupta et al. CHEST 2011; 140(5):1207–1215 Gupta et al. May Clin Proc 2013; 88(11):1241–1249 Surgicalriskcalculator.com
  • 32. Predictors of Resp Failure Dependent functional status ASA class Preoperative sepsis Type of surgery Emergency surgery Gupta Perioperative Risk Calculators Predictors of Pneumonia Dependent functional status ASA class Preoperative sepsis Type of surgery Age COPD Smoking before operation Gupta et al. CHEST 2011; 140(5):1207–1215 Gupta et al. May Clin Proc 2013; 88(11):1241–1249 Surgicalriskcalculator.com Back
  • 33. ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator Back
  • 34. Main worry in PH should be arrhythmia Kim D et al. HSS Journal 2014; 10:131-135 Back
  • 35. OSA increases risk of respiratory failure Hai F, et al. J Clin Anesth 2014; 26:591. Back
  • 36. Back
  • 38. Back
  • 39.
  • 40. Back

Editor's Notes

  1. Jung looked at 1489 patients undergoing gastrectomy for cancer. 522 smoked. Cessation for as little as 2 weeks reduced PPC. Largest trial to date
  2. Validated in 5000 patients in study called Periscope in wide variety of surgeries Mazo V et al. Anesthesiology. 2014;121(2):219-31.
  3. C-stat 0.843 for resp failure
  4. C-stat 0.779 for pneumonia
  5. Case control study of 132 patients with PH (echo RVSP > 35)
  6. Meta-analysis of 17 studies, risk 2.4